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Collectable Assets to Help Shield Inflation and Boost Diversification

The “60% stocks and 40% bonds” rule is outdated. While this approach may have offered stable and diversified returns several decades ago, in today’s difficult economic climate it’s not enough. This is where collectable assets come in.

To preserve and grow wealth, strategic investors must hedge their portfolios with alternative sources of value. One way to do this is with collectable assets. As a unique form of asset class, collectables offer investors extraordinary diversification and inflation-shielding properties – perfect for today’s economic storm. What’s more, many of these assets – like jewellery, classic cars, and art – can be enjoyed while they hold their value.

In this article, we’re looking at the six most popular collectable assets globally[1], and what to consider as you explore your options.

Art

As with most collectables, original art is about more than simply the financial return. Art is a passion asset – it represents a unique timestamp in our history, emotions, and popular culture. But there are great investment benefits too.

Original art is unique, and – just like with fine wine – rarity is highly prized. Famously, Leonardo di Vinci’s “Salvatore Mundi” was auctioned for a record-breaking $475 million[2].

Importantly, original art is also inflation-resistant. This is an excellent quality for the current economic climate. Unlike cash or bonds, the investment return will not erode over high-inflation periods because it has intrinsic value. Instead, market demand is driven by the artist, story, quality of the work, whether it represented a new technique, mindset or time, the materials and of course, the way it looks.

However, this doesn’t mean art is immune to volatility. The art market has trends and bubbles too. In 2018, for example, the resale market for art by Damien Hirst was declared a “bloodbath” as the hype ended and investors lost millions[3]. Before diving in, pay close attention to any potential risks in the market.

Research from Unbiased found that overall contemporary art has delivered annualized returns of 7.5% to investors since 1985[4]. Another index, created by Masterworks suggests blue-chip paintings (the crème de la crème of art) increased in value by 13.8% each year since 1995[5]. However, each artwork is unique and so individual returns vary significantly.

In today’s market, NFTs (non-fungible tokens) and sustainable processes are trending strongly in the art world. The average collector invested $46,000 in digital art last year and would be willing to pay more for environmentally-friendly works[6].

Whisky

As well as an appreciation for the craft and heritage, there are compelling investment benefits to whisky. Firstly, like all the collectable assets on this list, it is a great hedge against inflation. This helps to offset some of the losses from cash, debt, and bond instruments.

Secondly, it’s a booming market, as whisky has become popular. Just like fine wine, this has largely been fuelled by younger investors.  In 2021, the Knight Frank Luxury Index even named this liquid gold as its best-performing asset class[7]. Over the previous decade, Scotch whisky racked up impressive returns of 428% on average. In July 2022, one rare bottle pulverised all records, going for a whopping £16 million at auction.

Thirdly, whisky is increasingly perceived as reliable. Since Brexit and the war in Ukraine, many investors have turned to whisky as a more dependable and palatable choice of beverage. Naturally, the ingredients come from Scotland, so global grain and raw goods shortages should not hinder production. What’s more, the whisky trade looks set to increase, as the UK government draws up new deals with India.

Just like fine wine, one of the greatest benefits of whisky is that it is classed as a “wasting asset” and is not subject to capital gains tax. If you’d like to find out more about this tax break, you can download our free guide.

To get an idea of the financial returns of whisky, we can look at two indices. The BC20 index reported 14.36% returns for the asset in 2021[8]. And the SWI’s year-on-year historical performance sits at 12.5%[9]. Of course, whisky is a buy-and-hold asset, meaning that investors should not try to “flip” it, but rather hold the asset for years.

Classic cars

Of all the passion investments, classic cars are probably among the most loved. Collectors are often people who would tack magazine cut-outs of Ferraris, Maseratis and Bugattis to their walls as teenagers, and dream of buying the car one day. They tend to be looking to fulfil a lifelong dream as well as investing. Perhaps for this reason, the price tags are usually emotional, and they can make for uncertain investments.

The factors which make a car a worthwhile collectable asset closely mirror the art market. The historic significance of the model, rarity, beauty, racing history or associations with celebrities all add to the value.

HAGI (Historic Automobile Group International) tracks the market with several indices. Their findings show that between 2008 – 2021 the average price increased by 264.49%[10]. However, this doesn’t appear to factor in the cost of repairs, renovations, or storage. Even if you plan to restore a classic car yourself, the associated costs can exceed the end-value.

As you plan your investment strategy, scrutinise the financials of classic cars, including tax implications. For example, selling a classic car for a profit will incur capital gains tax, as well as road tax and MOT. Certain countries also have combustion engine regulations and low-emission zones that could make it difficult to drive your car. What’s more, incoming legislation around petrol cars may affect the desirability of the vehicle.

Diamonds

They’re forever, they’re a girl’s best friend … but are diamonds really a good investment asset? Looking at the Idex Diamond Index, on average, the precious stones have delivered returns of 8% over the past five years[11]. Natural blue diamonds have particularly fared well, with one rare 15-carat blue diamond selling for $57.5 million in April 2022[12].

As with most collectable investments, quality, rarity, historical significance and whether it was owned by a notable person, all make a difference to the value. For jewellery, connections with royalty can especially add lasting value[13]. When considering diamonds, scrutinize the following “Cs”: Carat, clarity, cut, colour and certificate[14].

However, there are some risks for diamond investors too. The market is notorious for its bubbles. Between November 1st 2021 and March 7th 2022, for example, prices suddenly jumped by 17% and then fell back down.

Investors should also be aware that this asset – while not directly impacted by inflation – does tend to stumble following a crisis, although it usually bounces back quickly. This indicates that during a recession is a good time to buy. As the prices tend to drop in the rough diamond market first, investors may be able to use this information to predict trends and inform their selling strategy on the secondary market.

Watches

Watches are a relatively new investment vehicle, and the market is white-hot. They really began to take off during the first months of the pandemic. Between January 2020 and April 2022, the value of used luxury watches jumped by around 115%[15]. According to the Watch Charts Market Index, prices surged from $25,420 on average to $54,461 in less than two years[16].

Today, however, the market is cooling. Prices have dipped back down to $39,397 on average[17]. After this burst, it is also extremely difficult now to access an investment-grade watch unless you have exceptional contacts or a broker. However, with patience and research, it is still possible.

For investors looking for a wearable investment, a classic brand like Rolex, Patek Philippe, Audemars Piguet or Breitling could be a good inflation-resistant option.

Fine wine

Of course, our favourite collectable asset to preserve and grow wealth is fine wine. Unlike diamonds, the value of fine wine does not tend to dip with recessions. On the contrary, after the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic, it soared. From April 2020 until September 2022, prices steadily increased by over 40%[18].

Like whisky investments, fine wine also benefits from a generous tax break. Investors are exempt from capital gains tax, meaning they can keep significantly more of their profits. This tax perk applies to very few investments, and certainly none on the publicly traded stock market. It helps investors to preserve, reinvest and grow their wealth faster.

Like all the collectable assets on this list, fine wine is also extremely inflation-resistant. As the market is quite closed and determined by passionate investors, it is not directly impacted by the ebbs and flows of the wider economy.

Better still, unlike newer whisky and watch trends, fine wine is one of the oldest investment assets. Over centuries wine has proved its place as a valuable source of wealth growth and preservation. Today, it is even more stable than gold.

Invest with passion

Perhaps most importantly of all, fine wine is a revered and much-loved product. Who could imagine a world without a sparkling Moët Hennessy Champagne, or a beautifully bold Bordeaux?

When you invest in collectable assets, you are not simply making a financial decision. You’re helping to preserve and cherish that which you love about life. Whether it’s a vintage Porsche or a stand-out piece from your favourite artist, your wealth can revive your most meaningful moments in history. With investments like fine wine, you can also help to preserve and nurture the planet for future generations too.

If you’d like to discover more, getting started with WineCap is simple and straightforward.

[1] Source: Knight Frank

[2] Source: Art in Context

[3] Source: Art History News

[4] Source: Unbiased

[5] Source: Masterworks

[6] Source: Art Basel

[7] Source: Knight Frank

[8] Source: Braeburn

[9] Source: Insider

[10] Source: Investopedia

[11] Source: Idex Online

[12] Source: Forbes

[13] Source: Bloomberg

[14] Source: New Bond Street Pawn Brokers

[15] Source: Watch Charts

[16] Source: Watch Charts

[17] Source: Watch Charts

[18] Source: Liv-ex

 

 

 

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Is Fine Wine the New Gold?

For more than 6,000 years gold has been revered and collected by people hoping to store, preserve and even grow their wealth. But in recent times, the stability of gold has been called into question. Prices have been on almost as much of a journey as the stock markets. Whether it’s because Central Banks are buying record amounts of the precious metal, or because investors are trading emotionally, the asset is no longer such a dependable source of alternative value.

In this article, we’re taking a closer look at gold’s investment performance over the past year, and how it compares to fine wine.

Gold is becoming more volatile

Investors have been on a tumultuous journey. Over the past year, the price of gold plummeted by -21% between March and October[1]. Then it rose again by +15% from November through to January. At the time of writing (January 2023), one ounce of gold costs $1,868[2], but economists are already predicting further movements ahead.

Performance of gold over the past twelve months

Over 2023, a range of factors is likely to influence the price of gold. The mild global recessions, geopolitical uncertainties and continued high inflation levels will probably increase its value. But on the other hand, pressure on commodities and the gradual easing of inflation could bring the prices down. Over the next year, it’s unlikely that prices will remain stable.

Gold is becoming increasingly correlated to the stock market

As gold usually rallies in a recession and falls during periods of prosperity, investors have traditionally added this to portfolios as a hedge. When the stock markets are down, they look to their gold investments to buffer some of the losses. However, over the past few years, something strange has happened. Instead of gold going up when the markets go down, the two are starting to correlate.

Fine wine delivered returns that were uncorrelated to the market

By contrast, over the past year fine wine have exhibited the very characteristics that investors usually look for in gold. Performance has been stable, steady and – best of all – uncorrelated to the stock market. The graph below shows the comparison of fine wine (green), gold (red) and the S&P 500 performance over the past year.

Unlike gold, the fine wine index (Liv-ex 1000) didn’t demonstrate any periods of correlation with the wider stock market during 2022. Overall, wine steadily trended upwards, slightly increasing when the wider markets plummeted and slightly dipping when the wider markets soared. This makes fine wine an exceptionally stable diversifier for investors. Not only did it hedge portfolios over 2023, but it also helped to smooth out overall volatility.

If you’d like to analyse the performance of fine wine, you can find the prices for regions, bottles, wines and more on Wine Track.

Is fine wine the new gold?

While it may not be exactly true that fine wine is the “new gold”, over the past year this asset class has been significantly more stable and less correlated to the wider market. It’s provided investors with a more calm and smooth positive performance than gold, throughout the economic storm.

Like gold or property, fine wine has intrinsic value and compelling inflation-resistance. As a tangible asset, it will almost always be worth something – unlike stocks, bonds or cash which could crash. But different from gold, the kind of buyers who invest in fine wine are not cut from the same cloth as stock market investors.

Fine wine is generally bought and sold in exclusive private markets, far away from public trading forums. The asset is also usually purchased and treasured by passion investors, who tend to hold it for decades. By contrast, more people seem to be “flipping” gold and property, which ramps-up volatility.

So, is fine wine the new gold? Not really… If you’re looking for stability, alternative returns, and uncorrelated market value, we think it’s superior.

[1] Source: Monex

[2] Source: Monex

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Fine Wine as a Wasting Chattel

From April 6, the British government will move to reduce the deficit through a number of measures, including very significant changes to capital gains tax thresholds. However, investors may find that “wasting chattel” investments could be a worthwhile solution to this.

From the new financial year 2023-2024, the threshold for paying capital gains tax (CGT) will be slashed, from £12,300 to £6,000 this year, and then again to £3,000 the following year – a full 75% fall. This added tax burden will inevitably eat into investor returns. However, the category of investments known as “wasting chattel” is exempt from CGT altogether, meaning that any gains made on these investments will allow investors to keep more of their profits.

Wasting chattel investments are assets with a predictable useful life not exceeding 50 years and can include things such as art, furniture, vehicles, and most importantly, fine wine. These may provide investors with a tax-efficient way to profit.

If you’re looking to balance out tax losses and protect your portfolio against inflation, then allocating more of your portfolio to wasting chattels may be a smart move. Collectible assets such as fine wine are often inflation-resistant and have a long history of good returns. They can therefore provide a much-needed buffer against the current economic environment; helping ensure the long-term success of your portfolio and the security of your financial well-being.

In these difficult economic times, adaptability is paramount, and it is essential for investors and portfolio managers to remain flexible by considering all investment tools and vehicles. Wasting chattels kick back against the upcoming tax hits, and can be an excellent option.

If this sounds like something of interest to you, why not schedule a consultation with WineCap? Our wine investment experts would be only too happy to guide you through the process.

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Chinese Wine Imports on the Road to Recovery

Chinese wine imports have begun their revival as borders reopened to international travel following three long years of Covid restrictions that isolated the world’s most densely populated country.

As families reunite and look forward to a much needed period of recovery, the wine trade breathes a collective sigh of relief after surviving 2022, the year that saw the wine industry “hit rock bottom in both import and domestic market[s]”

An article, published by China’s leading wine news site Vino Joy News, examines the potential for a rebound in Chinese wine imports which dropped significantly in 2020 due to the successive lockdowns of the pandemic. The decline in corporate activities and cultural gatherings which usually drive crucial sales peaks saw revenues affected drastically. Experts are positive that the recent lifting of Covid restrictions will rejuvenate the market akin to the swift recovery of the restaurant industry since December’s relaxation of pandemic constraints.

The key factor driving this optimism is the increased demand for better quality wine from China’s increasingly affluent middle class. This is set to be further boosted by the recent relaxation of import tariffs, making wine more affordable for Chinese consumers. This year’s Spring Festival has seen revenues spike which suggests that other events like the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day will have a similar effect.

Though there is a potential for the relaxation of Chinese food and beverage standards this is unlikely to affect the fine wine market, and overall the long-term outlook for Chinese wine imports remains very promising.

A key indicator of the market’s recovery will be the upcoming Chengdu wine fair in April, an event considered “a bellwether of China’s drinks industry” and likely a strong reflection of the country’s enthusiasm for fine wine.

With any luck, this will be the year that sees this major player in the fine wine market return to form.

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Bordeaux 2020 in Bottle

A number of key critics have delivered their thoughts on the third and final of the vintage triumvirate – Bordeaux 2020. The wines are characterized by lower alcohol levels, tension, and precision as a result of the warm and dry conditions with well-timed rainfall.

As the wines continue to become available in bottle, attentions have refocused on this vintage thanks to the unusual circumstances that surrounded it. With summer ripening and harvest taking place in the thick of the Covid-19 lockdown, restricted access to the estates meant that the growing season and processes took place relatively quietly and without the usual commentary. En primeur tastings were undertaken either remotely, or under tightly controlled conditions.

More recent tastings have revealed, however, that Bordeaux 2020 might be the champion of the three. Antonio Galloni concluded in his report, titled “Saving the Best for Last”, that “2020 is a great modern-day Bordeaux vintage. From the standpoint of both peaks and overall consistency, it surpasses 2018 and 2019.” Neal Martin notes in his report that “Overall, the 2020 vintage delivers the goods. It seals the trio of great Bordeaux vintages, albeit sculpted in a modern style” referencing that of the three vintages that encountered warmer conditions “by 2020, they knew a hell of a lot more than in 2018”.

Both praised Pauillac’s Lafite Rothschild and Mouton Rothschild, as well as the “epic” Château Margaux, powerful Montrose, and Pétrus, which Neal Martin proclaimed “an absolute killer”.

Jane Anson was fortunate enough to be one of a handful of people able to experience en primeur in Bordeaux itself. In her Bordeaux 2020 vintage overview she mentions the significance of a more focused year. Where producers could be fully dedicated to winemaking alone, this “allowed estates to put the spotlight on their own processes, and perhaps question certain accepted practices, or double-down on others.”

Anson also notes that Bordeaux 2020 has seen only limited trading so far, but that it is likely to pick up the pace soon as more wines become available.

Bordeaux 2020 looks to be a vintage with a lot to offer, and potentially one of those rare occasions where the third in the series is considered the best. At WineCap, we see excellent performance potential here and will be in touch with new offers on this promising offering soon.

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7 Under-Used Alternative Investments

Like a nervous first date wondering if they’ve been stood up, cryptocurrency has kept alternative investors biting their nails, on the edge of their seats and glancing restlessly at the door. As a decentralised asset, it shouldn’t have been impacted by rocketing inflation, rising interest rates or other market shocks. But the theory isn’t holding up. When disaster struck, crypto investors behaved in the same way as the stock markets – if anything, they panicked more. Over recent weeks, crypto enthusiasts felt their stomachs lurch as Bitcoin plummeted to less than the value of creating it [1] … It’s a punch in the face for hopeful diversifiers who turned to crypto as an alternative asset.

In this article, we’ll uncover seven fascinating and under-used diversifying investments, that truly steer clear of the market. In theory and in practice. ‘Alternative alternatives’ to inspire you as you build (or re-build) your portfolio.

1. Litigation finance

The up-and-coming investment that almost nobody has heard of. Litigation investors help people to cover the cost of their legal suit and take a share of the damages if they succeed. This type of finance has the potential to do good for society, while offering an alternative source of revenue to investors. Most recently, it’s being used in greenwashing and climate cases, so alternative investors can help protect the environment too. The downsides are that it is risky, not possible in every country and can take a while.

2. Art

An old favourite for seasoned alternative investors, but still relatively unknown in the wider world of investing. Buying art has the double advantage that you can appreciate and enjoy your investment while you own it. Many affluent investors purchase valuable art from museums, auctions and galleries. But if you’re looking for lower price tags, you could take a chance and buy from undiscovered artists directly … It’s certainly riskier, but if you have a good eye, you might just hit the jackpot.

3.   Domain names

Believe it or not, an aptly-named domain can rake in a fortune. Cars.com sold for $872 million. Carinsurance.com swept up $49.7 million. And Insurance.com went for a cool $35.6 million [2]. Not every domain name will be valuable, of course, around a third are never even used. But if you manage to buy a good one, you could reap serious rewards. Better still, this type of investment is completely uncorrelated to the stock market, meaning you can protect yourself from market shocks.

4.   Whiskey

The water of life, as it’s known in Gaelic cultures, doesn’t just taste good on the lips… it can feel great on the wallet too. While whiskey may not offer the kind of eyebrow-raising returns that fine wine has, over the past years it has enjoyed a steady real return of 7.9% from 2011 – 2020 [3].

5.   Comic books

It’s hard not to smile when you imagine the likes of Wonder Woman, Spiderman, or the Joker in your portfolio. But, as well as being a passion investment, comic books have enjoyed a boost in recent years. According to one alternative investment site, ‘Comics continue to trend upwards with very little signs of the market slowing anytime soon’ [4]. Like fine wine and whiskey, these are much-appreciated collectables which become rarer over time.

6. Music royalties

Another fascinating yet little-known alternative investment is in music royalties. When investors own a share of the music rights, they should profit when the sounds are played. For example, in movies, adverts, video games and even cover songs. (Although, of course, there is always the risk that people will use the music without paying up). Investors could also pick up profits from hardware sales, such as the reproduction of vinyl disks or CDs. This is generally one for high net worth investors, as price tags can start quite high. But there are exchange platforms available for cost-conscious players too.

7. Fine wine

Our favourite alternative investment is – of course – fine wine. As well as offering stable, yet strong returns of 12.6% CAGR each year, it’s an excellent diversifier too. Unlike many other high-performing assets, the value of fine wine is not correlated to the stock market. Return is largely based on the vintage year, scarcity and storage, so fine wine owners have a lot more control over the value of their investment. This can help reassure investors in times of economic turmoil. What’s more, one advantage investment-grade wine has over other alternative assets is the availability of market data to analyse and a more regular marketplace. If you’re looking to bolster your wealth against market shocks, a 1-3% allocation of fine wine could help you reduce your exposure.

Finding a truly alternative investment takes time and research. Often investors will need to stray away from the beaten track. And, as we’ve seen recently, they may also need to laser through all the crypto-sphere hype too.

Call us old-fashioned, but we believe that the best alternative investments are the ones that have been around the longest. Proving themselves decade after decade, recession after recession and beyond. If you’re interested in learning more about the benefits of investing in fine wine, we’re here to support you on your journey.

 

[1] Source : Finbold

[2] Source : Alts.co

[3] Source : WhiskyInvestDirect

[4] Source : Alts.co