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French wine production falls in 2024: Investment implications

Maison Louis Latour wine harvest
  • The 2024 French wine harvest is shaping up to be one of the smallest of the century so far.
  • Burgundy’s 2024 vintage is estimated to be 25% lower than 2023, with scarcity being a key price driver for the region’s wines.
  • Bordeaux is also facing declines, reaching its lowest volume since 2017. 

The 2024 French wine harvest is shaping up to be one of the smallest of the century so far, with regions like Burgundy and Bordeaux hit particularly hard by adverse weather conditions. According to forecasts from France’s Agreste statistics unit, overall national production may decline by up to 18%, with mildew, poor fruit set, and frost reducing output in key regions. 

What are the implications for the secondary market, especially considering the recent market downturn? This article explores how smaller volumes in 2024 could impact prices in Burgundy and Bordeaux, drawing on learnings from past vintages.

Scarcity in Burgundy

The 2024 vintage in Burgundy is being described as one of the most challenging in the past 50 years, according to Florent Latour from Maison Louis Latour. The Bureau Interprofessionnel des Vins de Bourgogne (BIVB) estimates harvest yields to be up to 25% lower than in 2023. The region has faced intense mildew pressure and adverse weather during flowering, resulting in poor fruit set.

Historically, supply constraints in Burgundy have driven price increases in the secondary market, as scarcity heightens demand among collectors. For example, the 2021 vintage, severely impacted by frost, saw a surge in auction prices for marquee producers like Domaine de la Romanée-Conti and Armand Rousseau. The same pattern could play out in 2024, as the prospect of another small vintage heightens the allure of top Burgundian wines.

However, this vintage presents complexities. While the scarcity narrative could support price gains, the current economic downturn might temper buying enthusiasm. Additionally, the challenging growing season could lead to quality variation across producers, making selectivity crucial for those looking to invest. 

Bordeaux market implications

In 2024, Bordeaux is reportedly facing a 10% decline, reaching its lowest volume since 2017. The Conseil Interprofessionnel du Vin de Bordeaux (CIVB) has described the 2024 harvest as “historically low,” with output expected to fall below the already reduced 3.8 million hectoliters of 2023. This is due to a combination of adverse weather conditions, including downy mildew and rain during harvest, as well as a reduction in vineyard areas through a government-supported grubbing-up plan.

Despite the challenges, smaller harvests can still support price stability for Bordeaux’s top-tier wines. In 2024, the scarcity of high-quality offerings might provide an opportunity for investment-grade wines, particularly from classified growths. Investors seeking value could focus on estates with a strong track record of producing excellent wines in challenging years. Yet, the broader market downturn might limit the extent of price recovery, especially for mid-tier labels that lack the same scarcity appeal as Burgundy.

Learning from past vintages

Looking back at smaller harvests like 2017 and 2021 gives an insight into what to expect from 2024. Both years saw production levels dip below 40 million hectolitres due to extreme weather events, leading to temporary price spikes in Burgundy’s secondary market. The 2017 vintage, for instance, saw price rises for top Burgundy wines, driven by fears of limited availability. In 2021, the impact of frost once again drove auction interest, with investors flocking to secure allocations. 

However, the 2024 market environment is different. With inflation and economic uncertainties weighing on consumer confidence, investors may be more selective, focusing on wines that promise both rarity and quality. Burgundy’s high starting prices could limit the scope of further price increases, while Bordeaux’s historically low output might stabilise prices for premium labels without igniting a full-fledged price surge.

The market environment

The 2024 vintage may not replicate the price exuberance of past short harvests, but it represents a moment of adjustment in the wine investment market. For Burgundy and Bordeaux, the interplay between reduced volumes, economic pressures, and strategic opportunities will shape the outlook. The true impact will become clearer once the wines are made, critics taste them, and the release prices are set, providing a more concrete sense of quality and investment potential.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Profiling the fine wine investor in 2024

London city high net worth individuals
  • Nearly 30% of the UK’s high-net-worth (HNW) investors incorporate fine wine into their portfolios.
  • They tend to be cautious, but in 2024, investors with balanced risk profiles are increasingly dipping into the world of drinkable assets.
  • Since last year, the demographic has shifted a little towards less experienced investors, indicating that new HNWs could be getting involved with fine wine.

Fine wine, historically a passion-driven investment, has predominantly attracted older, seasoned investors interested in both enjoying and preserving their wealth. However, recent trends indicate a shift as younger, less experienced investors in the UK are increasingly drawn to fine wine for different reasons – not least because the fine wine market has become more accessible.

Fine wine allocations in investment portfolios

In 2024, nearly 30% of the UK’s high-net-worth (HNW) investors incorporate fine wine into their portfolios.

66% are allocating up to 10% of their portfolio to fine wine, with the remaining 34% reserving over 11%. In 2024, 2% are allocating over a third of their portfolio to fine wine. This trend reveals a more polarising wealth distribution, considering that last year just half of wealth managers kept fine wine allocations under 10%, but none invested over 30% of their wealth in fine wine.

Investors’ risk profiles

Fine wine investors tend to be the cautious type. According to our 2024 wealth management survey, 88% of respondents incorporate fine wine into portfolios for investors with a ‘somewhat cautious’ or ‘extremely cautious’ risk tolerance. As fine wine can help provide stability, it can have a calming influence on overall performance. 

Cautious investment portfolios also generally contain a greater proportion of bonds and cash-like assets. The inflation-resistance of wine can help to buffer out some of the risks this can present over the long term. 

The remaining 12% tend to use wine for balanced portfolios (compared to 10% last year). None of the respondents use the asset for clients with higher risk tolerances.

In 2024, around 2% of respondents are using fine wine for ‘somewhat aggressive’ portfolios. As fine wine has historically exhibited strong growth during recessions and periods of high inflation, it could easily be used to diversify high-risk portfolios. 

Fine wine investment risk profile UK 2024

Investment experience

In line with this trend, over the past 12 months, fine wine has started to move beyond the realm of ‘very experienced’ investors. The slow spread towards ‘experienced’ and ‘somewhat experienced’ investors suggests that fine wine is becoming a more mainstream asset. 

This move could be prompted by the demand to invest in sustainable and low-carbon assets. As this trend is particularly strong with younger investors, it fits that they could have less experience. 

This year, 52% of UK wealth managers rated their investment clients as ‘very experienced’ with fine wine, compared to 62% in 2023. Meanwhile, clients with medium or limited experience grew their fine wine investments.

Fine wine investment experience UK 2024

Fine wine has long been perceived as an exclusive, somewhat intimidating investment, traditionally reserved for a privileged few. But as our recent research indicates, attitudes are slowly changing.

For more information on the changing fine wine investors’ demographics, read our exclusive Wealth Report 2024: UK Edition.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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The state of the fine wine market so far in 2024

Chateau L'Eglise-Clinet vineyard
  • Fine wine remains a buyer’s market in 2024.
  • Burgundy prices have fallen the most, while Italy has been the most resilient region. 
  • Some wines have outperformed the market, such as L’Église-Clinet 2012.

The fine wine market remains a buyer’s market in 2024. All fine wine regions have experienced declines, with prices for Burgundy, Bordeaux, and Champagne falling the most. 

Still, some wine brands have outperformed the market by far – such as Henri Boillot Chevalier-Montrachet Grand Cru, which is up 23% since the beginning of the year.

Regional wine performance so far in 2024

The fine wine market’s downturn has continued into 2024. The broadest measure of the market, the Liv-ex 1000 index, is down 4.9% year-to-date. Within it, Burgundy (-7.0%) and the Rest of the World (-4.8%) sub-indices have fallen the most. 

The Champagne 50 index is also down 4.5%. However, the index rose 0.9% last month, buoyed by Dom Pérignon 2006 and 2012, Louis Roederer Cristal Rosé 2008 and various vintages of Pol Roger’s Cuvée Sir Winston Churchill. 

Liv-ex regional wine indices 2024

As we have previously explored, Italy has been the most resilient fine wine region, down 2.3% year-to-date. Its performance has been stabilised by brands from Piedmont, specifically Barolo and Barbaresco. 

The Rhône 100 index, which has been the perennial underperformer over the long term, has also experienced lesser declines this year, falling just 3.2%. Outside the Liv-ex 1000 index, the California 50 is down 3.8%. 

The biggest risers this year

Despite broader market uncertainties, some brands have risen by close to 30% in value since the beginning of the year (as of August 1st).

With an average case price of £720, Delas Hermitage Domaine des Tourettes Blanc is up 26% this year. It has been followed by a high-profile Burgundy – Henri Boillot Chevalier-Montrachet Grand Cru, which has risen 23%. 

The most expensive wine on the rankings, Domaine du Comte Liger-Belair La Romanée Grand Cru, has enjoyed an 11% rise. 

Best performing wine brands H1 2024

The best performing wines

When it comes to the best performing individual wines, Bordeaux leads the way with L’Église-Clinet 2012, up an impressive 38%. It has been followed by Cheval Blanc 1998, up 27%. 

Another top Bordeaux comes fourth – Gruaud Larose 2018 (19%). Sweet Bordeaux also features in the table with two vintages from Suduiraut, 2019 and 2010, and Climens 2015.  

Meanwhile, Champagne’s best performer is the ‘gorgeous’ (AG 98 points) Krug 2004, up 26%. 

Best performing wines H1 2024

While the fine wine market has continued to face declines across most regions in 2024, presenting great opportunities for lower-than-average prices, some wines have shown remarkable resilience. Even in a buyer’s market, excellence prevails.   

For more on the state of the fine wine market, read our latest quarterly report. 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Top reasons to invest in fine wine in 2024

  • Stability, sustainability and increased market liquidity are the key drivers of investment interest in fine wine. 
  • UK investors are also attracted by the tax advantages of fine wine, which is classed as a ‘wasting asset’.
  • Meanwhile, passion investing is on the rise in the US, seeing an 8% uptick since last year.  

Our recent survey among UK and US wealth managers revealed the top reasons why investors are choosing fine wine in 2024. 

While there are differences in their motivations based on demographic, sustainability, stability through different economic environments, and increased liquidity came at the forefront in both markets.  

Fine wine’s stability during market volatility

In uncertain times, investors often seek tangible assets that offer stability. As WineCap’s CEO, Alexander Westgarth puts it, ‘In times of hardship, people want something solid. Literally. Tangible assets like property, gold or fine wine tend to feel more precious during market downfalls’. 

With US market sentiment being one of fear, according to the Fear & Greed index, 74% of US wealth managers chose stability as their top reason to include fine wine in client portfolios, marking a 6% increase from last year.

US investor motivations for fine wine

In the UK, stability came as the second most important factor driving demand for fine wine. It was cited by 56% of our survey respondents, up 16% since 2023. High inflation, slow economic growth and various macroeconomic headwinds have solidified fine wine’s position as a ‘safe haven’ asset, preferred by UK investors. 

Sustainable investing on the rise

Sustainability was the number one reason to invest in fine wine for UK wealth managers, and the second most important factor in the US. 

As we recently explored (‘The growing importance of sustainability in fine wine investment’), there has been a broader global trend where environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors are increasingly shaping investment strategies across various asset classes, including fine wine.

Research from Morgan Stanley shows that more than half of individual UK investors plan to increase their allocations to sustainable investments in 2024, making fine wine a great investment option. 

According to our survey, 68% of UK investors invest in fine wine because of its low-carbon benefits, with many fine wine producers leading the charge in sustainable viticulture. 

Improved liquidity

Investors in both the UK and US recognise that the fine wine market is becoming more liquid. Advances in technology have opened up new avenues for investors, simplifying buying and selling processes, improving price transparency, and shifting perceptions of fine wine as an “illiquid liquid.”

As a result, UK investor confidence in the market’s liquidity has increased by 32% in 2024. As for the US, there has been a 14% increase from 2023. 

UK tax benefits

UK investors benefit from fine wine’s status as a ‘wasting asset’ making it a more tax-efficient investment. As of April 2024, UK investors pay up to 28% tax on profits over £3,000. Pre-2022, investors paid tax on anything above £12,300, but the past few years have seen the threshold slashed in a bid to plug the ‘fiscal black hole’. 

As a ‘wasting asset’, the HMRC does not consider fine wine an investment where the profit should be taxed. Investors recognise this benefit, with 90% of our survey respondents noting that the CGT changes will increase the attractiveness of fine wine.

Tax efficiency was the fourth most important reason for UK investors, cited by 38% of the respondents.

UK CGT changes and fine wine investment

The overlap between collecting and investing in the US

Fine wine, long seen simply as a passion asset, has managed to rebrand itself as a sound alternative investment choice. UK investors today focus less on ‘passion’, a motivation that has seen a 16% dip since last year. 

Still, in the US, many investors start out as collectors. ‘Passion investing’ has been on the rise across the pond, with 24% of the survey respondents being motivated by earning a profit and enjoying the experience that comes with owning a fine wine collection. 

For the full breakdown of the reasons why investors choose fine wine in 2024, read our UK and US Wealth reports.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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How technology has democratised fine wine investment in 2024

Wine investment technology
  • Technology has democratised fine wine investment by opening new avenues and making the asset more accessible to novice investors.
  • Since last year, there has been a 32% increase in UK investor confidence in the market’s liquidity – a shift partly driven by technology.
  • 80% of UK investors believe that technology like blockchain will create more security and confidence in the sector.

In the world of fine wine, exclusivity has long defined the industry, which has historically attracted seasoned aficionados and connoisseurs with extensive resources and specialised knowledge.

In recent years, technology has democratised the sector, opening new avenues and making fine wine appeal to a more diverse investor demographic. 

According to our 2024 UK Wealth Report, technological advancements have contributed to fine wine going mainstream and thus expanding the market’s appeal to a broader audience, in particular, less experienced investors. Technology has simplified buying and selling processes, enhanced pricing transparency and improved the market’s overall liquidity.

Technology leads to an increase in investor confidence

Since last year, there has been a 32% increase in UK investor confidence in the market’s liquidity – a shift partly driven by technological advancements. In the US, this number is 14%. 

An increasing number of fine wine investors are leveraging data and technology to inform their buying and selling strategies and track the value of their portfolio.  

Online platforms, like WineTrack, have made it easier to identify investment opportunities, compare prices and critic scores and track a brand’s historic performance all in one place. Meanwhile, fine wine indices like the Liv-ex regional indices can help investors compare the performance of different regions and identify market trends.

UK Wealth Managers 2024 Statistics

Advanced technology’s role in fine wine trading

According to our survey, investors and wealth managers are increasingly receptive to new developments, like the use of blockchain technology, in the fine wine investment landscape.

80% of UK investors believe that technology like blockchain will create more security and confidence in the sector, up from 56% last year. In the US, 76% of investors recognise its benefits, up from 54% in 2023.

52% of the UK survey respondents think that blockchain will make reputable releases, such as En Primeur offers, more accessible for investors without using a third party. Still, 6% of them remain sceptical about how this would work in practice.

Meanwhile, 46% of US wealth managers think that blockchain will bring greater transparency in the supply chain, and further boost investor confidence.

As a growing number of new investors consider fine wine for its unique benefits diversifying traditional portfolios, technological innovations continue to redefine their overall experience and industry standards. 

From blockchain contributing to supply chain transparency to online wine investment platforms shaping decision-making, these technological advancements are evening out the playing field by creating new opportunities in the market and appealing to a broader audience. 

For those interested in exploring this trend further, WineCap’s 2024 Wealth Report offers an in-depth look into the top motivations for investing in fine wine, the trends shaping the market, and investor sentiment.

Download your complimentary copy here. 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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The growing importance of sustainability in fine wine investment

  • Sustainability is a major factor influencing investor decisions in the UK.
  • Fine wine producers are embracing sustainable viticulture techniques aimed at reducing their carbon footprint and making a social impact.
  • Fine wine is a forward-thinking sustainable investment choice.

Sustainability is a major factor influencing investor decisions in the UK. Fine wine producers are increasingly embracing sustainable viticulture techniques aimed at reducing their carbon footprint, making fine wine a forward-thinking investment choice.

The evolving landscape of fine wine investment

In recent years, the landscape of fine wine investment has undergone significant changes. Beyond the traditional allure of rarity and prestige, a new motivation is influencing investor decisions in the UK: sustainability.

This shift reflects a broader global trend where environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors are increasingly shaping investment strategies across various asset classes, including fine wine. Investors are now looking at the environmental impact of their investments, and fine wine is emerging as a preferred choice for those who prioritise sustainability.

UK investors prioritise sustainability

Historically, investing in fine wine has mostly been driven by passion, financial gains, and the status of owning rare vintages from a select few vineyards. 

However, as society becomes more conscious of sustainability issues, there has been increased global demand for sustainable and impactful investing. Fine wine is ideally positioned to benefit from this shift.

Recent research conducted for our 2024 UK Wealth Report found that sustainability has emerged as the most important factor influencing the preferences of both seasoned and novice investors in the fine wine market. 

UK investor motivations 2024

Our 2023 survey found that 56% of investors are attracted to fine wine because it is a sustainable asset class with a low carbon footprint. In 2024, this positive investor sentiment towards fine wine has increased in the UK, with 68% of the survey respondents citing sustainability as their top motivation to invest in fine wine. 

UK investors increasingly recognise the benefits of ethical alignment, accessibility, and financial viability that fine wine brings as an asset.

The benefits of sustainable investing

One of the most compelling selling points of fine wine investment lies in its low-carbon benefits. Many fine wine producers are embracing sustainable viticulture techniques aimed at reducing carbon footprints, as outlined in our Fine Wine Sustainability Report.

Vineyards leading the charge are implementing methods to preserve old vines, adapt to climate change, mitigate environmental impact, and promote biodiversity. These sustainable practices not only benefit the environment but also enhance the quality and longevity of the wine, making it an even more attractive investment.

The expanding appeal of sustainable investing is expected to grow, driven by environmentally conscious investors seeking resilient assets that offer both financial security and ethical value. This trend not only enhances the market appeal of fine wine but also reinforces its status as a forward-thinking investment choice.

A deeper dive into the changing fine wine investment attitudes

For those interested in exploring this trend further, WineCap’s 2024 Wealth Report offers an in-depth look into the top motivations for investing in fine wine, the trends shaping the landscape in the UK, and investor sentiment.

This comprehensive report provides valuable insights for both current and prospective investors, highlighting the growing importance of sustainability in the fine wine market.

Download a complimentary copy of WineCap’s 2024 Wealth Report to gain a deeper understanding of this evolving market and the role of sustainability in shaping its future.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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WineCap Wealth Report 2024: UK Edition

WineCap UK Wealth Report 2024

As the investment landscape continues to evolve, so too does the appeal of alternative assets. The 2024 WineCap Wealth Report reveals a dynamic shift in the fine wine investment market, driven by changing demographics, technological advancements, and a growing emphasis on sustainability.

Methodology and demographic

In April 2024, we surveyed 50 UK-based full-time wealth and investment managers on their views and sentiments towards fine wine. 35 of the respondents classed themselves as wealth managers, eight as financial intermediaries/advisers and seven as independent financial advisers. The research was conducted via online questionnaire. For any annual comparisons in the report, we have taken into account wealth managers’ responses from the same survey conducted in April 2023.

Key findings

  • Changing demographics: Younger generations and less experienced investors are increasingly drawn to fine wine.
  • Rising demand for collectibles: Fine wine is the most popular collectible asset, with 92% of wealth managers anticipating demand to increase in the next year.
  • Enhanced market liquidity: The fine wine market is becoming more liquid, with a 32% increase in investor confidence in market liquidity. Advanced technology is enhancing the trading experience and security.
  • Sustainability: Fine wine is largely perceived as a sustainable investment, with 68% of respondents citing sustainability as a top motivation to invest in it.
  • Stability: Despite economic volatility, fine wine continues to act as a stable investment option and investors appreciate its uncorrelated market returns.
  • Capital Gains Tax (CGT) changes: Recent cuts to CGT have made fine wine more attractive, with 90% of respondents noting increased interest in fine wine investment.
  • Diversity: Survey respondents suggested that greater awareness of fine wine’s role in diversifying traditional portfolios could attract more clients.

The 2024 WineCap Wealth Report underscores the growing sophistication and accessibility of fine wine as an investment. As new generations of investors seek diversification and stability away from traditional financial markets, fine wine emerges not only as a stable asset but also as a leader in the collectibles market.

The integration of advanced technology, the expanding appeal of sustainable investing, and the strategic adjustments in response to economic conditions highlight fine wine’s unique position in the investment landscape.

Download your complimentary copy of the 2024 WineCap Wealth Report and discover how fine wine can enhance your investment portfolio.

Please fill in the form below to download your complimentary copy of the report.

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Fine wine vs luxury handbags: the investment perspective

Luxury handbags vs fine wine
  • Luxury handbags are the second most popular collectible item among UK wealth managers in 2024, after fine wine.
  • Rising prices in the primary market for handbags have led to investment interest.
  • While valuations for brands like Chanel and Hermès have spiked dramatically, the secondary market is less established and more illiquid than the fine wine market.

Recent headlines have been filled with news about skyrocketing prices for luxury handbags. The price of the Chanel medium classic flap bag has risen close to 553% since 2005; and 4,809% since 1955.

With prices in the primary market reaching record highs, interest in handbags as a collectible has grown. The term ‘investment piece’ no longer serves to simply describe the timelessness of an item; for investors today, it has taken a much more literal meaning.

Meanwhile, fine wine remains a more established member of the ‘collectibles’ family. In recent years, fine wine has transitioned from a passion investment to a mainstream asset class.

This article explores the shift in investment trends, the rising popularity of luxury assets, and the risks and rewards associated with fine wine and luxury handbags.

A shift in investment trends

Traditionally, investments have been confined to stocks, bonds, and real estate. Now, they are sharing the spotlight with more tactile assets like fine wine and luxury handbags.

According to our recent survey among US and UK wealth managers, there has been a significant uptick in interest for collectibles. In 2024, 78% of US wealth managers expect demand for luxury handbags to increase, complemented by a strong ongoing interest in fine wine (84%).

In the UK, 86% anticipate growth in demand for luxury handbags, up 6% from 2023, while 92% expect sustained demand for fine wine.

The full findings of this survey will be released later this month.

Comparing fine wine vs luxury handbags

Fine wine is sought after for its stability and remains the top investment choice among alternative assets. Its secondary market is more established, offering increased liquidity and price transparency.

It does not lack impressive performers either; luxury Champagnes Salon Le Mesnil-sur-Oger Grand Cru has appreciated 304% over a decade, and Egly-Ouriet Brut Millésime Grand Cru has seen returns of 452%. Prestigious Burgundy wine, Domaine René Engel Vosne-Romanée is up 3,105% over the same period.

Although luxury handbags are a newer investment avenue, they have shown considerable promise. The valuation of iconic pieces like the Hermès Birkin and Chanel Flap Bag has spiked dramatically, reflecting their growing appeal among investors who value both fashion and finance.

Chanel bag prices

Celebrity endorsements

Celebrity endorsements have significantly influenced this market segment. For instance, the Louis Vuitton Pochette Accessoires bag retailed for $165 in 2001; today, it costs $1,520 – an increase of 821%. Over that period, celebrities like Paris Hilton, Nicole Richie, and even fictional character Carrie Bradshaw have boosted its value.

This phenomenon is less prevalent in the world of fine wine, though not entirely absent. Domaine Dujac, for instance, became a brand on the move (the highest riser in the 2018 Liv-ex Power 100 rankings) due to DJ Khaled’s endorsement in a music video.

Investor demographics

Another key distinction between these investment avenues lies in their typical investor demographics. According to the Financial Times, luxury handbags tend to attract younger female clients, who are drawn to both the fashion statement and the investment potential of these pieces. In contrast, the typical fine wine investor is often older and male, with a preference for the historical depth and long-term value appreciation that fine wines offer.

Risks and rewards

Investing in luxury handbags comes with its set of challenges. Unlike fine wine, which can be stored and aged with relative ease, handbags require meticulous care to maintain their condition and value.

Additionally, the market for luxury bags is more volatile, influenced heavily by trends and the limited number of high-value players like Hermès, Chanel, and Louis Vuitton. Future demand for specific models or brands can be unpredictable, and the resale market is often less liquid than that of fine wines.

Both fine wine and luxury handbags offer intriguing opportunities for portfolio diversification, each with unique benefits and challenges. The consistent performance and security of fine wine make it a reliable choice for those seeking steady growth. In contrast, luxury handbags can provide the pleasure of owning a piece of high fashion, though they carry higher risks.

As the luxury investment landscape continues to evolve, the blend of passion and profitability remains a compelling draw for high-net-worth investors globally.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report

Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report

Our Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report has now been released. The report offers a comprehensive overview of the fine wine market in the last quarter, including the impact of interest rates and geopolitical risks, the best-performing wines and regions, and analysis on the rising popularity of non-vintage Champagne as an investment.

Report highlights:

  • Mainstream markets rallied in Q1 2024, driven by resilient economic growth and expectations for future interest rate cuts by central banks.
  • The first green shoots started to appear in the fine wine market towards the end of Q1.
  • Fine wine prices (Liv-ex 100 index) experienced a smaller decline of 1% in Q1, compared to a fall of 4.2% in Q4 2023.
  • Italian wine enjoyed rising demand amid a flurry of new releases, including the 100-point Sassicaia 2021.
  • A number of Champagne labels that experienced consistent declines last year have started to recover, including Dom Pérignon, Salon Le Mesnil, and Pol Roger.
  • The Burgundy 2022 En Primeur campaign delivered high quality and quantity, with about 10% of producers reducing pricing year-on-year due to the challenging market environment.
  • China lifted tariffs on Australian wine after more than three years.
  • Critics and trade are now preparing for the 2023 Bordeaux En Primeur campaign, which will dominate the news in Q2 2024.

Click below to download your free copy of our quarterly investment report.

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Fine wine market trends amid economic shifts in Q1 2024

Fine wine market

The following article is an extract from our Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report which will be published in full later this week.

  • The industry benchmark Liv-ex 100 index fell 1% in Q1 2024, a milder decline than the 4.2% dip at the end of last year.
  • Bond and equity markets rallied in anticipation of interest rate cuts by major central banks.
  • Over the past twenty years, the Liv-ex 1000’s most significant year-on-year dip was only 15%, less severe than that of major stock indices like the S&P 500 (-45%).

After a challenging start to the year, the global economy is showing signs of resilience and potential growth. As we moved past the first quarter of 2024, both bond and equity markets rallied in anticipation of interest rate cuts by major central banks. Notably, sectors like the fine wine market are expected to benefit from these shifts, although the impact has not yet materialised.

The fine wine market in Q1 2024

The industry benchmark, Liv-ex 100 index, saw a modest decline of 1% in Q1 2024, an improvement from the 4.2% dip observed at the end of the previous year. This index experienced a slight drop of 0.3% in January and 1.1% in February but recovered in March with a 0.4% increase, marking its first rise in twelve months. Influential movers included Promontory and Dominus from Napa Valley, Super Tuscan Sassicaia, and Clos des Papes Châteauneuf-du-Pape. Despite this recovery, the fine wine market’s performance still lags behind mainstream financial markets.

Comparing mainstream markets

Mainstream indices such as the Nikkei 225 and the S&P 500 have shown remarkable strength over the past year. Their annual growth from March 2023 to March 2024 ranks in the top 10% of year-on-year periods this century.

However, bond and equity markets experienced heightened volatility at the beginning of the year, due to geopolitical risks like the Middle East conflict and ongoing uncertainty around interest rates. This confluence of factors boosted the safe-haven asset Gold which has extended its run on buying momentum.

Liv-ex 100 vs mainstream markets and Gold

A decade of the Liv-ex 1000 index

Celebrating ten years since its official launch in January 2014, the Liv-ex 1000 index provides two decades of insight into fine wine prices, encompassing a wide range of regions including Bordeaux, Burgundy, Champagne, the Rhône, Italy, and the rest of the world (Spain, Portugal, the USA, and Australia).

Over the past twenty years, while the Liv-ex 1000 has seen 64 year-on-year declines, its most significant drop was only 15%, considerably less severe than that of major stock indices like the S&P 500, which once fell by 45%.

On the upside, the Liv-ex 1000’s best annual performance showed gains of 38%, comparable to those of major indices like the FTSE 100 and the Dow Jones, and its average growth rate of 8.4% is higher than many mainstream markets, only trailing behind the S&P 500.

Liv-ex 1000 vs mainstream markets

As the global markets navigate through turbulent waters, the nuanced performance of the fine wine sector, detailed in our comprehensive Q1 2024 report, continues to offer valuable perspectives on both the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

Stay tuned for the full report later this week.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.