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The best wine investment regions in 2024

Super Tuscan wine region Italy
  • Italy’s market performance has been the most resilient across all fine wine regions.
  • Burgundy prices have fallen the most in the last year. 
  • Champagne is showing consistent signs of recovery.  

The market downturn has affected all fine wine regions, arguably making it a great time to invest while prices are low. Today we take a deep dive into the performance of individual regions – identifying the most resilient markets, the best opportunities, and the regions offering the greatest value.

Italy: the most resilient market

Prices for Italian wine have fallen 4.1% in the past year – less than all other fine wine regions. By comparison, fine wine prices have fallen 11.6% on average, according to the Liv-ex 1000 index. 

Italy’s secondary market has been stimulated by high-scoring releases, like Sassicaia and Ornellaia 2021. Beyond the Super Tuscans, which are some of the most liquid wines, the country continues to offer diversity, stable performance and relative value. 

Some of the best-performing wine brands in the last year are Italian – all with an average price under £1,300 per 12×75, like Antinori Brunello di Montalcino Vigna Ferrovia Riserva (£1,267, +38%).

Other examples under £1,000 per case include Le Chiuse Brunello di Montalcino (+28%), Gaja Rossj-Bass (+27%), and Speri Amarone della Valpolicella Classico Monte Sant Urbano (+25%).

Regional wine indices chart

Burgundy takes a hit

Burgundy’s meteoric rise over the past two decades made it a beacon for collectors, but its steep growth left it vulnerable to corrections. In the past year, Burgundy prices have fallen 14.7%, making it the hardest-hit region. This downturn has released more stock into the market, creating opportunities for investors to access wines in a region often defined by scarcity and exclusivity.

Wines experiencing the largest declines include include Domaine Jacques Prieur Meursault Santenots Premier Cru (-41%), Domaine Arnoux-Lachaux Nuits-Saint-Georges (-35%), and Domaine Rene Engel Clos de Vougeot Grand Cru (-28%). For new entrants, these price drops offer a rare chance to acquire prestigious labels at relatively lower costs.

Champagne: on the road to recovery

Champagne has changed its trajectory over the last year: from a fast faller like Burgundy to more consistency and stability. While prices are down 10.6% on average, the dips over the last few months have been smaller than 0.6%. The index also rose in February and August this year, driven by steady demand. 

Some of the region’s most popular labels have become more accessible for buyers like Dom Perignon Rose (-14%), Philipponnat Clos des Goisses (-13%) and Krug Clos du Mesnil (-12%).

Meanwhile, the best performers have been Taittinger Brut Millesime (+29%) and Ruinart Dom Ruinart Blanc de Blancs (+28%), which has largely been driven by older vintages such as the 1995, 1996 and 1998.

The fine wine market in 2024 reflects a unique moment of transition. Italy’s resilience, Burgundy’s price corrections, and Champagne’s recovery illustrate a diverse set of opportunities for investors. With prices across the board at lower levels, this could be an ideal time to diversify portfolios with high-quality wines from these regions, anticipating long-term growth as the market stabilises.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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Q3 2024 Fine Wine Report

The fine wine market continued its downward trend throughout Q3 2024, but there are reasons for cautious optimism. Our Q3 2024 Fine Wine Report highlights the main themes that shaped the market, from regional performance to specific brand successes, and provides an outlook for the remainder of the year.

Executive summary

  • Since October 2022, fine wine prices have been in consistent decline, with a 4% drop on average in Q3 2024.
  • Bordeaux experienced the steepest fall at 4.4%, while Champagne defied the trend with a modest 0.4% increase last quarter.
  • Steady demand for fine wine continues to suggest a price recovery on the horizon.
  • Certain brands have outperformed the market, including Ruinart, Taittinger, and Château de Beaucastel.
  • Krug Vintage Brut 2004 has been the best-performing wine year-to-date, up 21.6%.
  • This year has already seen several broken auction records, including for high-profile Burgundy, which points to continued interest in fine wine.
  • Nine wines received perfect 100-point scores by Jane Anson in her recent Bordeaux 2009 and 2010 vintage retrospective.
  • France’s 2024 harvest is projected to be down 22% compared to last year, and 15% below the five-year average.
  • Looking ahead to Q4 2024, the market continues to present attractive buying opportunities, especially for investors with a long-term vision.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Global market recovery driven by rate cuts

In Q3 2024, global markets showed signs of recovery, bolstered by central banks pivoting towards interest rate cuts as inflation began to ease. Following turbulence in early August, stock markets rebounded, setting new records by the end of the quarter. Central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB), and the Bank of England, all shifted their focus from inflation control to stimulating economic growth. The Fed’s September rate cut – the first since 2020 – catalysed a surge in US stocks, and similar moves from other central banks supported this global rebound. Despite lingering concerns about a potential US recession and Japanese market volatility, the overall global outlook improved, with lower rates and better economic conditions presenting growth opportunities.

Fine wine prices fall 4% in Q3

In contrast to the broader economic recovery, the fine wine market remained bearish, with a 4% average drop in prices in Q3. The Liv-ex 100 index saw its steepest fall of the year, down 1.7% in October. Bordeaux led the decline, with a 4.4% drop, although there was a slight uptick in Sauternes prices. Champagne offered a bright spot, rising 0.4% last quarter, with brands like Dom Ruinart Blanc de Blancs and Taittinger posting strong returns (over 30% in the last six months). This mixed performance underscores the complexity of the fine wine market, where price movements can vary widely by region and brand.

New fine wine releases beyond Bordeaux

As always, autumn brought the highly anticipated La Place de Bordeaux campaign, with major New World brands such as Almaviva, Seña, and Penfolds Grange releasing their latest vintages. However, this year’s campaign fell flat, with many new releases priced similarly to last year, despite older vintages showing better value and investment potential due to price corrections. Investors may find more favourable opportunities in back vintages that boast higher critic scores at lower prices.

Regional fine wine performance in Q3

The fine wine market has now returned to its 2021 levels, with prices declining across most regions in Q3 2024, except for Champagne, which recorded a modest 0.4% increase.

Bordeaux experienced the most significant drop, falling 4.4%, driven down primarily by the Second Wine 50 index, which plunged 6.6%, and the Right Bank 50 index, down 4.6%. Many wines from the 2019 vintage, which had previously appreciated in value, have now returned to their original release prices.

Despite this trend, Bordeaux is enjoying steady market demand, taking over a third of the market by value. Moreover, Jane Anson recently revisited the 2009 and 2010 vintages, awarding nine wines 100 points – a move likely to stimulate demand and prices.

When it comes to other regions, Italy and Burgundy also saw a 2% drop in Q3. The Rhône was somewhat more resilient, experiencing a smaller decrease of 0.8%.

The best-performing wines

While the broader market continues to face challenges, certain wines buck the trend, reinforcing the importance of strategic, brand-specific investment decisions.

In Q3 2024, some brands have delivered exceptional returns. The table below showcases the best-performing wines year-to-date, with regions like Tuscany and the Rhône dominating the list.

Leading the pack is Krug 2004, which saw an impressive rise of 21.6%, reflecting the continued strength of Champagne in the investment market. Earlier this year, Antonio Galloni (Vinous) rescored the wine, giving it 98 points. He described it as a ‘gorgeous Champagne that is just beginning to enter its first plateau of maturity’.

Close behind is Domaine du Pégau’s Châteauneuf-du-Pape Cuvée Réservée 2012, which appreciated by 21.2%. Sassicaia 2011 follows with a 21% increase, while its 2015 vintage takes the tenth spot, with a 12.1% rise.

Vega Sicilia Único also features twice with its 2010 and 2011 vintages, demonstrating the increased demand for Spanish wines.

Wines from Bordeaux and the Rhône also make the list, showcasing the diversity of the wine investment market.

The most expensive wines in 2024

The world’s most expensive wines in 2024 are overwhelmingly dominated by Burgundy. At the top of the list is Domaine de la Romanée-Conti’s Romanée-Conti Grand Cru, with an average price of £221,233 per case. Following closely is Domaine d’Auvenay Chevalier-Montrachet Grand Cru, priced at £204,328.

Other notable entries include:

  • Domaine d’Auvenay, Criots-Bâtard-Montrachet Grand Cru at £141,979.
  • Liber Pater, from Bordeaux, priced at £140,009, stands out as the only non-Burgundy wine in the list.
  • Domaine Leroy, Richebourg Grand Cru, valued at £120,007, further establishes Burgundy’s dominance as a highly collectible wine region.

Burgundy producers such as Domaine Leroy and Domaine d’Auvenay appear multiple times on the list. The trend reflects how scarcity, reputation, and critical acclaim are key drivers of value, especially as the market for fine wine becomes increasingly selective in uncertain economic times.

Further entries include:

  • Domaine Leroy, Romanée-Saint-Vivant Grand Cru at £103,844.
  • Domaine d’Auvenay, Mazis-Chambertin Grand Cru at £93,818.
  • Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, Montrachet Grand Cru at £89,529.
  • Domaine Leroy, Corton-Charlemagne Grand Cru at £81,827.
  • Domaine d’Auvenay, Meursault Premier Cru, Les Gouttes d’Or at £80,715.

This dominance by Burgundy reflects its unmatched status in the global wine market, where scarcity and consistent quality continue to command premium prices.

For more information, visit Wine Track.

Fine wine news

The autumn La Place de Bordeaux release campaign

The 2024 La Place de Bordeaux campaign saw the latest releases from Masseto, Solaia, Seña, Penfolds Grange and many more. However, many of these new vintages were released at the same or slightly higher price levels as last year, despite a general market decline, making them less attractive from an investment perspective.

For instance, Masseto 2021 received a perfect 100-point score from Antonio Galloni but was priced at the same level as last year, with back vintages such as 2017, 2018 and 2019 offering better value. Meanwhile, the 100-point Solaia 2021 was released at a 15.7% premium on the 2020 vintage.

From Chile, the 2022 Seña and Viñedo Chadwick were offered at last year’s prices, but older, higher-scoring vintages such as Seña 2019 and Viñedo Chadwick 2021 remain more affordable. Penfolds Grange 2020 saw a small price increase, yet back vintages like the 100-point 2013 offer greater investment potential. Overall, back vintages, with comparable or higher critic scores, often provide better value for investors looking to capitalise on the current market dip.

Historically low yields in France

The 2024 French wine harvest is projected to be one of the smallest in recent history, with regions like Burgundy and Bordeaux experiencing significant declines due to adverse weather conditions.

Burgundy’s output is projected to be down by 25% compared to 2023, while Bordeaux is facing a 10% drop, resulting in the region’s lowest production volume since 2017.

Historically, such scarcity in Burgundy has driven secondary market price increases, as collectors rush to secure rare wines. However, the economic downturn may temper this trend, making selectivity key for investors. In Bordeaux, while smaller harvests often support price stability for premium wines, the broader market conditions may limit price recoveries, especially for mid-tier labels.

Q4 2024 market outlook

The consistent decline in fine wine prices leaves many wondering when the market will stabilise. Despite this downward trend, several factors point toward potential recovery and attractive buying opportunities in Q4.

Firstly, strong demand for select wines persists, particularly for brands that continue to outperform the market. This year has already seen several broken auction records, including for high-profile Burgundy, which points to continued interest in fine wine.

While the market as a whole is facing challenges, strategic investment in the right wines can still yield impressive returns. Investors looking to capitalise on market lows should consider brands which have consistently shown growth despite broader regional declines.

The global economic backdrop also provides reasons for optimism. Central banks, led by the US Federal Reserve, have shifted towards interest rate cuts which could stimulate further investment in alternative assets like fine wine.

In terms of regional performance, the ongoing declines in key regions may start to stabilise, as already seen in Champagne. Despite a 4.4% drop in Q3, Bordeaux remains a dominant player with one-third of the market share by value. With critics such as Jane Anson awarding nine perfect 100-point scores to Bordeaux wines from the 2009 and 2010 vintages, we may see renewed interest in classic vintages.

In summary, Q4 2024 offers a unique window of opportunity for long-term investors. With the current decline, strategic investments in high-performing brands and undervalued vintages could offer substantial returns on the road to recovery.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q2 2024 Fine Wine Report

Chateau Leoville Las Cases

Our Q2 2024 report has now been released. The report examines the macroeconomic factors affecting fine wine prices, the Bordeaux 2023 En Primeur campaign, the best-performing wines, industry news and an outlook for Q3.

Executive summary

  • The second quarter built on the successes of the first, with risk assets delivering another set of positive returns to investors.
  • Global equity markets were buoyed by resilient economic growth and rising investor confidence.
  • UK investment sentiment also improved after a landslide election win for the new Labour government.
  • The fine wine market remains a buyers’ market, with Burgundy and Champagne priced down the most in Q2. 
  • Bordeaux back vintages enjoyed rising demand and prices, following the 2023 En Primeur campaign.
  • The best-performing wine in Q2 was the 100-point Château Léoville Las Cases 2016.
  • This year’s En Primeur yielded mixed results with few great successes despite the general price cuts. 
  • Some of the best releases included the First Growths and their second wines, Beychevelle, and Cheval Blanc.
  • In other news, Sotheby’s Burgundy sale smashed wine auction records and Marchesi Antinori took full ownership of the Washington State winery Col Solare.
  • In buying opportunities, Latour 2009 offers perfect scores at the best possible price on the market.
  • Looking ahead, we anticipate the autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign following a short summer lull.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Economic resilience boasts global markets

The second quarter delivered positive results for global equity markets which were buoyed by resilient economic growth, and supportive earnings and sales expectations. This strong economic foundation has allowed equities to advance, even as stubborn inflation poses potential challenges. Bond markets also appeared attractive; however, the same economic resilience that benefitted equities introduced near-term risks for fixed-income investments.

UK investment sentiment also improved following a landslide election victory for the new Labour government. The British pound, which has been the strongest major currency against the dollar this year, nudged higher when the scale of Labour’s victory became clear. The UK-focused FTSE 250 share index, which has outperformed the more global FTSE 100 year-to-date, rose to its highest level since April 2022, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the country’s economic prospects.

Fine wine – a buyer’s market

Meanwhile, fine wine prices continued to decline. The Liv-ex 1000 index, the broadest measure of the market, is currently at the level it was in August 2021 (388.28). Despite falling prices, trade volumes are higher than this time last year, suggesting that buyers are seizing opportunities to acquire wines at more favourable prices. Moreover, some of the best-performing wines this quarter rose as much as 20% in value. There are opportunities to be had if one follows closely.

En Primeur and Bordeaux’s falling prices

Some of these opportunities arose during the 2023 Bordeaux En Primeur campaign. The best new releases offered a compelling mix of quality and value, with a significant potential for future price appreciation. These included Beychevelle, Cheval Blanc, and the First Growths’ Grand vins and second wines – still, few and far between given the scale of the campaign. In the secondary market, Bordeaux prices fell 1.8% in the second quarter, making back vintages even more attractive. The only index that rose in value as the campaign concluded was the Bordeaux Legends 40 – exceptional older vintages that enjoyed rising demand. 

Regional fine wine performance

Liv-ex regional indices performance chart

As the market’s focus shifted to new releases, prices in the secondary market fell in Q2. The broadest measure, the Liv-ex 1000 index, dipped 2.4%. It was led lower by the Burgundy 150 (-3.9%) and the Champagne 50 (-3.7%). The Rest of the World 60 and the Italy 100 indices experienced the smallest declines of 1.1% and 1.2% respectively.

As the chart above shows, Italy has shown relative resilience in the current bearish market. Despite broader market uncertainties, some Italian brands have even recorded positive movement in the last six months as high as 15%.

In June, the Bordeaux Legends 40 index recorded its first positive movement in almost a year, rising 0.3%. The index tracks the performance of a selection of 40 Bordeaux wines from exceptional older vintages (from 1989 onwards). As we have previously highlighted, older vintages can often be a lucrative investment prospect, offering a combination of quality, value and bottle age. 

The best-performing wines in Q2

Best performing wines Q2 2024

The best-performing wines this quarter were a diverse mix from Bordeaux, Burgundy, Piedmont, the Rhone and Champagne. Leading the charge was the 100-point (WA) Château Léoville Las Cases 2016, with an impressive 19.4% increase. William Kelley described it as ‘one of the high points of this great vintage’. Close behind was Château Angélus 2019, which saw a 19.1% rise.

From Burgundy, Domaine Bonneau du Martray Corton-Charlemagne Grand Cru 2020 came third, up 15.2%. Other wines from the region that rose in value included Domaine de la Romanée-Conti La Tache Grand Cru 2017 and Coche-Dury Meursault 2018. 

Dom Pérignon Rosé 2009 also made the rankings, with a 9.6% rise this past quarter. On average, prices for the wine have risen 83% in the last decade.

Fine wine news

Sotheby’s Burgundy sale smashes records

On July 5, 2024, Sotheby’s conducted its first exclusive single-owner Burgundy sale, breaking eight world records and achieving €2 million ($2.1 million). Held in the historic Caves du Couvent des Cordeliers in Beaune, the auction featured over 175 lots from Taiwanese entrepreneur Pierre Chen’s cellar.

Top highlights included six bottles of Chevalier Montrachet d’Auvenay 2009, which fetched €106,250 (£89,915), and 12 bottles of Domaine Armand Rousseau Chambertin Clos de Bèze 1990, sold for €100,000 (£84,630). Among the record-setting sales were three bottles of 2005 DRC Échezeaux at €10,000 per bottle and a magnum of 2005 DRC La Tâche at €35,000.

Last month, Chen’s collection of fine and rare Champagne achieved €1.35 million (£1.14 million) at Sotheby’s in Paris, with notable sales including three magnums of Salon Le Mesnil Blanc de Blancs 1990 for €25,000 (£19,600) and a magnum of Dom Pérignon P3 1966 for €23,750 (£20,100), both setting new records.

Sotheby’s expects Chen’s collection to fetch a record $50 million (£39.2 million) by the series’ end, with upcoming auctions in New York and Hong Kong.

Antinori expands into Washington

Marchesi Antinori, one of Italy’s oldest family-owned fine wine producers, has taken full ownership of the Washington State winery Col Solare, which was established as a joint venture in 1995 with Ste. Michelle Wine Estate (SMWE). The acquisition includes the winery, the estate vineyard spanning 12 hectares planted primarily with Cabernet Sauvignon, and the brand, which produces around 5,000 bottles annually. Piero Antinori, president of Marchesi Antinori, expressed admiration for Red Mountain AVA’s unique terroir, emphasising the challenge and excitement of producing high-quality Washington red wines.

Juan Muñoz-Oca, COO of Antinori USA, highlighted the significance of this acquisition, reflecting Washington’s growing reputation for luxury wines. This move follows Antinori’s 2022 acquisition of Napa’s Stag’s Leap Wine Cellars, transitioning from a 15% to 100% stake after SMWE was sold to Sycamore Partners for $1.2 billion in 2021. Besides Stag’s Leap, Antinori owns Antica, a 200-hectare estate in Napa Valley, as part of their expansion in the states.

Buying opportunities: Latour 2009

Chateau Latour 2009 wine prices

Château Latour 2009 currently represents a combination of perfect scores and perfect timing. The highest-scoring wine ever at the annual Southwold tasting, Latour 2009 is now at the best price it has been in almost a decade. 

The recipient of no less than five perfect scores from Robert Parker, Lisa Perrotti-Brown MW, Jeff Leve, James Suckling, and Falstaff, Latour 2009 is a stand-out wine among critics. Hailed by Robert Parker as the greatest vintage he’d ever tasted, more recently Neal Martin described it as ‘outstanding’ and a ‘Latour firing on all cylinders’.

Latour is also the highest-scoring 2009 Bordeaux on Cellar Tracker, where it’s also the second-highest-scoring wine of the entire decade, beaten only by Petrus 2000 at more than six times the price.

In terms of price performance, Latour has outperformed all the other First Growths over one, two and five years. 

The 2009 vintage, which is currently available at one of the lowest price points ever, offers value among other prime vintages. Its scores match the 1982 and 1961, both of which come at a significant premium.

It is more affordable than the 2010 as well as the 2000 and 1990 vintages but with superior scores than all of them. The 2009 Latour is a hidden gem that seems particularly good to seek out now.

Outlook for Q3

With the onset of the summer lull, the market is expected to experience a temporary slowdown as usual. Despite this seasonal dip, numerous opportunities remain available. The market for collectibles, including fine wine, is gaining popularity among new investors looking for diversity and uncorrelated market returns.  

Over the next two months, the fine wine market will shift its focus to wines from around the globe as the autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign takes centre stage. Esteemed producers such as Almaviva, Opus One, Vérité, Seña, Catena Zapata, Masseto, and Solaia will unveil their latest vintages on the international stage, accompanied by numerous other exciting releases.

As the campaign expands to include New World wines, the category is expected to see a surge in secondary market demand, potentially driving up prices. We will continue to spotlight the best investment opportunities where exceptional quality and brand prestige meet attractive pricing.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report

Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report

Our Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report has now been released. The report offers a comprehensive overview of the fine wine market in the last quarter, including the impact of interest rates and geopolitical risks, the best-performing wines and regions, and analysis on the rising popularity of non-vintage Champagne as an investment.

Report highlights:

  • Mainstream markets rallied in Q1 2024, driven by resilient economic growth and expectations for future interest rate cuts by central banks.
  • The first green shoots started to appear in the fine wine market towards the end of Q1.
  • Fine wine prices (Liv-ex 100 index) experienced a smaller decline of 1% in Q1, compared to a fall of 4.2% in Q4 2023.
  • Italian wine enjoyed rising demand amid a flurry of new releases, including the 100-point Sassicaia 2021.
  • A number of Champagne labels that experienced consistent declines last year have started to recover, including Dom Pérignon, Salon Le Mesnil, and Pol Roger.
  • The Burgundy 2022 En Primeur campaign delivered high quality and quantity, with about 10% of producers reducing pricing year-on-year due to the challenging market environment.
  • China lifted tariffs on Australian wine after more than three years.
  • Critics and trade are now preparing for the 2023 Bordeaux En Primeur campaign, which will dominate the news in Q2 2024.

Click below to download your free copy of our quarterly investment report.

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Inside Champagne’s wine investment market

  • Champagne has enjoyed rising popularity as an investment in recent years, which has been reflected in its price performance.
  • The Liv-ex Champagne 50 index has considerably outperformed industry benchmarks.
  • While quality is important, brands and age are the most significant drivers behind its performance.

Champagne has enjoyed rising popularity as an investment in recent years, which has been reflected in its price performance. The Liv-ex Champagne 50 index, which tracks some of the most sought-after wines including Krug Vintage Brut, Bollinger La Grande Année, Dom Pérignon, Louis Roederer Cristal, and Taittinger Comtes de Champagne among others, has significantly outperformed global benchmarks. Over the last decade, the Champagne 50 index is up 108.9%, compared to 41.4% for the Liv-ex 100 and 64.3% for the broader Liv-ex 1000 index.

These numbers clearly demonstrate that Champagne is a smart addition to any diversified investment portfolio and should no longer be considered just a celebratory indulgence.

Champagne’s price performance

Much of Champagne’s remarkable performance happened between mid-2020 and the end of 2022, when the index appreciated 90.9% (May 2020 – October 2022). This period was marked by great uncertainty, from the Covid-19 pandemic, through war in Ukraine, rising inflation and recession. As the ultimate ‘luxury good’ in the fine wine market, Champagne performed particularly well and its rising prices did little to temper demand.

Since then, prices have calmed but demand remains strong. Champagne dominated the list of the top-traded wines on Liv-ex in 2023, with Louis Roederer Cristal 2015 leading the value rankings, and Dom Pérignon 2013 – by volume.

Champagne vs fine wine indices

Supply and demand dynamics

Demand for Champagne has led to increases in its overall production from 50 million bottles in the 1970s to over 300 million today. Of these, Moët & Chandon contributes over 30 million bottles per year, making it the world’s largest Champagne producer.

Despite relatively healthy production volumes, the availability of vintage Champagne is limited (due to its staggering consumption market, which includes hospitality and entertainment industry buyers). This further enhances its desirability as an investment.

As it ages, its quality improves; as it is consumed, its supply decreases. This dynamic brings about an inverse supply curve – the ideal scenario for investors.

Smaller initial costs are another positive, as Champagne offers both new and experienced investors relative affordability. Although prices have moved considerably in recent years, the average case of top Champagne costs less than a case of the top wines of Bordeaux, Burgundy, California or Italy. Meanwhile, the region offers better returns.

What makes Champagne investment unique

The fine wine market has long been influenced by major critics. While critics do play a part in the evolution of Champagne prices, brands and age have proven to be more significant performance drivers.

Champagne houses that have an established and historically proven identity are already ahead of the game; however, endorsements from sources such as royal weddings, celebrities and high-visibility restaurants have paved the way for emerging cuvées.

Champagne is a more direct market than ones like Bordeaux as there are no négociants; the structure in Champagne is such that over 90% of producers are now also distributors.

Thanks to its artisanal qualities, ‘grower Champagne’ is a newly expanding sector (small estates where the brand identity is centred around the vigneron themselves). Leading this group are the likes of Jacques Selosse, Egly-Ouriet and Ulysse Collin.

An added benefit to Champagne’s appeal is its drinkability. If an investor simply cannot resist popping the cork, Champagne can be readily consumed much earlier than premium investment wines, further diminishing supply and driving prices up.

To find out more about the investment market for Champagne, read the full report here.

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Navigating the 2023 fine wine market: the rise of Bordeaux amid global risk aversion

  • 2023 marks a notable slowdown in the fine wine market, with price corrections shadowing the bullish trends of previous years.
  • Burgundy and Champagne which led the market to its peak in 2022 are suffering the most.
  • Bordeaux has become a beacon for investors, gaining renewed interest due to its stability and reliability.

As the 2023 Liv-ex Power 100 unveils, a significant shift is evident in the fine wine market. This year marks a notable slowdown, with price corrections shadowing the bullish trends of previous years. Amidst this changing landscape, Bordeaux emerges as a beacon for investors, gaining renewed interest due to its stability and reliability. This article delves into the dynamics of the 2023 fine wine market, highlighting the rise of Bordeaux against a backdrop of global risk aversion.

Understanding the 2023 market slowdown

The fine wine market in 2023 has departed from the spirited activity of past years. After prices across many regions reached stellar levels in 2022, 2023 was a year of corrections. Trade by value and volume also fell, according to the 2023 Liv-ex Power 100 report. Despite more wine labels being traded, the overall number of individual wines traded (on a vintage level) has seen a decrease. This trend points towards a strategic shift towards higher quality wine investments, reflecting a more discerning market behaviour.

The softening of the fine wine market in 2023 can be attributed to a range of factors. Economic uncertainties and global financial market fluctuations have instilled a sense of risk aversion among investors. Inflationary pressures and rising interest rates have also played a role, impacting disposable incomes and investment capabilities. This economic climate has prompted a more cautious approach in luxury investments like fine wine. Additionally, changing consumer behaviours and preferences, along with geopolitical tensions and trade disputes, have further contributed to the market’s softening.

Regional patterns in 2023

In 2023, regional patterns in the wine market have become more pronounced. Burgundy and Champagne, which previously led the market to its peak, are now facing significant corrections. Burgundy has seen a reduction in its presence in the Power 100, while the Burgundy 150 index has fallen 15.4% year-on-year. Similarly, Champagne’s market has also softened, with the Champagne 50 index dipping 19.4%.

The rankings reveal a trend towards stability, liquidity, and relative value, which are prominently found in Bordeaux. This region has emerged as a beacon of resilience in the fine wine market, adding five wines to the Power 100 and benefiting from its reputation for consistent quality and reliable investment.

Conversely, California, while losing five wines in the ranking, managed to maintain its trade share, indicating a selective but sustained interest in its wines. This shift reflects a broader market inclination towards established regions and brands, suggesting a cautious approach by collectors and investors in a turbulent market.

As market dynamics evolve, regions like Italy and Spain are gaining traction, with brands like Vietti and Dominio de Pingus showing positive growth, further diversifying the landscape of investment-worthy wines. These regions are increasingly seen as offering valuable investment-worthy wines, attracting attention for their unique qualities and potential for growth.

The most powerful brands of 2023

In the realm of individual brands, certain names have demonstrated remarkable resilience and adaptability amidst the market downturn. Bordeaux’s Château Climens, for instance, has made an impressive leap in the rankings, rising from 353rd place in 2022 to 98th this year. This is a testament to its successful brand repositioning under new ownership.

Similarly, in California, brands like Opus One and Screaming Eagle continue to hold strong positions. Opus One, in particular, has risen dramatically, from 82nd in 2022 to 4th this year, signifying continued interest in top-tier wines from this region despite broader market challenges.

Despite facing a pullback Burgundy still has powerful players like Kei Shiogai, which took the top spot in terms of price performance, with its Market Price rising 185.7% year-on-year.

The strength of these brands lies not just in their historical significance or quality but also in their ability to retain high liquidity and trading volumes, essential in a market that is increasingly focusing on safer investments. This trend suggests that while the market is retracting in some areas, there remains a robust demand for wines that represent the pinnacle of their respective regions.

Adapting to the evolving wine market dynamics

As we navigate through the evolving dynamics of the fine wine market, it is clear that understanding and adapting to these changes is crucial for future investing. The trends of 2023, from the renewed interest in Bordeaux and the resilience of powerful brands, provide valuable insights into the market’s direction.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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Examining the investment potential of Salon 2013 amid heightened demand

  • Salon Le Mesnil Blanc de Blancs 2013 has enjoyed heightened demand shortly after release.
  • The 2013 offers good value compared to similarly scored back vintages, which come at a significant price premium.
  • Salon has delivered higher returns (71%) than the Champagne 50 index (62.8%) over the last five years.

The latest release from Champagne house Salon has already been met with heightened demand. Salon Le Mesnil Blanc de Blancs 2013 came to the market at the end of September, and featured among the most traded wines on Liv-ex shortly after. Below we examine the reasons behind this increased interest and the wine’s investment potential.

The ‘magnificent’ 2013 Salon release

The 2013 was the first vintage release following two unusual releases: the 2012 which the Champagne house initially said they would not offer, and the 2008 of which only 8,000 magnum bottles were released (about 1/3 of their normal production).

The wine received 99-points from Antonio Galloni (Vinous), who declared it ‘the most powerful, dense young Salon I have ever tasted’. The critic further noted: ‘Champagne of mind-bending complexity, the 2013 possesses tremendous mid-palate intensity and power from the very first taste’.

Meanwhile, the Wine Advocate’s Yohan Castaing awarded the wine 97-points, saying that 2013 is ‘more complex and incisive than the 2002 and exhibits similar power to the 2012 at this early stage’.

In terms of value, the 2013 stands out among other Salon vintages available in the market today. The only higher-scoring scoring wine is the 2008 at nearly twice the price. Other similarly scored back vintages such as the 1996, 1995, and 1990 also come at a significant premium to the 2013.

Salon brand performance

Perhaps the most coveted of all Champagne brands, Salon is certainly one of the rarest. Only around 50,000-60,000 bottles are made in most years, and fewer than 50 vintages in the last 100 years.

Salon is a wine defined by its singularity, representing a single vintage expression from one grape and one village. The wine was originally conceived as a private label for the consumption of its founder Eugène-Aimé Salon at a time when the making of Champagne was characterised by blending.

Salon’s exclusivity has been reflected in its investment performance. The wine has delivered higher returns (71%) than the Champagne 50 index (62.8%) over the last five years.

Even in the current climate that has seen prices fall across the board, Salon has fared better than average, down 7% compared to a 12.9% decrease for the broader index, which includes the likes of Krug and Cristal.

The long-term prospects for a wine as rare and highly regarded as Salon are more than promising. There is significant space for Champagne prices to rise in the medium term, and a wine like Salon is especially well placed to benefit.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Investment opportunities in LVMH Champagnes

  • Recent LVMH Champagne releases offer a combination of high quality and relative value for money.
  • Dom Pérignon 2013 has been the most in-demand wine so far this year.
  • The current market environment has created plenty of Champagne buying opportunities, among which Krug 2006 stands out.

A name synonymous with luxury and quality, Louis Vuitton Moët Hennessy’s (LVMH) wines have become mainstays of any serious wine investment portfolio. Owners of iconic brands like Krug, Dom Pérignon, Ruinart, Veuve Clicquot and Ace of Spades, LVMH has set unparalleled standards in Champagne production.

Not only have their wines delivered quality, as affirmed by critic scores, but they have brought greater liquidity to the Champagne market. A common theme uniting some of their recent releases is the outstanding value they offer compared to back vintages.

Dom Pérignon 2013 – the most wanted wine this year

Dom Pérignon 2013 is the latest release from the most in-demand Champagne brand. The wine boasts 95+ points from the Wine Advocate’s William Kelley, who called it ‘a lovely wine, defined by the long, cool growing season’.

The remarkable value it offers – as the most affordable Dom Pérignon vintage in the market today – has led it to become the most traded wine by both value and volume this year. The wine’s price has fallen slightly since release (-7.1%), in line with the recent reconciliation in Champagne prices. The Champagne 50 index has dipped 13.1% year-to-date.

However, the brand’s overall trajectory is upwards, with Dom Pérignon prices rising 64% on average in the last five years, and 133% over the last decade, making it an opportune time to buy.

Latest Krug Grande Cuvée editions

The crowning jewel of LVMH, Champagne house Krug, also introduced its latest Grande Cuvée earlier this year. The 171st edition, blended meticulously from 30 different vintages dating back to 2000, represents the lowest-priced Krug GC.

Magnums of the 168th edition are also new to the market, with the hallowed 2012 as the base vintage. Older releases of such magnums are hard to find and command a hefty premium, once again underlining the value to be had here.

Opportunities in Krug 

The recent decline in Champagne prices has created buying opportunities for some of the top names. The latest Krug vintage, the 2008, has become more affordable after dipping 29.0% year-to-date. The wine received 97-points from Antonio Galloni (Vinous) who described it as a ‘nervy, electrifying Champagne, the likes of which has not emerged from Krug’s cellars since the magical 1996’.

However, the 2006 presents an even better investment opportunity. While it is the lowest-priced Krug vintage, its scores align with pricier alternatives such as 2002. The 2006 boasts 96-points from Neal Martin, 97-points from Galloni and 98-points from Kelley, making its value proposition even more evident.

Krug prices have risen 71% on average in the last five years (see more on Wine Track).

Buyers can find plenty of opportunities in LVMH’s Champagnes. Despite the recent dip in the Champagne market, the long-term trajectory of these illustrious brands indicates a steady and impressive rise. The value on offer in some of the most recent offerings makes them an even more lucrative acquisition.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

 

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Four key market trends from the 2023 Liv-ex Classification

  • The fine wine market is diversifying, with Argentina and Switzerland making new entries in the 2023 Liv-ex Classification.
  • Bordeaux’s influence is waning, now accounting for less than 30% of wines in the classification, while other regions like Champagne rise in prominence.
  • Internal shifts in Burgundy indicate changing buying preferences, driven by the search for value and stock.

The Liv-ex Classification is a ranking of the world’s leading fine wine labels, based solely on their price. The classification takes into account minimum levels of activity and number of vintages traded over one year to present a more accurate picture of the market today. Like the 1855 Bordeaux Classification, the wines are divided into five tiers (price bands).

The 2023 edition featured 296 wines from nine countries. It presented a broad overview of the state of the secondary market – what is trading, and at what price levels. As the market continues to evolve, we break down four key trends from the 2023 Liv-ex classification.

Continued expansion in the world of fine wine

While the number of wines that qualified for inclusion in the 2023 rankings was lower than in the previous 2021 edition (349) due to changes in the methodology, the fine wine investment market has continued to diversify.

Argentina re-entered the rankings with five wines compared to having just one in 2019. Switzerland also joined the classification for the first time with Gantenbein Pinot Noir. Meanwhile, Spain and Chile saw 40% and 100% respective increases in the number of wines entering.

Regional diversity was particularly noticeable in the second-lowest priced 4th tier (£456-£637 per 12×75), which featured wines from France (24), Italy (16), Portugal (3), Australia (2), Spain (1), the USA (1), and Argentina (1).

Bordeaux among global competitors

It is no secret that Bordeaux’s dominance in the fine wine investment market has been fading since its glory days in 2009-2010. The continued broadening of the market has meant that the region has become one of many players, accounting for under 30% of the wines in the 2023 classification.

This has been further aided by its mediocre price performance relative to other regions. The Bordeaux 500 index has risen just 2.9% over the last two years, compared to a 19% move for its parental Liv-ex 1000 index, and a 36.7% increase for Champagne, which has been the best performer. All considered, Liv-ex wrote that ‘this pattern may well continue in future editions’ as new entrants challenge Bordeaux’s monopoly.

While Bordeaux’s influence wanes, other regions like Champagne are capturing the limelight.

The stellar rise of Champagne prices

Champagne has experienced a significant price surge in recent years, which has been reflected in the global rankings.

The majority of Champagnes (10) in the classification entered the first tier – wines priced above £3,641 per 12×75. The remaining 12 were split between tier 2 (£1,002-£3,640) and tier 3 (£638-£1,001). There were no Champagnes in tiers 4 and 5 (wines below £1,000 per case).

The most expensive Champagne was Jacques Selosse Millésime, with an average trade price of £32,516 per case, followed by Krug’s Clos d’Ambonnay (£30,426) and Clos du Mesnil (£17,509). The latter has risen 105% in value over the last five years.

On average, Champagne prices are up 62.8% during this time. They peaked in October 2022, following a year and a half of steady ascent. Since then, the Liv-ex Champagne 50 index has entered a corrective phase – but not significant enough to change the region’s trajectory. Sustained demand has been further buoying its performance.

Internal reshuffling in Burgundy

Burgundy, home to the most expensive wines in the rankings, has been undergoing an internal shift. New entrants have replaced many of the labels in previous editions, signalling changes in buying preferences.

Heightened demand for the region in 2022 led buyers to explore different wines within Burgundy, seeking both value and stock availability. Some of the new entrants in the 2023 classification include Prieuré Roch Ladoix Le Clou Rouge, Domaine Louis Jadot Gevrey-Chambertin Premier Cru Clos Saint-Jacques and Domaine Trapet Père et Fils Latricières-Chambertin Grand Cru.

Interestingly, while these new labels have entered the ranking, they seem to have replaced older, perhaps less active, Burgundy labels. Indeed, the overall proportion of Burgundy wines in the classification has remained steady, even as specific labels fall in and out of favour.

As new players emerge and existing ones adapt, one thing is clear: the fine wine market will continue to diversify and evolve, promising a fascinating future for everyone involved.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Champagne’s financial bubbles: rising costs spark concerns over affordability

Champagne
Champagne
  • Rising production costs and inflationary pressures in Champagne have raised concerns around its accessibility and its appeal to consumers.
  • Higher interest rates pose challenges for financing grape supplies, potentially eroding profit margins for smaller Champagne producers.
  • Champagne’s investment market has also been undergoing a similar shift, which has diminished its relative affordability compared to other fine wine regions.

Champagne has experienced a period of remarkable success, with a new record turnover set for the region in 2022, The Drinks Business highlighted in an article this week. However, leading figures in the region have noted that inflationary pressures and rising production costs could potentially make Champagne too expensive. This is a particular concern at the lower end of the market where fixed costs make up a larger proportion of the value of the wine and the need to keep prices affordable is more pronounced. But prices have come under pressure in the secondary market too, which has shifted its dynamics.

Champagne’s rising costs spark concerns among smaller producers

The escalating prices of grapes, along with increasing costs of labour, energy, packaging materials, and glass, have placed significant financial pressures on some Champagne houses. According to the article, the price of grapes from the 2022 harvest rose by as much as 10% compared to the much smaller 2021 vintage.

Rising interest rates, which were sitting below 1% two years ago and have now reached 3% and higher, have added extra pressure on financing grape supplies, potentially eroding profit margins of smaller producers. Meanwhile, various packaging materials, including paper, foils, cases, and glass, are up by around 40%.

The rising production costs may lead to further price increases for Champagne. This situation raises concerns around Champagne’s accessibility and its appeal to consumers. Some producers fear that higher prices could deter customers and potentially drive them towards alternative sparkling wines.

The shifting dynamics of Champagne’s investment market

The dynamics of Champagne’s secondary market have also been undergoing a clear shift. Previously, everything seemed to work in Champagne’s favour: abundant stock, strong distribution, consistent demand, and relative value compared to other fine wines.

Speculators have taken advantage of Champagne’s strengths, fuelled by a string of excellent vintages that increased demand. This has altered the traditional rules of the Champagne market, as speculators often hold onto their stock without consuming it, resulting in potential oversupply. The sustainability of rising prices in the face of a potential stock overhang can present a challenge.

Meanwhile, the rising price of Champagne has diminished its relative price advantage compared to other fine wine regions. Previously considered an affordable entry point into the world of fine wine, Champagne’s average prices now rival those of Bordeaux. For instance, the average case price of Krug Vintage Brut (£5,001) is higher than that of the First Growth Château Haut-Brion (£4,802).

Champagne vs Bordeaux

*Over the last five years, Champagne prices are up 76.8%, compared to 15.3% for Bordeaux. Champagne experienced stellar price performance between mid-2021 and the end of last year. Year-to-date, its index is down 9.1%.

Some producers have also displayed an ambition to raise prices. Notable brands, such as Philipponnat’s Clos des Goisses and Lanson’s Le Clos Lanson, have joined La Place de Bordeaux, signaling their intent to push their brands. Last year, François Pinault’s Artemis Group acquired a majority stake in Champagne Jacquesson. While this highlighted Champagne’s investment potential, it also indicated a departure from offering wines at entry-level prices.

All of this presents a complex landscape for Champagne’s future pricing and market positioning; particularly, for smaller more affordable producers, less able to spreads costs over multiple products and absorb the rising costs. Is the era of affordable Champagne over?

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.