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Top-performing fine wines of 2025 so far

Domaine Vieux Telegraphe
  • Several fine wine regions made gains over the last month, including Burgundy, California, and the Rhône.
  • ‘Off’ vintage Bordeaux wines have delivered the best returns so far in 2025. 
  • The spread between the top-performing fine wines (+18% on average) and the Liv-ex 1000’s broad decline (around -4.7%) highlights why selection is key.

The fine wine market remains subdued in 2025, continuing the recalibration that began in late 2022. Yet even in a broadly negative environment, certain wines have surged ahead (see H1 winners), delivering double-digit gains and reaffirming that in fine wine investment, selectivity defines success.

Signs of stability emerge across key fine wine regions

After more than two years of correction, there are tentative signs of stabilisation. Several regional indices posted positive month-on-month (MoM) movements in September, hinting that momentum could be shifting beneath the surface.

The Liv-ex Burgundy 150, California 50, Rhône 100 and Rest of the World 60 indices each rose 0.6–0.7% month-on-month. These modest upticks may not yet signal a broad recovery, but they do suggest that the worst of the selling pressure may be easing.

Still, the year-to-date picture remains negative across the board:

Wine region performance

Even as indices remain in the red, the range of outcomes within them has widened, revealing a growing divergence between outperformers and laggards. A select few wines have posted strong gains – a reminder that even in downturns, opportunities persist.

The top-performing wines so far this year

Best performing wines 2025 table

‘Off’ vintage Bordeaux leads the way

Despite the Bordeaux 500 Index falling 7.2% year-to-date, four of the ten best-performing wines come from the region, proving that careful vintage and producer selection remain key.

Château Les Carmes Haut-Brion 2013 stands out as the year’s star, up 38.2%. The 2013 vintage, long dismissed due to challenging weather conditions, has found new appreciation as enthusiasts and investors rediscover its finesse.

Over the past decade, prices for the brand have risen 148%. The 2014 and 2017 vintages are other attractive ‘off’ vintage alternatives. 

Les Carmes Haut-Brion fine wine performance

Château Beychevelle 2013 follows a similar line. Once overlooked, its reputation in Asian markets and steady critic support have lifted prices 22.2% year-to-date. Likewise, Château Canon 2014 and Château Smith Haut Lafitte 2014 each gained over 13%, highlighting a broader off-vintage resurgence in the region.

These gains suggest that Bordeaux’s correction phase may be creating attractive entry points for investors willing to look beyond the obvious trophy years.

The Rhône: The value region continues to deliver

The Rhône 100 remains the best-performing regional index of 2025, down just 2.7% year-to-date, with a recent 0.6% month-on-month gain adding to its reputation as a steady performer.

The standout is Vieux Télégraphe La Crau Rouge, appearing twice in the top five for its 2020 (26.1%) and 2021 (18.3%) vintages. The wine’s longevity, critical consistency, and relative affordability have made it a favourite among both collectors and long-term investors.

Vieux Telegraph wine performance vs Liv-Ex

Meanwhile, Paul Jaboulet Aîné’s Hermitage La Chapelle 2014 climbed 15.3%, underscoring the growing investor appetite for Rhône’s great single-vineyard wines. With smaller yields and limited back-vintage supply, demand has begun to outpace availability – a sign that the Rhône’s ‘quiet outperformance’ may continue into 2026.

Burgundy and Sauternes: Scarcity reigns supreme

Though the Burgundy 150 Index remains 5.8% down so far this year, its top producers continue to enjoy demand driven by scarcity.

Domaine de la Romanée-Conti (DRC) Grands Échezeaux Grand Cru 2021 rose 13.3%, proving once again that rarity trumps sentiment. Over the last decade, prices for the wine have risen on average 300%. 

Sauternes has also enjoyed a quiet renaissance so far this year, with Château Suduiraut 2016 making it into the top ten, with a 13% rise in value.  With prices still well below their historical highs, the sweet wines segment could offer contrarian upside heading into 2026.

California: Cult wines stay strong

Although the California 50 index is down 5.6% year-to-date, the 0.7% rise last month hints at price recovery. This year, despite softer global sentiment, high-end Napa continues to attract attention domestically and abroad (from Asia in particular). 

The region’s top label, Screaming Eagle Cabernet Sauvignon 2012, has advanced 12.4% year-to-date.  

As previously noted, Screaming Eagle remains the top traded US wine by value. With six perfect 100-point scores in just 13 vintages, it sits in a league of its own among American wines. Prices for the brand have risen more than 200% in the last 20 years, making it one of the most lucrative long-term holds in the fine wine market.

Divergence defines 2025

The spread between the top-performing wines (+18% on average) and the Liv-ex 1000’s broad decline (around -4.7%) reveals just how uneven performance has become.

Wines that combine scarcity, maturity, and reputation have emerged as the safest harbours, while those driven by hype or youth have seen steeper declines. Investors who focused on undervalued vintages (2013, 2014), critically reliable producers and globally recognised names (DRC, Screaming Eagle) have fared significantly better than the market at large.

Looking ahead: A market finding its floor

With multiple indices turning slightly positive month-on-month, the fine wine market may be approaching an inflexion point. The next phase of the cycle could favour those already positioned in high-quality, limited-production wines that have held steady during the downturn.

As 2025 enters its final stretch, it has become even clearer that scarcity, selectivity, and substance continue to outperform broader market sentiment.

For more on the fine wine market, read our Q3 2025 Fine Wine Report. 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q3 2025 Fine Wine Report

Q3 2025 Fine Wine Report

In our Q3 summary of the fine wine market we look at how the global economic landscape is shaping investment strategies, the road to recovery in fine wine, and the best-performing regions and wines so far this year. Read on for more on Lafleur’s recent classification withdrawal, the autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign, and other industry-defining trends.

Executive summary

  • Market backdrop strengthens: Global equities advanced in Q3 amid optimism for gradual rate cuts and corporate earnings. Improving sentiment and policy clarity provided a firmer foundation for alternative assets, including fine wine.
  • Fine wine stabilises: After two years of correction, the fine wine market showed early signs of recovery. The Liv-ex 100 posted its first quarterly gain since the downturn began.
  • Regional divergence narrows: Champagne, Rhône, and Italy led the quarter, while Bordeaux and Burgundy also showed improvements; evidence of a maturing market phase approaching equilibrium.
  • Selectivity drives returns: The best performing wines came from overlooked vintages, particularly Bordeaux 2013/2014, alongside Rhône’s consistent value names and global icons such as DRC and Screaming Eagle.
  • La Place campaign underwhelms: The autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign failed to shift market momentum. Demand remained subdued as release prices offered limited value versus back vintages in most cases.
  • News – Lafleur withdraws from Pomerol AOC: In a significant development, Château Lafleur announced its withdrawal from the Pomerol AOC, citing the need for greater viticultural flexibility in response to climate change. We explore how this might affect its market performance.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Market optimism sets the stage for fine wine stability

Global markets rallied through Q3 2025, driven by renewed optimism over growth and the prospect of gradual rate cuts, even as inflation proved sticky. US equities extended record highs, powered by strong earnings and ongoing enthusiasm for AI-related sectors, while Europe delivered mixed results amid weak German data but resilience in France and the UK. Gold surged as investors sought safety from lingering geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties linked to US tariff policy. Bond markets posted modest gains as central banks maintained a cautious stance. Overall, investor sentiment steadied following a turbulent first half, with risk appetite supported by policy optimism and improving economic data, creating a firmer backdrop for alternative assets, such as fine wine, heading into Q4.

Fine wine market starts to turn

Signs of stability continued to build across the fine wine market in Q3, reinforcing the gradual improvement noted in our Q2 Fine Wine Report. After two years of consistent decline, several regional indices turned positive over the quarter. Five of the Liv-ex regional indices rose in August and September, and for the first time in three years, the Liv-ex 50, which tracks the prices of the Bordeaux First Growths, experienced monthly growth.

Broader market measures also improved. The Liv-ex 100 rose 1.1% in September, and the bid:offer ratio – a key gauge of demand relative to supply – reached 0.70, its highest level since April 2023. This sustained rise suggests buyers are gradually re-entering the market, drawn by attractive pricing and renewed confidence following a prolonged correction. While it is too early to call a full recovery, these movements point to a maturing phase of the downturn where value-seeking activity replaces reactive selling. 

La Place autumn campaign fails to shift momentum

A key event of the third quarter every year is the La Place de Bordeaux autumn campaign, which saw the release of over 130 wines from around the globe in September. However, in 2025, the campaign did little to shift momentum. New releases that did not offer value in the context of back vintages available in the market largely fell short, and demand was tepid even for the traditionally most sought-after labels like Opus One, Masseto, Ornellaia, Solaia and Penfolds. Tariff uncertainty, oversupply and general market cautiousness were a structural drag. Unless prices and allocation discipline improve, the campaign is likely to continue to alienate buyers.

Mainstream markets lead Q3; fine wine re-emerges

Global equities posted solid gains in Q3, buoyed by growing optimism around prospective interest-rate cuts and resilient corporate earnings. While mainstream markets outpaced most alternatives, select segments of the alternative asset universe – particularly private credit and real assets – showed signs of resilience. Fine wine also staged a modest recovery.

The Liv-ex 100 Index, which tracks the performance of the most sought-after investment-grade wines, recorded its first quarterly gain since the market downturn began, rising 0.4% over the quarter. Losses in July and August were offset by a 1.1% rebound in September, signalling renewed confidence. The broader Liv-ex 1000 Index slipped 0.5% over Q3, though it, too, recovered 0.4% in September, suggesting stabilisation across a wider basket of fine wines.

Meanwhile, the First Growths Index – a barometer for Bordeaux’s top estates – rose 0.7% in September but remained 0.7% lower for the quarter overall, reflecting the uneven pace of recovery across regions and price tiers. Nonetheless, after several quarters of decline, Q3 marked a turning point where fine wine once again began to move in step with the broader risk-on sentiment seen in global markets.

Fine wine vs mainstream markets

Regional fine wine performance in Q3

Regional fine wine indices displayed a mixed picture in Q3, but the pace of decline eased, and several categories began to rise. The Liv-ex 1000 ended the quarter 0.6% lower, yet September brought a broad uptick across most regions – an encouraging sign after months of subdued activity.

Champagne held its ground best, maintaining near-flat performance over the quarter and retaining its position as one of the most resilient categories in 2025. The region benefited from increased demand from Asia and the US. The Rhone 100 also improved modestly, ending Q3 just above its Q2 level as buyers continued to favour regions offering relative value.

Italy (0.4%) and the Rest of the World 60 (0.3%) both saw small gains in Q3, hinting at early signs of renewed confidence beyond the traditional strongholds of Bordeaux and Burgundy, which fell in Q3.

Regional fine wine performance 2025

The Bordeaux 500 declined 1.7%, while the Bordeaux Legends 40 dipped just 0.6%, as mature Bordeaux continued to attract active buyers. However, of the six Bordeaux sub-indices, three went up in September – those measuring the performance of the First Growths, their Second Wines, and the top 100 wines from the Right Bank. Burgundy prices softened slightly, down 0.2%, but its top wines remained among the most robust performers since the 2022 peak.

The combination of improving sentiment, selective buying, and greater market stability suggests that regional fine wine prices may be nearing their floor, setting the stage for a more balanced close to 2025.

The best performing wines so far in 2025

Even in a broadly subdued market, 2025 has shown that fine wine remains a story of selectivity and scarcity. A handful of standout wines have delivered strong double-digit returns, proving that, even during correction phases, the right names and vintages can outperform significantly.

The spread between the top-performing fine wines (+18% on average) and the Liv-ex 1000’s broad decline year-to-date (around -4.7%) highlights exactly why selection is paramount.

Best performing wines 2025 table

Three key themes stand out among the top-performing wines in 2025 year-to-date:

  • ‘Off’ vintage Bordeaux is back in vogue

Wines from cooler or once-overlooked vintages – such as Bordeaux 2013 and 2014 – have led the pack. Collectors appear increasingly willing to reward finesse, drinkability, and scarcity over hype, with Château Les Carmes Haut-Brion (+38.2%) and Château Beychevelle (+22.2%) exemplifying this trend.

 

  • The Rhône’s value overdelivers

Rhône wines continued to prove their value credentials. Vieux Télégraphe’s 2020 and 2021 vintages and Jaboulet’s La Chapelle 2014 all posted impressive gains, driven by limited production, consistent critical endorsement, and comparatively attractive pricing.

 

  • Scarcity runs the market

At the very top end, scarcity remains the strongest currency. Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, and Screaming Eagle demonstrated that rare, blue-chip wines continue to attract capital regardless of broader sentiment.

 

Investors focusing on authenticity, producer pedigree, and under-appreciated vintages have outperformed the broader market, suggesting that quality and insight remain the keys to long-term success.

Q3 releases: Spotlight on Taittinger Comtes de Champagne 2014

Champagne has proven one of the most resilient categories in 2025, with the Champagne 50 Index outperforming most regional peers in Q3 (up 0.3%). The region is also enjoying renewed global demand as buyers take advantage of the attractive price levels post its 2022 peak. Within this steadying landscape, Champagne house Taittinger released the 2014 vintage of its Comtes de Champagne.

Awarded 97 points by both Yohan Castaing (The Wine Advocate) and Antonio Galloni (Vinous), it ranks among the highest-rated Comtes vintages ever – and Galloni notably compared it to the legendary 2008, which trades at a nearly 40% premium.

The 2014 release also carries historical significance. As the last truly cool-climate vintage in Champagne, it represents a stylistic milestone unlikely to be replicated amid the region’s ongoing warming trend – a factor that enhances its long-term collectability.

From an investment perspective, Comtes has been a quiet outperformer. The Taittinger Comtes de Champagne index has risen steadily over the past decade, outpacing both Dom Pérignon and Louis Roederer Cristal during the bull market of 2020–2023, and showing notable price stability throughout 2025.

‘Taittinger consistently stands out as one of the best values among top-tier Champagnes, frequently outperforming many other Grand Marques tête-de-cuvée offerings.’
 – Yohan Castaing, The Wine Advocate

Taittinger Champagne index

Market snapshot

  • 2014 Release price: £1,190 per 12×75
  • Critic scores: 97 points (Vinous, The Wine Advocate)
  • Ranking: 62nd in the 2024 Liv-ex Power 100 (up nine places year-on-year)

With exceptional critic consensus, proven secondary market demand, and a price point that remains competitive, the 2014 Taittinger Comtes de Champagne exemplifies why the region continues to attract buyers, whether for enjoyment or investment. 

Q3 Fine wine news: Lafleur withdraws from Pomerol AOC

In August, Château Lafleur confirmed that from the 2025 vintage onward, its wines will no longer carry the Pomerol AOC designation, instead being labeled Vin de France. The decision extends across the Guinaudeau family’s portfolio, including Les Pensées, Les Perrières, and Grand Village.

The estate cited the need for greater viticultural flexibility in the face of accelerating climate change. In correspondence with trade partners, the Guinaudeau family wrote: ‘Climate is changing fast and hard… We must think, readapt, act.’ 

The withdrawal allows Lafleur to implement adaptive farming methods not currently authorised under the appellation’s 1936 regulations, such as controlled irrigation, soil covering to reduce evaporation, canopy shading, and adjusted planting density. 

Lafleur’s independence enables it to act without the procedural delays that constrain larger or corporate-owned estates. The move is consistent with its reputation for long-term thinking and precision farming, aligning vineyard practice more closely with environmental reality.

Market context

Historically, classification changes in Bordeaux have affected perception and pricing. The 2012 promotions of Pavie and Angélus within Saint-Émilion’s hierarchy, for instance, coincided with rapid market repricing, even though the wines themselves did not change. Lafleur’s withdrawal represents the opposite: the relinquishment of an appellation name rather than an elevation within it.

Pavie vs angelus wine performance

In the short term, pricing impact is likely to be neutral, as Lafleur’s identity and market position are defined by brand equity rather than by appellation. The château’s production is limited, its critical reputation exceptional, and its collector base highly stable. Over time, however, label differentiation could influence liquidity and buyer psychology, particularly between the final ‘Pomerol’ labelled vintages and the inaugural ‘Vin de France’ release, both of which may acquire added significance in secondary trading.

Performance and relative strength

Over the past decade, Lafleur’s secondary market performance has outpaced that of both the First Growths and its Right Bank peers, Pavie and Angélus. Despite the broader Bordeaux market correction since 2022, Lafleur has retained a significant premium, perhaps reflecting scarcity and confidence in the Guinaudeau family’s brand.

Lafleur fine wine performance

Should the transition to ‘Vin de France’ labelling prove commercially seamless, the move could even enhance Lafleur’s individuality, reinforcing its cult status as a technically driven, terroir-first estate. 

All in all, Lafleur’s withdrawal prompts a broader structural question for Bordeaux: how the appellation system adapts to climate change through balancing regional reputation with innovation arising from global-warming challenges. For Lafleur, the decision appears evolutionary rather than disruptive, designed to preserve vineyard resilience and wine quality in a shifting climate.

If Lafleur’s performance continues to mirror its past decade – where brand identity outweighed classification – this change may ultimately serve to strengthen, rather than dilute, its market position.

Q3 summary and a look ahead to Q4

The third quarter of 2025 marked a transition phase for the fine wine market. With mainstream assets recovering and investor sentiment stabilising, fine wine has begun to re-establish its footing after a protracted two-year downturn. Indicators such as the rising bid:offer ratio and renewed regional resilience point toward a more balanced market environment heading into Q4. Price declines have largely moderated, and value-seeking capital is returning, particularly to regions offering long-term quality at attractive entry points.

Looking ahead, the key drivers of performance will continue to be scarcity, selectivity, and producer reputation. Top estates with disciplined production, strong brand equity, and adaptability are well-positioned to outperform as the market moves toward recovery. As Q3 showed, the correction appears to have reached maturity; the next phase is likely to be characterised by gradual re-pricing, focused accumulation, and renewed confidence in fine wine as a stable, long-term asset.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q1 2025 Fine Wine Report

It has been a volatile start to the year, with President Donald Trump’s return to the White House unsettling global markets. The fine wine market continued its measured slowdown, yet optimism persists: wealth managers increasingly view fine wine as a strategic diversifier, with demand expected to rise in 2025. Q1 saw a cautiously successful Burgundy 2023 En Primeur campaign and a mixed round of spring La Place releases – headlined by the highly anticipated, 6×100-point Latour 2016.

This report explores the key trends that shaped Q1, from geopolitical tensions and shifting market sentiment to the top-performing wines and regional highlights.

Executive summary

  • Mainstream markets faltered:
    At the time of writing, the S&P 500 has fallen 7.2% year-to-date, Nikkei 225 dropped 20.5%, and crude oil is down 13.2%.
  • Fine wine prices dipped:
    The Liv-ex 100 declined 2.0% in Q1 2025. The broader Liv-ex 1000 index is down 2.1%.
  • Regional performance:
    Bordeaux and Burgundy were the weakest regions in Q1, each falling 2.9%. Italy continued to show resilience, down just 0.4%.
  • Top performer:
    The best performing wine was Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Rouge 2021, which surged 22.7%.
  • La Place spring campaign:
    Expanded further with new entrants. The Latour 2016, backed by six 100-point scores, stood out as one of the most successful and talked-about releases.
  • Looking ahead:
    The Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign, the key fine wine event of Q2, faces heightened price pressure and buyer caution amid broader economic headwinds.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Escalating trade war tensions

One of the most disruptive forces in Q1 2025 has been the re-escalation of global trade tensions, largely stemming from President Donald Trump’s newly announced tariffs. The dramatic return to tariffs has created significant headwinds for global markets, and fine wine has not been immune.

Tariffs fluctuated rapidly. In early April, Trump declared 54% tariffs on Chinese goods imported into the US, a figure he raised to 125% just days later. In the same breath, he confirmed 20% tariffs on European goods, before abruptly announcing a 90-day pause on April 9th, during which tariffs for all non-Chinese countries were lowered to 10%. While this provided short-term relief to EU producers, the volatility has caused widespread uncertainty. 

One thing seems clear: the coming months will be pivotal, with trade developments likely to dictate sentiment and demand in key markets.

Markets under stress

In Q1 2025, mainstream financial markets experienced significant volatility, largely driven by the abrupt changes outlined above. The S&P 500 entered correction territory, declining over 10% from its February 19th high, before partially recovering in late March. The energy sector mirrored this instability. Oil prices plunged to a four-year low amid recession fears and heightened tariffs, only to rebound following announcements of tariff pauses. The rapid succession of policy shifts has led to a climate of uncertainty, making it difficult for investors to anticipate market movements.

Fine wine in Q1 2025

The fine wine market similarly felt the pressure. Prices fell 2% on average over the last three months. The broader Liv-ex 1000 index declined 2.1%, highlighting continued softness across the board. Regionally, Bordeaux and Burgundy were the weakest performers, each down 2.9%. Italy once again stood out for its resilience, declining 0.4%, thanks to consistent demand for top names and relatively stable pricing. The top performing wines in Q1 included Bruno Giacosa Barolo Falletto Vigna Le Rocche Riserva 2014 (72.1%), Château Léoville Barton 2021 (30.9%), and Château Rieussec 2019 (22.8%).

Pressure on En Primeur

The ongoing trade war comes at a particularly sensitive time for the Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign, which is about to launch. The system has been under increasing scrutiny in recent years, with release prices often failing to offer meaningful value versus back vintages. The threat of added import costs, even if delayed, puts further pressure on producers and négociants to rethink pricing strategies. With confidence in En Primeur already eroding, this year’s campaign faces a delicate balancing act: justify pricing amid broader market weakness, or risk alienating already-cautious buyers.

Regional fine wine performance in Q1

Since the start of the year, fine wine prices across major regions have fallen 2.1% on average. While some regions experienced temporary increases – the Rhône bounced back by 1.1% in March – the majority were in consistent decline. Burgundy and Bordeaux – the two dominant market forces – fell the most, down 2.9% in Q1. 

Despite falling prices, Liv-ex noted that trade activity is rising – total trade volume and value were up on Q1 2024.

The best-performing wines

Q1’s top performers comprised a varied group from across Bordeaux, Piedmont, the Rhône, and Burgundy. The best performing wine was Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Rouge 2021, which surged 22.7%. Pichon Baron 2013 followed with a 22.6% rise. 

Two vintages of Guigal La Landonne also appeared in the rankings, the 2012 (11.1%) and 2014 (10.6%). 

From Barolo, the 2001 Bruno Giacosa Serralunga d’Alba made the top ten with a 21.2% rise in value over the past three months.

The spring La Place campaign

March saw just over 50 wine releases via La Place de Bordeaux, including new Burgundies, grower Champagne and big names like Promontory 2020, Ao Yun 2021 and Latour 2016. 

The latter was particularly notable as the first prime release to hit the market since the château abandoned the En Primeur system. The wine boasts a number of 100-points from major critics including Neal Martin, Antonio Galloni, Lisa Perotti-Brown MW, Jane Anson, Jeff Leve, and Tim Atkin.

The comparisons being made – to 1961, 1982, and 2010 – suggest the wine is already being framed within the estate’s historic lineage. What’s more, while the price reflects its stature, its positioning below recent back vintages like 2009 and 2010 suggests value for money.

In a campaign that highlighted the growing breadth of La Place, Latour served as a reminder of Bordeaux’s enduring ability to dominate the conversation, when it chooses to.

Fine wine enjoys resilient fundamentals and growing confidence

Beneath the surface of a softening market, confidence in fine wine as a long-term investment continues to strengthen. Our recent Wealth Reports released in Q1 revealed a clear trend in investor attitudes: 96% of UK wealth managers expect demand for fine wine to increase in 2025, underscoring its growing role in diversified portfolios.

This optimism is rooted in fine wine’s defining characteristics – low correlation to mainstream markets, long-term price appreciation, and intrinsic scarcity. While short-term volatility and trade disruptions have created a subdued environment, many see this as an attractive entry point. With prices off their peak, the market now offers a rare opportunity to access top names at more favourable levels.

Fine wine is increasingly viewed as a maturing asset class – one that rewards patience rather than speculation. As macroeconomic uncertainty continues to rattle equities and bonds, fine wine’s stability and resilience are drawing renewed attention from high-net-worth individuals and wealth advisors.

Q2 2025 market outlook

All eyes now turn to the Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign – the most significant event in the fine wine calendar and a litmus test for buyer confidence in a fragile market. After a lacklustre few years, the system finds itself at a crossroads. Pressure is mounting for producers and négociants to reset expectations, as past campaigns have struggled to offer compelling value compared to back vintages already available on the secondary market. Adding to the challenge is the uncertain tariff environment. 

At the same time, there is cautious optimism. While prices across Bordeaux have softened, trade volume has increased – a signal that buyers are still engaged, albeit more selective. If producers respond with competitive pricing and clear value propositions, 2024 could mark a turning point for the campaign.

Beyond Bordeaux, Q2 is expected to bring continued price sensitivity, but also renewed interest from investors who see current levels as a buying opportunity. The long-term fundamentals remain intact: scarcity, brand equity, and an increasing role for fine wine in diversified portfolios. In short, while the market remains in a momentary phase of recalibration, Q2 may offer the first signs of recovery if the right tone is struck.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Report – Opportunities in uncertainty: the 2024 fine wine market and 2025 outlook

Executive summary

  • Q4 was marked by political developments, changing economic policies, and geopolitical events, including the re-election of President Trump.
  • The strengthened US dollar boosted fine wine demand across the pond.
  • Fine wine prices fell 11% across major regions in 2024, reflecting a continued market correction. 
  • Italy was the most resilient fine wine region, while Burgundy experienced the biggest adjustment.
  • Rhône wines dominated the list of the best performing wines in 2024, with Domaine Pegau Cuvée Réservée Rouge 2013 leading (80.5%).
  • Older vintages (2010-2014) performed well, reflecting the market’s preference for mature, proven wines, while new releases struggled when not priced correctly.
  • Optimism for market recovery is focused on premium regions like Piedmont, Champagne, and Burgundy.
  • Economic uncertainties and mixed performance in Bordeaux are expected to persist, but continued interest in fine wine signals resilience and potential for long-term growth.

Q4 in context: political and economic drivers

It has been an eventful quarter, marked by political developments, changing economic policies, and geopolitical events. The re-election of President Donald Trump in November prompted a rapid response in global markets. US equities reacted positively to the outcome, as investors anticipated business-friendly policies and potential fiscal stimulus, particularly benefiting sectors like manufacturing and technology. However, concerns over increased tariffs created uncertainties for multinational corporations.

Rising US Treasury yields, driven by expectations of future interest rate hikes, attracted capital inflows, strengthening the US dollar. While this reinforced investor confidence in U.S. economic policies, it also raised concerns about higher borrowing costs and their potential drag on economic growth. Emerging market currencies faced downward pressure as fears of US trade measures and capital outflows grew.

In late November, a US-France-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect, reducing immediate geopolitical risks after over a year of hostilities. Despite the agreement, markets remained cautious, keeping a close watch for potential disruptions to the fragile stability.

Markets in 2024: the year that was

Bitcoin made headlines this month by surpassing the $100,000 mark for the first time, peaking at an all-time high of $104,000 on Coinbase. The surge was fuelled by growing investor optimism around a favourable regulatory environment under President-elect Donald Trump, who has signalled support for cryptocurrencies through key appointments and policy proposals.

Equity markets have also enjoyed a strong year, bolstered by a resilient US economy and easing inflation pressures. These conditions have allowed central banks to pause or slow rate hikes. Strong corporate earnings, particularly in the technology and AI sectors, have further propelled the S&P 500’s stellar performance.

The global energy market in 2024 has experienced notable fluctuations. Concerns over a potential global economic slowdown, driven by weak demand from China and other developed economies, have weighed on crude oil prices. While OPEC’s production cuts have provided some price support, they have not been sufficient to fully offset the impact of declining demand.

Meanwhile, gold has reaffirmed its role as a safe-haven asset in 2024. Persistent geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and financial market volatility have driven demand for the precious metal, supporting its strong performance throughout the year.

Market performance in 2024

*Current values: 06/12/2024

The fine wine market in 2024

The fine wine market in 2024 continued its downward trajectory from 2023, with broad declines across major indices. The Liv-ex 100 has fallen 9.2% year-to-date, while the Liv-ex 50, which tracks First Growth Bordeaux, is down 10.9%.

Despite these overall declines, the market showcased notable regional disparities and emerging opportunities. Examined at more length in the following section, Italy has been a beacon of resilience, while ‘overheated’ regions like Burgundy have readjusted.    

Notably, prices did not fall because of lower demand for fine wine. Market activity remained high, with the number of fine wine trades in 2024 surpassing 2023 by 7.9%. 

Regional fine wine performance

Regional fine wine indices performance in 2024

The fine wine market saw mixed performances as the year drew to a close. Italy stood out as the most resilient region, with prices falling 6% – a fraction of the 11.1% average decline in the Liv-ex 1000 index. High-scoring releases buoyed Italy’s secondary market, while diverse offerings such as Antinori Brunello di Montalcino Vigna Ferrovia Riserva (38%) underscored the country’s stability and value. Italy’s growing influence was evident in the 2024 Power 100 rankings, where it claimed 22 spots – nine more than last year – closing the gap on Burgundy and Bordeaux in terms of investor interest and price performance.

Burgundy has faced the greatest readjustment among all regions, with prices declining by 14.4% year-to-date. This correction followed years of meteoric growth and reflects a market adjustment as prices recalibrate. The decline has created opportunities for investors to acquire rare and prestigious labels at more accessible prices. Burgundy’s reputation as a cornerstone of fine wine investment remains intact despite this year’s setbacks, with long-term demand likely to persist.

Champagne also experienced a challenging year, with prices falling 9.8%. However, the region showed signs of stabilisation toward the end of the year. Older vintages led this recovery, with labels such as Taittinger Brut Millesime up 29%, signalling enduring interest in high-quality, aged Champagne. 

Bordeaux, the largest and most liquid fine wine region, saw an 11.3% decline. Liquidity remains Bordeaux’s strength, but it no longer guarantees safety in today’s market. Recent vintages in particular have struggled, with many trading below their release prices. 

California wines fell 8.6% but showed positive momentum in November. The region’s growing presence in the fine wine investment space has been driven by the rising popularity of brands like Dominus, Joseph Phelps, and Promontory.

Spanish wine also benefitted from surging US demand, with Vega Sicilia Unico taking the top spot as the most powerful fine wine brand in 2024. Two other Spanish wines also made the rankings – Dominio de Pingus and R. Lopez de Heredia – a testament to Spain’s growing investment potential.  

The best-performing wines in 2024

Top-performing wines of 2024

The Rhône dominated this year’s top-performing wines, claiming four of the ten spots on the list. Domaine de Pegau Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2013 led the charge with an impressive 80.5% rise. Other regional standouts, including Clos des Papes Châteauneuf-du-Pape Rouge 2014 (61.2%) and Château de Beaucastel Rouge 2013 (31.1%), highlighted the enduring demand for Châteauneuf-du-Pape from highly rated, older vintages.

Beyond the Rhône, Spain’s Vega Sicilia Unico 2010 (24.9%) showcased the strength of Ribera del Duero as a rising force in the wine investment market. Vega Sicilia also ranked as the most powerful wine brand in the 2024 Power 100 rankings. 

Bordeaux and Sauternes also featured. Château Rieussec took two spots with its 2015 (10%) and 2014 (7.2%) vintages. Meanwhile, Ducru-Beaucaillou 2013 (19.2%) and Château L’Eglise-Clinet 2012 (3.9%) showed that Bordeaux’s established names have continued to attract investment interest where there has been value on offer.

A clear trend this year was the strong performance of older vintages, with wines from 2010 to 2014 dominating the list. Only two ‘younger’ vintages, 2015 and 2019, appeared on the list and no new releases. This aligns with a broader preference for mature wines, which offer proven track records and immediate drinkability.

2024 takeaways

The market downturn has presented opportunities to acquire premium wines at more accessible price points, offering a chance to diversify portfolios with an asset known for its historically strong long-term performance.

For another year, Bordeaux En Primeur struggled to attract significant interest with the release of the 2023 vintage, especially for wines where older proven vintages offered better value. Economic uncertainty further highlighted the appeal of the classics. Iconic Bordeaux vintages – such as 2000, 2005, and 2009 – and Italy’s Super Tuscans stood out as stable investment options. These wines offered a combination of historical performance and consistent demand, reinforcing their status as cornerstone assets in fine wine portfolios.

Declining prices also brought rare and prestigious wines back into circulation, offering investors the chance to secure assets that were previously inaccessible. This period allowed for strategic acquisitions of iconic labels at attractive price points, setting the stage for potential long-term gains as the market stabilises.

Below the surface of the downturn, 2024 presented great buying opportunities, making it a pivotal year for investors, whether looking to enter the market or enhance their existing portfolios.  

2025 market outlook

The 2025 fine wine market outlook is cautiously positive, driven by optimism for premium regions such as Piedmont, Champagne, and Burgundy. Insights from the 2024 Golden Vines Report show that 64% of industry professionals anticipate market growth, particularly for high-end Italian wines like Barolo and Barbaresco, which are increasingly viewed as alternatives to Burgundy.

Key trends include rising demand for sustainability and terroir-driven wines. According to the report, Piedmont (20%) leads in growth potential, followed by Champagne (17%), Burgundy (14%) and Tuscany (12%), while Bordeaux faces mixed prospects, with 27% of the respondents expecting further declines. Challenges like economic pressures and geopolitical uncertainties persist but continued strong fine wine demand signals resilience in the market.

Fine wine remains the most popular collectible celebrated for its diversification benefits, sustainability and stability through different market environments.

Stay tuned for our 2025 Wealth Report, which will examine wealth and investment managers’ views and sentiments towards fine wine early next year.

See also – WineCap Wealth Report 2024: UK Edition

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q2 2024 Fine Wine Report

Chateau Leoville Las Cases

Our Q2 2024 report has now been released. The report examines the macroeconomic factors affecting fine wine prices, the Bordeaux 2023 En Primeur campaign, the best-performing wines, industry news and an outlook for Q3.

Executive summary

  • The second quarter built on the successes of the first, with risk assets delivering another set of positive returns to investors.
  • Global equity markets were buoyed by resilient economic growth and rising investor confidence.
  • UK investment sentiment also improved after a landslide election win for the new Labour government.
  • The fine wine market remains a buyers’ market, with Burgundy and Champagne priced down the most in Q2. 
  • Bordeaux back vintages enjoyed rising demand and prices, following the 2023 En Primeur campaign.
  • The best-performing wine in Q2 was the 100-point Château Léoville Las Cases 2016.
  • This year’s En Primeur yielded mixed results with few great successes despite the general price cuts. 
  • Some of the best releases included the First Growths and their second wines, Beychevelle, and Cheval Blanc.
  • In other news, Sotheby’s Burgundy sale smashed wine auction records and Marchesi Antinori took full ownership of the Washington State winery Col Solare.
  • In buying opportunities, Latour 2009 offers perfect scores at the best possible price on the market.
  • Looking ahead, we anticipate the autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign following a short summer lull.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Economic resilience boasts global markets

The second quarter delivered positive results for global equity markets which were buoyed by resilient economic growth, and supportive earnings and sales expectations. This strong economic foundation has allowed equities to advance, even as stubborn inflation poses potential challenges. Bond markets also appeared attractive; however, the same economic resilience that benefitted equities introduced near-term risks for fixed-income investments.

UK investment sentiment also improved following a landslide election victory for the new Labour government. The British pound, which has been the strongest major currency against the dollar this year, nudged higher when the scale of Labour’s victory became clear. The UK-focused FTSE 250 share index, which has outperformed the more global FTSE 100 year-to-date, rose to its highest level since April 2022, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the country’s economic prospects.

Fine wine – a buyer’s market

Meanwhile, fine wine prices continued to decline. The Liv-ex 1000 index, the broadest measure of the market, is currently at the level it was in August 2021 (388.28). Despite falling prices, trade volumes are higher than this time last year, suggesting that buyers are seizing opportunities to acquire wines at more favourable prices. Moreover, some of the best-performing wines this quarter rose as much as 20% in value. There are opportunities to be had if one follows closely.

En Primeur and Bordeaux’s falling prices

Some of these opportunities arose during the 2023 Bordeaux En Primeur campaign. The best new releases offered a compelling mix of quality and value, with a significant potential for future price appreciation. These included Beychevelle, Cheval Blanc, and the First Growths’ Grand vins and second wines – still, few and far between given the scale of the campaign. In the secondary market, Bordeaux prices fell 1.8% in the second quarter, making back vintages even more attractive. The only index that rose in value as the campaign concluded was the Bordeaux Legends 40 – exceptional older vintages that enjoyed rising demand. 

Regional fine wine performance

Liv-ex regional indices performance chart

As the market’s focus shifted to new releases, prices in the secondary market fell in Q2. The broadest measure, the Liv-ex 1000 index, dipped 2.4%. It was led lower by the Burgundy 150 (-3.9%) and the Champagne 50 (-3.7%). The Rest of the World 60 and the Italy 100 indices experienced the smallest declines of 1.1% and 1.2% respectively.

As the chart above shows, Italy has shown relative resilience in the current bearish market. Despite broader market uncertainties, some Italian brands have even recorded positive movement in the last six months as high as 15%.

In June, the Bordeaux Legends 40 index recorded its first positive movement in almost a year, rising 0.3%. The index tracks the performance of a selection of 40 Bordeaux wines from exceptional older vintages (from 1989 onwards). As we have previously highlighted, older vintages can often be a lucrative investment prospect, offering a combination of quality, value and bottle age. 

The best-performing wines in Q2

Best performing wines Q2 2024

The best-performing wines this quarter were a diverse mix from Bordeaux, Burgundy, Piedmont, the Rhone and Champagne. Leading the charge was the 100-point (WA) Château Léoville Las Cases 2016, with an impressive 19.4% increase. William Kelley described it as ‘one of the high points of this great vintage’. Close behind was Château Angélus 2019, which saw a 19.1% rise.

From Burgundy, Domaine Bonneau du Martray Corton-Charlemagne Grand Cru 2020 came third, up 15.2%. Other wines from the region that rose in value included Domaine de la Romanée-Conti La Tache Grand Cru 2017 and Coche-Dury Meursault 2018. 

Dom Pérignon Rosé 2009 also made the rankings, with a 9.6% rise this past quarter. On average, prices for the wine have risen 83% in the last decade.

Fine wine news

Sotheby’s Burgundy sale smashes records

On July 5, 2024, Sotheby’s conducted its first exclusive single-owner Burgundy sale, breaking eight world records and achieving €2 million ($2.1 million). Held in the historic Caves du Couvent des Cordeliers in Beaune, the auction featured over 175 lots from Taiwanese entrepreneur Pierre Chen’s cellar.

Top highlights included six bottles of Chevalier Montrachet d’Auvenay 2009, which fetched €106,250 (£89,915), and 12 bottles of Domaine Armand Rousseau Chambertin Clos de Bèze 1990, sold for €100,000 (£84,630). Among the record-setting sales were three bottles of 2005 DRC Échezeaux at €10,000 per bottle and a magnum of 2005 DRC La Tâche at €35,000.

Last month, Chen’s collection of fine and rare Champagne achieved €1.35 million (£1.14 million) at Sotheby’s in Paris, with notable sales including three magnums of Salon Le Mesnil Blanc de Blancs 1990 for €25,000 (£19,600) and a magnum of Dom Pérignon P3 1966 for €23,750 (£20,100), both setting new records.

Sotheby’s expects Chen’s collection to fetch a record $50 million (£39.2 million) by the series’ end, with upcoming auctions in New York and Hong Kong.

Antinori expands into Washington

Marchesi Antinori, one of Italy’s oldest family-owned fine wine producers, has taken full ownership of the Washington State winery Col Solare, which was established as a joint venture in 1995 with Ste. Michelle Wine Estate (SMWE). The acquisition includes the winery, the estate vineyard spanning 12 hectares planted primarily with Cabernet Sauvignon, and the brand, which produces around 5,000 bottles annually. Piero Antinori, president of Marchesi Antinori, expressed admiration for Red Mountain AVA’s unique terroir, emphasising the challenge and excitement of producing high-quality Washington red wines.

Juan Muñoz-Oca, COO of Antinori USA, highlighted the significance of this acquisition, reflecting Washington’s growing reputation for luxury wines. This move follows Antinori’s 2022 acquisition of Napa’s Stag’s Leap Wine Cellars, transitioning from a 15% to 100% stake after SMWE was sold to Sycamore Partners for $1.2 billion in 2021. Besides Stag’s Leap, Antinori owns Antica, a 200-hectare estate in Napa Valley, as part of their expansion in the states.

Buying opportunities: Latour 2009

Chateau Latour 2009 wine prices

Château Latour 2009 currently represents a combination of perfect scores and perfect timing. The highest-scoring wine ever at the annual Southwold tasting, Latour 2009 is now at the best price it has been in almost a decade. 

The recipient of no less than five perfect scores from Robert Parker, Lisa Perrotti-Brown MW, Jeff Leve, James Suckling, and Falstaff, Latour 2009 is a stand-out wine among critics. Hailed by Robert Parker as the greatest vintage he’d ever tasted, more recently Neal Martin described it as ‘outstanding’ and a ‘Latour firing on all cylinders’.

Latour is also the highest-scoring 2009 Bordeaux on Cellar Tracker, where it’s also the second-highest-scoring wine of the entire decade, beaten only by Petrus 2000 at more than six times the price.

In terms of price performance, Latour has outperformed all the other First Growths over one, two and five years. 

The 2009 vintage, which is currently available at one of the lowest price points ever, offers value among other prime vintages. Its scores match the 1982 and 1961, both of which come at a significant premium.

It is more affordable than the 2010 as well as the 2000 and 1990 vintages but with superior scores than all of them. The 2009 Latour is a hidden gem that seems particularly good to seek out now.

Outlook for Q3

With the onset of the summer lull, the market is expected to experience a temporary slowdown as usual. Despite this seasonal dip, numerous opportunities remain available. The market for collectibles, including fine wine, is gaining popularity among new investors looking for diversity and uncorrelated market returns.  

Over the next two months, the fine wine market will shift its focus to wines from around the globe as the autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign takes centre stage. Esteemed producers such as Almaviva, Opus One, Vérité, Seña, Catena Zapata, Masseto, and Solaia will unveil their latest vintages on the international stage, accompanied by numerous other exciting releases.

As the campaign expands to include New World wines, the category is expected to see a surge in secondary market demand, potentially driving up prices. We will continue to spotlight the best investment opportunities where exceptional quality and brand prestige meet attractive pricing.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.