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How to build a diversified fine wine portfolio

Fine wine investment portfolio
  • A diversified wine portfolio spreads the risk across different wines and regions.
  • Each wine region has its own unique characteristics, and its performance is largely influenced by its own market dynamics.
  • Investors can also diversify their portfolio by vintages, including older wines for stability and new releases for growth potential. 

Fine wine is a popular investment for those seeking diversification and long-term growth. However, like any investment, building a successful fine wine portfolio requires strategic planning and a thorough understanding of the market.

This article explores key strategies for creating a balanced, diversified fine wine portfolio, and why it is important to include a variety of regions, brands and vintages.

Why diversification is key

As renowned economist Harry Markowitz put it, ‘diversification is the only free lunch in finance’. 

Diversification is fundamental to risk management in any portfolio, and fine wine investment is no exception. A diversified wine portfolio helps to reduce the impact of volatility, allowing investors to maximise returns by spreading risk.

While some wines may deliver higher returns, others can contribute to portfolio stability, as different regions tend to perform in cycles. This is why building a balanced fine wine portfolio requires selecting wines from a variety of regions, vintages, and holding periods. 

Diversifying by regions

Wine regions around the world offer unique characteristics, each with its own market dynamics. Including wines from multiple regions can help balance and strengthen an investment portfolio. 

Some primary regions to consider include:

Bordeaux: Bordeaux is undoubtedly the leader in the fine wine investment landscape, taking close to 40% of the market by value. The First Growths are its most liquid wines. In general, the classified growths are a staple in investment portfolios due to their established reputation and consistent performance.

Burgundy: Burgundy, driven by scarcity and rarity, is an investors’ paradise that has been trending in the last decade. Prices for its top Pinot Noir and Chardonnay have reached stratospheric highs and the region consistently breaks auction records.

Champagne: A market that attracts both drinkers and collectors, Champagne has enjoyed rising popularity as an investment in the last five years, thanks to strong brand recognition, liquidity and stable performance.

Italy: Italy continues to provide a mix of value, growth potential, and great quality. Its two pillars, Tuscany and Piedmont, are often included in investment portfolios for their balancing act – if Tuscany provides stability, top Barolo and Barbaresco tend to deliver impressive returns. 

California: Top Napa wines are among the most expensive in the market, while also boasting some of the highest critic scores, particularly from the New World. 

Emerging investment regions: As the market broadens, wines from other well-established regions are gaining traction in the investment world. Germany, Australia, and South America are some of the countries bringing a new level of diversity that can sometimes lead to higher returns.

Choosing vintages strategically

A well-diversified investment portfolio focuses on a range of vintages, as well as labels.

While older vintages offer stability and a more predictable market performance, younger vintages have a greater growth potential as they mature.

Older prime vintages: ‘On’ vintages, specific to each region, like Bordeaux’s 2000 or 2005, tend to have stable pricing due to their high quality and reputation. Including these in your portfolio can provide a foundation of reliability.

Younger vintages: Wines from recent years with high-quality (such as Bordeaux 2019) can offer growth potential over the long-term. As these wines age, their value often appreciates, providing long-term returns for investors willing to hold them.

Off-vintages: Investing in lesser-known or ‘off’ vintages can be worthwhile, particularly if the producer has a strong reputation. These wines are often priced lower but can perform well over time. Typically though not always they have a shorter holding period.

At the end, it is always a question of quality and value for money. 

Balancing short-term and long-term holdings

Fine wines vary in their optimal holding periods. Some wines reach peak quality and market value sooner, while others require decades of ageing. Creating a mix of wines with different holding periods allows for both short-term liquidity and long-term growth.

Short-term hold wines: These are typically wines from lesser-known producers, high-demand recent vintages or off vintages bought during periods of market correction.  These wines can be sold within a few years for a quick return.

Long-term hold wines: Wines from top producers, especially those known for longevity, are best held for 10+ years. For example, a Château Lafite Rothschild or Domaine de la Romanée-Conti can offer three figure returns if held over decades.

Active management for maximising portfolio success

Diversification is just one piece of the puzzle. Regular monitoring and occassional adjustments are essential for maximising returns in a fine wine portfolio.

Market conditions and wine values change over time, so staying informed and making adjustments ensures your portfolio remains aligned with your financial goals. Using tools like Wine Track or consulting with a wine investment advisor can provide valuable insights for rebalancing and enhancing your investment strategy.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Bordeaux correction: top wines 20% below their peak

Left Bank Bordeaux vineyards
  • Top Bordeaux labels are now approximately 20% below their peaks achieved during the last decade.
  • Lafite Rothschild has been the hardest hit, driven lower by classic vintages such as 2018, 2009 and 2000. 
  • The recent fall in prices has brought many labels back to levels not seen in years.

As recently explored, the fine wine market has been on a downward trend, but what does this mean for individual labels? Today, we turn to Bordeaux’s top names, examining the recent performance of some of the most investable wines in the world.

Bordeaux after the peak

Top Bordeaux labels are now approximately 20% below their peaks, achieved during the last decade. 

Bordeaux wine indices

The First Growths, which often serve as the barometers of the fine wine market, had been riding high, with September 2022 marking a peak in pricing for Lafite Rothschild, Mouton Rothschild and Margaux. 

However, since then, the landscape has changed dramatically. Lafite Rothschild, once the shining star, has fallen by 28.6%, the most severe decline among the top names. Margaux and Mouton Rothschild have also taken significant hits, falling by 17.1% and 17.5%, respectively.

On the Right Bank, the situation is no different. Petrus, which peaked in December 2022, has since dropped by 21.4%, while Le Pin, which reached its high in February 2023, has declined by 20.3%. These losses have brought prices to levels last seen several years ago.

First Growths peaked in September 2022, since then:

  • Lafite is down 28.6% 
  • Mouton is down 17.5% 
  • Margaux is down 17.1% 

On the Right Bank:

  • Petrus is down 21.4% since its December 2022 peak
  • Le Pin is down 20.3% since its February 2023 peak

The Lafite fall: a deep dive

Lafite Rothschild – the second most-searched-for wine on Wine-Searcher – has seen the steepest decline since its peak, with prices plummeting 28.6% on average.

Which vintages have contributed to its fall over the last two years? The 2018 (WA 100 points) has been the hardest hit, down 35.9%. The wine was originally released at levels akin to the brand’s bull years, due to high critic scores, but failed to offer the best investment value. The recent price adjustment has made it a more attractive proposition. 

Older vintages that have had more time to grow have similarly fallen in value by over 30%. The classic 2009 Lafite, which boasts 99+ points from Robert Parker himself, is down 31.1% over the last two years. 

The millenial vintage, with a drinking window that extends well into the 2050s, is currently 32.6% below its peak. 

Lafite Rothschild wine vintages performance

Buying levels: back to the square one

The recent fall in prices has brought many labels back to levels not seen in years. Lafite, for example, has returned to its 2016 pricing levels, while Margaux and Mouton are back to 2020. On the Right Bank, Petrus and Le Pin have both returned to their 2021 levels.

While this might raise concerns on the surface, it presents a compelling opportunity. The scale of the correction suggests that Bordeaux wines, while still highly valued, may have been oversold in the last 18 months. 

For those looking to enter or expand their portfolios, this could represent a chance to acquire top-tier wines at a significant discount before prices start to rise again.

As with previous corrections, price declines are often followed by periods of recovery. For wealth managers and clients with a long-term investment horizon, the current situation may be seen as a momentary blip in an otherwise upward trajectory.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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French wine production falls in 2024: Investment implications

Maison Louis Latour wine harvest
  • The 2024 French wine harvest is shaping up to be one of the smallest of the century so far.
  • Burgundy’s 2024 vintage is estimated to be 25% lower than 2023, with scarcity being a key price driver for the region’s wines.
  • Bordeaux is also facing declines, reaching its lowest volume since 2017. 

The 2024 French wine harvest is shaping up to be one of the smallest of the century so far, with regions like Burgundy and Bordeaux hit particularly hard by adverse weather conditions. According to forecasts from France’s Agreste statistics unit, overall national production may decline by up to 18%, with mildew, poor fruit set, and frost reducing output in key regions. 

What are the implications for the secondary market, especially considering the recent market downturn? This article explores how smaller volumes in 2024 could impact prices in Burgundy and Bordeaux, drawing on learnings from past vintages.

Scarcity in Burgundy

The 2024 vintage in Burgundy is being described as one of the most challenging in the past 50 years, according to Florent Latour from Maison Louis Latour. The Bureau Interprofessionnel des Vins de Bourgogne (BIVB) estimates harvest yields to be up to 25% lower than in 2023. The region has faced intense mildew pressure and adverse weather during flowering, resulting in poor fruit set.

Historically, supply constraints in Burgundy have driven price increases in the secondary market, as scarcity heightens demand among collectors. For example, the 2021 vintage, severely impacted by frost, saw a surge in auction prices for marquee producers like Domaine de la Romanée-Conti and Armand Rousseau. The same pattern could play out in 2024, as the prospect of another small vintage heightens the allure of top Burgundian wines.

However, this vintage presents complexities. While the scarcity narrative could support price gains, the current economic downturn might temper buying enthusiasm. Additionally, the challenging growing season could lead to quality variation across producers, making selectivity crucial for those looking to invest. 

Bordeaux market implications

In 2024, Bordeaux is reportedly facing a 10% decline, reaching its lowest volume since 2017. The Conseil Interprofessionnel du Vin de Bordeaux (CIVB) has described the 2024 harvest as “historically low,” with output expected to fall below the already reduced 3.8 million hectoliters of 2023. This is due to a combination of adverse weather conditions, including downy mildew and rain during harvest, as well as a reduction in vineyard areas through a government-supported grubbing-up plan.

Despite the challenges, smaller harvests can still support price stability for Bordeaux’s top-tier wines. In 2024, the scarcity of high-quality offerings might provide an opportunity for investment-grade wines, particularly from classified growths. Investors seeking value could focus on estates with a strong track record of producing excellent wines in challenging years. Yet, the broader market downturn might limit the extent of price recovery, especially for mid-tier labels that lack the same scarcity appeal as Burgundy.

Learning from past vintages

Looking back at smaller harvests like 2017 and 2021 gives an insight into what to expect from 2024. Both years saw production levels dip below 40 million hectolitres due to extreme weather events, leading to temporary price spikes in Burgundy’s secondary market. The 2017 vintage, for instance, saw price rises for top Burgundy wines, driven by fears of limited availability. In 2021, the impact of frost once again drove auction interest, with investors flocking to secure allocations. 

However, the 2024 market environment is different. With inflation and economic uncertainties weighing on consumer confidence, investors may be more selective, focusing on wines that promise both rarity and quality. Burgundy’s high starting prices could limit the scope of further price increases, while Bordeaux’s historically low output might stabilise prices for premium labels without igniting a full-fledged price surge.

The market environment

The 2024 vintage may not replicate the price exuberance of past short harvests, but it represents a moment of adjustment in the wine investment market. For Burgundy and Bordeaux, the interplay between reduced volumes, economic pressures, and strategic opportunities will shape the outlook. The true impact will become clearer once the wines are made, critics taste them, and the release prices are set, providing a more concrete sense of quality and investment potential.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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What factors affect fine wine prices?

Domaine Romanee de la Conti wine bottles
  • The most important factors that affect fine wine prices are production costs, climate change, market demand, and economic conditions.
  • Market demand is influenced by critic scores, rarity, producer reputation, vintage quality, and geopolitics.
  • Understanding the factors that affect fine wine prices is key to making smart investment decisions.

Fine wine is more than just a luxury product – it is an asset class, a status symbol, and for many, a serious investment. While buyers might be aware of the rising value of sought-after labels, understanding the factors that drive these prices (upwards or downwards) is key to navigating the fine wine market. 

In this article, we explore the primary factors affecting fine wine prices, including production costs, climate change, market demand, and broader economic conditions.

How production costs shape fine wine prices

At the heart of fine wine pricing are the production costs. The making of a high-end wine is a meticulous, labour-intensive process that is inevitably reflected in the price. So are the land costs, which can reach astronomic heights in famous fine wine regions like Burgundy, Napa or Bordeaux. 

For instance, the luxury conglomerate LVMH recently acquired 1.3 hectares of Grand Cru vineyards on the Côte d’Or for 15.5 million euros. The purchase includes half a hectare each in Corton-Charlemagne and Romanée-Saint-Vivant, as well as 0.3 hectares in Corton Bressandes.

Besides land costs, manual labour and vineyard management can further affect release prices. The more human intervention required – whether in the vineyard or the winemaking process – the more costs add up.

Finally, many fine wines are not ready for release for several years after production. Extended ageing means producers incur additional costs, which in turn drives up prices for wines that are stored for longer periods before hitting the market.

The impact of climate change on fine wine pricing

In many traditional wine regions, unpredictable weather patterns, such as frost, heatwaves, and hailstorms, have resulted in lower grape yields. For example, the devastating frost in Burgundy in 2021 significantly reduced production, leading to a scarcity of wines from that vintage. 

When yields are lower, the limited supply pushes prices higher, especially for in-demand producers. This scarcity effect can be seen in top wines like Domaine Leflaive or Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, where a challenging growing season can result in soaring prices.

Additionally, climate change is affecting the style of wines being produced. While some regions like Bordeaux are adapting to these new conditions, climate volatility has added another layer of unpredictability to wine prices. It has also facilitated the emergence of new wine regions, leading to a more competitive landscape.

Market demand and the rise of fine wine investment

Market demand is perhaps the most significant factor affecting fine wine prices. The most sought-after bottles usually rise in value, as quality improves over time and supply diminishes.

Producer reputation, vintage quality and scores from major critics like Robert Parker and Neal Martin play a key role here, informing buying decisions and pricing strategies. A 100-point wine often commands a significant premium to a 99-point wine. When it comes to the Bordeaux First Growths, for instance, the average difference between a 99-point and a 100-point wine is over £350 per case.

Market demand is also shaped by geopolitical factors. The global nature of wine trading platforms means that market sentiment can affect wine prices faster than ever before. Demand from China largely contributed to Bordeaux’s pricing surge in 2011, and today interest is moving towards Burgundy and Champagne.

Economic forces that influence fine wine prices

While the fine wine market generally operates with its own dynamics, macroeconomic factors such as inflation, currency fluctuations, and recessions can all have an impact.  

In times of economic downturn, discretionary spending often decreases, which can lead to short-term drops in wine prices. However, fine wine has historically shown remarkable resilience due to its tangibility, rebounding after economic dips. 

Currency fluctuations also play a role; for instance, a weaker euro might make European wines more attractive to international buyers, spurring demand and increasing prices in markets like the US or Asia.

Changes in trade policies and tariffs can also have an impact. The Trump tariffs on European wines in 2020 temporarily raised the prices of French and Italian wines in the American market. While these tariffs have been reduced, ongoing changes in trade regulations can create volatility in wine pricing, particularly for internationally traded wines.

Understanding price fluctuations within fine wine

Fine wine prices are influenced by a complex interplay of factors, from the inherent quality of the wine itself to broader market forces and economic conditions. Understanding these factors is key to making informed decisions and maximising returns on investment.

Want to learn more about fine wine investment? Download our free guide.

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Beyond Bordeaux releases: why back vintages offer better value

Seña wine bottles wine cellar
  • This autumn sees the annual beyond Bordeaux campaign via La Place. 
  • Most of the wines have been released at the same price level as last year. 
  • This is not enough to stimulate buyers given the current dip in market prices across all regions. 

This month’s La Place de Bordeaux campaign has seen a mix of notable releases beyond the traditional Bordeaux wines, featuring the latest vintages from esteemed producers like Opus One, Masseto, Solaia, Penfolds, and Viñedo Chadwick. However, as market prices dip across multiple regions, many of these releases have seen limited appeal. The enhanced availability of older vintages at more competitive prices makes back vintages a more attractive investment option.

Super Tuscan releases

The Super Tuscan Masseto 2021 kicked off this autumn’s La Place campaign at the same price as last year’s vintage. It marks one of the last vintages overseen by Alex Heinz, who transitioned to CEO of Château Lascombes in Bordeaux in 2022. 

The wine received a perfect 100-point score from Antonio Galloni (Vinous) who said it was ‘the most exquisite, refined young Masseto’ he had ever tasted. Monica Larner (Wine Advocate), while giving it 95 points, described it as a ‘very rich and elaborate expression’.

However, better value can be found in back vintages such as 2017, 2018, and 2019, where critic scores are more aligned across publications.

Masseto wine prices chart

In contrast, Solaia 2021 from Marchesi Antinori came in at a 15.7% premium over the 2020 vintage, with a recommended price of £3,240 per 12×75. 

Despite strong reviews – 97 points from Larner and a perfect 100 from Galloni – this price positions the 2021 Solaia above several recent vintages. 

Buyers seeking better value might prefer the 2018, 2019, or even the 100-point Solaia 2015, which comes with the added advantage of age.

Solaia wine prices chart

Chile’s iconic wines

Two of Chile’s most iconic wines were also released earlier this month, Seña 2022 and Viñedo Chadwick 2022.

Although Seña 2022 was offered at the same price as last year, it is still the most expensive vintage currently in the market due to a drop in value of the previous vintages. The 2019 and 2018 vintages, for instance, both have higher scores from Wine Advocate and cost less.

Mondavi & Chadwick, Seña wine prices chart

Similarly, Viñedo Chadwick 2022 was released at last year’s price but remains the second most expensive vintage, following the 2015 Joaquín Hidalgo (Vinous) awarded it 98 points, praising its ‘finessed Bordeaux-oriented style with the plush tannins of Maipo’.

From an investment perspective, the 2021 offers a more affordable, higher-scored alternative, while the 2018 and 2019 vintages are also solid options.

Errazuriz Vinedo Chadwick wine prices chart

Other notable releases

Château de Beaucastel Hommage à Jacques Perrin 2022 is another wine released at the same price as last year, which has since fallen in value. This makes it the second most expensive after the 2016. 

It received a range of 96-98 points from Nicolas Greinacher (Vinous), who said it was ‘on track to rank alongside the spectacular 2020’. Still, the 2018, 2017 and 2015 present better value alternatives. 

Beaucastel, Chateauneuf du Pape Hommage J Perrin wine prices chart

With a small increase of 1.3% on last year, Penfolds Grange 2020 was released at £4,740 per 12×75. 

Erin Larkin (Wine Advocate) described it as ‘lighter than the preceding 2019’ and gave it 95 points. It received the same score from Angus Hughson (Vinous) who suggested that it would benefit from a ‘couple more years in the cellar [that] will bring all the pieces together before a two-decade drinking window’.

When it comes to back vintages, the 2012, 2014 and 2015 all look more attractive. The 100-point 2013 vintage is also cheaper and has entered its early drinking window.

Penfolds Grange wine prices chart

Back vintages remain an untapped opportunity

As the latest La Place de Bordeaux campaign reveals, many new releases are being offered at prices that do not necessarily align with current market conditions.

In contrast, back vintages – often with comparable or superior critic scores – can provide better value and greater investment potential. With the market dip creating opportunities for buyers, it is a good time to focus on older, well-regarded vintages that offer both affordability and maturity.

Get in touch to discuss your allocations or to start building your fine wine collection. Schedule a consultation.

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What is a market dip, and how can fine wine investors take advantage?

High end wine label bottles
  • A market dip is a temporary decline in prices, caused by economic or market-specific factors.
  • Buying the dip is advised when the underlying market fundamentals are favourable.
  • This is arguably the best time to invest in fine wine in a decade.

A market dip is a temporary drop in prices. This is often caused by economic or market-specific factors. In the fine wine market, these dips are less frequent and less volatile compared to traditional financial markets like stocks or bonds. While the fine wine market has been bearish three times since the turn of the century, global mainstream markets have experienced many more significant crashes. 

However, when a dip does occur, and provided that the fundamentals are strong, it can present a unique opportunity for buyers. Investors can enter the market, adjust their allocations or expand their portfolios with high-value brands and rare vintages at discounted prices. Sellers may look to liquidate their stock, offering rare and premium wines from regions like Bordeaux, Burgundy, and Champagne at more attractive prices.

Currently, the fine wine market is benefitting buyers. While the temporary drop in prices might raise concerns on the surface, those who adopt a long-term, strategic approach can reap significant rewards by buying the dip.

Buying the dip when the fundamentals are strong

According to Sir John Templeton, the best time to invest is during ‘points of maximum pessimism’. With fine wine indices down over 20% from their 2022 peaks, this moment presents one of the best opportunities to buy in the last decade.

Fine wine fundamentals remain intact: wines improve with age, and become rarer over time as bottles are consumed. The market’s appetite for older vintages is still strong, and regions like Burgundy, Bordeaux and Champagne continue to break pricing records at auction.

Fine wine indices performance 2024

Current macroeconomic environment and its impact

The global economy is currently facing several challenges – rising inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical tensions, all of which have contributed to the recent dip in fine wine prices. 

Despite these macroeconomic factors, fine wine remains less volatile than traditional markets. During times of economic uncertainty, fine wine’s tangible nature and intrinsic value have helped it weather storms better than more speculative assets like equities or cryptocurrencies. 

Additionally, the growing demand for luxury goods continues to support the fine wine market. This demand will likely drive the next phase of growth once global economic conditions stabilise.

Historical fine wine market rebounds

Another reason for confidence is that the fine wine market has consistently rebounded after periods of economic downturn. During the 2008 global financial crisis, the Liv-ex 100 index fell by 25% but had risen over 60% by mid-2011. 

20 year performance of Liv-ex 100 and Liv-ex 1000

Similarly, Bordeaux’s peak in 2011 was followed by Burgundy’s rise, showing that demand for fine wine remains strong even if it shifts on a regional basis. This is why diversity is key. 

The market is no longer dominated solely by top Bordeaux, and spreading your allocations across key wines and vintages can balance an investment portfolio and maximise returns.

How to take advantage of the dip in the fine wine market

For investors looking to capitalise on the current market dip, the strategy is clear: buy low and hold for the long term. 

Focus on proven performers: Wines from top regions like Bordeaux, Burgundy, Italy and Champagne have historically demonstrated resilience. Investing in top vintages and estates offers a measure of security.

Take advantage of fear-driven selling: As some sellers look to exit the market prematurely, investors can acquire undervalued wines with strong growth potential.

Diversify your portfolio: Spread your investment across different regions, producers, and vintages to mitigate risk and maximise returns.

Get in touch to discuss your allocations or to start building your fine wine collection. Schedule a consultation.

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Profiling the fine wine investor in 2024

London city high net worth individuals
  • Nearly 30% of the UK’s high-net-worth (HNW) investors incorporate fine wine into their portfolios.
  • They tend to be cautious, but in 2024, investors with balanced risk profiles are increasingly dipping into the world of drinkable assets.
  • Since last year, the demographic has shifted a little towards less experienced investors, indicating that new HNWs could be getting involved with fine wine.

Fine wine, historically a passion-driven investment, has predominantly attracted older, seasoned investors interested in both enjoying and preserving their wealth. However, recent trends indicate a shift as younger, less experienced investors in the UK are increasingly drawn to fine wine for different reasons – not least because the fine wine market has become more accessible.

Fine wine allocations in investment portfolios

In 2024, nearly 30% of the UK’s high-net-worth (HNW) investors incorporate fine wine into their portfolios.

66% are allocating up to 10% of their portfolio to fine wine, with the remaining 34% reserving over 11%. In 2024, 2% are allocating over a third of their portfolio to fine wine. This trend reveals a more polarising wealth distribution, considering that last year just half of wealth managers kept fine wine allocations under 10%, but none invested over 30% of their wealth in fine wine.

Investors’ risk profiles

Fine wine investors tend to be the cautious type. According to our 2024 wealth management survey, 88% of respondents incorporate fine wine into portfolios for investors with a ‘somewhat cautious’ or ‘extremely cautious’ risk tolerance. As fine wine can help provide stability, it can have a calming influence on overall performance. 

Cautious investment portfolios also generally contain a greater proportion of bonds and cash-like assets. The inflation-resistance of wine can help to buffer out some of the risks this can present over the long term. 

The remaining 12% tend to use wine for balanced portfolios (compared to 10% last year). None of the respondents use the asset for clients with higher risk tolerances.

In 2024, around 2% of respondents are using fine wine for ‘somewhat aggressive’ portfolios. As fine wine has historically exhibited strong growth during recessions and periods of high inflation, it could easily be used to diversify high-risk portfolios. 

Fine wine investment risk profile UK 2024

Investment experience

In line with this trend, over the past 12 months, fine wine has started to move beyond the realm of ‘very experienced’ investors. The slow spread towards ‘experienced’ and ‘somewhat experienced’ investors suggests that fine wine is becoming a more mainstream asset. 

This move could be prompted by the demand to invest in sustainable and low-carbon assets. As this trend is particularly strong with younger investors, it fits that they could have less experience. 

This year, 52% of UK wealth managers rated their investment clients as ‘very experienced’ with fine wine, compared to 62% in 2023. Meanwhile, clients with medium or limited experience grew their fine wine investments.

Fine wine investment experience UK 2024

Fine wine has long been perceived as an exclusive, somewhat intimidating investment, traditionally reserved for a privileged few. But as our recent research indicates, attitudes are slowly changing.

For more information on the changing fine wine investors’ demographics, read our exclusive Wealth Report 2024: UK Edition.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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The state of the fine wine market so far in 2024

Chateau L'Eglise-Clinet vineyard
  • Fine wine remains a buyer’s market in 2024.
  • Burgundy prices have fallen the most, while Italy has been the most resilient region. 
  • Some wines have outperformed the market, such as L’Église-Clinet 2012.

The fine wine market remains a buyer’s market in 2024. All fine wine regions have experienced declines, with prices for Burgundy, Bordeaux, and Champagne falling the most. 

Still, some wine brands have outperformed the market by far – such as Henri Boillot Chevalier-Montrachet Grand Cru, which is up 23% since the beginning of the year.

Regional wine performance so far in 2024

The fine wine market’s downturn has continued into 2024. The broadest measure of the market, the Liv-ex 1000 index, is down 4.9% year-to-date. Within it, Burgundy (-7.0%) and the Rest of the World (-4.8%) sub-indices have fallen the most. 

The Champagne 50 index is also down 4.5%. However, the index rose 0.9% last month, buoyed by Dom Pérignon 2006 and 2012, Louis Roederer Cristal Rosé 2008 and various vintages of Pol Roger’s Cuvée Sir Winston Churchill. 

Liv-ex regional wine indices 2024

As we have previously explored, Italy has been the most resilient fine wine region, down 2.3% year-to-date. Its performance has been stabilised by brands from Piedmont, specifically Barolo and Barbaresco. 

The Rhône 100 index, which has been the perennial underperformer over the long term, has also experienced lesser declines this year, falling just 3.2%. Outside the Liv-ex 1000 index, the California 50 is down 3.8%. 

The biggest risers this year

Despite broader market uncertainties, some brands have risen by close to 30% in value since the beginning of the year (as of August 1st).

With an average case price of £720, Delas Hermitage Domaine des Tourettes Blanc is up 26% this year. It has been followed by a high-profile Burgundy – Henri Boillot Chevalier-Montrachet Grand Cru, which has risen 23%. 

The most expensive wine on the rankings, Domaine du Comte Liger-Belair La Romanée Grand Cru, has enjoyed an 11% rise. 

Best performing wine brands H1 2024

The best performing wines

When it comes to the best performing individual wines, Bordeaux leads the way with L’Église-Clinet 2012, up an impressive 38%. It has been followed by Cheval Blanc 1998, up 27%. 

Another top Bordeaux comes fourth – Gruaud Larose 2018 (19%). Sweet Bordeaux also features in the table with two vintages from Suduiraut, 2019 and 2010, and Climens 2015.  

Meanwhile, Champagne’s best performer is the ‘gorgeous’ (AG 98 points) Krug 2004, up 26%. 

Best performing wines H1 2024

While the fine wine market has continued to face declines across most regions in 2024, presenting great opportunities for lower-than-average prices, some wines have shown remarkable resilience. Even in a buyer’s market, excellence prevails.   

For more on the state of the fine wine market, read our latest quarterly report. 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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WineCap Wealth Report 2024: US Edition

WineCap US Wealth Report 2024

In an era of economic uncertainty and shifting investment trends, alternative assets are gaining unprecedented traction. The 2024 WineCap Wealth Report (US edition) offers a comprehensive analysis of the fine wine market, uncovering key trends that highlight its burgeoning appeal. As fine wine transitions from a passion asset to a mainstream investment, the report explores the demographic shifts, technological advancements, and the factors driving demand. 

Methodology and demographic

In April 2024, WineCap surveyed 50 US-based full-time wealth and investment managers to gauge their views and sentiments towards fine wine investment. The respondents included 35 wealth managers, eight financial intermediaries/advisers, and seven independent financial advisers. The research was conducted via an online questionnaire. For annual comparisons, the report takes into account responses from a similar survey conducted in April 2023.

Key findings

  • Changing demographics: One in three high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) in the US now invests in fine wine. While some begin as collectors, the majority are experienced investors drawn to fine wine for its stability. 
  • Rising demand for collectibles: Fine wine emerged as the leading collectible asset. According to our survey, 84% of US wealth managers anticipate an increase in demand over the next year.
  • Enhanced market liquidity: There has been a 14% increase in investor confidence regarding market liquidity, driven by advanced technology that enhances the trading experience and security.
  • Stability: 74% of respondents see fine wine’s stability through different market environments as the top reason to invest in it.
  • Universal value: 92% of US wealth managers recognize the benefits of fine wine being an asset of universal value, not pegged to USD.
  • Diversity: Survey respondents indicated that greater awareness of fine wine’s role in diversifying traditional portfolios could attract more clients.

The 2024 WineCap Wealth Report underscores the growing sophistication and accessibility of fine wine as an investment. As new generations of investors seek diversification and stability away from traditional financial markets, fine wine emerges not only as a stable asset but also as a leader in the collectibles market. 

The integration of advanced technology, the expanding appeal of sustainable investing, and the strategic adjustments in response to economic conditions highlight fine wine’s unique position in the investment landscape.

Download your complimentary copy of the 2024 WineCap Wealth Report and discover how fine wine can enhance your investment portfolio.

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News

Fine wine market trends amid economic shifts in Q1 2024

Fine wine market

The following article is an extract from our Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report which will be published in full later this week.

  • The industry benchmark Liv-ex 100 index fell 1% in Q1 2024, a milder decline than the 4.2% dip at the end of last year.
  • Bond and equity markets rallied in anticipation of interest rate cuts by major central banks.
  • Over the past twenty years, the Liv-ex 1000’s most significant year-on-year dip was only 15%, less severe than that of major stock indices like the S&P 500 (-45%).

After a challenging start to the year, the global economy is showing signs of resilience and potential growth. As we moved past the first quarter of 2024, both bond and equity markets rallied in anticipation of interest rate cuts by major central banks. Notably, sectors like the fine wine market are expected to benefit from these shifts, although the impact has not yet materialised.

The fine wine market in Q1 2024

The industry benchmark, Liv-ex 100 index, saw a modest decline of 1% in Q1 2024, an improvement from the 4.2% dip observed at the end of the previous year. This index experienced a slight drop of 0.3% in January and 1.1% in February but recovered in March with a 0.4% increase, marking its first rise in twelve months. Influential movers included Promontory and Dominus from Napa Valley, Super Tuscan Sassicaia, and Clos des Papes Châteauneuf-du-Pape. Despite this recovery, the fine wine market’s performance still lags behind mainstream financial markets.

Comparing mainstream markets

Mainstream indices such as the Nikkei 225 and the S&P 500 have shown remarkable strength over the past year. Their annual growth from March 2023 to March 2024 ranks in the top 10% of year-on-year periods this century.

However, bond and equity markets experienced heightened volatility at the beginning of the year, due to geopolitical risks like the Middle East conflict and ongoing uncertainty around interest rates. This confluence of factors boosted the safe-haven asset Gold which has extended its run on buying momentum.

Liv-ex 100 vs mainstream markets and Gold

A decade of the Liv-ex 1000 index

Celebrating ten years since its official launch in January 2014, the Liv-ex 1000 index provides two decades of insight into fine wine prices, encompassing a wide range of regions including Bordeaux, Burgundy, Champagne, the Rhône, Italy, and the rest of the world (Spain, Portugal, the USA, and Australia).

Over the past twenty years, while the Liv-ex 1000 has seen 64 year-on-year declines, its most significant drop was only 15%, considerably less severe than that of major stock indices like the S&P 500, which once fell by 45%.

On the upside, the Liv-ex 1000’s best annual performance showed gains of 38%, comparable to those of major indices like the FTSE 100 and the Dow Jones, and its average growth rate of 8.4% is higher than many mainstream markets, only trailing behind the S&P 500.

Liv-ex 1000 vs mainstream markets

As the global markets navigate through turbulent waters, the nuanced performance of the fine wine sector, detailed in our comprehensive Q1 2024 report, continues to offer valuable perspectives on both the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

Stay tuned for the full report later this week.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.