Author: Desislava Lyapova

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Bordeaux 2021 in bottle: Vinous’ top-scoring wines

  • Neal Martin said Bordeaux 2021 shouldn’t be dismissed and identified an ‘overachiever’ among the wines in this challenging vintage.
  • According to Antonio Galloni, the quality is higher on the Left Bank than on the Right Bank.
  • A dry white wine and a Sauternes were the critics’ top-scoring wines from the vintage.

Vinous recently published two separate Bordeaux 2021 in-bottle reports by Neal Martin and Antonio Galloni. In this article, we summarise their views on this polarising vintage.

Why Bordeaux 2021 should not be ignored

In his report, titled ‘2+2=5: Bordeaux 2021 In Bottle’, Neal Martin explained why ‘irrationality tastes good’ and why Bordeaux 2021 shouldn’t be ignored. He said that ‘on paper, a cursory glance at the troubled growing season would make any rational person dismiss its wines’. But the critic argued that they would be wrong.

While Martin awarded few wines more than 95 points, he advised readers against ‘thinking that the 2021 vintage is incapable of giving sensory and intellectual pleasure’.

According to him, advanced technology and refined winemaking made a fundamental difference at the top end, and thus 2021 cannot be compared ‘with off-vintages like 1977, 1992 or arguably even 2013’.

Martin singled out Les Carmes Haut-Brion as an ‘overachiever’ that ‘halts you in your tracks’ and noted that ‘there is a cluster of very strong-performing wines on the Left Bank that merit attention and possess the substance to repay cellaring’. He added that ‘the Right Bank matches the Left Bank, particularly the usual names on the Pomerol plateau […] and likewise those in Saint-Émilion on free-draining limestone soils’.

Similarly, Galloni found ‘a wide range of compelling wines that merit attention’ within the context of a challenging growing season.

‘In many ways, 2021 can be summarized as a year in which classic Bordeaux weather of the past meets the technical know-how of today in both the vineyard and winery,’ the critic argued.

Overall, he said, ‘the quality is higher and more consistent on the Left Bank over the Right Bank, even though at the very top, the best Right Bank wines can only be described as stellar’.

Galloni called Calon Ségur, Ducru-Beaucaillou, Lafite Rothschild, Pichon-Comtesse and Rauzan-Ségla ‘magnificent’, Les Carmes Haut-Brion – ‘majestic’, Vieux Château Certan, Cheval Blanc, Canon, and Lafleur – ‘compelling’. He also made a special mention of the dry white wines, namely Smith Haut Lafitte Blanc, Haut-Brion Blanc and Domaine de Chevalier Blanc.

Top-scoring Bordeaux 2021 wines

Neal Martin Bordeaux 2021 scores

Neal Martin’s top-scoring Bordeaux 2021 was a dry white wine, La Mission Haut-Brion Blanc, while Galloni gave a near-perfect score to a wine from Sauternes – Suduiraut.

Wines that appeared in both critics’ top ten included Les Carmes Haut-Brion, Vieux Château Certan, Lafleur, and Cheval Blanc.

For Galloni, Vieux Château Certan ‘may very well be the wine of the vintage from the Right Bank’, while Martin commented that it ‘transcends the limitations of the growing season’, calling it ‘outstanding’.

Another wine that critics agreed on was Lafleur, which Galloni described as ‘incredibly fascinating’ in 2021, and Neal Martin noted as a ‘strong contender for the wine of the vintage’.

Antonio Galloni Bordeaux 2021 scores

Full report and tasting notes are available on Vinous.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Passion investing: personal interest or financial opportunity?

passion investing
  • Passion investing refers to collecting items you love and want to keep for the long term.
  • Some of the most popular passion assets that can yield substantial returns are rare stamps and coins, art, classic cars, luxury watches and fine wine.
  • Passion investing offers a unique blend of personal fulfilment and financial opportunity, allowing investors to engage deeply with their interests while potentially earning returns.

Passion investing represents a unique and emotionally rewarding approach to building wealth, diverging from traditional investment avenues like stocks, bonds, or real estate. This investment strategy is grounded in the acquisition of tangible assets that spark personal joy and enthusiasm, ranging from art and vintage cars to rare stamps, luxury watches, and fine wines.

Such investments not only have the potential to appreciate in value over time but also provide intrinsic satisfaction and a deep sense of personal fulfilment. This article offers an overview of passion investing, highlighting the diverse assets involved and the unique benefits they offer, with a particular emphasis on the allure of fine wine.

The spectrum of passion assets

Some of the most common passion investments are art, classic cars, luxury watches and fine wine.

Rare stamps and coins

Collecting stamps and coins is one of the oldest forms of passion investing. Rare specimens, especially those with errors or historical importance, can fetch significant sums. Collectors revel in the history and stories behind their acquisitions, adding a layer of intellectual engagement to the financial investment.

Art

Investing in art involves purchasing pieces from emerging or established artists with the expectation that their value will increase over time. Art investors often enjoy the aesthetic and cultural significance of their collections, providing an emotional return that transcends monetary gains.

Classic cars

Classic car enthusiasts invest in rare and historic automobiles, driven by a passion for automotive design and engineering. These vehicles often appreciate in value, especially well-maintained models or those with historical significance, offering financial rewards alongside the thrill of ownership and driving.

Luxury watches

The market for luxury watches has seen substantial growth, with vintage and limited-edition timepieces appreciating significantly. Enthusiasts appreciate the craftsmanship, history, and prestige associated with high-end watches, making this a passion investment that combines personal enjoyment with potential financial returns.

Fine wine

Fine wine stands out as a particularly intriguing passion investment. Beyond the potential for appreciation in value, wine collectors derive pleasure from the nuances of wine tasting, the history of vineyards, and the art of winemaking. This section will delve deeper into fine wine as a case study in passion investing.

The unique appeal of fine wine investment

Fine wine embodies the essence of passion investing by offering both tangible and intangible returns. As a consumable asset, its value can appreciate due to factors like rarity, vintage quality, and global demand. Fine wine investment attracts those who are not only looking for financial gains but also for the enjoyment of collecting, tasting, and learning about wine.

Diversification and stability

Fine wine has demonstrated a relatively stable investment performance, often showing resilience in the face of economic downturns. Adding fine wine to an investment portfolio can provide diversification, reducing overall risk and smoothing out volatility.

Enjoyment and experience

Investing in fine wine is as much about the experience as it is about the potential financial returns. Collectors often take pride in hosting tastings, visiting vineyards, and immersing themselves in the rich culture and history of wine-making, which adds a deeply personal dimension to the investment.

Inflation hedge

Tangible assets like fine wine can serve as a hedge against inflation. As the value of money decreases, the value of physical goods can increase, protecting the purchasing power of the investor’s capital.

Passion investing offers a unique blend of personal fulfilment and financial opportunity, allowing investors to engage deeply with their interests while potentially earning returns. Successful fine wine investing requires knowledge and expertise. Investors should familiarize themselves with the wine market, including factors that affect wine prices and the best practices for buying, storing, and eventually selling wine for profit. Proper storage is crucial to maintain the quality and value of the wine, and provenance plays a significant role in its appreciation.

To find out how investment in fine wine works in practice, read our in-depth Fine Wine Investment Guide.

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Wine Advocate releases Bordeaux 2021 in-bottle scores

Bordeaux 2021
  • Wine Advocate has released William Kelley’s report on Bordeaux 2021 in-bottle.
  • According to the report, the best producers ‘especially those working with the best terroirs […] have produced some excellent wines’.
  • Haut-Brion, Cheval Blanc and Montrose were the highest-scoring wines of the vintage, receiving 97 points.

Wine Advocate has released William Kelley’s report on Bordeaux 2021 in-bottle based on his tastings, alongside his colleague Yohan Castaing. Kelley’s in-bottle verdict confirms his En Primeur assessment of this variable vintage.

A farmers’ vintage

Kelley wrote that the results were mixed, but ‘the best farmers, especially those working with the best terroirs and armed with the resources to take risks and make a strict selection, have produced some excellent wines’.

2021 is largely seen as a ‘farmers’ vintage’. According to Kelley, ‘the best 2021s are beautiful wines that exemplify how much technical progress Bordeaux has made over the last decade in the vineyards and in the winery’.

He attributes the best results to nurture over nature; however, this ‘doesn’t change the results in the glass’.

Vintage comparisons

Due to the heterogeneous nature of the 2021s, stylistic comparisons with back vintages are harder to make. For Kelley, ‘many wines are supple and charming, reminiscent of a modern-day version of the 1999 vintage: the perfect “restaurant vintage,” if one forgets their price’.

He added that ‘some of the best northern Médoc reds, with their serious, intensely Cabernet Sauvignon-driven personalities, evoke the 1996 vintage; whereas the Right Bank’s best 2021s are more sensual and seductive’.

When it comes to pricing, many 2021s are now available below their release price, making them an attractive investment proposition where quality is high.

The best Bordeaux 2021s

Kelley highlighted Cheval Blanc (97), Figeac (96+), Haut-Brion (97), Léoville-Las Cases (96+) and Montrose (97) as his wines of the vintage.

For Castaing, the 2021 First Growth reflects ‘the timeless elegance of Haut-Brions from cooler years [and] will delight Bordeaux purists’.

When it comes to Cheval Blanc, Kelley revealed that ‘director Pierre-Olivier Clouet even considers it to be superior to the 2020, a preference that I share’. The 2021 is one of the most affordable recent vintages from the estate.

The other highest-scoring wine, Montrose, got Kelley’s ‘nomination for the title of “wine of the vintage” in the Médoc’. The critic said it ‘entirely transcends the limitations of the year’.

Bordeaux 2021 in-bottle scores

Full report and tasting notes are available on the Wine Advocate’s website.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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How could 2024’s interest rates impact fine wine?

  • If interest rates increase or stay the same, there may be golden opportunities for savvy investors to fill their wine cellars for lower-than-average prices.
  • If the Bank of England starts to drop interest rates consecutively around May, we would expect the fine wine market to show signs of growth around autumn.
  • Rather than focus on short-term economic events, we encourage investors to buy high quality fine wines, and ideally hold them for at least a decade.

Today’s interest rates are 5.25% in the UK. That is a lot higher than most of us are used to. For example, in 2019 they were just 0.75%. But it is reassuring that they have not been cranked up even more over the past months. Consensus among most economists is that the rates will surely come down again in 2024. The question is, by how much?

Unlike the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England is warning markets not to expect big cuts. As Reuter’s reports, its ‘policy stance assumes a slow fall in interest rates to 4.25% in three years’ time’. However, many economists think that the rates will fall sooner.

Contrary to the central bank, Goldman Sachs predict rates will dip below 4% by the end of the year, marking a drop of more than 1.25%. Experts at Deutsche Bank are almost aligned, anticipating a 1.0% dip in the same timeframe. Andrew Goodwin, chief UK economist at Oxford Economics consultancy, expects the bank to start lowering rates in May. However, other economists suggest that June is more realistic.

In this article, we consider what these different scenarios mean for fine wine investors. When to buy, when to sell and when to hold are all critical questions as we dive into 2024.

If interest rates increase or stay the same

Continued high rates would probably be unwelcome news for most fine wine investors. Dovish policies like this usually led to a stronger pound, making wine more expensive for international buyers if sourcing from the UK market.

Asian and American buyers are a significant part of the fine wine market and cutting them out would probably lead to a dip in prices, as supply outstrips demand.

High interest rates could also temper domestic demand. After all, when the economy shrinks, there is less money for luxury goods. Buyers may opt for better ‘value’ purchases.

The compelling interest rates of savings accounts could also tempt investors away from illiquid assets. Over the short-term, putting cash into a bank account could seem like a safer bet. Even though, of course, over the long-term, the inflation risk is severe.

Ongoing high interest rates would likely create a buyer’s market. For the first few months of the year, until May, we could expect this to continue happening. Around this time, there may be golden opportunities for savvy investors to fill their cellars for lower-than-average prices.

If interest rates decrease by 0.25% – 2%

The most likely scenario is that the Bank of England will gradually reduce rates, starting from late spring or early summer. Most analysts (including Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs and Fidelity) seem to be anticipating a drop of at least 1.0%, and the markets have already priced this into products and forecasts. As seen in the news recently, inflation seems to be cooling, creating the right environment for interest rate cuts. For fine wine investors, this makes for reassuring reading.

Shrinking interest rates will make other low-risk investments like gold or savings accounts less compelling. Investors will probably start to feel the pull of more assets with more generous risk premiums. During the second half of the year, if interest goes down, fine wine prices might slowly increase.

A growing economy usually comes with more money to pop Champagne and see the year through in style. We’d expect the fine wine market to perk up in this environment.

Lower interest rates would probably be welcome news for international investors, as this usually signals better exchange rates. In 2021 and 2022, the weak pound and strong dollar stimulated Asian and American markets, boosting fine wine prices.

If the Bank of England starts to drop interest rates consecutively around May, we would expect the fine wine market to show signs of growth by around autumn. Prices would probably begin to creep up and continue rising with each rate cut. This would balance out the market, likely creating more demand and opportunities for sellers.

If interest rates plunge by 2% or more

It seems unlikely that interest rates will ever return to their pre-pandemic lows. Some experts, like those at Fidelity, argue that the previous rates were even kept ‘artificially low’, and overdue a correction. However, as recent years have taught us, unexpected things can happen.

If interest rates nosedive by more than 2% over 2024, it would probably be exceptionally good for fine wine investors. Both global and local demand would likely increase, as we saw in 2021. With the cost of borrowing plunging, we could expect to see more budgets allocated to luxury products like fine wine, creating more of a sellers’ market.

Fine wine investors in 2021 already enjoyed the rewards that come with a weak pound and low interest rates. International buyers leap into the market, creating a surge in demand.

If the interest rates cascade down to 3% or less by the end of the year, we would expect to see demand outstrip supply, leading to a hike in fine wine prices. This would be welcome news for sellers looking to cash-in their returns.

In the long-term, does it matter?

These predictions cover interest rate hikes over the next twelve months. But the real returns of fine wine tend to come in the longer run. As the Liv-ex 1000 index shows, fine wine prices on average have nearly doubled since 2014.

Rather than focus on short-term economic events, we encourage investors to buy high quality fine wines, care for them properly, and ideally hold them for at least a decade. For us, this is the true beauty of wine; its value is mostly intrinsic.

If you’d like to talk to an expert about buying or selling fine wine, we are just a call or an email away.

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Assessing the Burgundy 2022 En Primeur campaign

Burgundy 2022
  • Burgundy prices continued to spiral downwards in January, falling 3.7%.
  • This created a challenging backdrop for the unfolding Burgundy 2022 campaign, which saw about 10% of producers reduce pricing year-on-year.
  • The current market dynamics offer investors a unique window to enrich their collections with both new gems and proven performers.

Burgundy took the spotlight at the beginning of the year with the unfolding 2022 En Primeur campaign. Already in our Q4 2023 report, we questioned the potential of the new releases to stimulate an otherwise dormant market. On the one hand, there was the excitement of the new mixed with high quality and quantity playing to the campaign’s advantage; on the other, much depended on pricing.

Market conditions and pricing challenges

Burgundy prices continued to spiral downwards in January, with the Liv-ex Burgundy 150 index starting the year with a 3.7% decrease. To say that this created a challenging backdrop for the new releases would be an understatement. Prices at release had to come down.

And partially they did. According to Liv-ex, about 10% of the top producers ‘lowered their prices year-on-year’. However, ‘about 40% raised their prices, even if only modestly’. Thanks to greater quantities, allocations were mostly restored.

Burgundy 2022 – ‘a treasure trove’

As the first releases landed, Burgundy 2022 enjoyed a positive reception from critics and trade. Neal Martin (Vinous) advised that ‘if your favourite growers’ price tags seem fair, then I would not hesitate diving in’. He described the 2022 vintage as ‘Burgundy’s latest trick: a treasure trove of bright ‘n bushy-tailed whites and reds in a season that implied such wines would be impossible, wines predestined to give immense drinking pleasure’.

Investment perspective and older vintages

However, prices for older vintages remain under pressure, creating buying opportunities for already physical and readily available wines. For instance, three of Burgundy’s outstanding long-term wine performers have all seen dips between 15% and 10% in the last year. Over the last decade, however, DRC Vosne-Romanée Cuvée Duvault Blochet is up 388%; Georges Roumier Bonnes Mares – 339%, and Armand Rousseau Chambertin – 279% on average.

Burgundy wines performance

Meanwhile, the Burgundy 150 index has decreased 16% in the last year. Still, the overall long-term index trajectory remains upwards, as the chart below shows.

Burgundy index

Searching for value

The current market dynamics offer investors a unique window to enrich their collections with both new gems and proven performers across older physically available vintages.

When it comes to the latest, the Burgundy 2022 En Primeur campaign presents a complex tapestry of quality, quantity, and pricing amidst challenging market conditions. Despite initial price pressures, the adjustments made by producers and the positive critical reception underscore the potential of the new releases. Neal Martin’s endorsement further elevates the vintage, suggesting that for the discerning buyer, Burgundy 2022 provides not just immediate drinking pleasure but also long-term investment opportunities.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Four years since Brexit: is the UK still an investment hub?

  • British businesses have suffered declines in EU trade.
  • Billions-worth of investment assets have left the UK, opting for EU states.
  • Bucking the trend, fine wine prices soared to heights of 43%.

By the end of 2019, 70% of Brits were already nauseous of the word ‘Brexit’. But behind the fatigue, there was real fear in the air too. As the customs rules came into effect in 2021, gridlocked lorries clogged the roads to Dover, paperwork mounted, and supermarkets shelves began to look increasingly bare. The end of the single market had begun. The past years have been sobering time. According to the latest poll in January 2024, 61% of Brits would vote to rejoin the EU, up from 55% in summer 2023.

But what about the investment markets, and the performance of fine wine? In this article, we are diving into some of the main impacts of Brexit so far.

Added complexity dampened profitability

81% of UK businesses are still struggling with Brexit admin. For wine traders, the paperwork for a single bottle can stretch to over 90 pages, adding significant workloads. UK manufacturers are particularly suffering, with 96% reporting that the new rules have ‘badly disrupted trade with the EU’.

More compliance means more costs. It is estimated that businesses have spent an average of £100,000 each just trying to export goods over the border in the past years.

The complications have also led to once-loyal European customers jumping ship, with the average enterprise missing out on £96,281 since 2020. Two in five UK manufacturers have experienced declines in export volumes.

‘Brexodus’ carried talent (and investment) out of the UK

It is little surprise therefore that busloads of businesses, staff and operations decided to relocate. Welsh wine exporter Daniel Lambert, for example, moved his company to France in 2022. Lambert supplies some of the biggest British supermarkets, including Waitrose and Marks & Spencer.

Dublin has been one of the major hotspots for financial services, snatching-up the UK’s crown as the English-speaking bridge to the EU. This ‘Brexodus’ as it came to be known was great news for European cities. Germany, for example, enjoyed a 21% increase in direct foreign investment in May 2023.

However, it did not bode well for the UK. By March 2022, 7,000 jobs within financial services moved to the EU. Investment funds left too, with 24 firms planning to transfer £1.3 trillion of assets. Funding for British markets faltered.

As a biproduct of Brexit, the supply of skilled EU workers dwindled too. Today, recruiting European talent is 44% more difficult for UK companies. December 2023 saw the launch of even stricter measures designed to curb the flow of foreigners, although it also introduced higher minimum wages for skilled workers.

Slow growth turns off investors

Brexit was accompanied by the Covid-19 pandemic, political instability, and war overseas. While it is difficult to untangle the impact of Brexit, the UK has been notably slow to recover compared to peers. The Eurozone, for example, has grown at more than double the UK pace.

Increasingly, data suggests Brexit threw a wet towel on the UK’s growth prospects. As Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics and Public Policy at King’s College London, highlights, ‘both aggregate data and survey evidence strongly suggest that Brexit is at least in part responsible for the particularly poor performance since 2016, with investment perhaps 10% lower than it would otherwise have been’.

2024 analysis by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research corroborates, stating, ‘UK real GDP is some 2-3 per cent lower due to Brexit’. Each household is now £850 worse-off following Brexit, rising to £2,300 by 2035.

The retail wine market has suffered but not fine wine

Since Brexit, supermarket wine has had an estimated price increase of £3.50 per bottle. Perhaps in response, the government recently announced measures to ‘cut red tape’. The definition of wine will change to allow for wine mixing, lower alcohol volumes, and even pint-sized measurements.

The prices of fine wine went up too. Investment grade bottles, such as those traded on WineCap, performed exceptionally well during the turbulent Brexit periods. Many investors found fine wine hedged their portfolios against losses elsewhere.

The graph below shows the performance of the broadest fine wine market measure (Liv-ex 1000) over the past five years.

Fine wine vs FTSE 100

In the run-up to the customs changes, fine wine prices rose during mid-2020. Over the following two years, they saw an increase of 43%. This is in stark contrast to the performance of the FTSE100.

The returns didn’t end there. Because of fine wine’s unique tax status as a ‘wasting chattel’ in the UK, nearly all bottles are exempt from costly capital gains taxes. For those earning over £50,271 a year, this means savings of up to 28%.

To invest or not to invest?

Despite taking hits from Brexit, the UK is still an investment hub. Tourists are returning to London, businesses are battling through the headwinds, and gradually it is becoming clear that there needs to be more cooperation with the EU.

Throughout this turbulent time, fine wine has reached new heights. The (potentially Brexit-induced) combination of the weak pound and high dollar opened the floodgates for foreign fine wine investments. And the UK’s thriving tech scene also created inroads for savvy digital investors to trade fine wine. Investors have made the most of these glimmering opportunities to batten-down the hatches and shield their portfolios against some of the other Brexit difficulties.

If you are looking for a smooth way to invest in fine wine, our experts at WineCap are happy to guide you through the journey. Unlike Brexit admin, we are just a call away.

 

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Changes to Capital Gains Tax: what does this mean for fine wine investors?

  • Capital Gains Tax is a tax on the profit when you sell an asset that has increased in value.
  • From 6 April 2024, investors will pay up to 28% tax on profit over £3,000.
  • As a ‘wasting asset’, fine wine is exempt from Capital Gains Tax.

When should you start paying tax should you pay on profit? Apparently, it depends on the year you’re in. Pre-2022, investors paid tax on anything above £12,300. However, the past few years have seen the threshold slashed in half twice. In a bid to plug the “fiscal black hole“, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt announced limit cuts in the 2022 Autumn Budget. From 6 April 2024, investors will pay up to 28% on profit over £3,000.

However, there are some exceptions. Those who take advantage of Individual Savings Account (ISA) tax wrappers, for example, can invest up to £20,000 without paying Capital Gains Tax (CGT). Another exception is fine wine with a shelf life of less than 50 years.

Why is fine wine exempt from CGT?

Fine wine is usually classed as a ‘wasting asset’ or ‘wasting chattel’. This unflattering name is a blessing in disguise. It means that the HMRC do not consider it to be an investment where the profit should be taxed.

Other assets in this same category include personal machines. If you collect classic cars, vintage watches or antique clocks, you could also benefit from CGT-free returns. An added benefit is that these passion investments are inflation busters that tend to ride high despite economic worries.

How much profit can fine wine investors keep?

Provided the fine wine has a shelf life of less than fifty years – which is almost every fine wine – investors can keep all the profit. As we touched on in the section above, this can amount to significant sums. Some of last year’s top-performers, for instance, rose as much as 88% in a year. On average, fine wine prices have risen 14.1% in the last five years, and 62.7% in the last decade.

For other investments, which do attract CGT, such as buy-to-let property, gold, shares, bonds, art or commodities, investors must pay tax after £3,000. If they are basic taxpayers, the CGT comes to 18%. And for higher tax bands, it’s 28%.

How to tax-exempt assets like fine wine impact investment portfolios?

As the expression goes, investors should never put all their eggs in one basket. Spreading wealth across a variety of different assets, known as diversification, is at the heart of modern portfolio theory.

Investing in wasting assets like fine wine, alongside stocks, bonds, property, commodities and cash adds some advantages. One of these is that the tax savings can help balance out the increased taxes and fees from elsewhere. Buy-to-let properties for example are facing a double-whammy of increased taxation and hiked mortgage rates. Off-setting some of these expenses against the profits of wine can help to keep the whole portfolio in check.

Another benefit is that wasting assets generally tend to be inflation resistant, as their value comes from within. This can help to smooth out the inflation erosion of bonds and cash over the long-term.

Finally, wasting assets like fine wine tend to move slowly. While the market ebbs and flows, changes take months. This couldn’t be more different from high-risk stocks or crypto assets, which can soar and plummet in moments. Investing in fine wine can have a calming effect on the overall performance of a portfolio. This could be welcome news for investors who may not relish turbulent performances.

Where can you find out more?

Get a full picture of how fine wine taxation works with our complimentary guide. You can also speak to one our experts completely for free. Simply book a thirty-minute consultation with no strings attached, for a personalised conversation.

 

 

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‘Dragon’ wines for Chinese New Year

Chateau Beychevelle dragon boat
  • The Chinese zodiac has historically impacted fine wine demand in Asia.
  • 2024 is the year of the Wood Dragon, with previous vintages under the same sign being 2012, 2000, 1988 and 1976.
  • We examine the best wines from these ‘Dragon’ years and other associated labels.

As the Lunar New Year draws near, that of the Wood Dragon, the fine wine market is feeling the influence of the Chinese zodiac. Historically, the zodiac has had an impact on buying, particularly in Asia, with increased demand for wines from previous vintages carrying the same zodiac sign or those symbolically linked to it. Which will be the trending ‘Dragon’ wines this year?

Past ‘Dragon’ vintages

The last four ‘Dragon’ vintages were 2012, 2000, 1988 and 1976.

2012

In terms of growing season, the most recent 2012 ‘Dragon’ year was challenging in many fine wine producing regions, including Bordeaux and Burgundy, which led to mixed quality. However, it is widely considered as one of the greatest Champagne vintages this century, with Tuscany and the Rhône also excelling in some areas. Famous 100-point (Wine Advocate) wines include M. Chapoutier Ermitage l’Ermite from the Rhône (rated by Jeb Dunnuck), L’Eglise-Clinet from Bordeaux (William Kelley), Pingus (Luis Gutiérrez) from Spain and Screaming Eagle (Robert Parker) from California.

2000

The 2000 vintage was brilliant in Bordeaux with many of the wines now reaching maturity. This classic vintage saw Parker award Pavie, La Mission Haut-Brion and Pétrus 100-point scores, with Lafleur receiving the same perfect score from Neal Martin, and Cheval Blanc from Antonio Galloni. The 2000 was also another legendary year for Champagne, with highly rated wines including Krug Clos du Mesnil, Louis Roederer Cristal and Dom Pérignon P2. In Burgundy, the vintage was largely seen as one for early consumption due to low acidity, but many of the wines are now drinking perfectly. The appellations that shone were Nuits-Saint-Georges, Chambolle-Musigny and Morey-Saint-Denis.

1988

A great year for the sweet wines of Bordeaux, 1988 Sauternes and Barsac have stood the test of time. Initially considered a Right Bank vintage, Lisa Perrotti-Brown MW (The Wine Independent) recently wrote that wines ‘from Saint-Émilion, Pomerol, and Pessac-Léognan […] should be drunk soon’. 1988 is another vintage to drink soon in Burgundy that produced classic, long-lived wines with good depth of fruit. The year was much more abundant in Chardonnay than in Pinot Noir, and hence better for reds than for whites.

1976

Going back close to 50 years, the 1976 vintage was a mixed bag for much of the wine world. In France, Champagne and Alsace fared better than Bordeaux and Burgundy, and Germany enjoyed a fantastic year. The most significant event was the Judgement of Paris tasting, which put California on the fine wine map. In terms of 100-point wines, Robert Parker’s 1976 favourites were Penfolds Grange and Guigal Côte-Rôtie La Mouline.

Beychevelle – the most famous ‘Dragon’ wine

When it comes to associations, Château Beychevelle is an apt choice for the ‘Dragon’ year as its Chinese name means ‘dragon boat’. The wine’s label also depicts a ship with the head of a griffin. Its 2012 vintage is ‘one of the stars of St. Julien’, according to Parker, who described it as ‘elegant and powerful, rich and intense, but light on its feet’. He recommended drinking it between 2019 and 2051.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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How to use fine wine as a hedge against inflation

fine wine hedge against inflation
  • Fine wine can effectively hedge against inflation, often outperforming traditional assets like gold and stocks.
  • Investment in fine wine requires consideration of personal ethics, liquidity needs, and a long-term strategy.
  • Strategic timing in fine wine investment, such as early purchases, can lead to significant profit taking.

Since 1914, the price of bread has seen inflation of around 11,000%. In the roaring 20s, a loaf cost under a penny. Fast forward to today, the average bread costs around £1.35. This price rise is not due to an increase in the quality of bread but rather a reflection of the decreasing purchasing power of money over time. In the words of the French writer and Burgundy lover, Hugo Voltaire, ‘Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value – zero’.

As well as playing havoc with our savings, inflation can be the undoing of fixed-income investment portfolios too. Unless the interest rates outpace the loss of purchasing power, repayments will be worth less and less each year. In these tense economic times, investors may be tempted by hedge funds and hedging assets like derivatives. While these can offer reassurance, they’re also complicated and expensive. So-called ‘safe haven’ assets like gold and property are also effective inflation-hedges. But right now, they are trading at a premium. This article explores an alternative option: fine wine as a hedge against inflation risk.

Assess your inflation exposure in your investment strategy

If you invest in liquid and fixed-income investments like cash or bonds, your wealth is probably exposed to inflation. This tends to be more typical for those closer to retirement, as they may need access to regular funds. Start by identifying these assets in your portfolio. Pay close attention to bonds which last more than five years, as the interest payments (or coupons) could be more at risk of losing value over time.

Once you’ve identified the riskiest assets, refer to your strategy. There may already be a plan for how to deal with periods of high inflation. Most managers will build-in hedging assets from the beginning. But many will also deviate from the strategy tactically from time to time. For example, in high inflation environments, they might sell some bonds and buy stocks – known as going ‘overweight’ or ‘underweight’ from the original allocations. This is what you may need to do if you have too much inflation risk in your portfolio. Depending on your financial needs, fine wine could be a sensible alternative investment for you.

Consider if fine wine is right for you

Fine wine is a truly excellent hedge against inflation. However, it may not be suitable for everyone. If you do not want to invest in fine wine because of religion or personal reasons, you should follow your ethics. Wine is not the only inflation-resistant asset, and you may be better suited to art, luxury watches and collectible cars.

You should also consider your liquidity needs. Fine wine is a long-term asset with intrinsic value. Investors can only collect returns after the bottles have been sold. And for the best results, that could take upwards of five years.

Investors should also be aware that fine wine is traded on the private market. Nowadays, this is much easier than it used to be. Instead of attending physical auctions and joining exclusive clubs, you can find fine wine investment platforms online.

Find a wine to suit your time horizon

The value of fine wine typically increases with age. Investors often buy fine wine at least five years in advance, with some opting for En Primeur purchases.

In this world, timing is everything. And if you can get it right, you stand to make a handsome profit. Over ten years, Domaine Arnoux-Lachaux Nuits-Saint-Georges Rouge, for example, has delivered returns of 525% and counting.

Before you begin, consider carefully what type of time horizon you are comfortable with. Ideally, you’re looking to plug the inflation gaps in your portfolio, without landing yourself into an illiquidity issue. For example, if you’re concerned about the inflation risk of some five-year bonds, you could look into ‘brands on the move’ that have historically delivered faster returns.

Understand the fine wine market

Fine wine attracts a diverse range of buyers, from enthusiasts to those purchasing for business or personal milestones. Understanding buyer motivations and regional preferences is key to strategic investing. Seasonal trends, like the heightened demand for Champagne towards the end of the year, also play a role in maximising returns.

A precious and depleting asset with intrinsic value

If you’re looking to shield your wealth from the erosive effects of inflation, fine wine could be the answer. It is a precious and depleting asset, with intrinsic value. As one academic paper recently found, ‘fine wine has outperformed almost every other major financial index over the past two decades’. However, to get the best results, you’d probably need to buy, hold and think long-term.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Report

Q4 2023 Fine Wine Report & 2024 Outlook

WineCap Q4 2023 report

Our Q4 2023 report has now been released. The report offers a comprehensive overview of the fine wine market in the last quarter and a forward-looking perspective for 2024. In a landscape marked by correction and repositioning, it delves into the dynamic interplay of market forces, unveiling both challenges and opportunities for investors.

Report highlights:

  • The fine wine market is navigating 2024 amidst a correction phase, presenting a chance for strategic repositioning.
  • Fine wine prices (Liv-ex 100 index) experienced a 4.2% decline in Q4, reflective of market adjustments amid global economic uncertainties.
  • Increased risk aversion has redirected focus to classic wines and regions, with Bordeaux emerging as a standout beneficiary.
  • Bordeaux’s resurgence, driven by liquidity and a solid reputation, underscores the market’s adaptability to changing dynamics.
  • The upcoming high-volume Burgundy and Bordeaux En Primeur campaigns present opportunities for strategic investment, with pricing strategies holding the key to success.
  • Investors, seeking value and consistency, anticipate potential opportunities in the evolving landscape.
  • As an improving asset in diminishing supply, their emphasis should remain on long-term gains.

Click below to download your free copy of our quarterly investment report.