Category: Report

Q3 2025 Fine Wine Report

In our Q3 summary of the fine wine market we look at how the global economic landscape is shaping investment strategies, the road to recovery in fine wine, and the best-performing regions and wines so far this year. Read on for more on Lafleur’s recent classification withdrawal, the autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign, and other industry-defining trends.

Executive summary

Market backdrop strengthens: Global equities advanced in Q3 amid optimism for gradual rate cuts and corporate earnings. Improving sentiment and policy clarity provided a firmer foundation for alternative assets, including fine wine.
Fine wine stabilises: After two years of correction, the fine wine market showed early signs of recovery. The Liv-ex 100 posted its first quarterly gain since the downturn began.
Regional divergence narrows: Champagne, Rhône, and Italy led the quarter, while Bordeaux and Burgundy also showed improvements; evidence of a maturing market phase approaching equilibrium.
Selectivity drives returns: The best performing wines came from overlooked vintages, particularly Bordeaux 2013/2014, alongside Rhône’s consistent value names and global icons such as DRC and Screaming Eagle.
La Place campaign underwhelms: The autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign failed to shift market momentum. Demand remained subdued as release prices offered limited value versus back vintages in most cases.
News – Lafleur withdraws from Pomerol AOC: In a significant development, Château Lafleur announced its withdrawal from the Pomerol AOC, citing the need for greater viticultural flexibility in response to climate change. We explore how this might affect its market performance.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Market optimism sets the stage for fine wine stability

Global markets rallied through Q3 2025, driven by renewed optimism over growth and the prospect of gradual rate cuts, even as inflation proved sticky. US equities extended record highs, powered by strong earnings and ongoing enthusiasm for AI-related sectors, while Europe delivered mixed results amid weak German data but resilience in France and the UK. Gold surged as investors sought safety from lingering geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties linked to US tariff policy. Bond markets posted modest gains as central banks maintained a cautious stance. Overall, investor sentiment steadied following a turbulent first half, with risk appetite supported by policy optimism and improving economic data, creating a firmer backdrop for alternative assets, such as fine wine, heading into Q4.

Fine wine market starts to turn

Signs of stability continued to build across the fine wine market in Q3, reinforcing the gradual improvement noted in our Q2 Fine Wine Report. After two years of consistent decline, several regional indices turned positive over the quarter. Five of the Liv-ex regional indices rose in August and September, and for the first time in three years, the Liv-ex 50, which tracks the prices of the Bordeaux First Growths, experienced monthly growth.

Broader market measures also improved. The Liv-ex 100 rose 1.1% in September, and the bid:offer ratio – a key gauge of demand relative to supply – reached 0.70, its highest level since April 2023. This sustained rise suggests buyers are gradually re-entering the market, drawn by attractive pricing and renewed confidence following a prolonged correction. While it is too early to call a full recovery, these movements point to a maturing phase of the downturn where value-seeking activity replaces reactive selling.

La Place autumn campaign fails to shift momentum

A key event of the third quarter every year is the La Place de Bordeaux autumn campaign, which saw the release of over 130 wines from around the globe in September. However, in 2025, the campaign did little to shift momentum. New releases that did not offer value in the context of back vintages available in the market largely fell short, and demand was tepid even for the traditionally most sought-after labels like Opus One, Masseto, Ornellaia, Solaia and Penfolds. Tariff uncertainty, oversupply and general market cautiousness were a structural drag. Unless prices and allocation discipline improve, the campaign is likely to continue to alienate buyers.

Mainstream markets lead Q3; fine wine re-emerges

Global equities posted solid gains in Q3, buoyed by growing optimism around prospective interest-rate cuts and resilient corporate earnings. While mainstream markets outpaced most alternatives, select segments of the alternative asset universe – particularly private credit and real assets – showed signs of resilience. Fine wine also staged a modest recovery.

The Liv-ex 100 Index, which tracks the performance of the most sought-after investment-grade wines, recorded its first quarterly gain since the market downturn began, rising 0.4% over the quarter. Losses in July and August were offset by a 1.1% rebound in September, signalling renewed confidence. The broader Liv-ex 1000 Index slipped 0.5% over Q3, though it, too, recovered 0.4% in September, suggesting stabilisation across a wider basket of fine wines.

Meanwhile, the First Growths Index – a barometer for Bordeaux’s top estates – rose 0.7% in September but remained 0.7% lower for the quarter overall, reflecting the uneven pace of recovery across regions and price tiers. Nonetheless, after several quarters of decline, Q3 marked a turning point where fine wine once again began to move in step with the broader risk-on sentiment seen in global markets.

Regional fine wine performance in Q3

Regional fine wine indices displayed a mixed picture in Q3, but the pace of decline eased, and several categories began to rise. The Liv-ex 1000 ended the quarter 0.6% lower, yet September brought a broad uptick across most regions – an encouraging sign after months of subdued activity.

Champagne held its ground best, maintaining near-flat performance over the quarter and retaining its position as one of the most resilient categories in 2025. The region benefited from increased demand from Asia and the US. The Rhone 100 also improved modestly, ending Q3 just above its Q2 level as buyers continued to favour regions offering relative value.

Italy (0.4%) and the Rest of the World 60 (0.3%) both saw small gains in Q3, hinting at early signs of renewed confidence beyond the traditional strongholds of Bordeaux and Burgundy, which fell in Q3.

The Bordeaux 500 declined 1.7%, while the Bordeaux Legends 40 dipped just 0.6%, as mature Bordeaux continued to attract active buyers. However, of the six Bordeaux sub-indices, three went up in September – those measuring the performance of the First Growths, their Second Wines, and the top 100 wines from the Right Bank. Burgundy prices softened slightly, down 0.2%, but its top wines remained among the most robust performers since the 2022 peak.

The combination of improving sentiment, selective buying, and greater market stability suggests that regional fine wine prices may be nearing their floor, setting the stage for a more balanced close to 2025.

The best performing wines so far in 2025

Even in a broadly subdued market, 2025 has shown that fine wine remains a story of selectivity and scarcity. A handful of standout wines have delivered strong double-digit returns, proving that, even during correction phases, the right names and vintages can outperform significantly.

The spread between the top-performing fine wines (+18% on average) and the Liv-ex 1000’s broad decline year-to-date (around -4.7%) highlights exactly why selection is paramount.

Three key themes stand out among the top-performing wines in 2025 year-to-date:

‘Off’ vintage Bordeaux is back in vogue

Wines from cooler or once-overlooked vintages – such as Bordeaux 2013 and 2014 – have led the pack. Collectors appear increasingly willing to reward finesse, drinkability, and scarcity over hype, with Château Les Carmes Haut-Brion (+38.2%) and Château Beychevelle (+22.2%) exemplifying this trend.

The Rhône’s value overdelivers

Rhône wines continued to prove their value credentials. Vieux Télégraphe’s 2020 and 2021 vintages and Jaboulet’s La Chapelle 2014 all posted impressive gains, driven by limited production, consistent critical endorsement, and comparatively attractive pricing.

Scarcity runs the market

At the very top end, scarcity remains the strongest currency. Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, and Screaming Eagle demonstrated that rare, blue-chip wines continue to attract capital regardless of broader sentiment.

Investors focusing on authenticity, producer pedigree, and under-appreciated vintages have outperformed the broader market, suggesting that quality and insight remain the keys to long-term success.

Q3 releases: Spotlight on Taittinger Comtes de Champagne 2014

Champagne has proven one of the most resilient categories in 2025, with the Champagne 50 Index outperforming most regional peers in Q3 (up 0.3%). The region is also enjoying renewed global demand as buyers take advantage of the attractive price levels post its 2022 peak. Within this steadying landscape, Champagne house Taittinger released the 2014 vintage of its Comtes de Champagne.

Awarded 97 points by both Yohan Castaing (The Wine Advocate) and Antonio Galloni (Vinous), it ranks among the highest-rated Comtes vintages ever – and Galloni notably compared it to the legendary 2008, which trades at a nearly 40% premium.

The 2014 release also carries historical significance. As the last truly cool-climate vintage in Champagne, it represents a stylistic milestone unlikely to be replicated amid the region’s ongoing warming trend – a factor that enhances its long-term collectability.

From an investment perspective, Comtes has been a quiet outperformer. The Taittinger Comtes de Champagne index has risen steadily over the past decade, outpacing both Dom Pérignon and Louis Roederer Cristal during the bull market of 2020–2023, and showing notable price stability throughout 2025.

‘Taittinger consistently stands out as one of the best values among top-tier Champagnes, frequently outperforming many other Grand Marques tête-de-cuvée offerings.’
– Yohan Castaing, The Wine Advocate

Market snapshot

2014 Release price: £1,190 per 12×75
Critic scores: 97 points (Vinous, The Wine Advocate)
Ranking: 62nd in the 2024 Liv-ex Power 100 (up nine places year-on-year)

With exceptional critic consensus, proven secondary market demand, and a price point that remains competitive, the 2014 Taittinger Comtes de Champagne exemplifies why the region continues to attract buyers, whether for enjoyment or investment.

Q3 Fine wine news: Lafleur withdraws from Pomerol AOC

In August, Château Lafleur confirmed that from the 2025 vintage onward, its wines will no longer carry the Pomerol AOC designation, instead being labeled Vin de France. The decision extends across the Guinaudeau family’s portfolio, including Les Pensées, Les Perrières, and Grand Village.

The estate cited the need for greater viticultural flexibility in the face of accelerating climate change. In correspondence with trade partners, the Guinaudeau family wrote: ‘Climate is changing fast and hard… We must think, readapt, act.’

The withdrawal allows Lafleur to implement adaptive farming methods not currently authorised under the appellation’s 1936 regulations, such as controlled irrigation, soil covering to reduce evaporation, canopy shading, and adjusted planting density.

Lafleur’s independence enables it to act without the procedural delays that constrain larger or corporate-owned estates. The move is consistent with its reputation for long-term thinking and precision farming, aligning vineyard practice more closely with environmental reality.

Market context

Historically, classification changes in Bordeaux have affected perception and pricing. The 2012 promotions of Pavie and Angélus within Saint-Émilion’s hierarchy, for instance, coincided with rapid market repricing, even though the wines themselves did not change. Lafleur’s withdrawal represents the opposite: the relinquishment of an appellation name rather than an elevation within it.

In the short term, pricing impact is likely to be neutral, as Lafleur’s identity and market position are defined by brand equity rather than by appellation. The château’s production is limited, its critical reputation exceptional, and its collector base highly stable. Over time, however, label differentiation could influence liquidity and buyer psychology, particularly between the final ‘Pomerol’ labelled vintages and the inaugural ‘Vin de France’ release, both of which may acquire added significance in secondary trading.

Performance and relative strength

Over the past decade, Lafleur’s secondary market performance has outpaced that of both the First Growths and its Right Bank peers, Pavie and Angélus. Despite the broader Bordeaux market correction since 2022, Lafleur has retained a significant premium, perhaps reflecting scarcity and confidence in the Guinaudeau family’s brand.

Should the transition to ‘Vin de France’ labelling prove commercially seamless, the move could even enhance Lafleur’s individuality, reinforcing its cult status as a technically driven, terroir-first estate.

All in all, Lafleur’s withdrawal prompts a broader structural question for Bordeaux: how the appellation system adapts to climate change through balancing regional reputation with innovation arising from global-warming challenges. For Lafleur, the decision appears evolutionary rather than disruptive, designed to preserve vineyard resilience and wine quality in a shifting climate.

If Lafleur’s performance continues to mirror its past decade – where brand identity outweighed classification – this change may ultimately serve to strengthen, rather than dilute, its market position.

Q3 summary and a look ahead to Q4

The third quarter of 2025 marked a transition phase for the fine wine market. With mainstream assets recovering and investor sentiment stabilising, fine wine has begun to re-establish its footing after a protracted two-year downturn. Indicators such as the rising bid:offer ratio and renewed regional resilience point toward a more balanced market environment heading into Q4. Price declines have largely moderated, and value-seeking capital is returning, particularly to regions offering long-term quality at attractive entry points.

Looking ahead, the key drivers of performance will continue to be scarcity, selectivity, and producer reputation. Top estates with disciplined production, strong brand equity, and adaptability are well-positioned to outperform as the market moves toward recovery. As Q3 showed, the correction appears to have reached maturity; the next phase is likely to be characterised by gradual re-pricing, focused accumulation, and renewed confidence in fine wine as a stable, long-term asset.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q2 2025 Fine Wine Report

Explore key trends in the Q2 2025 Fine Wine Market Report – from Trump’s proposed tariffs to Bordeaux En Primeur 2024, index performance, and standout wines like Chave Hermitage and Screaming Eagle. Discover where value and stability are emerging.

Executive summary

Trump’s proposed tariffs dominated headlines, yet the delayed implementation gave markets breathing room.
The Liv-ex 100 index declined 3% in Q2 but showed signs of levelling off by quarter-end.
Bordeaux En Primeur 2024 was met with weak demand driven by oversupply and collector preference for mature vintages.
Regional performance diverged, with Bordeaux and Burgundy leading declines, while Champagne showed signs of stabilisation.
Top-performing wines defied broader market trends, with double-digit gains from names like Chave Hermitage 2021, Château d’Yquem 2014, and Screaming Eagle 2012.
Fine wine remains in a correction phase, but select names, regions, and vintages continue to offer compelling investment opportunities.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Global markets adjust as tariff volatility eases

President Trump’s revival of protectionist trade policies set the tone for global markets in Q2. From January to April, the average U.S. tariff rate on imported goods like cars, steel, and aluminium surged from 2.5% to a century-high 27%, before easing to 15.8% in June.

While the March tariff threat initially triggered sharp volatility, the fallout was relatively short-lived. Early April brought a brief dip into bear territory for the S&P 500 on tariff fears. But with policy pauses and stronger-than-expected earnings – 78% of S&P companies beat forecasts – investor confidence returned. Equities in Europe and Asia rallied as well, with the FTSE 100 testing new highs. Corporate investment, especially in AI, remained robust despite political and fiscal uncertainty.

This broader resilience helped buoy alternative assets like fine wine. While less liquid than stocks, fine wine saw continued interest from long-term investors. Crucially, there was no evidence of panic selling – a sign of confidence in the asset class’s underlying stability.

Telling signs of stability in the fine wine investment market

The pace of fine wine price declines slowed in the second half of the second quarter, although the market is not yet in full recovery mode. On average, fine wine prices as measured by the Liv-ex 100 index, dipped 3% in Q2 2025. The index has been in a freefall since September 2022, seeing only five minor upticks during this time. Meanwhile, the Liv-ex 50, which tracks the performance of the Bordeaux First Growth, has been in a consistent decline during the last 33 months.

Still, the recent falls have been less pronounced, and prices for many of the index component wines have maintained their new levels without falling further. The market seems to be adjusting to the new environment, with participants showing greater acceptance of the status quo and reduced sensitivity to geopolitical noise. In Q2, demand even began to resurface, particularly from Asia, which has been notoriously quiet, and the U.S., which had initially retreated due to tariff fears.

Muted demand for Bordeaux En Primeur 2024 as market shifts for mature wines

With the market still absorbing past vintages and saturation setting in, enthusiasm for Bordeaux En Primeur 2024 was notably subdued. Despite reduced release prices, the wines often failed to offer compelling quality or value when compared to older vintages readily available on the secondary market.

Bordeaux’s structural challenges persist. Negociants remain overstocked and weighed down by rising bank interest, while many merchants lack the appetite or capital to buy for stock. Meanwhile, the once-crucial Chinese market remains largely dormant.

This muted campaign reflects a broader shift in buyer behaviour. Demand has tilted decisively toward mature wines with a track record of quality and drinkability. While the short-term appeal of buying young futures has faded for now, Bordeaux’s reputation for ageability and long-term value endures.

Fine wine vs mainstream markets in H1 2025

While mainstream equity markets swung between bear and bull phases in Q2, the fine wine market charted a notably more stable path. Fine wine prices declined modestly over the period, but without the sharp drops or rallies seen in the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial, or FTSE 100. The contrast, seen in the chart above, reinforces fine wine’s reputation as a lower-volatility asset during times of heightened macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Importantly, this steady decline was not marked by panic selling or dramatic shifts. This reflects the market’s structural differences: lower liquidity, longer holding periods, and a collector-investor base that prioritises wealth preservation over short-term trading.

Moreover, beneath the surface, outliers and outperformers remain. Read on to discover where relative value has emerged, and which regions and producers have shown resilience – or even strength – so far this year.

Regional fine wine performance: year-to-date trends

The first half of 2025 has revealed consistent pressure across nearly all fine wine indices, with no region posting growth year-to-date. Yet the degree of decline varies.

Bordeaux and Burgundy lead declines (-5.6%)

Both the Liv-ex Bordeaux 500 and Burgundy 150 have posted the steepest year-to-date losses among the major indices, each down 5.6%. For Bordeaux, this reflects tepid interest in younger vintages and a sluggish En Primeur campaign, coupled with a lack of support from Asia. Burgundy continues to correct from previous pricing spikes, as buyers recalibrate in search of better relative value.

Auction results defy the indices

While Bordeaux and Burgundy’s regional indices posted year-to-date declines of -5.6%, recent auction results tell a different story at the very top end of the market.

In June 2025, Christie’s held a landmark sale of the personal wine collection of billionaire collector Bill Koch, generating a record-breaking $28.8 million over three days. The sale drew global participation and intense bidding across 1,500 lots, each of which was sold. The standout was a 1999 Romanée-Conti Methuselah, which fetched an eye-catching $275,000.

The collection featured rare Bordeaux and Burgundy – the very categories currently under pressure in secondary market indices – yet buyer appetite was strong, and prices exceeded estimates across multiple lots.

Champagne shows relative stability

The Champagne 50 has held up better than most, down just 4.9% year-to-date, and was the only region to show positive month-on-month growth in June (+0.8%). While the broader category has cooled after a strong run, interest in top names remains, especially among collectors focused on prestige and scarcity. Indeed, many of Champagne’s top brands now represent the best entry point into the region in years. Prices have stabilised, and there are signs they will not fall any further, but might start to rise again.

Broader weakness across other regions

Rest of the World 60 is down 5.0%, showing soft demand beyond the mainstay regions.
California 50, also down 5.6%, mirrors this trend and highlights ongoing sensitivity to U.S. economic and tariff concerns.
Italy 100 has dropped 3.3%, suggesting a more measured pullback, consistent with the region’s reputation for offering value and dependable quality.
Bordeaux Legends 40 and Rhone 100 are holding up best, with declines of only 2.6% and 2.5% respectively. This speaks to market confidence in mature Bordeaux and Rhône’s reputation for steady, value-driven performance.

As the fine wine market works through broader corrections, defensive regions – particularly Rhône and mature Bordeaux – are outperforming, while Burgundy and California remain under pressure. Champagne’s recent bounce may signal early signs of selective recovery. For investors, opportunities may lie in regions demonstrating resilience rather than those still working through valuation resets.

The best-performing wines so far this year

Despite broad declines across regional indices, a select group of wines delivered standout returns in H1 2025, highlighting the importance of producer reputation, scarcity, and vintage specificity in fine wine performance.

The Rhône leads driven by Chave

The top-performing wine was Domaine Jean Louis Chave’s 2021 Hermitage Rouge, which rose +36.8% in the first half of the year. This outperformance stands in stark contrast to the overall Rhône 100 index, which declined 2.5%. Over the last decade, prices for the brand are up 127% (compare its performance to other market benchmarks on Wine Track).

Château d’Yquem 2014 and Château Suduiraut 2016 returned 25.7% and 23.9% respectively, bucking the downward trend in Sauternes. On a brand level, Yquem has risen 7% in the last six months and 3% in Q2; Suduiraut is up 11% in H1 2025. These results signal renewed collector appetite for premium dessert wines – particularly in top vintages where quality and longevity are indisputable – yet prices remain relatively low.

Prestige investment opportunities in Napa and Champagne

The California 50 index fell 5.6%, but iconic Napa cult wine Screaming Eagle 2012 rose 24.4%, affirming the strength of globally recognised, ultra-luxury labels. Indeed, average prices for the brand rose 5% in H1 2025. Similarly, Pol Roger Sir Winston Churchill 2015 posted a 24.4% gain, demonstrating that top-tier Champagne continues to attract collectors even as the Champagne 50 index overall declined.

Burgundy and Tuscany standouts reinforce blue-chip strategies

Despite Burgundy’s broader correction, DRC’s La Tâche 2020 and Clos de Tart 2013 delivered 24.5% and 18.1% returns respectively. These names remain benchmarks of rarity and prestige. Meanwhile, Soldera Case Basse 2018 gained 14.3%, pointing to sustained momentum behind top Italian producers. In Q2 alone, prices for the Tuscan premium brand are up 11%; in H1, 16%.

Investor takeaways

Market-wide declines don’t mean universal losses. Select wines not only held value but also delivered double-digit returns.
Rarity and recognisability remain key drivers. Names like Chave, Yquem, Screaming Eagle, and DRC continue to offer portfolio resilience.
Smart vintage selection pays. Wines from underappreciated years – like Canon 2014 – produced outsized gains relative to their pricing base.
Dessert wines are back on the radar. Contrarian plays in Sauternes may offer continued upside in H2 2025.

Brands to watch

Signs of a Champagne revival

After being the fine wine market’s standout performer in 2022, Champagne experienced one of the sharpest pullbacks during the broader market correction of 2023–2024. However, signals suggest the tide may now be turning again.

From peak to pause: A market in transition

Prices across the Champagne sector have fallen significantly from their highs, but the sell-off appears to have run its course. June marked a notable shift: Champagne was the first regional index to post positive month-on-month growth, rising +0.8%, a potential inflexion point after months of stagnation.

More importantly, price stability has returned. The sector’s recent performance suggests we may be entering a new phase of the Champagne investment cycle, where prices consolidate before a potential recovery.

Market data signals stabilisation

To test this trend, we analysed the 10 most recent vintages of the five most-searched “Grand Marque” Champagnes:

Dom Pérignon: 2015, 2014, 2012, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003
Cristal: 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005
Salon Le Mesnil: 2013, 2012, 2007, 2006, 2004, 2002, 1999, 1997, 1996, 1995
Krug Vintage: 2011, 2008, 2006, 2004, 2003, 2002, 2000, 1998, 1996, 1995
Taittinger Comtes de Champagne: 2013, 2012, 2011, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2002, 2000

Of these 50 individual wines,

43 have resisted their price declines,
40 have remained stable for at least six months,
the indexes aggregating their vintages confirm this plateau.

Notably, Dom Pérignon has shown the earliest and most sustained stabilisation, with its index bottoming out in November 2024. Krug Vintage and Taittinger Comtes de Champagne are the most recent to enter this stable phase, suggesting broader alignment across the category.

A new phase for Champagne?

This pattern of index symmetry and brand-level stabilisation is a clear signal that Champagne may be transitioning from correction to consolidation. Investor sentiment appears to be catching up to underlying fundamentals, with many of Champagne’s leading brands now offering compelling re-entry points. Liv-ex market share data supports this trend:year-to-date, Champagne has taken 12.4% of the market by value, up from an annual 2024 average of 11.8%, signalling that demand is returning.

If this trend holds, Champagne could become one of the first major regions to re-enter positive growth territory, supported by brand power, vintage scarcity, and collector loyalty.

Q3 2025 market outlook: A pause before the pulse?

The third quarter – traditionally the quietest in the fine wine calendar – arrives amid a tentative calm. Following the volatility of Q2, Q3 is shaping up to be more subdued but not without potential catalysts.

Tariff watch

President Trump’s planned tariffs, originally slated for Q2, have now been delayed until August 1st. Markets have so far responded with a muted shrug, suggesting either tariff fatigue or confidence that negotiations may temper the final impact. But the uncertainty remains a live wire: should enforcement proceed, volatility could resurface late in the quarter. For now, however, investors appear cautiously indifferent.

La Place de Bordeaux’s autumn window

With the Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign having underwhelmed, attention now turns to La Place de Bordeaux’s autumn campaign. This presents a rare chance for standout producers from around the world to seize attention, particularly those releasing back vintages or special bottlings. A well-priced, tightly-curated campaign could reignite interest and provide pockets of momentum in an otherwise quiet market.

Rest of the World builds buzz

As traditional strongholds like Bordeaux and Burgundy continue to correct or stagnate, Rest of the World wines are beginning to command more attention. California, Tuscany, and Rhône producers featured prominently among H1’s top performers, and collectors may increasingly look to these regions for value, scarcity, and differentiation in the second half of the year.

A stable market… but will it rise?

Fine wine’s reputation for stability held firm in H1, avoiding the sharp swings seen in equities. The question now is whether this stability will give way to price appreciation. While some wines are poised to rise, we expect the broader market to remain sluggish through the summer. Liquidity typically thins in July and August, and the broader mood is unlikely to shift meaningfully until September.

What to watch

Tariff developments post-August 1st
Autumn releases on La Place, especially non-Bordeaux
Top Champagne brands starting to rise in value
Collector appetite for emerging regional stars
Signs of rotation from defensive to opportunistic buying behaviour

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Q1 2025 Fine Wine Report

It has been a volatile start to the year, with President Donald Trump’s return to the White House unsettling global markets. The fine wine market continued its measured slowdown, yet optimism persists: wealth managers increasingly view fine wine as a strategic diversifier, with demand expected to rise in 2025. Q1 saw a cautiously successful Burgundy 2023 En Primeur campaign and a mixed round of spring La Place releases – headlined by the highly anticipated, 6×100-point Latour 2016.

This report explores the key trends that shaped Q1, from geopolitical tensions and shifting market sentiment to the top-performing wines and regional highlights.

Executive summary

Mainstream markets faltered:
At the time of writing, the S&P 500 has fallen 7.2% year-to-date, Nikkei 225 dropped 20.5%, and crude oil is down 13.2%.
Fine wine prices dipped:
The Liv-ex 100 declined 2.0% in Q1 2025. The broader Liv-ex 1000 index is down 2.1%.
Regional performance:
Bordeaux and Burgundy were the weakest regions in Q1, each falling 2.9%. Italy continued to show resilience, down just 0.4%.
Top performer:
The best performing wine was Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Rouge 2021, which surged 22.7%.
La Place spring campaign:
Expanded further with new entrants. The Latour 2016, backed by six 100-point scores, stood out as one of the most successful and talked-about releases.
Looking ahead:
The Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign, the key fine wine event of Q2, faces heightened price pressure and buyer caution amid broader economic headwinds.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Escalating trade war tensions

One of the most disruptive forces in Q1 2025 has been the re-escalation of global trade tensions, largely stemming from President Donald Trump’s newly announced tariffs. The dramatic return to tariffs has created significant headwinds for global markets, and fine wine has not been immune.

Tariffs fluctuated rapidly. In early April, Trump declared 54% tariffs on Chinese goods imported into the US, a figure he raised to 125% just days later. In the same breath, he confirmed 20% tariffs on European goods, before abruptly announcing a 90-day pause on April 9th, during which tariffs for all non-Chinese countries were lowered to 10%. While this provided short-term relief to EU producers, the volatility has caused widespread uncertainty.

One thing seems clear: the coming months will be pivotal, with trade developments likely to dictate sentiment and demand in key markets.

Markets under stress

In Q1 2025, mainstream financial markets experienced significant volatility, largely driven by the abrupt changes outlined above. The S&P 500 entered correction territory, declining over 10% from its February 19th high, before partially recovering in late March. The energy sector mirrored this instability. Oil prices plunged to a four-year low amid recession fears and heightened tariffs, only to rebound following announcements of tariff pauses. The rapid succession of policy shifts has led to a climate of uncertainty, making it difficult for investors to anticipate market movements.

Fine wine in Q1 2025

The fine wine market similarly felt the pressure. Prices fell 2% on average over the last three months. The broader Liv-ex 1000 index declined 2.1%, highlighting continued softness across the board. Regionally, Bordeaux and Burgundy were the weakest performers, each down 2.9%. Italy once again stood out for its resilience, declining 0.4%, thanks to consistent demand for top names and relatively stable pricing. The top performing wines in Q1 included Bruno Giacosa Barolo Falletto Vigna Le Rocche Riserva 2014 (72.1%), Château Léoville Barton 2021 (30.9%), and Château Rieussec 2019 (22.8%).

Pressure on En Primeur

The ongoing trade war comes at a particularly sensitive time for the Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign, which is about to launch. The system has been under increasing scrutiny in recent years, with release prices often failing to offer meaningful value versus back vintages. The threat of added import costs, even if delayed, puts further pressure on producers and négociants to rethink pricing strategies. With confidence in En Primeur already eroding, this year’s campaign faces a delicate balancing act: justify pricing amid broader market weakness, or risk alienating already-cautious buyers.

Regional fine wine performance in Q1

Since the start of the year, fine wine prices across major regions have fallen 2.1% on average. While some regions experienced temporary increases – the Rhône bounced back by 1.1% in March – the majority were in consistent decline. Burgundy and Bordeaux – the two dominant market forces – fell the most, down 2.9% in Q1.

Despite falling prices, Liv-ex noted that trade activity is rising – total trade volume and value were up on Q1 2024.

The best-performing wines

Q1’s top performers comprised a varied group from across Bordeaux, Piedmont, the Rhône, and Burgundy. The best performing wine was Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Rouge 2021, which surged 22.7%. Pichon Baron 2013 followed with a 22.6% rise.

Two vintages of Guigal La Landonne also appeared in the rankings, the 2012 (11.1%) and 2014 (10.6%).

From Barolo, the 2001 Bruno Giacosa Serralunga d’Alba made the top ten with a 21.2% rise in value over the past three months.

The spring La Place campaign

March saw just over 50 wine releases via La Place de Bordeaux, including new Burgundies, grower Champagne and big names like Promontory 2020, Ao Yun 2021 and Latour 2016.

The latter was particularly notable as the first prime release to hit the market since the château abandoned the En Primeur system. The wine boasts a number of 100-points from major critics including Neal Martin, Antonio Galloni, Lisa Perotti-Brown MW, Jane Anson, Jeff Leve, and Tim Atkin.

The comparisons being made – to 1961, 1982, and 2010 – suggest the wine is already being framed within the estate’s historic lineage. What’s more, while the price reflects its stature, its positioning below recent back vintages like 2009 and 2010 suggests value for money.

In a campaign that highlighted the growing breadth of La Place, Latour served as a reminder of Bordeaux’s enduring ability to dominate the conversation, when it chooses to.

Fine wine enjoys resilient fundamentals and growing confidence

Beneath the surface of a softening market, confidence in fine wine as a long-term investment continues to strengthen. Our recent Wealth Reports released in Q1 revealed a clear trend in investor attitudes: 96% of UK wealth managers expect demand for fine wine to increase in 2025, underscoring its growing role in diversified portfolios.

This optimism is rooted in fine wine’s defining characteristics – low correlation to mainstream markets, long-term price appreciation, and intrinsic scarcity. While short-term volatility and trade disruptions have created a subdued environment, many see this as an attractive entry point. With prices off their peak, the market now offers a rare opportunity to access top names at more favourable levels.

Fine wine is increasingly viewed as a maturing asset class – one that rewards patience rather than speculation. As macroeconomic uncertainty continues to rattle equities and bonds, fine wine’s stability and resilience are drawing renewed attention from high-net-worth individuals and wealth advisors.

Q2 2025 market outlook

All eyes now turn to the Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign – the most significant event in the fine wine calendar and a litmus test for buyer confidence in a fragile market. After a lacklustre few years, the system finds itself at a crossroads. Pressure is mounting for producers and négociants to reset expectations, as past campaigns have struggled to offer compelling value compared to back vintages already available on the secondary market. Adding to the challenge is the uncertain tariff environment.

At the same time, there is cautious optimism. While prices across Bordeaux have softened, trade volume has increased – a signal that buyers are still engaged, albeit more selective. If producers respond with competitive pricing and clear value propositions, 2024 could mark a turning point for the campaign.

Beyond Bordeaux, Q2 is expected to bring continued price sensitivity, but also renewed interest from investors who see current levels as a buying opportunity. The long-term fundamentals remain intact: scarcity, brand equity, and an increasing role for fine wine in diversified portfolios. In short, while the market remains in a momentary phase of recalibration, Q2 may offer the first signs of recovery if the right tone is struck.

Tags 2025, best performers, best performing wines, Fine wine market, fine wine report, market performance, Q1, report, wine performance

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WineCap Wealth Report 2025: UK Edition

Post author By Emma
Post date April 1, 2025
No Comments on WineCap Wealth Report 2025: UK Edition

Fine wine has cemented its position as the most sought-after collectible among UK high-net-worth individuals, according to the newly released 2025 UK Wealth Report. Drawing on fresh research from leading UK wealth managers and IFAs, the report explores how fine wine has continued to evolve from a niche passion asset into a strategic, tax-efficient component of diversified portfolios.

Key report findings:

96% of wealth managers expect demand for fine wine to grow in 2025 – more than for any other luxury asset
80% say fine wine’s exemption from Capital Gains Tax (CGT) is driving renewed investor interest amid tightening tax rules
26% of portfolios now include fine wine in higher-risk strategies – up from 12% in 2024
Fine wine is entering retirement planning for the first time, with allocations rising from 0% to 6%
A generational shift is underway, with younger, tech-enabled investors embracing wine as a financial instrument

‘Fine wine is no longer reserved for collectors and connoisseurs – year after year our research shows that it is being viewed as a serious asset with strong fundamentals for growth, and valuable tax advantages,’ said Alexander Westgarth, Founder and CEO of WineCap.

Market shifts and generational change

The report highlights a market in flux: seasoned collectors are beginning to liquidate long-held assets, creating increased supply and driving a slight dip in average portfolio allocations – from 10.8% in 2024 to 7.8% in 2025. However, this rebalancing is creating fresh opportunities for new entrants, particularly among Millennials and Gen Z investors who prioritise tangibility, transparency, and long-term performance.

Tax efficiency and diversification at the forefront

Fine wine’s unique tax status under UK law – classified as a ‘wasting asset’ and therefore exempt from Capital Gains Tax – makes it increasingly attractive at a time when HMRC has reduced tax-free allowances and raised effective rates. The report shows that 80% of wealth managers believe demand will rise due to this exemption alone.

The report further looks at the factors creating demand for fine wine, the impact of Trump’s policies on investment, and how AI is modernising the market.

Download your complimentary copy of the 2025 WineCap Wealth Report and discover how fine wine can enhance your investment portfolio.

Tags alternative asset, alternative assets, UK, UK investment, uk report, UK wine investment, wealth management, wealth managers, wealth report

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WineCap Wealth Report 2025: US Edition

Post author By Emma
Post date April 1, 2025
No Comments on WineCap Wealth Report 2025: US Edition

In a year marked by shifting interest rates, political uncertainty, and evolving investor mindsets, one asset is quietly holding its ground – and gaining new momentum: fine wine.

According to WineCap’s newly released 2025 Wealth Report, fine wine has once again claimed the top spot among collectible investments, with 94% of US wealth managers expecting demand to rise this year.

Key report findings:

94% of US wealth managers expect demand for fine wine to increase in 2025 (up from 84% in 2024)
Fine wine now appears in 28% of high-risk portfolios
72% say high interest rates are a supportive factor for fine wine investment
98% of respondents value wine’s independence from the US dollar as a macro hedge
46% cite strong long-term returns as a key reason for rising demand
Portfolio allocations to wine now average 10.7%, reflecting more diversified investment strategies

‘Fine wine continues to prove itself as a robust and intelligent asset class,’ said Alexander Westgarth, Founder and CEO of WineCap. ‘While some seasoned collectors are selling to capitalise on earlier gains, we’re seeing younger, more data-driven investors enter the market – redefining how wine is used in wealth portfolios.’

Fine wine in the world of investment

According to the report, fine wine ranks higher than all other collectible investments for 2025. Confidence in its market stability, liquidity, and transparency places it above art, watches, whiskey, and luxury handbags.

In a post-pandemic landscape marked by inflation spikes, rate fluctuations, and policy shifts, wealth managers are increasingly recommending tangible assets with low correlation to equities. Fine wine’s appeal as an inflation-resistant, currency-independent, and globally traded asset makes it an attractive choice for investors seeking stability across economic cycles.

A maturing market

Despite a dip in average allocations from 13% to 10.7%, the report points to a healthy market recalibration – one where liquidity is improving, supply is expanding, and younger investors are driving new demand.

‘This is no longer a passion-driven niche – it’s a credible, data-backed, and globally relevant investment class,’ added Westgarth. ‘As the landscape evolves, we see fine wine becoming a cornerstone of modern portfolio diversification.’

The report further looks at the factors creating demand for fine wine, the impact of Trump’s policies on investment, and how AI is modernising the market.

Download your complimentary copy of the 2025 WineCap Wealth Report and discover how fine wine can enhance your investment portfolio.

Tags alternative asset, alternative assets, us investment report, US market, USA, wealth management, wealth managers, wealth report

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Italy | Regional Report

Italy is the world’s largest wine producer, responsible for over 6.5 billion bottles annually across nearly two million acres of vineyards. While its dominance in the mass wine market is undisputed, Italy’s fine wine sector has undergone a transformative journey over the last half century. The introduction of ‘Super Tuscans’ like Sassicaia and Tignanello marked the beginning of a revolution in the 1970s, elevating Italy’s global reputation.

Today, Italy stands as one of the most dynamic and resilient regions in the global fine wine investment market. Once overshadowed by Bordeaux and Burgundy, Italy now commands over 15% of the secondary fine wine trade by value, with a growing number of investment-grade wines. The dual appeal of Piedmont and Tuscany, alongside emerging regions such as Veneto and Sicily, has positioned Italy as a compelling choice for portfolio diversification.

Our Italy Report delves into the fundamentals of this fascinating region, including the development of its investment market, historic performance, and key players.

Discover more about:

Italy’s accessibility and affordability
The complimentary roles of Tuscany and Piedmont
Italy’s top emerging regions
The best-performing wines

Tags analysis, investment, Italy, market, Piedmont, Regional, report, Tuscany, wine

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Bordeaux | Regional Report

Post author By Desislava Lyapova
Post date January 30, 2025
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Bordeaux has long been the most important fine wine region in the world. Its rich heritage, high-quality production, and unmatched ability to cultivate globally-recognised brands have all cemented its position at the pinnacle of the fine wine world. Already in 1787, Thomas Jefferson noted the collectible potential of the region’s top wines.

Bordeaux is, thus, naturally the cornerstone of the wine investment market as we know it today. At its peak in 2010, Bordeaux accounted for a staggering 96% of the fine wine market by value. The First Growths – Château Lafite Rothschild, Château Latour, Château Margaux, Château Haut-Brion, and Château Mouton Rothschild – drove the lion’s share of that dominance.

Despite the recent broadening of the market, Bordeaux remains the most influential player, with its performance often setting the tone for global fine wine investment.

Our Bordeaux Report delves into the fundamentals of this fascinating region, including the evolution of its investment market, historic performance, and key players.

Discover more about:

The First Growths and their second wines
En Primeur
Bordeaux’s key appellations
Bordeaux’s future in a diversified market

Tags analysis, Bordeaux, En Primeur, First Growths, market, Regional, report, second wines, Wine Investment

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Report – Opportunities in uncertainty: the 2024 fine wine market and 2025 outlook

Post author By Emma
Post date December 11, 2024
No Comments on Report – Opportunities in uncertainty: the 2024 fine wine market and 2025 outlook

Executive summary

Q4 was marked by political developments, changing economic policies, and geopolitical events, including the re-election of President Trump.
The strengthened US dollar boosted fine wine demand across the pond.
Fine wine prices fell 11% across major regions in 2024, reflecting a continued market correction.
Italy was the most resilient fine wine region, while Burgundy experienced the biggest adjustment.
Rhône wines dominated the list of the best performing wines in 2024, with Domaine Pegau Cuvée Réservée Rouge 2013 leading (80.5%).
Older vintages (2010-2014) performed well, reflecting the market’s preference for mature, proven wines, while new releases struggled when not priced correctly.
Optimism for market recovery is focused on premium regions like Piedmont, Champagne, and Burgundy.
Economic uncertainties and mixed performance in Bordeaux are expected to persist, but continued interest in fine wine signals resilience and potential for long-term growth.

Q4 in context: political and economic drivers

It has been an eventful quarter, marked by political developments, changing economic policies, and geopolitical events. The re-election of President Donald Trump in November prompted a rapid response in global markets. US equities reacted positively to the outcome, as investors anticipated business-friendly policies and potential fiscal stimulus, particularly benefiting sectors like manufacturing and technology. However, concerns over increased tariffs created uncertainties for multinational corporations.

Rising US Treasury yields, driven by expectations of future interest rate hikes, attracted capital inflows, strengthening the US dollar. While this reinforced investor confidence in U.S. economic policies, it also raised concerns about higher borrowing costs and their potential drag on economic growth. Emerging market currencies faced downward pressure as fears of US trade measures and capital outflows grew.

In late November, a US-France-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect, reducing immediate geopolitical risks after over a year of hostilities. Despite the agreement, markets remained cautious, keeping a close watch for potential disruptions to the fragile stability.

Markets in 2024: the year that was

Bitcoin made headlines this month by surpassing the $100,000 mark for the first time, peaking at an all-time high of $104,000 on Coinbase. The surge was fuelled by growing investor optimism around a favourable regulatory environment under President-elect Donald Trump, who has signalled support for cryptocurrencies through key appointments and policy proposals.

Equity markets have also enjoyed a strong year, bolstered by a resilient US economy and easing inflation pressures. These conditions have allowed central banks to pause or slow rate hikes. Strong corporate earnings, particularly in the technology and AI sectors, have further propelled the S&P 500’s stellar performance.

The global energy market in 2024 has experienced notable fluctuations. Concerns over a potential global economic slowdown, driven by weak demand from China and other developed economies, have weighed on crude oil prices. While OPEC’s production cuts have provided some price support, they have not been sufficient to fully offset the impact of declining demand.

Meanwhile, gold has reaffirmed its role as a safe-haven asset in 2024. Persistent geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and financial market volatility have driven demand for the precious metal, supporting its strong performance throughout the year.

*Current values: 06/12/2024

The fine wine market in 2024

The fine wine market in 2024 continued its downward trajectory from 2023, with broad declines across major indices. The Liv-ex 100 has fallen 9.2% year-to-date, while the Liv-ex 50, which tracks First Growth Bordeaux, is down 10.9%.

Despite these overall declines, the market showcased notable regional disparities and emerging opportunities. Examined at more length in the following section, Italy has been a beacon of resilience, while ‘overheated’ regions like Burgundy have readjusted.

Notably, prices did not fall because of lower demand for fine wine. Market activity remained high, with the number of fine wine trades in 2024 surpassing 2023 by 7.9%.

Regional fine wine performance

The fine wine market saw mixed performances as the year drew to a close. Italy stood out as the most resilient region, with prices falling 6% – a fraction of the 11.1% average decline in the Liv-ex 1000 index. High-scoring releases buoyed Italy’s secondary market, while diverse offerings such as Antinori Brunello di Montalcino Vigna Ferrovia Riserva (38%) underscored the country’s stability and value. Italy’s growing influence was evident in the 2024 Power 100 rankings, where it claimed 22 spots – nine more than last year – closing the gap on Burgundy and Bordeaux in terms of investor interest and price performance.

Burgundy has faced the greatest readjustment among all regions, with prices declining by 14.4% year-to-date. This correction followed years of meteoric growth and reflects a market adjustment as prices recalibrate. The decline has created opportunities for investors to acquire rare and prestigious labels at more accessible prices. Burgundy’s reputation as a cornerstone of fine wine investment remains intact despite this year’s setbacks, with long-term demand likely to persist.

Champagne also experienced a challenging year, with prices falling 9.8%. However, the region showed signs of stabilisation toward the end of the year. Older vintages led this recovery, with labels such as Taittinger Brut Millesime up 29%, signalling enduring interest in high-quality, aged Champagne.

Bordeaux, the largest and most liquid fine wine region, saw an 11.3% decline. Liquidity remains Bordeaux’s strength, but it no longer guarantees safety in today’s market. Recent vintages in particular have struggled, with many trading below their release prices.

California wines fell 8.6% but showed positive momentum in November. The region’s growing presence in the fine wine investment space has been driven by the rising popularity of brands like Dominus, Joseph Phelps, and Promontory.

Spanish wine also benefitted from surging US demand, with Vega Sicilia Unico taking the top spot as the most powerful fine wine brand in 2024. Two other Spanish wines also made the rankings – Dominio de Pingus and R. Lopez de Heredia – a testament to Spain’s growing investment potential.

The best-performing wines in 2024

The Rhône dominated this year’s top-performing wines, claiming four of the ten spots on the list. Domaine de Pegau Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2013 led the charge with an impressive 80.5% rise. Other regional standouts, including Clos des Papes Châteauneuf-du-Pape Rouge 2014 (61.2%) and Château de Beaucastel Rouge 2013 (31.1%), highlighted the enduring demand for Châteauneuf-du-Pape from highly rated, older vintages.

Beyond the Rhône, Spain’s Vega Sicilia Unico 2010 (24.9%) showcased the strength of Ribera del Duero as a rising force in the wine investment market. Vega Sicilia also ranked as the most powerful wine brand in the 2024 Power 100 rankings.

Bordeaux and Sauternes also featured. Château Rieussec took two spots with its 2015 (10%) and 2014 (7.2%) vintages. Meanwhile, Ducru-Beaucaillou 2013 (19.2%) and Château L’Eglise-Clinet 2012 (3.9%) showed that Bordeaux’s established names have continued to attract investment interest where there has been value on offer.

A clear trend this year was the strong performance of older vintages, with wines from 2010 to 2014 dominating the list. Only two ‘younger’ vintages, 2015 and 2019, appeared on the list and no new releases. This aligns with a broader preference for mature wines, which offer proven track records and immediate drinkability.

2024 takeaways

The market downturn has presented opportunities to acquire premium wines at more accessible price points, offering a chance to diversify portfolios with an asset known for its historically strong long-term performance.

For another year, Bordeaux En Primeur struggled to attract significant interest with the release of the 2023 vintage, especially for wines where older proven vintages offered better value. Economic uncertainty further highlighted the appeal of the classics. Iconic Bordeaux vintages – such as 2000, 2005, and 2009 – and Italy’s Super Tuscans stood out as stable investment options. These wines offered a combination of historical performance and consistent demand, reinforcing their status as cornerstone assets in fine wine portfolios.

Declining prices also brought rare and prestigious wines back into circulation, offering investors the chance to secure assets that were previously inaccessible. This period allowed for strategic acquisitions of iconic labels at attractive price points, setting the stage for potential long-term gains as the market stabilises.

Below the surface of the downturn, 2024 presented great buying opportunities, making it a pivotal year for investors, whether looking to enter the market or enhance their existing portfolios.

2025 market outlook

The 2025 fine wine market outlook is cautiously positive, driven by optimism for premium regions such as Piedmont, Champagne, and Burgundy. Insights from the 2024 Golden Vines Report show that 64% of industry professionals anticipate market growth, particularly for high-end Italian wines like Barolo and Barbaresco, which are increasingly viewed as alternatives to Burgundy.

Key trends include rising demand for sustainability and terroir-driven wines. According to the report, Piedmont (20%) leads in growth potential, followed by Champagne (17%), Burgundy (14%) and Tuscany (12%), while Bordeaux faces mixed prospects, with 27% of the respondents expecting further declines. Challenges like economic pressures and geopolitical uncertainties persist but continued strong fine wine demand signals resilience in the market.

Fine wine remains the most popular collectible celebrated for its diversification benefits, sustainability and stability through different market environments.

Stay tuned for our 2025 Wealth Report, which will examine wealth and investment managers’ views and sentiments towards fine wine early next year.

Tags financial market, Fine Wine, fine wine investment, Fine wine market, fine wine report, Global fine wine market, global trade, How to invest in wine, invest in fine wine, market environment, market performance, market trends, Q4, Quarterly Report, report

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Q3 2024 Fine Wine Report

The fine wine market continued its downward trend throughout Q3 2024, but there are reasons for cautious optimism. Our Q3 2024 Fine Wine Report highlights the main themes that shaped the market, from regional performance to specific brand successes, and provides an outlook for the remainder of the year.

Executive summary

Since October 2022, fine wine prices have been in consistent decline, with a 4% drop on average in Q3 2024.
Bordeaux experienced the steepest fall at 4.4%, while Champagne defied the trend with a modest 0.4% increase last quarter.
Steady demand for fine wine continues to suggest a price recovery on the horizon.
Certain brands have outperformed the market, including Ruinart, Taittinger, and Château de Beaucastel.
Krug Vintage Brut 2004 has been the best-performing wine year-to-date, up 21.6%.
This year has already seen several broken auction records, including for high-profile Burgundy, which points to continued interest in fine wine.
Nine wines received perfect 100-point scores by Jane Anson in her recent Bordeaux 2009 and 2010 vintage retrospective.
France’s 2024 harvest is projected to be down 22% compared to last year, and 15% below the five-year average.
Looking ahead to Q4 2024, the market continues to present attractive buying opportunities, especially for investors with a long-term vision.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Global market recovery driven by rate cuts

In Q3 2024, global markets showed signs of recovery, bolstered by central banks pivoting towards interest rate cuts as inflation began to ease. Following turbulence in early August, stock markets rebounded, setting new records by the end of the quarter. Central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB), and the Bank of England, all shifted their focus from inflation control to stimulating economic growth. The Fed’s September rate cut – the first since 2020 – catalysed a surge in US stocks, and similar moves from other central banks supported this global rebound. Despite lingering concerns about a potential US recession and Japanese market volatility, the overall global outlook improved, with lower rates and better economic conditions presenting growth opportunities.

Fine wine prices fall 4% in Q3

In contrast to the broader economic recovery, the fine wine market remained bearish, with a 4% average drop in prices in Q3. The Liv-ex 100 index saw its steepest fall of the year, down 1.7% in October. Bordeaux led the decline, with a 4.4% drop, although there was a slight uptick in Sauternes prices. Champagne offered a bright spot, rising 0.4% last quarter, with brands like Dom Ruinart Blanc de Blancs and Taittinger posting strong returns (over 30% in the last six months). This mixed performance underscores the complexity of the fine wine market, where price movements can vary widely by region and brand.

New fine wine releases beyond Bordeaux

As always, autumn brought the highly anticipated La Place de Bordeaux campaign, with major New World brands such as Almaviva, Seña, and Penfolds Grange releasing their latest vintages. However, this year’s campaign fell flat, with many new releases priced similarly to last year, despite older vintages showing better value and investment potential due to price corrections. Investors may find more favourable opportunities in back vintages that boast higher critic scores at lower prices.

Regional fine wine performance in Q3

The fine wine market has now returned to its 2021 levels, with prices declining across most regions in Q3 2024, except for Champagne, which recorded a modest 0.4% increase.

Bordeaux experienced the most significant drop, falling 4.4%, driven down primarily by the Second Wine 50 index, which plunged 6.6%, and the Right Bank 50 index, down 4.6%. Many wines from the 2019 vintage, which had previously appreciated in value, have now returned to their original release prices.

Despite this trend, Bordeaux is enjoying steady market demand, taking over a third of the market by value. Moreover, Jane Anson recently revisited the 2009 and 2010 vintages, awarding nine wines 100 points – a move likely to stimulate demand and prices.

When it comes to other regions, Italy and Burgundy also saw a 2% drop in Q3. The Rhône was somewhat more resilient, experiencing a smaller decrease of 0.8%.

The best-performing wines

While the broader market continues to face challenges, certain wines buck the trend, reinforcing the importance of strategic, brand-specific investment decisions.

In Q3 2024, some brands have delivered exceptional returns. The table below showcases the best-performing wines year-to-date, with regions like Tuscany and the Rhône dominating the list.

Leading the pack is Krug 2004, which saw an impressive rise of 21.6%, reflecting the continued strength of Champagne in the investment market. Earlier this year, Antonio Galloni (Vinous) rescored the wine, giving it 98 points. He described it as a ‘gorgeous Champagne that is just beginning to enter its first plateau of maturity’.

Close behind is Domaine du Pégau’s Châteauneuf-du-Pape Cuvée Réservée 2012, which appreciated by 21.2%. Sassicaia 2011 follows with a 21% increase, while its 2015 vintage takes the tenth spot, with a 12.1% rise.

Vega Sicilia Único also features twice with its 2010 and 2011 vintages, demonstrating the increased demand for Spanish wines.

Wines from Bordeaux and the Rhône also make the list, showcasing the diversity of the wine investment market.

The most expensive wines in 2024

The world’s most expensive wines in 2024 are overwhelmingly dominated by Burgundy. At the top of the list is Domaine de la Romanée-Conti’s Romanée-Conti Grand Cru, with an average price of £221,233 per case. Following closely is Domaine d’Auvenay Chevalier-Montrachet Grand Cru, priced at £204,328.

Other notable entries include:

Domaine d’Auvenay, Criots-Bâtard-Montrachet Grand Cru at £141,979.
Liber Pater, from Bordeaux, priced at £140,009, stands out as the only non-Burgundy wine in the list.
Domaine Leroy, Richebourg Grand Cru, valued at £120,007, further establishes Burgundy’s dominance as a highly collectible wine region.

Burgundy producers such as Domaine Leroy and Domaine d’Auvenay appear multiple times on the list. The trend reflects how scarcity, reputation, and critical acclaim are key drivers of value, especially as the market for fine wine becomes increasingly selective in uncertain economic times.

Further entries include:

Domaine Leroy, Romanée-Saint-Vivant Grand Cru at £103,844.
Domaine d’Auvenay, Mazis-Chambertin Grand Cru at £93,818.
Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, Montrachet Grand Cru at £89,529.
Domaine Leroy, Corton-Charlemagne Grand Cru at £81,827.
Domaine d’Auvenay, Meursault Premier Cru, Les Gouttes d’Or at £80,715.

This dominance by Burgundy reflects its unmatched status in the global wine market, where scarcity and consistent quality continue to command premium prices.

For more information, visit Wine Track.

Fine wine news

The autumn La Place de Bordeaux release campaign

The 2024 La Place de Bordeaux campaign saw the latest releases from Masseto, Solaia, Seña, Penfolds Grange and many more. However, many of these new vintages were released at the same or slightly higher price levels as last year, despite a general market decline, making them less attractive from an investment perspective.

For instance, Masseto 2021 received a perfect 100-point score from Antonio Galloni but was priced at the same level as last year, with back vintages such as 2017, 2018 and 2019 offering better value. Meanwhile, the 100-point Solaia 2021 was released at a 15.7% premium on the 2020 vintage.

From Chile, the 2022 Seña and Viñedo Chadwick were offered at last year’s prices, but older, higher-scoring vintages such as Seña 2019 and Viñedo Chadwick 2021 remain more affordable. Penfolds Grange 2020 saw a small price increase, yet back vintages like the 100-point 2013 offer greater investment potential. Overall, back vintages, with comparable or higher critic scores, often provide better value for investors looking to capitalise on the current market dip.

Historically low yields in France

The 2024 French wine harvest is projected to be one of the smallest in recent history, with regions like Burgundy and Bordeaux experiencing significant declines due to adverse weather conditions.

Burgundy’s output is projected to be down by 25% compared to 2023, while Bordeaux is facing a 10% drop, resulting in the region’s lowest production volume since 2017.

Historically, such scarcity in Burgundy has driven secondary market price increases, as collectors rush to secure rare wines. However, the economic downturn may temper this trend, making selectivity key for investors. In Bordeaux, while smaller harvests often support price stability for premium wines, the broader market conditions may limit price recoveries, especially for mid-tier labels.

Q4 2024 market outlook

The consistent decline in fine wine prices leaves many wondering when the market will stabilise. Despite this downward trend, several factors point toward potential recovery and attractive buying opportunities in Q4.

Firstly, strong demand for select wines persists, particularly for brands that continue to outperform the market. This year has already seen several broken auction records, including for high-profile Burgundy, which points to continued interest in fine wine.

While the market as a whole is facing challenges, strategic investment in the right wines can still yield impressive returns. Investors looking to capitalise on market lows should consider brands which have consistently shown growth despite broader regional declines.

The global economic backdrop also provides reasons for optimism. Central banks, led by the US Federal Reserve, have shifted towards interest rate cuts which could stimulate further investment in alternative assets like fine wine.

In terms of regional performance, the ongoing declines in key regions may start to stabilise, as already seen in Champagne. Despite a 4.4% drop in Q3, Bordeaux remains a dominant player with one-third of the market share by value. With critics such as Jane Anson awarding nine perfect 100-point scores to Bordeaux wines from the 2009 and 2010 vintages, we may see renewed interest in classic vintages.

In summary, Q4 2024 offers a unique window of opportunity for long-term investors. With the current decline, strategic investments in high-performing brands and undervalued vintages could offer substantial returns on the road to recovery.

Tags analysis, Bordeaux, burgundy, Champagne, demand, Fine Wine, fine wine news, investor, Italy, outlook, prices, Q3 2024, region, wine, Wine Investment, wine performance

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WineCap Wealth Report 2024: US Edition

Post author By Emma
Post date July 18, 2024
No Comments on WineCap Wealth Report 2024: US Edition

In an era of economic uncertainty and shifting investment trends, alternative assets are gaining unprecedented traction. The 2024 WineCap Wealth Report (US edition) offers a comprehensive analysis of the fine wine market, uncovering key trends that highlight its burgeoning appeal. As fine wine transitions from a passion asset to a mainstream investment, the report explores the demographic shifts, technological advancements, and the factors driving demand.

Methodology and demographic

In April 2024, WineCap surveyed 50 US-based full-time wealth and investment managers to gauge their views and sentiments towards fine wine investment. The respondents included 35 wealth managers, eight financial intermediaries/advisers, and seven independent financial advisers. The research was conducted via an online questionnaire. For annual comparisons, the report takes into account responses from a similar survey conducted in April 2023.

Key findings

Changing demographics: One in three high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) in the US now invests in fine wine. While some begin as collectors, the majority are experienced investors drawn to fine wine for its stability.
Rising demand for collectibles: Fine wine emerged as the leading collectible asset. According to our survey, 84% of US wealth managers anticipate an increase in demand over the next year.
Enhanced market liquidity: There has been a 14% increase in investor confidence regarding market liquidity, driven by advanced technology that enhances the trading experience and security.
Stability: 74% of respondents see fine wine’s stability through different market environments as the top reason to invest in it.
Universal value: 92% of US wealth managers recognize the benefits of fine wine being an asset of universal value, not pegged to USD.
Diversity: Survey respondents indicated that greater awareness of fine wine’s role in diversifying traditional portfolios could attract more clients.

The 2024 WineCap Wealth Report underscores the growing sophistication and accessibility of fine wine as an investment. As new generations of investors seek diversification and stability away from traditional financial markets, fine wine emerges not only as a stable asset but also as a leader in the collectibles market.

The integration of advanced technology, the expanding appeal of sustainable investing, and the strategic adjustments in response to economic conditions highlight fine wine’s unique position in the investment landscape.

Download your complimentary copy of the 2024 WineCap Wealth Report and discover how fine wine can enhance your investment portfolio.

Please fill in the form below to download your complimentary copy of the report.

Tags alternative investment, collectibles, Fine Wine, Fine wine market, market trends, US market, wealth management, wealth managers, wealth report

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