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Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report

Our Q1 2024 Fine Wine Report has now been released. The report offers a comprehensive overview of the fine wine market in the last quarter, including the impact of interest rates and geopolitical risks, the best-performing wines and regions, and analysis on the rising popularity of non-vintage Champagne as an investment.

Report highlights:

  • Mainstream markets rallied in Q1 2024, driven by resilient economic growth and expectations for future interest rate cuts by central banks.
  • The first green shoots started to appear in the fine wine market towards the end of Q1.
  • Fine wine prices (Liv-ex 100 index) experienced a smaller decline of 1% in Q1, compared to a fall of 4.2% in Q4 2023.
  • Italian wine enjoyed rising demand amid a flurry of new releases, including the 100-point Sassicaia 2021.
  • A number of Champagne labels that experienced consistent declines last year have started to recover, including Dom Pérignon, Salon Le Mesnil, and Pol Roger.
  • The Burgundy 2022 En Primeur campaign delivered high quality and quantity, with about 10% of producers reducing pricing year-on-year due to the challenging market environment.
  • China lifted tariffs on Australian wine after more than three years.
  • Critics and trade are now preparing for the 2023 Bordeaux En Primeur campaign, which will dominate the news in Q2 2024.

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Q4 2023 Fine Wine Report & 2024 Outlook

Our Q4 2023 report has now been released. The report offers a comprehensive overview of the fine wine market in the last quarter and a forward-looking perspective for 2024. In a landscape marked by correction and repositioning, it delves into the dynamic interplay of market forces, unveiling both challenges and opportunities for investors.

Report highlights:

  • The fine wine market is navigating 2024 amidst a correction phase, presenting a chance for strategic repositioning.
  • Fine wine prices (Liv-ex 100 index) experienced a 4.2% decline in Q4, reflective of market adjustments amid global economic uncertainties.
  • Increased risk aversion has redirected focus to classic wines and regions, with Bordeaux emerging as a standout beneficiary.
  • Bordeaux’s resurgence, driven by liquidity and a solid reputation, underscores the market’s adaptability to changing dynamics.
  • The upcoming high-volume Burgundy and Bordeaux En Primeur campaigns present opportunities for strategic investment, with pricing strategies holding the key to success.
  • Investors, seeking value and consistency, anticipate potential opportunities in the evolving landscape.
  • As an improving asset in diminishing supply, their emphasis should remain on long-term gains.

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Special report – 2023’s big investment themes: fine wine and beyond

Our latest report, 2023’s big investment themes: fine wine and beyond, has now been released. The report looks at the key themes that defined markets this year, from interest rates to sustainability. It positions fine wine within a broader investment context and analyses the key events that influenced its performance.

Report highlights:

  • Tech, interest, and sustainability came to define markets in 2023.
  • The stock market bounced back, and technology stocks rallied as the world became fascinated with generative AI.
  • In a bid to cool down the red-hot inflation levels, the Bank of England cranked up interest rates 14 times.
  • As central banks increased interest rates, they also began to stockpile gold.
  • In the UK, interest rates reached the highest point since 1998. This signalled an end to the era of cheap borrowing, which could limit growth for some economies.
  • 2023 saw the rush of demand for green bonds – borrowing money to finance sustainable projects.
  • Sustainability drove fine wine demand among investors and led to other positive developments in the wine industry.

 

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Q3 2023 Fine Wine Report

Our Q3 2023 report has now been released. The report examines mainstream market performance, the best buying opportunities in fine wine, releases from La Place de Bordeaux and the latest industry news.

Report highlights:

  • Investors leaned towards liquid assets like cash amidst the struggle between the Federal Reserve and inflation, contributing to an environment steeped in risk and uncertainty.
  • Q3 witnessed a marked slowdown and potential bottoming out of fine wine prices, with the Liv-ex 100 index showing modest signs of recovery.
  • The fine wine market morphed into a buyer’s market due to stock availability and dipping prices, especially visible in regions like Champagne.
  • The La Place de Bordeaux campaign, amidst an eleven-month market decline and global economic uncertainties, mirrored the earlier En Primeur campaign in its inability to energise the market, with offerings often misaligned with trade expectations.
  • Wines like Almaviva 2021 and Masseto 2020 stood out, providing relative value for money and showcasing a strong price performance history.
  • Investors should be looking at ‘pockets of opportunity’ where there is brand strength, value and liquidity.
  • Demand is likely to pick up in Q4 with Christmas around the corner and exciting vintage releases on the horizon.

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The growing market for alternative investments

  • The market for alternative investments has seen robust growth owing to burgeoning demand for non-traditional assets.
  • Alternative assets offer a hedge against inflation, and often provide investors with higher returns.
  • Some of the main challenges when it comes to alternative investments are accurate valuations and liquidity.

Alternative investments, those that fall outside traditional financial assets like stocks, bonds, and cash, have garnered immense popularity among affluent investors. From classic cars and luxury handbags to fine art, these assets represent both a passion and a store of value. According to the results of our global wealth management survey, fine wine emerged as the most in-demand passion asset. This article explores the burgeoning market for alternative investments, with a special emphasis on fine wine, contrasting and comparing their attributes, risks, and potential.

Alternative investment landscape

Alternative investments, often tangible assets, are known for their rarity, craftsmanship, and cultural relevance. Watches, luxury bags, art, whisky, and fine wine fall under this category, offering diversification for investment portfolios.

The market for alternative investments has witnessed robust growth owing to rising global wealth and a burgeoning demand for non-traditional assets. According to Richard Bacon, Head of Business Development at Shard Capital, ‘in the last two years there has been a tangible increase in how accessible and democratized these assets have become’.

As traditional markets have faced increased volatility, clients have turned to passion assets to safeguard their wealth. Economic uncertainty and inflation have fuelled interest, as these assets tend to retain value over time and provide investors with higher returns outside of their traditional portfolios.

This can be noted in the performance of the luxury goods market, which posted a record year in 2022, reaching a market value of €345 billion, despite geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty. This momentum persisted into the first quarter of 2023, achieving 10% growth over 2022, according to Bain & Company.

The luxury group Louis Vuitton Moët Hennessy (LVMH), which owns Champagne houses Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Veuve Clicquot, Krug, Ruinart and Mercier, also had a record year in 2022, and reported a 15% growth in the first half of 2023.

Alternative assets compared

While alternative investments have enjoyed growing popularity, each asset class operates by its own market dynamics. There are some notable differences and similarities, for instance, between fine wine, art and luxury goods. Below we outline some of the differences.

Investment nature:

  • Fine wine: A consumable and perishable asset produced in multiple quantities (vintage-dependent) with value appreciation due to age, supply-demand and quality.
  • Art: A unique, non-perishable asset, valuing subjectivity and aesthetic appeal.
  • Luxury goods: Tangible assets like watches and bags, offering functional utility and value based on brand prestige and condition.

Value determinants:

  • Fine wine: Producer reputation, age, rarity, condition, critic scores.
  • Art: Artist reputation, uniqueness, historical significance, and condition.
  • Luxury goods: Brand reputation, craftsmanship, condition, and rarity.

Risks:

  • Fine wine: Market fluctuations, storage conditions, and provenance verification.
  • Art: Market trends, authenticity, and condition degradation.
  • Luxury goods: Counterfeiting, fashion trends, and wear and tear.

However, all these assets share common grounds, including tangibility, scarcity and uniqueness driving value, a strong connection to culture and lifestyle, and being a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.

Market challenges and opportunities

Some of the main challenges when it comes to alternative investments are valuations and liquidity. Some assets may need longer time to trade compared to traditional investments. Values may fluctuate based on trends, and condition. It is often harder to value a single piece of art accurately, compared to fine wine, which is often made in significant quantities and cases regularly trade internationally.

The main opportunities in the alternative investment market are diversification, their potential for appreciation and pleasure and fulfilment beyond the monetary benefits. Alternative assets offer a balanced and diversified portfolio, mitigating risks from traditional markets. Meanwhile, rarity and cultural significance can result in substantial value appreciation. Beyond financial rewards, these investments offer emotional and aesthetic satisfaction. Navigating the market for alternative investments requires an understanding of the underlying dynamics, diligent verification, and a discerning eye for value.

To find out more about fine wine as an alternative investment, download our special report below.

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Q2 2023 Fine Wine Report

Our Q2 2023 report has now been released. The report examines the macroeconomic factors affecting fine wine demand, the Bordeaux 2022 En Primeur campaign, recent winery acquisitions and other industry news.

Key findings include:

  • UK and US stocks experienced a positive upswing, but a note of caution prevails for the second half of the year.
  • Major fine wine indices drifted in Q2, partly due to stronger sterling.
  • Fine wine demand remains solid, with wealth managers and financial advisors predicting it is set to increase.
  • Bordeaux enjoyed sustained interest in Q2, due to the release of the high-quality 2022 vintage.
  • The high release prices, however, led buyers to older vintages of comparable quality and the majority of the best-performing wines in Q2 were Bordeaux.
  • Marchesi Antinori took full ownership of Napa Valley’s iconic winery Stag’s Leap, while Joseph Drouhin expanded its Burgundy vineyard holdings.
  • New World releases will likely dominate the Q3 headlines.

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En Primeur Report – Bordeaux 2022: Unfulfilled Potential

Bordeaux 2022 is a great vintage that, despite its high quality, failed to reverse the waning sentiment for En Primeur. The excitement of the new was counteracted by the value on offer.

Although there was a significant increase in the number of visitors at the En Primeur tastings this spring, the campaign did not succeed in capitalising on this positive momentum.

Our latest report, Bordeaux 2022: Unfulfilled Potential, delves into the reasons why the campaign didn’t quite deliver on hopes and the event’s place within the industry in coming years.

Key findings:

  • Bordeaux 2022 is a high-quality vintage that has surpassed expectations, given the challenges of the growing season.
  • Neal Martin’s average 2022 in-barrel score was below 2020, 2019, and 2016, with most critics noting that it is a vintage to be selective.
  • The En Primeur tastings saw a significant increase in the number of visitors this spring, indicating continued interest in the region.
  • Some wines managed to offer value and were met with high demand upon release, including Château Cheval Blanc, Château Beychevelle, and Château Lafleur.
  • Average price increases between 15% and 25%, and as high as 55%, did not resonate well with the soft Bordeaux market.
  • Bordeaux 2022 vintage failed to reverse the declining sentiment for En Primeur due to high release prices in the context of older vintages offering better value.
  • Producers should evaluate the market dynamics to navigate the evolving fine wine market, and the role of En Primeur within it.

 

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Special UK Report – Fine wine: the journey from passion asset to mainstream asset class

  • Our special report, entirely based on primary research, reveals wealth managers’ and financial advisers’ attitudes toward fine wine.
  • Almost all (96%) UK wealth managers expect demand for fine wine to increase.
  • Fine wine is ahead of watches (86%) and luxury handbags (80%) in second and third place respectively.

UK wealth managers see demand for fine wine comfortably outstripping other passion assets, such as watches, luxury handbags, and art. This is one of the findings in our special UK report, Fine Wine: The Journey from Passion Asset to Mainstream Asset Class.

Fine wine – the most in-demand passion asset

The report, based on a study conducted among 50 UK-based wealth managers and financial advisers who only deal with high-net worth clients (£100K+), revealed that fine wine will attract most demand from investors over the coming year amongst all leading passion assets. 96% expect demand to increase, of which three out of five (60%) said that it will increase “significantly”.

This placed fine wine comfortably ahead of watches (86%) and luxury handbags (80%) in second and third place respectively. Other well-established passion assets such as art (68%) and classic cars (62%) placed much lower in sixth and tenth place.

Fine wine in investment portfolios

The report found that fine wine is already featuring prominently in many wealth managers’ client portfolios. UK wealth managers and advisers estimated that over 40% of their high-net-worth (“HNW”) client base invest in fine wine with an average portfolio allocation of around 10%.

Fine wine’s growing prevalence among HNW client portfolios provides compelling evidence, if any is needed, that it has graduated to a genuine alternative asset, a highly effective portfolio diversifier, operating alongside other popular alternatives such as hedge funds, real assets, and private capital as well as mainstream assets such as fixed income and equities.

In common with other alternative assets, fine wine tends to feature more prominently in larger portfolios belonging to more sophisticated investors where there is a greater premium on diversification. Almost all respondents (98%) said that clients investing in fine wine are mainly experienced investors, with 62% saying they were “very experienced”.

Please fill in the form below to download your complimentary copy of the report.

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Special US Report – Fine wine: the journey from passion asset to mainstream asset class

  • Our special report reveals how US wealth managers and financial advisers perceive fine wine as an investment.
  • Almost all (92%) US wealth managers expect demand for fine wine to increase.
  • Fine wine is ahead of jewelry (78%) and antique furniture (78%) in joint second.

In recent years, fine wine has grown in popularity among affluent and high-net worth individuals in the US, driven by a greater recognition of the role it can play in delivering stability, attractive returns, and diversification to investment portfolios.

To date, there has been limited research into how fine wine is perceived by the key gatekeepers to sophisticated private investors, namely wealth managers and financial advisors.

Our special US report, Fine Wine: The Journey from Passion Asset to Mainstream Asset Class, seeks to bridge this gap by drawing on independent primary research among 50 US-based wealth managers and financial advisors.

Fine wine demand to increase

Our findings revealed that fine wine will attract most demand from investors over the coming year amongst all leading passion assets, with almost all (92%) of the surveyed expecting demand to increase.

This placed fine wine comfortably ahead of jewelry (78%) and antique furniture (78%) in joint second. Other well-established passion assets such as classic cars (64%) and art (54%) placed much lower in sixth and ninth place.

Fine wine’s place in a portfolio

The report found that fine wine is already featuring prominently in many wealth managers’ client portfolios. US wealth managers and advisors estimated that almost half (45%) of their high-net-worth (“HNW”) client base invest in fine wine with an average portfolio allocation of around 13%.

Fine wine’s growing prevalence among HNW client portfolios provides compelling evidence, if any is needed, that it has graduated to a genuine alternative asset, a highly effective portfolio diversifier, operating alongside other popular alternatives such as hedge funds, real assets, and private capital as well as mainstream assets such as fixed income and equities.

The report further provides in-depth research on the most common reasons for US investors to consider fine wine, and catalysts for further growth.

Please fill in the form below to download your complimentary copy of the report.

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Q1 2023 Fine Wine Report

Our Q1 2023 report has now been released. The report examines how the global financial turmoil of the first quarter impacted the fine wine market, the factors affecting demand, and the best performing wines and regions. Download your free copy today.

Key findings include:

  • Mainstream markets had a rollercoaster quarter, but fine wine remained relatively unaffected.
  • Fine wine prices have risen for two consecutive months after a slow start to the year.
  • Several Bordeaux 2011s enjoyed heightened demand and rising prices in light of Chinese New Year.
  • The Burgundy 2021 campaign was met with mixed sentiment from the trade due to low allocations and high prices.
  • Axel Heinz has left Ornellaia to join Château Lascombes and bring fresh life into the estate, which has been underperforming the Super Tuscan in recent years.
  • The spotlight is now on Bordeaux, with the En Primeur release of the 2022 vintage, which has been described as ‘very promising’.

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