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Navigating the fine wine market: insights for savvy investors

A version of this article by WineCap’s CEO Alexander Westgarth was first published in Forbes.

  • Fine wine has been traded for millennia although its popularity as an investment is more recent.
  • The fine wine market’s stability compared to stocks make it an effective volatility smoother, preserving wealth during market downturns.
  • Investors should consider factors such as illiquidity risk, storage costs, and insurance coverage, while positioning wine as a complementary asset within a diversified portfolio.

The world of fine wine has long captivated investors with its timeless allure. Wine appreciation and collection is one of the oldest practices; the ancient Greeks, Egyptians, Phoenicians and Romans were all big traders of wine. Perhaps the first evidence of wine investment in the more traditional sense can be found in the writings of Thomas Jefferson, America’s third president. In 1787, he wrote that the 1786 vintage for top Bordeaux wines cost 1800 livres per tonneau compared to 2000 livres for the older 1783.

Today, the fine wine market is gaining popularity, not just among oenophiles; investors and wealth managers are looking to reap the benefits of this diverse asset class. New participants are eager to ensure they avoid potential pitfalls and make informed investment decisions. This article provides some of the key considerations for successful wine investing, showcasing the market’s potential at a glance.

Wine as a hedging asset

When constructing a well-rounded investment portfolio, it is crucial to consider the inclusion of fine wine as a hedging asset. Fine wine has a historical track record of retaining and increasing its value, even during periods of economic recession or financial uncertainty. Recent years are a case in point. While the world grappled with pandemics, wars and inflation, fine wine enjoyed an incline. Over the last half-decade, the average bottle of fine wine has increased in value by a notable 45%, according to the Liv-ex 1000 index.

Certain wines did exceptionally well over the pandemic. The standout players were Burgundy, Champagne and Bordeaux. At the start, fine bottles of Burgundy were selling for just under £200 (May 2020). But within two and a half years, average prices soared to over £325 (September 2022)—a return of 62%.

There are several reasons why wine tends to buffer against market shocks. Firstly, as a physical asset, it is less sensitive to inflation – just like property, gold or excellent art. Secondly, the market is private. Buyers are often high net worth or ultra-high net worth individuals, so they are wealthy and passionate. Thirdly, it is a rare and depleting asset.

The scarcity factor of fine wine makes it increasingly valuable over time. As purveyors open bottles, the demand outweighs supply and prices can soar. For instance, Domaine Leroy’s Nuits-Saint-Georges’ Aux Lavieres has experienced a remarkable 353% increase in value over the past five years, driven by its scarcity.

Wine can smooth out volatility

An excellent wine must be enjoyed slowly. In the same way, the wine market tends to move at a more gentle pace too. While stocks can sky-rocket or plummet in weeks, wine movements often take months. This can add much-needed stability to investment portfolios.

Wealth managers have harnessed the volatility-smoothing properties of wine to offset the erratic performance of other assets. Even a modest allocation of up to 10% can significantly reduce overall portfolio volatility and act as a valuable tool during market downturns. When inflation rockets, it can also help to preserve some of the wealth eroded through bonds and cash-like instruments.

Liquidity, storage and insurance considerations

Potential investors should be mindful of the illiquidity risk associated with wine investments. While the wine itself is a liquid asset, the investment tends to lack immediate liquidity. Investors should carefully assess their liquidity needs before embarking on a wine investment journey. Those who might need quick access to cash may want to include some cash-like investments like T-Bills or Bank CDs in their portfolio.

A buy-and-hold strategy typically yields the best results in wine investment. Selling too early can result in missed opportunities for substantial profits, especially when considering the maturity of the vintage. While digital platforms offer relatively quicker selling options, physical auction routes may take longer but can still deliver favorable outcomes.

Investors must also factor in the costs associated with wine investments. Unlike investing in public markets, fine wine incurs additional expenses such as secure storage and temperature control. Investors may also consider insurance, particularly when transporting wines between locations. Although these costs are generally affordable, it is advisable to research storage options, seek reviews, and negotiate insurance coverage within annual fees.

In the United Kingdom, fine wine investments often benefit from exemptions from capital gains tax. This favorable tax treatment can offset storage costs multiple times over, further enhancing the investment’s attractiveness.

Investing soberly

While the potential for substantial returns in fine wine investment is evident, it is crucial to navigate the market with prudence and awareness of potential pitfalls. Investors should maintain sufficient liquidity in their portfolios to handle unforeseen emergencies and consider the long-term costs associated with wine investments.

The key to successful wine investing lies in positioning wine as a hedging asset and volatility smoother within a broader array of assets. Although an exceptional bottle of wine holds its own allure, it should not overshadow the rest of the portfolio. Wine should be viewed as a stable and valuable component, working harmoniously with other investments to help investors achieve their long-term financial goals.

With careful consideration of market dynamics, wine’s inherent hedging properties, and a prudent approach to investment, investors can embrace the timeless elegance of fine wine while capitalising on its investment potential.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Banking failures and the fine wine market: Performance during economic uncertainty

  • The US banking crisis has been the biggest since the 2008 financial crisis and has created uncertainty in mainstream markets.
  • Revisiting key moments in the history of fine wine investment offers valuable insight into the future of the market.
  • A key difference between fine wine and equities during the last financial crisis was the speed of recovery.
  • The fine wine market is braced for challenges due to its diversity as the performance of different wines and vintages can balance a portfolio.

The recent banking failures have been the biggest since the 2008 financial crisis. Since the beginning of March, regulators have shut down three mid-size US banks – Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic. In Europe, Swiss giant Credit Suisse was rescued in an emergency deal with rival UBS, which purchased it at a fraction of its closing market value. UBS itself suffered losses during the acquisition – it slid 13% before making a recovery.

While the news echoes the last financial crisis, governments have been providing reassurance that this is not history repeating itself. The current turmoil is partly down to the sharp increase in interest rates, which was aimed to curb inflation.

Still, the banking collapse has had an immediate effect on investor confidence and mainstream markets. European bank shares remain volatile, while US stock markets opened flat this week. Alternative assets and safe havens such as gold and treasuries have enjoyed a boost, as investors have been considering low-risk assets to put their money.

Reflecting on how the fine wine market has performed during previous challenging macroeconomic events could offer valuable insights into what to expect in the current uncertain environment.

The fine wine market during the 2008 financial crisis

Like other markets, fine wine experiences cycles.

fine wine performance

During the previous financial crisis, the fine wine market suffered a downturn, but it fared better than some other traditional investments such as equities and real estate. Between June 2008 and June 2009, the Liv-ex 100 index, which was heavily weighted towards wines from Bordeaux, fell 18.8%.  Meanwhile, the broader Liv-ex 1000 index, which includes greater number of wines from other regions, dipped 7.4%.

The Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index, which tracks the performance of luxury assets including fine wine, recorded similar figures, with the value of investment-grade wine declining 15% in 2008. By comparison, the S&P 500, a benchmark index of US equities, fell over 37% the same year.

A key difference between fine wine and equities during the financial crisis was the speed of recovery. While the stock market took several years to recover to its pre-crisis levels, the fine wine market turned bullish relatively quickly. By the end of 2009, investment-grade wine had returned to its pre-crisis levels, and by 2010, it had surpassed its previous peak.

Moreover, the performance of fine wine during the financial crisis varied between different regions and vintages. While the Bordeaux market was hit particularly hard, Burgundy and the Rhône performed relatively well.

The fine wine market – braced for challenges

The fine wine market of today looks very different from the shape it had fifteen years ago. There are more investable wines than at any other point in history. If Bordeaux accounted for 90% of the market in 2008, today its share sits at 35%, due to the emergence and the proven investment potential of wines outside this dominant French region.

The diversity of this portfolio diversifier has helped it get through swiftly through other more recent challenges, such as Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on most European wines, and the Covid-19 pandemic.

For instance, Italy and Champagne, which were exempt from the US tariffs, enjoyed steady price appreciation in 2019, while Burgundy suffered. Throughout and after the pandemic, Burgundy and Champagne turned into the top-performing regions.

California also enjoyed rising prices in 2021, and its index hit an all-time high in September last year.

Bordeaux has been moving quietly and steadily, and its relatively mild performance over the last five years has turned it into a region that can offer value for money, especially in ‘off’ vintages.

regional fine wine investment

Factors influencing the performance of fine wine

The fine wine market is different from other markets and operates with its own dynamics, such as rarity and exclusivity. Its unique characteristics make it less vulnerable to market shocks and economic downturns than financial markets.

Indeed, its historic performance has shown very low correlation to mainstream markets. As a tangible good that cannot be traded as quickly as stocks, fine wine is generally insulated from rapid price changes.

In general, prices move based on supply and demand, critics’ scores, vintage quality, age and brand appeal. Find out more about fine wine investment here, or explore the performance of individual brands on Wine Track.

 

WineCap’s market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q1 2023 Fine Wine Report

Our Q1 2023 report has now been released. The report examines how the global financial turmoil of the first quarter impacted the fine wine market, the factors affecting demand, and the best performing wines and regions. Download your free copy today.

Key findings include:

  • Mainstream markets had a rollercoaster quarter, but fine wine remained relatively unaffected.
  • Fine wine prices have risen for two consecutive months after a slow start to the year.
  • Several Bordeaux 2011s enjoyed heightened demand and rising prices in light of Chinese New Year.
  • The Burgundy 2021 campaign was met with mixed sentiment from the trade due to low allocations and high prices.
  • Axel Heinz has left Ornellaia to join Château Lascombes and bring fresh life into the estate, which has been underperforming the Super Tuscan in recent years.
  • The spotlight is now on Bordeaux, with the En Primeur release of the 2022 vintage, which has been described as ‘very promising’.

Click below to download your free copy of our quarterly investment report.

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The Fine Wine Market is Seeing More & More Investors

 

There is no question that appreciation of wine is increasing all over the world which, subsequently, has piqued the interest of potential fine wine investors across the globe.

The fine wine market has established itself as a low-risk marketplace for anyone looking to get into the investment world or wanting to expand their existing portfolio. But why is it so popular?

In this article, discover why more and more people are investing in fine wine and, if you’re considering becoming a fine wine investor yourself, find out how to get started.

Differences between fine wine and other investment methods

 

An alternative investment

An alternative investment is any way of growing your capital that doesn’t fit into the traditional categories, such as equity and bonds.

Alternative investments, such as fine wines, allow investors to diversify their investment portfolios. Doing so decreases the risk over their entire portfolio, giving them the chance to strengthen what they already have.

Low correlation with the stock market

The fine wine market doesn’t correlate with the stock markets because its value relies on the good old-fashioned supply and demand model.

Investment-grade wine producers only make a small amount of wine every year, this already increases its value. As soon as someone drinks that bottle of wine, there is one less bottle to buy, but the demand for that wine doesn’t go away.

This continuous cycle is what often gives fine wine investors such a healthy return on investment, unlike traditional investment methods where prices often rise and fall unexpectedly.

It’s a tangible asset

A tangible asset means it is a physical object. A fine wine investor invests in a real-life, physical product, which means they have direct ownership of that wine and can crack open and enjoy it should they wish to.

This differs to stocks and shares, where although you may receive paper confirmation, you don’t truly own the product – making it less secure than tangible assets.

Low volatility

Volatility is a term to describe the rate prices of an item increase and decrease in a market over a period of time.

Traditional investment methods, like stocks and bonds, have very high volatility. Prices can increase and decrease for any reason at any given time. Indeed, sometimes it only takes one prominent and influential figure to publicly criticise it for its price to dramatically drop.

The fine wine market has low volatility with stable price growth over time, which is why fine wine is considered a low-risk investment.

So, how can you turn fine wine into profit?

One of the many great things about fine wine investment is that you can take it up whether you are an investment expert, or a hobbyist looking to expand your portfolio.

If you are new to fine wine investment and would like some help deciding where to invest your money, you could look into working with a fine wine investment company like WineCap.

Here at WineCap, we offer expert, unbiased advice on strategic investment opportunities and can walk you through how to get the most out of your investment.

We also store your fine wine in government bonded warehouses, ensuring your wines are stored in optimum conditions.

Learn more about wine investment and schedule a free consultation today.