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Investment opportunities in back vintage Bordeaux

  • Back vintages can often offer better investment prospects than new releases.
  • Looking at Bordeaux 2022 so far, the wines have been offered at a 16% premium on last year on average; some as high as 40%.
  • Prices for physical Bordeaux have declined since the start of the campaign, making older vintages even more affordable.

With the annual En Primeur campaign in full swing, many consider the investment opportunities in Bordeaux futures. What has become clearer in recent years, however, is that back vintages can often offer better prospects than the new releases.

For many châteaux, En Primeur is no longer the cheapest time to buy a bottle, with older vintages available in the market for less. This goes against the original premise of buying futures, which was an opportunity to acquire the wines at the lowest price possible.

Price and score inflation

Although Bordeaux has experienced improvements in quality, a trend evident in critic scores inflation, the price increases have been even more noticeable.

Looking at Bordeaux 2022 so far, the wines have been offered at a 15.6% premium on last year on average; some as high as 40%. For instance, Château Rauzan Segla was released with a 40.3% increase and Château Beau-Séjour Bécot – up 37.2%.

Château Climens, which did not produce wine in 2017, 2018 and 2021 due to weather challenges, launched its 2022 with a 139.4% increase on the 2016. As a result, back vintages like 2007, 2010 and 2011 enjoyed heightened demand, which in turn pushed prices. Château Climens has become one of the best-performing Bordeaux brands so far this year, according to Wine Track, rising 39%.

Prices for physical Bordeaux decline

Not all releases have enhanced a brand’s value. Since the start of the campaign, prices for physically available Bordeaux wines have declined 1.3% on average, according to the Liv-ex Bordeaux 500 index.

This is making back vintages look especially good value, in the context of rising En Primeur prices.

Take for instance one of the most recent releases, Château Lynch-Bages 2022, which was offered at £1,280 per 12×75, up 20.8% on last year. The 2022 surpasses the price of any vintage younger than 2010. The 2019 and 2016 look particularly good value, with higher critic scores and lower prices.

Lynch-Bages

Buyers will find opportunities in old vintage Bordeaux, such as 1995 and 1996, as well as the most recent years – 2021, 2020, 2019 and 2018. The recent trilogy of greats (2018-2020) offers plenty of options, with comparable quality to the new releases and lower prices.

For instance, the average Neal Martin score for the 2022 vintage is 94.8; in comparison, his 2019 is 95.2 and 2020 – 95.1.

The campaign’s successes

As discussed in a recent article, there have been some successful En Primeur releases such as Cheval Blanc, Beychevelle, and most recently, Les Carmes Haut-Brion. These wines were offered higher than last year but still represented an attractive point of entry into the brand, and immediately enjoyed demand.

Carmes Haut-Brion

Les Carmes Haut-Brion has become a collector’s favourite as quality has improved. Until 2010, 93-points was the highest score the wine had received. The newest release achieved 98-100 points from Antonio Galloni (Vinous) and 99-100 from Yohan Castaing (Wine Advocate). Neal Martin also credited it ‘as the best Carmes the new owners have overseen’. Its average score was higher than the more expensive Ausone, Haut-Brion, Lafite Rothschild, Margaux, Mission Haut-Brion and Le Pin.

At a quarter of the price of a First Growth, and half the price of wines like Léoville-Las Cases and Palmer, the wine has demonstrated considerable potential for continued appreciation. This has been reflected in the performance of its index, which has risen 41% over the last five years, making it one of the best-performing Bordeaux properties.

The successful 2022 releases have taken into consideration existing demand for the brand, vintage quality and, most importantly, offered value compared to back vintages.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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The pairing of old wine and new markets: demographic shifts and emerging trends

A version of this article by WineCap’s CEO Alexander Westgarth was first published in Forbes.

  • The wine investment landscape has evolved significantly, with younger, international buyers increasingly shaping the market.
  • Growing global demand has made the market more liquid, transparent and efficient.
  • New investors are exploring assets beyond traditional stocks and bonds such as wine and other collectibles.

The image of the traditional wine investor is changing. Gone are the days of gentlemen with monocles and fur coats. Today, the reality of who purchases fine wine may surprise you.

In this article, we explore the changing demographics of wine buyers and highlight modern investment trends for wealth managers looking to incorporate wine into their portfolios.

Shifting demographics: younger generations enter the market

The average wine buyer has become considerably younger in recent years. Jamie Ritchie, Head of Wine at Sotheby’s Auction House, said that in the 1990s the average wine buyer was 65. However, according to a 2021 report, only 7% of wine buyers are now over 60, while 37% are under 40. Nearly 270 millennials and Gen Zs placed the winning bid for Sotheby’s finest wines and spirits.

This shift is particularly relevant for wealth managers, as fine wine aligns well with younger investors who have long-term investment horizons. Most fine wines have potential for ageing – a good Bordeaux, for instance, can be cellared for 50+ years. This can add stability to an investment portfolio. Over the past two decades, the average price of fine wine has risen 380%, suggesting a potential for continued growth as demand increases and supply diminishes.

The liquidity challenges of wine investment

While investing in fine wine offers long-term benefits, one should not ignore the liquidity aspect. Younger investors may require quicker access to funds, which poses a challenge as wine can take time to trade. Selling wine investments prematurely may result in missing out on substantial profits. Wealth managers should, therefore, consider diversifying portfolios by combining fine wine with other liquid assets, such as cash-like securities, blue-chip stocks, and bonds. Striking the right balance between illiquid and liquid investments is key to maximising returns.

Global appeal

The international appeal of wine has grown significantly over the past two decades. According to Sotheby’s Wine & Spirits Market Report 2021 referenced earlier, North American bidders have been drawn to the market to make up nearly half of Sotheby’s new buyers.

This could be partly attributed to the power of currency. On the first day of 2021, 1 pound was worth $1.37. But by mid-December, it had zigzagged down to $1.32. As the green bills swelled in purchasing power, fine wine (usually denominated in sterling) grew increasingly tempting to U.S. investors. Today sterling continues to weaken against the dollar. As of June 7th 2023, 1 pound costs $1.24.

Additionally, Asian buyers now make up 52% of wine sales at Sotheby’s, with American investors representing 18%, and Europe (primarily split between the UK and France) accounting for the remaining 30%.

Growing global demand for wine offers some serious advantages for existing investors. As well as bringing in more potential buyers, the value of fine wine tends to rise above regional shocks. As the market base grows, the market becomes more liquid and efficient, improving price transparency.

A thirst for inflation-hedging and nostalgia

Historically, fine wine has been difficult to access. Investors needed to be deeply entrenched in elusive private markets. Owning an investment portfolio at all was generally reserved for the wealthy few.

But today, spurred by a boost in financial literacy and digital investment platforms, new groups are entering. Alongside wine, today’s digital investors are adding cultural timepieces like iconic shoes, sweaters, watches and even Legos to their portfolios. This could be partly due to nostalgia but it could also be the result of an astute investment strategy.

Historical data shows impressive returns for collectibles, with sneakers generating over 2,000% returns and Swatch timepieces delivering over 7,000%. One in-depth study found that from 1987 to 2015, Lego collectibles delivered returns of at least 11%.

Considering the anticipated high interest rates, low growth, and volatility of 2023, physical assets can serve as a hedge against inflation. While certain collectibles may be speculative, wine and art have demonstrated a history of hedging against economic downturns.

Leveraging online investment platforms and adapting to investor preferences

Wealth managers can leverage online investment platforms to access performance data, bid-ask spreads, and forecasts. They can also purchase wine directly and handle everything from storage to auctions digitally.

As the investor landscape changes, wealth managers should explore assets beyond traditional stocks and bonds. Incorporating alternative investments, such as wine, can help diversify and enhance portfolio performance. Furthermore, incorporating passion assets that resonate with younger investors, such as sustainability-focused investments and items reflecting their values, can strengthen client relationships and attract the next generation of investors.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Moët Hennessy’s new organic certifications reflect a growing trend in the wine industry

  • Moët Hennessy has achieved new organic certifications for three estates, highlighting their commitment to sustainability and soil health initiatives.
  • The wine industry has seen a rise in organic wineries as more producers adopt sustainable practices to promote soil health, biodiversity, and natural pest control.
  • This is not only beneficial for the environment but presents an opportunity for ESG investors.

Moët Hennessy achieves new organic certifications

Moët Hennessy has achieved new organic certifications for three of its estates as part of its sustainability initiative called ‘Living Soils Living Together’, the drinks business reported.

One of the accreditations was granted to Château Galoupet in Provence, recognising its commitment to soil regeneration and soil health initiatives.

Additionally, two wine estates in Argentina, Chandon Argentina and Terrazas de Los Andes, were awarded the Regenerative Organic Certified (ROC) status by the non-profit organization Regenerative Organic Alliance.

In line with the program, Moët Hennessy had previously committed to ceasing the use of herbicides in its Champagne vineyards.

The rise of organic wineries

Moët Hennessy is not alone in its pursuit of a greener future. There has been a noticeable increase in the number of wineries adopting organic practices in recent years. The organic wine movement has gained significant momentum as consumers and wine investors have become more conscious about sustainable and environmentally friendly products.

Wineries are transitioning to organic farming methods to reduce their use of synthetic chemicals, pesticides, and herbicides in grape cultivation. Such practices focus on promoting soil health, biodiversity, and natural pest control, resulting in healthier vineyards and potentially higher quality grapes.

Renowned organic producers

Some of the most renowned organic producers include Burgundy’s Domaine Leflaive, and the Bordeaux Fifth Growth estate, Château Pontet-Canet.

While not officially certified, Burgundy’s Domaine de la Romanée-Conti also adheres to organic and biodynamic principles in its vineyard management and produces some of the most sought-after wines in the world.

A sustainable investment asset

The increasing adoption of organic and sustainable practices by wineries is not only beneficial for the environment but also presents an opportunity for wine investors. The influence of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors over investment portfolios has grown dramatically in recent years.

Indeed, fine wine can be considered an ESG investment for the following reasons:

  1. Vineyards are a carbon sink. A rugby-pitched-sized area of vineyard soaks up a respectable 2.84 tonnes of carbon every year.
  2. Soil quality can be enhanced through fine wine. Soil degradation is hot on the radar for concerned environmentalists.
  3. Organic wine production supports pollinators. Organic or pesticide-free vineyards – often one of the hallmarks of fine wine – helps bees and other pollinators get back on track.
  4. Fine wine is fighting back against single-use plastic. Unlike disposable plastic, fine wine glass bottles are something to be treasured.
  5. Vineyards help fill rocky terrain and hills with plants. The higher altitude acts as a natural pesticide, making it much easier to create organic wines.

The combination of sustainable practices and investment potential makes the growing trend of organic wineries a positive development in the wine industry.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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6 Questions to Ask Yourself Before Investing in Fine Wine

Investments in fine wine have proved exceptionally popular over the recent years, bringing in new buyers and record trades[1]. And it’s easy to see why! There are many advantages to investing in fine wine, especially in the current high-inflation environment. However, before diving in, it’s important to take a step back and consider how fine wine could fit into your overall investment strategy.

Here are six questions to ask yourself before investing:

1. What is your investment goal?

Investment goals are unique to the investor. Some people dream of going on a lavish round-the-world trip, while others are simply looking to afford a comfortable retirement. Whatever your personal goal (or goals), take a moment to write it down.

Calculate how much your goal will cost and how much time you’ve got to get there. This forms the backbone of your investment strategy.

For example, if you’re hoping to put down a £150,000 deposit on a property in a decade, and you can afford to put aside £1,000 a month towards it, you will need to find the additional £30,000. This means your investment goal is to generate £30,000 over the next ten years. The way that you approach it depends on your unique time horizon and risk tolerance.

2. What is your time horizon?

The general rule is the more time you have, the more risk you can afford to take. Of course, there is always a chance with investing that you may get back less than you put in, but over longer periods this risk is mitigated.

Experts mostly agree that if you will need your money in less than five years – say one or two – it’s normally better to put it in a high-interest savings account. If you need it within the next five to ten years, a lower-risk and highly diversified portfolio could be the best option. Blue chip stocks, AAA graded bonds and market index funds could make up the bulk of your portfolio. If you have more than ten years to invest, you can probably afford to take more risk.

Pension fund managers normally follow this rule. Generally, young employees – who have multiple decades of work ahead – will be invested in high-risk illiquid assets. By contrast, those closer to retirement will be transitioned to low-risk, liquid investments.

Time is an important factor to consider as you begin to explore fine wines and consider how they could complement your strategy. As you research bottles, check that the maturity date matches your strategic timeline. Luckily, there are many different fine wines out there to suit different investors. You can effortlessly stay updated on the latest trends fine wine with Wine Track.

3. How much tolerance do you have for risk?

Your investment risk tolerance is nothing to do with your normal risk appetite. It’s about how you feel when the markets are volatile. It’s about whether the idea of your investments soaring and plunging in value makes you excited or nauseous. You could be a sky-diving, base-jumping crocodile physiologist and still feel queasy at thought of market downturns.

Figuring out the level of risk you’re prepared to take with your wealth is a crucial part of designing your investment strategy. After all, you don’t want to lose sleep over your investments, they are there to help you dream – not give you nightmares!

Different asset classes can be broadly grouped into different risk levels. On the lower-risk side, there’s investments like gold, property, or fine wine. These tend to provide stable and steady returns over time. On the higher risk-side are assets like crypto assets, high yield bonds, derivatives, or equity in start-ups. These are more volatile in nature, often soaring and plummeting quickly.

In the current environment, investors looking to mitigate their risk might be interested in inflation-shielding assets. These are usually physical and tangible investments like property, art, gold, collectibles, and of course, fine wine.

4. How much liquidity do you need?

If things take a turn for the worse, how much money will you quickly need to access from your investment portfolio? Or in other words – how much liquidity do you need?

Ideally, investors should not liquidate their portfolio before the right time. Doing so could unbundle the entire investment strategy and mean missed opportunities later down the line. For this reason, experts recommend keeping three to six months’ worth of living costs aside in a high-interest savings account. And many will also advocate to have a healthy surplus in a current account too.

However, sometimes life happens, and investors have no choice but to liquidate. Think carefully about how much of your portfolio you would need to sell in an emergency and how quickly you’d need the cash. This is an important part of planning your strategy.

Some assets can be quickly converted into cash. For example, many of the blue-chip shares and funds – such as those on the FTSE100 or S&P500 could usually sell within 24 hours. However other assets – especially those on the private market – can take several weeks, months or even years.

Generally, for fine wine it can take between weeks and months to sell bottles. But it depends on the time of year, type of bottle and asset maturity. With Wine Track, you can keep a close on the demand and prices of fine wine, so that you’re always up-to-date.

5. How diversified are you?

Nobel-prize laureate Harry Markovitz famously revealed, “Diversification is the only free lunch in investing”. As you build your investment portfolio, it’s important to diversify your revenue streams. This can help to shield your overall wealth from market shocks and prevent one downturn from slashing the value across your entire investments.

Alternative investments – such as art, antiques, commodities, and fine wine – are often used to boost diversification and provide different sources of returns (hence the name).

Because assets like fine wine derive their value intrinsically, they are less affected by the market turbulence outside. They are also traded away from the stock market. This provides a different source of revenue and helps to diversify portfolios.

As you build your overall portfolio, experts recommend aiming for a blend of different asset classes, sectors, and geographical locations. Reaching as far and wide as possible is one of the most effective ways to mitigate exposure to market shocks.

6. What’s your impact on the world?

One of the most profound questions for investors to ask themselves is what effect they’re having on the world around them. How their money is invested can make a dramatic difference on the planet.

Fortunately, many vineyards and fine wine investors care deeply about the environment. The quality of grapes is closely linked to the climate, and many wineries are working hard to adapt and mitigate the effects of the crisis. As an investment that thrives on the prosperity of vines, there’s a strong case to be made that fine wine is an ESG investment.

As you build your portfolio, consider carefully what your wealth is being used for and whether you agree with it. Your choice of investment gives you power and influence, use it wisely.

Discover more about how fine wine reacts in a recession.

 

[1] Source: Liv-ex

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Could Fine Wine be a Better Investment than Property?

For centuries, property has been hailed as the sturdiest of investments. After all, what could be more solid than bricks and mortar? But with the five or six figure price tags, near-constant renovation or service work and gut-wrenching taxes, is it really such a wise investment? In this article, we compare the performances, costs and returns of fine wine against property to see which one works out better for investors.

What returns could investors expect?

Investors in fine wine have reaped significant returns, especially over the past years. The Liv-ex Wine 1000, which tracks the overall performance of fine wines, shows how the asset has grown in value by 45% over the past five years alone[1] (at the time of writing). And since the index was created in 2004, fine wines have steadily risen to almost five times their original price. Over the past year, fine wine investors have enjoyed returns of 13.6% on average[2]. While past performance is no guarantee of future returns, fine wine has a strong track record of delivering smooth and stable value for investors.

Property market values are a little more complicated to measure, as they are influenced by politico-economic factors. For example, the 2020-2021 UK Stamp Duty cuts impacted price movements significantly. However, we can still compare returns.

Most real estate investors will opt for a Buy-to-Let property. Depending on the area they select, rental profits generally range from between 3% to 8% each year. 2022 research from Zoopla reveals that UK rental yields are the highest in East Ayshire, Scotland. Here, investors pick up average yields of 8.5%[3]. By contrast – and perhaps surprisingly – the location with the lowest rental yields is the London Borough of Kensington and Chelsea. Despite the average property values of £1.7 million, investors reap just 3.3% profits[4]. Even the highest yielding rental properties are not delivering the superior returns of fine wine.

Comparing like-for-like, the average rental yield for a UK property today is 4.7% annually[5]. By contrast, wine investors have enjoyed returns of 13.6% on average over the past year[6].

Costs associated with buying and selling

Unless you chose to buy into a fund, purchasing the investment-grade wine of your choice can take a little longer than trading stocks and shares on the public markets. However, reputable online services like WineCap make the process simple and straightforward.

Signing up to the WineCap platform and linking your desired investment amount takes just a few moments. From there, investors can effortlessly view, track, and purchase the finest wines available. They can even benefit from state-of-the-art analysis tools, and experts are on hand to recommend the best brands. Selling wine with us is just as painless. We are extremely well positioned to trade wine, reaching keen audiences and investors across the globe. When investors sell fine wine, WineCap charges a brokerage fee of 10%.

Buying a property, on the other hand, is almost always a drawn-out and complicated procedure. Investors looking for a buy-to-let will need to visit multiple different properties and locations, requiring time and planning. They’ll also need to deal with estate agents, surveyors, conveyancers, lawyers, banks and possibly mortgage brokers, adding around £5,000 to the cost[7]. Plus, if tenants are already living in the property, it problematic for investors who want to renovate or increase rents.

Selling a property means going back through the same laborious process, especially if the new buyer is part of a chain. It also occurs additional costs such as estate agents fees, EPC energy certificates, conveyancing fees and removal services, adding around £6000 in total[8].

Buying and selling a property comes with a lot more hassle and fees than fine wine. When fine wine is sold using online services like WineCap, a one-off 10% brokerage charge applies. By contrast, when buying and selling a property, investors are inundated with charges and requirements, adding thousands to the bill.

Inflation-hedging and interest factors

Fine wine is famously inflation-resistant. Over centuries it’s demonstrated that returns are not corelated to the wider financial markets, and over the last years it’s become even more stable than gold. As a scarce and depleting asset, fine wine investments are a promising hedge against inflation.

However, the same cannot be said for buy-to-let mortgages. Unless investors can purchase property outright, they are likely to get hit with annual interest rates of around 5%[9]. Considering that the average property in the UK comes to £296,000[10], mortgage holders will pay out £14,800 each year. What’s more, since 2017, buy-to-let tax relief has been gradually decreasing in the UK. As of 2022, it became zero. Property investors will be feeling the rising interest more than ever.

Inflation and interest rates are closely linked. When inflation rises too much, central banks will attempt to “cool” the economy by raising interest. At the moment, we are in a high inflation environment, and so interest rates are unlikely to drop back to pre-pandemic levels for the foreseeable future. This is bad news for landlords and property investors, but it doesn’t negatively impact fine wine holders.

When it comes to inflation-hedging and interest, fine wine investments have the edge over property. Unless the investor can pay for the entire estate without any mortgage, they will be hit with higher rates and less tax perks.

Ongoing maintenance costs

Some investors already have a temperature-controlled cellar at home. But for those that don’t, there are storage facilities available. Ensuring that the bottles are stored in the right conditions is crucial for maintaining and increasing value.

While storage costs vary from place to place, it’s usually between £10 and £40 for a case of twelve for a year. Some facilities may include insurance, or investors may prefer to purchase it themselves. Investors may also wish to have the wine delivered to a new location, which adds to the overall cost.

If you would like to talk to an expert about fine wine and the maintenance costs, we’d be happy to help.

Investing in property also comes with maintenance charges, which are often far more troublesome and costly. The estate may need renovation, cleaning, plumbing work, building work, decorating and more. Those planning to rent out also need to stay on top of regulations, such as fire safety measures. Many investors will employ a property manager to ensure that day-to-day issues are dealt with quickly, which is a drain on profits.

In addition, properties such as flats often require quarterly service charges, to pay for the communal maintenance, cyclical charges (like repairs) and reserve funds. Most service charges are between £1,000 to £2,000 a year.

Both fine wine and property investments come with maintenance charges. However, the cost of storing, insuring, or transporting fine wine is usually much less than the costs associated with properties.

Tax considerations

One of the major advantages of fine wine investments is the generous tax status. Under the UK HMRC, fine wine usually falls under the category of “wasting chattel”. This means that since it needs to be consumed within the next 50 years, it is exempt from Capital Gains Tax (CPT). Investment-grade wine which valued at less than £6,000 is also usually free from CPT. You can read more about the taxation rules of fine wine with our comprehensive guide.

However, the same cannot be said for almost all property investments. Property investors in the UK must normally pay stamp duty, capital gains tax and income tax. Buy-to-let investors will need to pay more in stamp duty than other homebuyers, as they have an additional 3% surcharge. And foreign property investors may face yet more taxes from both their own state and the one they are buying in.

Depending on the type of service property investors want to offer renters, they may also take on the Council Tax as well.

Property investors will probably need to pay stamp duty, CPT and income tax. Meanwhile, nearly all fine wine investments are exempt.

Is fine wine the new property?

In the current environment, fine wine has many desirable qualities and benefits over traditional property investments. While wine does have some associated costs, they are usually much lower and more straightforward than buying property. And, unlike property investments, the returns on fine wine are not directly impacted by tax, interest rates or inflation.

Perhaps most importantly of all, fine wine tends to preserve or increase in value during a recession. It is not linked to the wider economy and government intervention in the same way that the housing market is. On the contrary, in the aftermath of the 2008 housing collapse, fine wine rallied[11].

So, is fine wine the new property? We think it’s better.

 

[1] Source: Liv-ex

[2] Source: Liv-ex

[3] Source: Zoopla

[4] Source: Zoopla

[5] Source: Joseph Mews

[6] Source: Liv-ex

[7] Source: KFH

[8] Source: HOA

[9] Source: Money Supermarket

[10] Source: ONS

[11] Source: Liv-ex

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Fine Wine Investment | Guide

A renaissance in the market over the last two decades has let the secret of fine wine out, and the mainstream investment community has responded in kind. The word on fine wine is that it’s not just for the privileged few: it is an ideal choice for everyday investors looking to diversify their portfolios.

By choosing fine wine, you benefit from a proven market that is stable, relatively detached from the mainstream, and consistent in its double-digit returns. What’s more, fine wine offers you a great hedge against inflation.

Discover in our Fine Wine Investment Guide:

  • How to invest successfully in fine wine
  • What WineCap will do for you
  • The beauty of fine wine as an investment
  • The long-term returns of fine wine
  • The influence of wine critics
  • How to create the perfect portfolio

Click the button below to download our Fine Wine Investment Guide and learn more about our proven strategy for investment success.

Do not hesitate to get in touch and speak to one of our wine investment advisors for further information and to reserve your allocations.