Tag: Wine as an investment

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Is Fine Wine the New Gold?

is fine wine the new gold
Is Fine Wine the New Gold?

For more than 6,000 years gold has been revered and collected by people hoping to store, preserve and even grow their wealth. But in recent times, the stability of gold has been called into question. Prices have been on almost as much of a journey as the stock markets. Whether it’s because Central Banks are buying record amounts of the precious metal, or because investors are trading emotionally, the asset is no longer such a dependable source of alternative value.

In this article, we’re taking a closer look at gold’s investment performance over the past year, and how it compares to fine wine.

Gold is becoming more volatile

Investors have been on a tumultuous journey. Over the past year, the price of gold plummeted by -21% between March and October[1]. Then it rose again by +15% from November through to January. At the time of writing (January 2023), one ounce of gold costs $1,868[2], but economists are already predicting further movements ahead.

Performance of gold over the past twelve months

Over 2023, a range of factors is likely to influence the price of gold. The mild global recessions, geopolitical uncertainties and continued high inflation levels will probably increase its value. But on the other hand, pressure on commodities and the gradual easing of inflation could bring the prices down. Over the next year, it’s unlikely that prices will remain stable.

Gold is becoming increasingly correlated to the stock market

As gold usually rallies in a recession and falls during periods of prosperity, investors have traditionally added this to portfolios as a hedge. When the stock markets are down, they look to their gold investments to buffer some of the losses. However, over the past few years, something strange has happened. Instead of gold going up when the markets go down, the two are starting to correlate.

Fine wine delivered returns that were uncorrelated to the market

By contrast, over the past year fine wine have exhibited the very characteristics that investors usually look for in gold. Performance has been stable, steady and – best of all – uncorrelated to the stock market. The graph below shows the comparison of fine wine (green), gold (red) and the S&P 500 performance over the past year.

Unlike gold, the fine wine index (Liv-ex 1000) didn’t demonstrate any periods of correlation with the wider stock market during 2022. Overall, wine steadily trended upwards, slightly increasing when the wider markets plummeted and slightly dipping when the wider markets soared. This makes fine wine an exceptionally stable diversifier for investors. Not only did it hedge portfolios over 2023, but it also helped to smooth out overall volatility.

If you’d like to analyse the performance of fine wine, you can find the prices for regions, bottles, wines and more on Wine Track.

Is fine wine the new gold?

While it may not be exactly true that fine wine is the “new gold”, over the past year this asset class has been significantly more stable and less correlated to the wider market. It’s provided investors with a more calm and smooth positive performance than gold, throughout the economic storm.

Like gold or property, fine wine has intrinsic value and compelling inflation-resistance. As a tangible asset, it will almost always be worth something – unlike stocks, bonds or cash which could crash. But different from gold, the kind of buyers who invest in fine wine are not cut from the same cloth as stock market investors.

Fine wine is generally bought and sold in exclusive private markets, far away from public trading forums. The asset is also usually purchased and treasured by passion investors, who tend to hold it for decades. By contrast, more people seem to be “flipping” gold and property, which ramps-up volatility.

So, is fine wine the new gold? Not really… If you’re looking for stability, alternative returns, and uncorrelated market value, we think it’s superior.

[1] Source: Monex

[2] Source: Monex

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Fine Wine as a Wasting Chattel

Fine Wine as a Wasting Chattel

From April 6, the British government will move to reduce the deficit through a number of measures, including very significant changes to capital gains tax thresholds. However, investors may find that “wasting chattel” investments could be a worthwhile solution to this.

From the new financial year 2023-2024, the threshold for paying capital gains tax (CGT) will be slashed, from £12,300 to £6,000 this year, and then again to £3,000 the following year – a full 75% fall. This added tax burden will inevitably eat into investor returns. However, the category of investments known as “wasting chattel” is exempt from CGT altogether, meaning that any gains made on these investments will allow investors to keep more of their profits.

Wasting chattel investments are assets with a predictable useful life not exceeding 50 years and can include things such as art, furniture, vehicles, and most importantly, fine wine. These may provide investors with a tax-efficient way to profit.

If you’re looking to balance out tax losses and protect your portfolio against inflation, then allocating more of your portfolio to wasting chattels may be a smart move. Collectible assets such as fine wine are often inflation-resistant and have a long history of good returns. They can therefore provide a much-needed buffer against the current economic environment; helping ensure the long-term success of your portfolio and the security of your financial well-being.

In these difficult economic times, adaptability is paramount, and it is essential for investors and portfolio managers to remain flexible by considering all investment tools and vehicles. Wasting chattels kick back against the upcoming tax hits, and can be an excellent option.

If this sounds like something of interest to you, why not schedule a consultation with WineCap? Our wine investment experts would be only too happy to guide you through the process.

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Digital Advancements Bring a New Generation of Wine Investors

Digital Advancements in Investments

NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens) and fine wine may seem like an unlikely pairing. After all, wine is one of the very oldest investments, while NFTs are among the newest digital advancements. The markets couldn’t be more different either. While 20-somethings snap up digital tokens in the metaverse, 60-somethings traditionally dominate the fine wine universe at auction houses. But it’s precisely this titanic clash of old and new which is firing up the market so vigorously.

Like a jolt of electricity, a surge of digital advancements is jump-starting the established wine industry … and it’s bringing floods of eager new buyers along with it.

Vineyards get a taste for blockchain

Over the past year, esteemed vineyards have started to sell NFTs with bottles attached to them. Just like a certificate or receipt of purchase, but far more secure. When the investor is ready, they will redeem the NFT for the physical bottle. In the meantime, it’s usually stored securely for them.

Since blockchain cannot be altered or tampered with, some wineries are using the technology to guarantee quality and combat fraud. In recent years, counterfeit bottles and scammers have plagued the industry, costing wine investors upwards of 2.7 billion euros a year[1]. Using certified NFTs reassures buyers that the bottles they’re paying for are indeed the ones they’re getting.

Some vineyards, such as Màquina y Tabla, use this technology to sell wine en primeur[2] – or as wine futures. The international nature of NFTs lends itself well to this. Within the blockchain, investors can check exactly what chemicals, conditions and processes were used to make the wine. They can closely scrutinize the sustainability levels too.

Some experts are even suggesting that the default currency of fine wine could soon become crypto as the pound continues to encounter volatility.

New investors enter the wine market

The emerging NFT space couldn’t be more different from the traditional wine market. At the time of writing, most NFT investors come from India, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Brazil[3]. The age demographic is different too. Most NFT investors are between 18 and 34 years old.

While most NFT investors are true digital natives, they’ve also grown up in a snowball of recessions. This makes asset-backed digital investments like fine wine a welcome and intriguing option. Unlike most other NFTs, it’s something you can touch, with intrinsic value.

At the time of writing, this new breed of wine NFT investors seem keen, and they have money. Penfold’s 2021 NFT famously sold within just 12 seconds[4]. And in summer 2022, an NFT linked to an exclusive champagne bottle went for an eyewatering $2.5 million[5].

Additional income streams will benefit vineyards

As well as the new clientele, there’s another compelling reason why vineyards may be keen to sell NFTs with bottles attached. Perhaps it’s the strongest incentive of them all. Each time the NFT is traded, the vineyard can opt to get a small cut of the price.

Over time, as the wine NFT changes wallets, these incremental profits can stack up.

Extra streams of passive income will surely be very welcome to vineyards, as the industry grapples with climate change and forest fires. Producers can use the revenue to continue adapting, experimenting, or simply making up a cash shortfall – all of which is good news for wine investors.

Vineyards are keen to develop and invest in the NFT space. Some of the most famous wine families, including the houses of Rouzaud (Champagne Roederer and Château Pichon-Comtesse), Reybier (Saint-Estèphe’s Château Cos d’Estournel), Moueix (Videlot) and Perrin (Château de Beaucastel) poured a whopping 6 million euros into Winechain, a new wine NFT platform. It surely goes without saying that they’re likely looking for a return on their investments.

Vineyards can be more creative with NFTs

Trading NFTs online also gives vineyards a chance to include the kind of extras and luxuries that investors enjoy. There is almost unlimited room for creativity.

Château Angélus, for example, also include digital artwork and virtual wine-tasting sessions in the fine wine NFT package. The art appeals to NFT investors keen to build on their collection of unique digital assets. They can showcase these in their metaverse home or sell on to others. The wine tasting, of course, appeals to almost everyone.

New Zealand-based vineyard, Hello Fam, took things even further. This vineyard partnered with Graham Norton – voice of Eurovision and host of the One Show – to offer NFTs for their limited edition “HeDevil” wine. The NFT includes two bottles, physical artwork, and one lucky buyer got to attend a virtual tasting with Norton himself.

Unlike traditional bottles and barrels, vineyards can truly tailor wine investments and experiences around buyers. This opens the door to new potential, new markets, and new possibilities.

Investors should be wary of risks

While there is a world of possibility around these new digital advancements, there are drawbacks too.

The world of NFTs moves fast… a little too fast. With all the hype and possibilities around these digital advancements, it can be easy to get carried away. But – as always with investing – it’s important not to get swayed by the market noise.

As the oracle of Oklahoma, Warren Buffet, famously said, “The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect. You need a temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against the crowd”.

Before diving into the fast-paced world of NFT wines and metaverse investments, investors should consider their long-term strategy and conduct careful analysis. Although vineyards create authentic NFTs, there are likely to be fakes around.

What’s more, NFTs are traded using cryptocurrency, so investors cannot buy and sell them with fiat money like pounds, euros, or dollars. This comes with its own set of headaches. Firstly, these digital coins are famously volatile. In March 2022 – an especially bad time – the value of Bitcoin fell by a colossal 60%[6]. Over 2023, some experts are predicting a further 40% drop[7]. The second largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum, has also been on a rollercoaster. In December 2021, a single coin was worth $4,624, fast-forward one year and it’s $1,296 – less than a third of the value[8].

The process of mining and trading cryptocurrencies – and by extension – NFTs is also reportedly detrimental to the environment. By contrast, fine wine investments are usually quite sustainable, and so NFTs could undo many of those important benefits.

Another consideration consideration of digital advancements in the industry is that cryptocurrency has been banned in nine countries, including China. This means that the waves of Asian investors entering the wine market, are probably coming through the traditional route.

The value of fine wine is likely to increase … But at what cost?

The new generation of buyers is likely to increase the market value of fine wine. As any economist will tell you, when demand outstrips supply, prices go up. It’s excellent news for today’s investors who may find that they can sell bottles for higher prices with greater liquidity.

However, investors who are looking to buy into NFT wines themselves should exercise caution. The space is still new and emerging, and regulations are being discussed as we write.

The environmental impact of NFTs and cryptocurrency on vineyards is already raising some eyebrows. Climate change alters the value of fine wine more than almost any other factor. While the marketplace welcomes new buyers and innovations, the integrity of fine wine must always come first.

Find out more about the latest fine wine trends and prices.

 

[1] Source: EU IPO

[2] Source: Club Enologique

[3] Source: Finder

[4] Source: Decanter

[5] Source: NFT Evening

[6] Source: CNBC

[7] Source: CNBC

[8] Source: Yahoo Finance

 

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Investment Options: Why Wine?

Bottles of wine in storage

Find out what investment options are out there so as not to miss out on wealth creation by holding excessive cash. That was the message from the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) which launched a new campaign this week to both incentivise and educate Britons to invest their cash wisely.

The recent emergence of user-friendly apps and free time born of the global pandemic has drawn record numbers to the market in the hope of turning their down time into financial return. However, this surge of investment opportunism has given rise to poor decision-making; with many investors tantalised by the promise of big wins from high-risk strategies such as cryptocurrency and volatile stocks. The FCA’s double-pronged campaign aims to encourage more prudent investment, while at the same time educating about the risks. The watchdog is roughly targeting a fifth of the estimated 8.6m Britons who have over £10,000 in cash.

‘Over time, [they] are at risk of having their money eroded by inflation.’ – The FCA

This recent investment activity highlights that, with interest rates as low as 0.1% at the time of writing, those looking to either start investing or diversify their portfolios would do well to take advantage of the current trend and to consider investing in wine, a proven way of delivering growth.

The benefits of wine as an investment option:

  • In the last 30 years wine investment has delivered an average of 10% compounded growth

  • It is a tax-free investment with no Capital Gains Tax

  • It has a low correlation to other assets

  • Uniquely, wine both improves and becomes rarer with age, unlike other assets in the same class

Based on previous performance, solid returns could be realised after five years, though customers who have held their wine investments for up to ten years or more have seen even greater returns and any potential investor should consider a long-term strategy.

Ultimately, wine is considered an excellent opportunity to grow your pot of cash in a time where interest rates cannot. With good advice and the right selection, wine could be the best investment option you add to your portfolio this year.

Find out more by downloading our free guide to wine investment.