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James Suckling’s top wines of 2024

James Suckling 2024 top wine Bertani Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2015
  • American critic James Suckling has released his top 100 wines of 2024 list.
  • His wine of the year is Bertani Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2015. 
  • Italy dominates the rankings followed by France and the US.

American critic James Suckling has released his top 100 wines of 2024 list, along with his wine of the year. The highest accolade went to Bertani Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2015, which according to the critic, is a classical wine that embodies ‘the greatness of time and place’.

Regional distribution

Suckling and his team tasted and rated over 40,000 different wines over the past twelve months. The majority were from Italy, which accounted for over 9,100 of the reviewed wines, followed closely by France with 9,000, the US with 6,800, Spain – 3,800, Argentina – 2,300, Germany – 2,000, Australia – 1,700, and Chile nearly 1,550. They also tasted wines from other regions worldwide including Greece, Hungary, Canada and Uruguay.

Italy also dominated the list of their favourites, featuring with 26 wines in the top 100, followed by France (18), the United States (15), Germany (12), Argentina (6), Spain (6), Chile (6), Australia (5), Austria (4), South Africa (1) and China (1).

Suckling’s top 10 wines of 2024

James Suckling’s wine of the year is the 2015 Bertani Amarone della Valpolicella Classico, which he described as ‘full-bodied and elegant on the palate due to ripe, filigree tannins with long acidity and a toasty, savory aftertaste’. He called it ‘one of the great Amarones’ and gave it a 100-point score.

James Suckling top wine scores 2024

The top wines of the year were chosen on the basis of quality, price, and what Suckling calls the “wow factor,” an emotional impact a wine can have on the drinker. Most wines on the list scored between 97 and 100 points, with nine wines priced between $30 and $60 (£23 and £46), emphasising affordability alongside quality. Wines on the list were required to have a minimum production of 5,000 bottles, with a median price below $500 (£385).

Regional standouts

Germany had a standout year in 2023, particularly for its dry Riesling, with the Künstler Riesling Rheingau Hölle GG 2023 ranking second on the list and exemplifying the structured, balanced nature of this vintage.

Austria continued to gain critical recognition, especially for its white wines, with F.X. Pichler Riesling Wachau Ried Kellerberg 2023 taking the third spot. 

China was also present on the list with Ao Yun Shangri-La 2020, a wine from Moët Hennessy’s Yunnan winery, signaling the country’s growing role in the fine wine market.

Accessibility and value

Suckling noted that many of his favourite wines offer high quality at accessible price points. The focus on value addresses current concerns about the market’s downturn. For example, the wine that took the second spot is priced around $65 (£50), while Italian whites such as the Manincor Sauvignon Blanc Alto Adige Tannenberg 2022 are available for approximately $40 (£31).

Emerging trends

Suckling’s report further highlights an increasing interest in German and Austrian wines, especially among younger consumers, due to their quality and value. Events like Suckling’s Great Wines series, held across major cities globally, have drawn over 21,000 attendees this year. With wines from more established to emerging wine regions, Suckling’s 2024 list provides a guide to the critic’s top picks from across the globe.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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How to build a diversified fine wine portfolio

Fine wine investment portfolio
  • A diversified wine portfolio spreads the risk across different wines and regions.
  • Each wine region has its own unique characteristics, and its performance is largely influenced by its own market dynamics.
  • Investors can also diversify their portfolio by vintages, including older wines for stability and new releases for growth potential. 

Fine wine is a popular investment for those seeking diversification and long-term growth. However, like any investment, building a successful fine wine portfolio requires strategic planning and a thorough understanding of the market.

This article explores key strategies for creating a balanced, diversified fine wine portfolio, and why it is important to include a variety of regions, brands and vintages.

Why diversification is key

As renowned economist Harry Markowitz put it, ‘diversification is the only free lunch in finance’. 

Diversification is fundamental to risk management in any portfolio, and fine wine investment is no exception. A diversified wine portfolio helps to reduce the impact of volatility, allowing investors to maximise returns by spreading risk.

While some wines may deliver higher returns, others can contribute to portfolio stability, as different regions tend to perform in cycles. This is why building a balanced fine wine portfolio requires selecting wines from a variety of regions, vintages, and holding periods. 

Diversifying by regions

Wine regions around the world offer unique characteristics, each with its own market dynamics. Including wines from multiple regions can help balance and strengthen an investment portfolio. 

Some primary regions to consider include:

Bordeaux: Bordeaux is undoubtedly the leader in the fine wine investment landscape, taking close to 40% of the market by value. The First Growths are its most liquid wines. In general, the classified growths are a staple in investment portfolios due to their established reputation and consistent performance.

Burgundy: Burgundy, driven by scarcity and rarity, is an investors’ paradise that has been trending in the last decade. Prices for its top Pinot Noir and Chardonnay have reached stratospheric highs and the region consistently breaks auction records.

Champagne: A market that attracts both drinkers and collectors, Champagne has enjoyed rising popularity as an investment in the last five years, thanks to strong brand recognition, liquidity and stable performance.

Italy: Italy continues to provide a mix of value, growth potential, and great quality. Its two pillars, Tuscany and Piedmont, are often included in investment portfolios for their balancing act – if Tuscany provides stability, top Barolo and Barbaresco tend to deliver impressive returns. 

California: Top Napa wines are among the most expensive in the market, while also boasting some of the highest critic scores, particularly from the New World. 

Emerging investment regions: As the market broadens, wines from other well-established regions are gaining traction in the investment world. Germany, Australia, and South America are some of the countries bringing a new level of diversity that can sometimes lead to higher returns.

Choosing vintages strategically

A well-diversified investment portfolio focuses on a range of vintages, as well as labels.

While older vintages offer stability and a more predictable market performance, younger vintages have a greater growth potential as they mature.

Older prime vintages: ‘On’ vintages, specific to each region, like Bordeaux’s 2000 or 2005, tend to have stable pricing due to their high quality and reputation. Including these in your portfolio can provide a foundation of reliability.

Younger vintages: Wines from recent years with high-quality (such as Bordeaux 2019) can offer growth potential over the long-term. As these wines age, their value often appreciates, providing long-term returns for investors willing to hold them.

Off-vintages: Investing in lesser-known or ‘off’ vintages can be worthwhile, particularly if the producer has a strong reputation. These wines are often priced lower but can perform well over time. Typically though not always they have a shorter holding period.

At the end, it is always a question of quality and value for money. 

Balancing short-term and long-term holdings

Fine wines vary in their optimal holding periods. Some wines reach peak quality and market value sooner, while others require decades of ageing. Creating a mix of wines with different holding periods allows for both short-term liquidity and long-term growth.

Short-term hold wines: These are typically wines from lesser-known producers, high-demand recent vintages or off vintages bought during periods of market correction.  These wines can be sold within a few years for a quick return.

Long-term hold wines: Wines from top producers, especially those known for longevity, are best held for 10+ years. For example, a Château Lafite Rothschild or Domaine de la Romanée-Conti can offer three figure returns if held over decades.

Active management for maximising portfolio success

Diversification is just one piece of the puzzle. Regular monitoring and occassional adjustments are essential for maximising returns in a fine wine portfolio.

Market conditions and wine values change over time, so staying informed and making adjustments ensures your portfolio remains aligned with your financial goals. Using tools like Wine Track or consulting with a wine investment advisor can provide valuable insights for rebalancing and enhancing your investment strategy.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Bordeaux correction: top wines 20% below their peak

Left Bank Bordeaux vineyards
  • Top Bordeaux labels are now approximately 20% below their peaks achieved during the last decade.
  • Lafite Rothschild has been the hardest hit, driven lower by classic vintages such as 2018, 2009 and 2000. 
  • The recent fall in prices has brought many labels back to levels not seen in years.

As recently explored, the fine wine market has been on a downward trend, but what does this mean for individual labels? Today, we turn to Bordeaux’s top names, examining the recent performance of some of the most investable wines in the world.

Bordeaux after the peak

Top Bordeaux labels are now approximately 20% below their peaks, achieved during the last decade. 

Bordeaux wine indices

The First Growths, which often serve as the barometers of the fine wine market, had been riding high, with September 2022 marking a peak in pricing for Lafite Rothschild, Mouton Rothschild and Margaux. 

However, since then, the landscape has changed dramatically. Lafite Rothschild, once the shining star, has fallen by 28.6%, the most severe decline among the top names. Margaux and Mouton Rothschild have also taken significant hits, falling by 17.1% and 17.5%, respectively.

On the Right Bank, the situation is no different. Petrus, which peaked in December 2022, has since dropped by 21.4%, while Le Pin, which reached its high in February 2023, has declined by 20.3%. These losses have brought prices to levels last seen several years ago.

First Growths peaked in September 2022, since then:

  • Lafite is down 28.6% 
  • Mouton is down 17.5% 
  • Margaux is down 17.1% 

On the Right Bank:

  • Petrus is down 21.4% since its December 2022 peak
  • Le Pin is down 20.3% since its February 2023 peak

The Lafite fall: a deep dive

Lafite Rothschild – the second most-searched-for wine on Wine-Searcher – has seen the steepest decline since its peak, with prices plummeting 28.6% on average.

Which vintages have contributed to its fall over the last two years? The 2018 (WA 100 points) has been the hardest hit, down 35.9%. The wine was originally released at levels akin to the brand’s bull years, due to high critic scores, but failed to offer the best investment value. The recent price adjustment has made it a more attractive proposition. 

Older vintages that have had more time to grow have similarly fallen in value by over 30%. The classic 2009 Lafite, which boasts 99+ points from Robert Parker himself, is down 31.1% over the last two years. 

The millenial vintage, with a drinking window that extends well into the 2050s, is currently 32.6% below its peak. 

Lafite Rothschild wine vintages performance

Buying levels: back to the square one

The recent fall in prices has brought many labels back to levels not seen in years. Lafite, for example, has returned to its 2016 pricing levels, while Margaux and Mouton are back to 2020. On the Right Bank, Petrus and Le Pin have both returned to their 2021 levels.

While this might raise concerns on the surface, it presents a compelling opportunity. The scale of the correction suggests that Bordeaux wines, while still highly valued, may have been oversold in the last 18 months. 

For those looking to enter or expand their portfolios, this could represent a chance to acquire top-tier wines at a significant discount before prices start to rise again.

As with previous corrections, price declines are often followed by periods of recovery. For wealth managers and clients with a long-term investment horizon, the current situation may be seen as a momentary blip in an otherwise upward trajectory.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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French wine production falls in 2024: Investment implications

Maison Louis Latour wine harvest
  • The 2024 French wine harvest is shaping up to be one of the smallest of the century so far.
  • Burgundy’s 2024 vintage is estimated to be 25% lower than 2023, with scarcity being a key price driver for the region’s wines.
  • Bordeaux is also facing declines, reaching its lowest volume since 2017. 

The 2024 French wine harvest is shaping up to be one of the smallest of the century so far, with regions like Burgundy and Bordeaux hit particularly hard by adverse weather conditions. According to forecasts from France’s Agreste statistics unit, overall national production may decline by up to 18%, with mildew, poor fruit set, and frost reducing output in key regions. 

What are the implications for the secondary market, especially considering the recent market downturn? This article explores how smaller volumes in 2024 could impact prices in Burgundy and Bordeaux, drawing on learnings from past vintages.

Scarcity in Burgundy

The 2024 vintage in Burgundy is being described as one of the most challenging in the past 50 years, according to Florent Latour from Maison Louis Latour. The Bureau Interprofessionnel des Vins de Bourgogne (BIVB) estimates harvest yields to be up to 25% lower than in 2023. The region has faced intense mildew pressure and adverse weather during flowering, resulting in poor fruit set.

Historically, supply constraints in Burgundy have driven price increases in the secondary market, as scarcity heightens demand among collectors. For example, the 2021 vintage, severely impacted by frost, saw a surge in auction prices for marquee producers like Domaine de la Romanée-Conti and Armand Rousseau. The same pattern could play out in 2024, as the prospect of another small vintage heightens the allure of top Burgundian wines.

However, this vintage presents complexities. While the scarcity narrative could support price gains, the current economic downturn might temper buying enthusiasm. Additionally, the challenging growing season could lead to quality variation across producers, making selectivity crucial for those looking to invest. 

Bordeaux market implications

In 2024, Bordeaux is reportedly facing a 10% decline, reaching its lowest volume since 2017. The Conseil Interprofessionnel du Vin de Bordeaux (CIVB) has described the 2024 harvest as “historically low,” with output expected to fall below the already reduced 3.8 million hectoliters of 2023. This is due to a combination of adverse weather conditions, including downy mildew and rain during harvest, as well as a reduction in vineyard areas through a government-supported grubbing-up plan.

Despite the challenges, smaller harvests can still support price stability for Bordeaux’s top-tier wines. In 2024, the scarcity of high-quality offerings might provide an opportunity for investment-grade wines, particularly from classified growths. Investors seeking value could focus on estates with a strong track record of producing excellent wines in challenging years. Yet, the broader market downturn might limit the extent of price recovery, especially for mid-tier labels that lack the same scarcity appeal as Burgundy.

Learning from past vintages

Looking back at smaller harvests like 2017 and 2021 gives an insight into what to expect from 2024. Both years saw production levels dip below 40 million hectolitres due to extreme weather events, leading to temporary price spikes in Burgundy’s secondary market. The 2017 vintage, for instance, saw price rises for top Burgundy wines, driven by fears of limited availability. In 2021, the impact of frost once again drove auction interest, with investors flocking to secure allocations. 

However, the 2024 market environment is different. With inflation and economic uncertainties weighing on consumer confidence, investors may be more selective, focusing on wines that promise both rarity and quality. Burgundy’s high starting prices could limit the scope of further price increases, while Bordeaux’s historically low output might stabilise prices for premium labels without igniting a full-fledged price surge.

The market environment

The 2024 vintage may not replicate the price exuberance of past short harvests, but it represents a moment of adjustment in the wine investment market. For Burgundy and Bordeaux, the interplay between reduced volumes, economic pressures, and strategic opportunities will shape the outlook. The true impact will become clearer once the wines are made, critics taste them, and the release prices are set, providing a more concrete sense of quality and investment potential.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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How different bottle sizes impact your wine investment returns

Luxury fine wine labels different size bottles
  • Larger bottles have a longer shelf life, meaning that there is more time for price appreciation.
  • They are also available in smaller quantities, adding an element of rarity that drives up demand and price.
  • Champagne and Bordeaux are the regions leading the investment market for big bottles. 

When choosing a wine for investment purposes, the region, producer reputation and vintage quality are among the first things to consider. However, one factor that is often overlooked but can have a significant impact on the investment value is the bottle size.

Investing in larger wine bottle formats can enhance the longevity and quality of the wine, and lead to higher returns compared to standard bottles. Below we explore the reasons why size matters in the world of wine investment.

How bottle size affects wine investment

The science behind bottle size and wine quality is well-established. Larger bottles have a smaller surface-area-to-volume ratio, meaning less exposure to oxygen, which slows the wine’s ageing process. This slower ageing allows the wine to develop more complexity over time, preserving its character better than smaller formats.

This benefit makes large-format bottles, such as magnums and jeroboams, highly sought-after. Not only can these bottles offer superior quality, but they also come with a scarcity factor that often results in significant price premiums. The rarity of these formats adds an element of collectability, making them a lucrative investment option.

The price performance of larger bottles

Larger bottles have enjoyed a growing demand in the wine investment world. The two main regions that dominate this market segment are Champagne and Bordeaux. 

During Champagne’s recent bull run (2021-2022), secondary market trade by value of big bottles rose from 7% to 15%, which in turn impacted prices. The average value of a magnum case rose an impressive 78%. 

Magnums of Louis Roederer Cristal 2008 saw a 54% premium over standard bottles, while Dom Pérignon 2008 magnums commanded an 18% price uplift. Larger formats like Methuselahs (6 litres) of Cristal 2008 enjoyed a staggering 175% premium. 

Meanwhile, some of the most sought-after Bordeaux wines in large format include the First Growths Château Lafite Rothschild and Château Mouton Rothschild, the latter of which has highly collectible, vintage-specific artist labels.

From Burgundy, Domaine de la Romanée-Conti produces large bottle formats that make them a prime choice for high-end collectors. Other in-demand large format bottles from the rest of the world include Penfolds Grange and Opus One. 

Size options and investment opportunities

Wine bottle sizes graphic

While standard bottles are more commonly traded, investing in magnums and larger formats offers several advantages. For example, three magnums of Pétrus 1995 traded for £17,200 in July this year, yielding a 16.5% premium compared to their 75cl counterparts.

Rare formats like Balthazars and Nebuchadnezzars can fetch even higher premiums due to their scarcity, particularly for sought-after vintages and regions.

Why larger formats can lead to better returns

There are several reasons why larger bottle formats can offer better investment returns. 

Slower ageing process: Larger bottles slow down the wine’s exposure to oxygen, allowing for better preservation and longer ageing. This makes the wine more desirable over time.

Rarity and collectability: Large-format bottles are often produced in smaller quantities, adding an element of rarity that drives up demand and price.

Increased longevity: Investors can hold onto these bottles for longer periods without worrying about the wine deteriorating. This allows them to take advantage of market peaks and secure higher returns.

Visual appeal: Large-format bottles make a statement at auctions or in private collections. Their grandeur and rarity often make them more attractive to high-end buyers.

Timing is everything

Given the current market conditions, larger formats are particularly attractive. Prices for these bottles are often discounted during dips in the market, making them an affordable entry point for investors looking to capitalise on future growth. As demand for rare and collectible wines continues to rise, investing in larger formats now could pay off significantly in the long run.

If you’re looking to diversify your portfolio, now may be the time to consider going big on bottle sizes.

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What factors affect fine wine prices?

Domaine Romanee de la Conti wine bottles
  • The most important factors that affect fine wine prices are production costs, climate change, market demand, and economic conditions.
  • Market demand is influenced by critic scores, rarity, producer reputation, vintage quality, and geopolitics.
  • Understanding the factors that affect fine wine prices is key to making smart investment decisions.

Fine wine is more than just a luxury product – it is an asset class, a status symbol, and for many, a serious investment. While buyers might be aware of the rising value of sought-after labels, understanding the factors that drive these prices (upwards or downwards) is key to navigating the fine wine market. 

In this article, we explore the primary factors affecting fine wine prices, including production costs, climate change, market demand, and broader economic conditions.

How production costs shape fine wine prices

At the heart of fine wine pricing are the production costs. The making of a high-end wine is a meticulous, labour-intensive process that is inevitably reflected in the price. So are the land costs, which can reach astronomic heights in famous fine wine regions like Burgundy, Napa or Bordeaux. 

For instance, the luxury conglomerate LVMH recently acquired 1.3 hectares of Grand Cru vineyards on the Côte d’Or for 15.5 million euros. The purchase includes half a hectare each in Corton-Charlemagne and Romanée-Saint-Vivant, as well as 0.3 hectares in Corton Bressandes.

Besides land costs, manual labour and vineyard management can further affect release prices. The more human intervention required – whether in the vineyard or the winemaking process – the more costs add up.

Finally, many fine wines are not ready for release for several years after production. Extended ageing means producers incur additional costs, which in turn drives up prices for wines that are stored for longer periods before hitting the market.

The impact of climate change on fine wine pricing

In many traditional wine regions, unpredictable weather patterns, such as frost, heatwaves, and hailstorms, have resulted in lower grape yields. For example, the devastating frost in Burgundy in 2021 significantly reduced production, leading to a scarcity of wines from that vintage. 

When yields are lower, the limited supply pushes prices higher, especially for in-demand producers. This scarcity effect can be seen in top wines like Domaine Leflaive or Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, where a challenging growing season can result in soaring prices.

Additionally, climate change is affecting the style of wines being produced. While some regions like Bordeaux are adapting to these new conditions, climate volatility has added another layer of unpredictability to wine prices. It has also facilitated the emergence of new wine regions, leading to a more competitive landscape.

Market demand and the rise of fine wine investment

Market demand is perhaps the most significant factor affecting fine wine prices. The most sought-after bottles usually rise in value, as quality improves over time and supply diminishes.

Producer reputation, vintage quality and scores from major critics like Robert Parker and Neal Martin play a key role here, informing buying decisions and pricing strategies. A 100-point wine often commands a significant premium to a 99-point wine. When it comes to the Bordeaux First Growths, for instance, the average difference between a 99-point and a 100-point wine is over £350 per case.

Market demand is also shaped by geopolitical factors. The global nature of wine trading platforms means that market sentiment can affect wine prices faster than ever before. Demand from China largely contributed to Bordeaux’s pricing surge in 2011, and today interest is moving towards Burgundy and Champagne.

Economic forces that influence fine wine prices

While the fine wine market generally operates with its own dynamics, macroeconomic factors such as inflation, currency fluctuations, and recessions can all have an impact.  

In times of economic downturn, discretionary spending often decreases, which can lead to short-term drops in wine prices. However, fine wine has historically shown remarkable resilience due to its tangibility, rebounding after economic dips. 

Currency fluctuations also play a role; for instance, a weaker euro might make European wines more attractive to international buyers, spurring demand and increasing prices in markets like the US or Asia.

Changes in trade policies and tariffs can also have an impact. The Trump tariffs on European wines in 2020 temporarily raised the prices of French and Italian wines in the American market. While these tariffs have been reduced, ongoing changes in trade regulations can create volatility in wine pricing, particularly for internationally traded wines.

Understanding price fluctuations within fine wine

Fine wine prices are influenced by a complex interplay of factors, from the inherent quality of the wine itself to broader market forces and economic conditions. Understanding these factors is key to making informed decisions and maximising returns on investment.

Want to learn more about fine wine investment? Download our free guide.

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Beyond Bordeaux releases: why back vintages offer better value

Seña wine bottles wine cellar
  • This autumn sees the annual beyond Bordeaux campaign via La Place. 
  • Most of the wines have been released at the same price level as last year. 
  • This is not enough to stimulate buyers given the current dip in market prices across all regions. 

This month’s La Place de Bordeaux campaign has seen a mix of notable releases beyond the traditional Bordeaux wines, featuring the latest vintages from esteemed producers like Opus One, Masseto, Solaia, Penfolds, and Viñedo Chadwick. However, as market prices dip across multiple regions, many of these releases have seen limited appeal. The enhanced availability of older vintages at more competitive prices makes back vintages a more attractive investment option.

Super Tuscan releases

The Super Tuscan Masseto 2021 kicked off this autumn’s La Place campaign at the same price as last year’s vintage. It marks one of the last vintages overseen by Alex Heinz, who transitioned to CEO of Château Lascombes in Bordeaux in 2022. 

The wine received a perfect 100-point score from Antonio Galloni (Vinous) who said it was ‘the most exquisite, refined young Masseto’ he had ever tasted. Monica Larner (Wine Advocate), while giving it 95 points, described it as a ‘very rich and elaborate expression’.

However, better value can be found in back vintages such as 2017, 2018, and 2019, where critic scores are more aligned across publications.

Masseto wine prices chart

In contrast, Solaia 2021 from Marchesi Antinori came in at a 15.7% premium over the 2020 vintage, with a recommended price of £3,240 per 12×75. 

Despite strong reviews – 97 points from Larner and a perfect 100 from Galloni – this price positions the 2021 Solaia above several recent vintages. 

Buyers seeking better value might prefer the 2018, 2019, or even the 100-point Solaia 2015, which comes with the added advantage of age.

Solaia wine prices chart

Chile’s iconic wines

Two of Chile’s most iconic wines were also released earlier this month, Seña 2022 and Viñedo Chadwick 2022.

Although Seña 2022 was offered at the same price as last year, it is still the most expensive vintage currently in the market due to a drop in value of the previous vintages. The 2019 and 2018 vintages, for instance, both have higher scores from Wine Advocate and cost less.

Mondavi & Chadwick, Seña wine prices chart

Similarly, Viñedo Chadwick 2022 was released at last year’s price but remains the second most expensive vintage, following the 2015 Joaquín Hidalgo (Vinous) awarded it 98 points, praising its ‘finessed Bordeaux-oriented style with the plush tannins of Maipo’.

From an investment perspective, the 2021 offers a more affordable, higher-scored alternative, while the 2018 and 2019 vintages are also solid options.

Errazuriz Vinedo Chadwick wine prices chart

Other notable releases

Château de Beaucastel Hommage à Jacques Perrin 2022 is another wine released at the same price as last year, which has since fallen in value. This makes it the second most expensive after the 2016. 

It received a range of 96-98 points from Nicolas Greinacher (Vinous), who said it was ‘on track to rank alongside the spectacular 2020’. Still, the 2018, 2017 and 2015 present better value alternatives. 

Beaucastel, Chateauneuf du Pape Hommage J Perrin wine prices chart

With a small increase of 1.3% on last year, Penfolds Grange 2020 was released at £4,740 per 12×75. 

Erin Larkin (Wine Advocate) described it as ‘lighter than the preceding 2019’ and gave it 95 points. It received the same score from Angus Hughson (Vinous) who suggested that it would benefit from a ‘couple more years in the cellar [that] will bring all the pieces together before a two-decade drinking window’.

When it comes to back vintages, the 2012, 2014 and 2015 all look more attractive. The 100-point 2013 vintage is also cheaper and has entered its early drinking window.

Penfolds Grange wine prices chart

Back vintages remain an untapped opportunity

As the latest La Place de Bordeaux campaign reveals, many new releases are being offered at prices that do not necessarily align with current market conditions.

In contrast, back vintages – often with comparable or superior critic scores – can provide better value and greater investment potential. With the market dip creating opportunities for buyers, it is a good time to focus on older, well-regarded vintages that offer both affordability and maturity.

Get in touch to discuss your allocations or to start building your fine wine collection. Schedule a consultation.

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What is a market dip, and how can fine wine investors take advantage?

High end wine label bottles
  • A market dip is a temporary decline in prices, caused by economic or market-specific factors.
  • Buying the dip is advised when the underlying market fundamentals are favourable.
  • This is arguably the best time to invest in fine wine in a decade.

A market dip is a temporary drop in prices. This is often caused by economic or market-specific factors. In the fine wine market, these dips are less frequent and less volatile compared to traditional financial markets like stocks or bonds. While the fine wine market has been bearish three times since the turn of the century, global mainstream markets have experienced many more significant crashes. 

However, when a dip does occur, and provided that the fundamentals are strong, it can present a unique opportunity for buyers. Investors can enter the market, adjust their allocations or expand their portfolios with high-value brands and rare vintages at discounted prices. Sellers may look to liquidate their stock, offering rare and premium wines from regions like Bordeaux, Burgundy, and Champagne at more attractive prices.

Currently, the fine wine market is benefitting buyers. While the temporary drop in prices might raise concerns on the surface, those who adopt a long-term, strategic approach can reap significant rewards by buying the dip.

Buying the dip when the fundamentals are strong

According to Sir John Templeton, the best time to invest is during ‘points of maximum pessimism’. With fine wine indices down over 20% from their 2022 peaks, this moment presents one of the best opportunities to buy in the last decade.

Fine wine fundamentals remain intact: wines improve with age, and become rarer over time as bottles are consumed. The market’s appetite for older vintages is still strong, and regions like Burgundy, Bordeaux and Champagne continue to break pricing records at auction.

Fine wine indices performance 2024

Current macroeconomic environment and its impact

The global economy is currently facing several challenges – rising inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical tensions, all of which have contributed to the recent dip in fine wine prices. 

Despite these macroeconomic factors, fine wine remains less volatile than traditional markets. During times of economic uncertainty, fine wine’s tangible nature and intrinsic value have helped it weather storms better than more speculative assets like equities or cryptocurrencies. 

Additionally, the growing demand for luxury goods continues to support the fine wine market. This demand will likely drive the next phase of growth once global economic conditions stabilise.

Historical fine wine market rebounds

Another reason for confidence is that the fine wine market has consistently rebounded after periods of economic downturn. During the 2008 global financial crisis, the Liv-ex 100 index fell by 25% but had risen over 60% by mid-2011. 

20 year performance of Liv-ex 100 and Liv-ex 1000

Similarly, Bordeaux’s peak in 2011 was followed by Burgundy’s rise, showing that demand for fine wine remains strong even if it shifts on a regional basis. This is why diversity is key. 

The market is no longer dominated solely by top Bordeaux, and spreading your allocations across key wines and vintages can balance an investment portfolio and maximise returns.

How to take advantage of the dip in the fine wine market

For investors looking to capitalise on the current market dip, the strategy is clear: buy low and hold for the long term. 

Focus on proven performers: Wines from top regions like Bordeaux, Burgundy, Italy and Champagne have historically demonstrated resilience. Investing in top vintages and estates offers a measure of security.

Take advantage of fear-driven selling: As some sellers look to exit the market prematurely, investors can acquire undervalued wines with strong growth potential.

Diversify your portfolio: Spread your investment across different regions, producers, and vintages to mitigate risk and maximise returns.

Get in touch to discuss your allocations or to start building your fine wine collection. Schedule a consultation.

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News

Spanish wines: a growing investment opportunity

Marques de Murrieta winery
  • Demand for Spanish wines has surged, with the region’s trade by volume outpacing the USA. 
  • More Spanish wines are now offered on La Place since after Telmo Rodríguez’s ‘YJAR’ paved the way in 2021.
  • Marqués de Murrieta’s Castillo Ygay Gran Reserva is Spain’s top performer in the last decade.

Spanish wines are increasingly gaining recognition in the fine wine investment landscape. Liv-ex recently reported that Spain’s year-to-date trade share by value has more than doubled compared to the same period in 2023 (2.2% vs 0.9%). In volume terms, the country has traded 20.5% more than the US – but at lower average trade prices.

As we wrote in a recent member-only offer, Spanish wine represents some of the best value in the fine wine market and remains an underexploited sector by investors.

The surging demand for Spanish wines

Spain has a long and diverse history on the wine investment market, masked under a low trade share. Given the current buyer’s market, however, with investors looking for value, Spain is keenly poised for growth.  

Earlier this month, its trade share by value overtook the Rhône, which prompted Liv-ex to monitor its performance separately from the Rest of the World category, in which it previously belonged. 

In terms of regional distribution, Ribera del Duero and Rioja dominate the investment market for Spanish wines, being home to some of the most successful wine brands. 

More Spanish wines are now also offered through La Place de Bordeaux, after Telmo Rodríguez’s ‘YJAR’ paved the way in 2021, such as De La Riva, Algueira and Matallana.

Spain’s top wine labels for investment

Spain’s most established wines for investment are Vega-Sicilia Unico, Valbuena and Alion, Pingus and Flor de Pingus, Marqués de Murrieta Castillo Ygay Gran Reserva, La Rioja Alta Gran Reserva 904 and 890, and López de Heredia Viña Tondonia.

When it comes to price performance, Ygay Gran Reserva leads the way, with a 207.7% rise over the past decade. One of the region’s brightest stars, the brand benefitted from Wine Spectator’s recognition as ‘Wine of the Year’ in 2020. Since then, prices have risen sharply. 

The second-best performer has been La Rioja Alta Gran Reserva 904, up 151.8%. Meanwhile, Vega-Sicilia’s wines have been slower and steadier, increasing between 50%-65% over the last ten years. They offer some of the best value from Spain today. 

Spanish wine indices

As the fine wine market continues to expand and diversify, Spain has all the fundamentals for future success. 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Learn

Profiling the fine wine investor in 2024

London city high net worth individuals
  • Nearly 30% of the UK’s high-net-worth (HNW) investors incorporate fine wine into their portfolios.
  • They tend to be cautious, but in 2024, investors with balanced risk profiles are increasingly dipping into the world of drinkable assets.
  • Since last year, the demographic has shifted a little towards less experienced investors, indicating that new HNWs could be getting involved with fine wine.

Fine wine, historically a passion-driven investment, has predominantly attracted older, seasoned investors interested in both enjoying and preserving their wealth. However, recent trends indicate a shift as younger, less experienced investors in the UK are increasingly drawn to fine wine for different reasons – not least because the fine wine market has become more accessible.

Fine wine allocations in investment portfolios

In 2024, nearly 30% of the UK’s high-net-worth (HNW) investors incorporate fine wine into their portfolios.

66% are allocating up to 10% of their portfolio to fine wine, with the remaining 34% reserving over 11%. In 2024, 2% are allocating over a third of their portfolio to fine wine. This trend reveals a more polarising wealth distribution, considering that last year just half of wealth managers kept fine wine allocations under 10%, but none invested over 30% of their wealth in fine wine.

Investors’ risk profiles

Fine wine investors tend to be the cautious type. According to our 2024 wealth management survey, 88% of respondents incorporate fine wine into portfolios for investors with a ‘somewhat cautious’ or ‘extremely cautious’ risk tolerance. As fine wine can help provide stability, it can have a calming influence on overall performance. 

Cautious investment portfolios also generally contain a greater proportion of bonds and cash-like assets. The inflation-resistance of wine can help to buffer out some of the risks this can present over the long term. 

The remaining 12% tend to use wine for balanced portfolios (compared to 10% last year). None of the respondents use the asset for clients with higher risk tolerances.

In 2024, around 2% of respondents are using fine wine for ‘somewhat aggressive’ portfolios. As fine wine has historically exhibited strong growth during recessions and periods of high inflation, it could easily be used to diversify high-risk portfolios. 

Fine wine investment risk profile UK 2024

Investment experience

In line with this trend, over the past 12 months, fine wine has started to move beyond the realm of ‘very experienced’ investors. The slow spread towards ‘experienced’ and ‘somewhat experienced’ investors suggests that fine wine is becoming a more mainstream asset. 

This move could be prompted by the demand to invest in sustainable and low-carbon assets. As this trend is particularly strong with younger investors, it fits that they could have less experience. 

This year, 52% of UK wealth managers rated their investment clients as ‘very experienced’ with fine wine, compared to 62% in 2023. Meanwhile, clients with medium or limited experience grew their fine wine investments.

Fine wine investment experience UK 2024

Fine wine has long been perceived as an exclusive, somewhat intimidating investment, traditionally reserved for a privileged few. But as our recent research indicates, attitudes are slowly changing.

For more information on the changing fine wine investors’ demographics, read our exclusive Wealth Report 2024: UK Edition.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.