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Several fine wine regions made gains over the last month, including Burgundy, California, and the Rhône.
‘Off’ vintage Bordeaux wines have delivered the best returns so far in 2025.
The spread between the top-performing fine wines (+18% on average) and the Liv-ex 1000’s broad decline (around -4.7%) highlights why selection is key.

The fine wine market remains subdued in 2025, continuing the recalibration that began in late 2022. Yet even in a broadly negative environment, certain wines have surged ahead (see H1 winners), delivering double-digit gains and reaffirming that in fine wine investment, selectivity defines success.

Signs of stability emerge across key fine wine regions

After more than two years of correction, there are tentative signs of stabilisation. Several regional indices posted positive month-on-month (MoM) movements in September, hinting that momentum could be shifting beneath the surface.

The Liv-ex Burgundy 150, California 50, Rhône 100 and Rest of the World 60 indices each rose 0.6–0.7% month-on-month. These modest upticks may not yet signal a broad recovery, but they do suggest that the worst of the selling pressure may be easing.

Still, the year-to-date picture remains negative across the board:

Even as indices remain in the red, the range of outcomes within them has widened, revealing a growing divergence between outperformers and laggards. A select few wines have posted strong gains – a reminder that even in downturns, opportunities persist.

The top-performing wines so far this year

‘Off’ vintage Bordeaux leads the way

Despite the Bordeaux 500 Index falling 7.2% year-to-date, four of the ten best-performing wines come from the region, proving that careful vintage and producer selection remain key.

Château Les Carmes Haut-Brion 2013 stands out as the year’s star, up 38.2%. The 2013 vintage, long dismissed due to challenging weather conditions, has found new appreciation as enthusiasts and investors rediscover its finesse.

Over the past decade, prices for the brand have risen 148%. The 2014 and 2017 vintages are other attractive ‘off’ vintage alternatives.

Château Beychevelle 2013 follows a similar line. Once overlooked, its reputation in Asian markets and steady critic support have lifted prices 22.2% year-to-date. Likewise, Château Canon 2014 and Château Smith Haut Lafitte 2014 each gained over 13%, highlighting a broader off-vintage resurgence in the region.

These gains suggest that Bordeaux’s correction phase may be creating attractive entry points for investors willing to look beyond the obvious trophy years.

The Rhône: The value region continues to deliver

The Rhône 100 remains the best-performing regional index of 2025, down just 2.7% year-to-date, with a recent 0.6% month-on-month gain adding to its reputation as a steady performer.

The standout is Vieux Télégraphe La Crau Rouge, appearing twice in the top five for its 2020 (26.1%) and 2021 (18.3%) vintages. The wine’s longevity, critical consistency, and relative affordability have made it a favourite among both collectors and long-term investors.

Meanwhile, Paul Jaboulet Aîné’s Hermitage La Chapelle 2014 climbed 15.3%, underscoring the growing investor appetite for Rhône’s great single-vineyard wines. With smaller yields and limited back-vintage supply, demand has begun to outpace availability – a sign that the Rhône’s ‘quiet outperformance’ may continue into 2026.

Burgundy and Sauternes: Scarcity reigns supreme

Though the Burgundy 150 Index remains 5.8% down so far this year, its top producers continue to enjoy demand driven by scarcity.

Domaine de la Romanée-Conti (DRC) Grands Échezeaux Grand Cru 2021 rose 13.3%, proving once again that rarity trumps sentiment. Over the last decade, prices for the wine have risen on average 300%.

Sauternes has also enjoyed a quiet renaissance so far this year, with Château Suduiraut 2016 making it into the top ten, with a 13% rise in value. With prices still well below their historical highs, the sweet wines segment could offer contrarian upside heading into 2026.

California: Cult wines stay strong

Although the California 50 index is down 5.6% year-to-date, the 0.7% rise last month hints at price recovery. This year, despite softer global sentiment, high-end Napa continues to attract attention domestically and abroad (from Asia in particular).

The region’s top label, Screaming Eagle Cabernet Sauvignon 2012, has advanced 12.4% year-to-date.

As previously noted, Screaming Eagle remains the top traded US wine by value. With six perfect 100-point scores in just 13 vintages, it sits in a league of its own among American wines. Prices for the brand have risen more than 200% in the last 20 years, making it one of the most lucrative long-term holds in the fine wine market.

Divergence defines 2025

The spread between the top-performing wines (+18% on average) and the Liv-ex 1000’s broad decline (around -4.7%) reveals just how uneven performance has become.

Wines that combine scarcity, maturity, and reputation have emerged as the safest harbours, while those driven by hype or youth have seen steeper declines. Investors who focused on undervalued vintages (2013, 2014), critically reliable producers and globally recognised names (DRC, Screaming Eagle) have fared significantly better than the market at large.

Looking ahead: A market finding its floor

With multiple indices turning slightly positive month-on-month, the fine wine market may be approaching an inflexion point. The next phase of the cycle could favour those already positioned in high-quality, limited-production wines that have held steady during the downturn.

As 2025 enters its final stretch, it has become even clearer that scarcity, selectivity, and substance continue to outperform broader market sentiment.

For more on the fine wine market, read our Q3 2025 Fine Wine Report.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

Explore the rise of wine influencers and how Bordeaux estates balance authenticity, identity, and changing consumer expectations.

As wine criticism continues its transformation, a new force has emerged alongside traditional voices – the influencer. While formal critics retain a place of authority, many Bordeaux estates now acknowledge that digital personalities play a growing role in shaping perceptions, influencing purchases, and spreading the message of wine.

Influencers now shape opinions through social media, though their messaging often lies outside producers’ control.
Bordeaux estates are prioritising authenticity and estate identity.
Producers increasingly view the customer as the ultimate judge, trusting loyal drinkers over trends.

How wine influencers are shaping modern criticism

The majority of the chateaux interviewed by WineCap referred to the widespread use of social media as a tool in the wine critique space, recognising the parallel role of influencers to conventional commentary. Several also noted that quality and precision of influencer messaging was usually beyond a producer’s control, and not as accessible for them to engage with or oversee as traditional critique.

Château Pavie, Premier Grand Cru Classé (B), Saint-Émilion

‘Robert Packer was definitely the most influential critic in the world of wine, and for Bordeaux particularly, and he’s actually done a lot of good things for Pavie, because he scored us 100 points four times in ten vintages, which is quite unique in Bordeaux,’ Olivier Gailly, commercial director at Pavie explained to WineCap. ‘Since he retired, we’ve seen more and more wine critics. Actually, almost every day we see new critics who are quite influential within his or her community or his or her country.’

Gailly described such personalities as ‘half influencer, half critic’.

‘We have to adapt. There is a lot of social media and there are influencers throughout this medium. The most important thing is to make sure they relay the right messages. They relay the truth of our terroir, of what the team is doing, and they talk through to the work we do with quality.’

Château Pape Clément, Grand Cru, Pessac-Léognan

‘The role of critics and journalists remains, but in my opinion, Parker was the best taster. I’ve never known any that were better, more precise, more honest in their decisions,’ said Bernard Magrez from Château Pape Clément. ‘Now, there are not just journalists but also influencers. There’s digital media that features a lot of short but quality programmes, with the mission to advise wine lovers.’

‘These programmes are often made by quality people, but not always,’ Magrez added. In any case, they provide the service of engaging with consumers, so they do not ‘make a mistake when choosing wine’.

Estate identity and customer loyalty in modern wine marketing

As the wine world becomes increasingly noisy with a blend of critics, influencers, and online commentary, many producers are returning to the fundamentals: authenticity, estate identity, and customer loyalty.

Château Saint-Pierre, Fourth Growth, Saint-Julien

‘It is sometimes so difficult to handle, that we think that the main thing is to simply be proud of what we produce,’ explained owner of Château Saint-Pierre Jean Triaud to WineCap. ‘During En Primeur, there are maybe 30, 40, or even 50 people telling us they can offer influence for the wine. You get professionals, but you also get all the guys you don’t know writing online and maybe followed by, I don’t know, 100,000 people.’

Triaud said it was impossible and undesirable to produce wine that everybody liked. ‘So, we try to keep the identity of the wine and what the family wants to do.’

Château La Conseillante, Pomerol

‘Since Parker retired, the world of journalists has changed a lot. Now we do not have one journalist, we have a lot of journalists with different tastes,’ said Marielle Cazaux, general manager of Château La Conseillante. ‘So, for me, the wine has to keep its identity with all these different journalists. Before, with Parker, you had to just please one taste. Now it’s more and maybe it is a good thing’.

Château Beychevelle, Fourth Growth, Saint-Julien

Philippe Blanc, general manager at Château Beychevelle, was adamant that the customer, and not the critic, was “king”.

‘The role of wine critics is very important but, as I am a very rude person, I said to somebody one day in London at a seminar that the most important people were the customers and not the journalists. Everybody laughed in the room, but I still believe that,’ he told WineCap. ‘Journalists are extremely important, they are knowledgeable, they are good guides but I think the best guide you can get is a customer himself. Now, if you need help, you can follow some journalists that you trust.’

With a multitude of journalists and influencers today, Blanc said he was not sure one single person took the lead. ‘I think as customers, you have to find the people you feel good with and then stick to them – but the most important thing is to open a bottle, to share it with friends and see if you like it and you give the mark you want then. It is important to feel comfortable with what you taste and not to follow somebody like you follow the shepherd’.

Château Lynch-Bages, Fifth Growth, Pauillac

Perhaps the most direct remark about putting house identity first in today’s complex wine critique space came from Jean Charles Cazes, CEO of several properties, including Château Batailley and Château Ormes de Pez alongside Lynch-Bages.

‘We have had a consistent style and consistent practices over generations. I think it is important that you follow your style because fashions always evolve and change. If you try to follow the fashion, it will be out of date very quickly. So, we follow our own path.’

In today’s fast-moving and fragmented wine commentary landscape, the critic no longer reigns alone. Influencers bring reach and relatability, digital media expands access, and consumers themselves wield increasing influence over what succeeds. Yet amid this evolution, Bordeaux’s finest estates are charting a steady course – staying true to their identity, their terroir, and the loyal customers who bring their wines to life in glasses around the world.

See also our Bordeaux I Regional Report.

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