Tag: Bordeaux

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Navigating the 2023 fine wine market: the rise of Bordeaux amid global risk aversion

  • 2023 marks a notable slowdown in the fine wine market, with price corrections shadowing the bullish trends of previous years.
  • Burgundy and Champagne which led the market to its peak in 2022 are suffering the most.
  • Bordeaux has become a beacon for investors, gaining renewed interest due to its stability and reliability.

As the 2023 Liv-ex Power 100 unveils, a significant shift is evident in the fine wine market. This year marks a notable slowdown, with price corrections shadowing the bullish trends of previous years. Amidst this changing landscape, Bordeaux emerges as a beacon for investors, gaining renewed interest due to its stability and reliability. This article delves into the dynamics of the 2023 fine wine market, highlighting the rise of Bordeaux against a backdrop of global risk aversion.

Understanding the 2023 market slowdown

The fine wine market in 2023 has departed from the spirited activity of past years. After prices across many regions reached stellar levels in 2022, 2023 was a year of corrections. Trade by value and volume also fell, according to the 2023 Liv-ex Power 100 report. Despite more wine labels being traded, the overall number of individual wines traded (on a vintage level) has seen a decrease. This trend points towards a strategic shift towards higher quality wine investments, reflecting a more discerning market behaviour.

The softening of the fine wine market in 2023 can be attributed to a range of factors. Economic uncertainties and global financial market fluctuations have instilled a sense of risk aversion among investors. Inflationary pressures and rising interest rates have also played a role, impacting disposable incomes and investment capabilities. This economic climate has prompted a more cautious approach in luxury investments like fine wine. Additionally, changing consumer behaviours and preferences, along with geopolitical tensions and trade disputes, have further contributed to the market’s softening.

Regional patterns in 2023

In 2023, regional patterns in the wine market have become more pronounced. Burgundy and Champagne, which previously led the market to its peak, are now facing significant corrections. Burgundy has seen a reduction in its presence in the Power 100, while the Burgundy 150 index has fallen 15.4% year-on-year. Similarly, Champagne’s market has also softened, with the Champagne 50 index dipping 19.4%.

The rankings reveal a trend towards stability, liquidity, and relative value, which are prominently found in Bordeaux. This region has emerged as a beacon of resilience in the fine wine market, adding five wines to the Power 100 and benefiting from its reputation for consistent quality and reliable investment.

Conversely, California, while losing five wines in the ranking, managed to maintain its trade share, indicating a selective but sustained interest in its wines. This shift reflects a broader market inclination towards established regions and brands, suggesting a cautious approach by collectors and investors in a turbulent market.

As market dynamics evolve, regions like Italy and Spain are gaining traction, with brands like Vietti and Dominio de Pingus showing positive growth, further diversifying the landscape of investment-worthy wines. These regions are increasingly seen as offering valuable investment-worthy wines, attracting attention for their unique qualities and potential for growth.

The most powerful brands of 2023

In the realm of individual brands, certain names have demonstrated remarkable resilience and adaptability amidst the market downturn. Bordeaux’s Château Climens, for instance, has made an impressive leap in the rankings, rising from 353rd place in 2022 to 98th this year. This is a testament to its successful brand repositioning under new ownership.

Similarly, in California, brands like Opus One and Screaming Eagle continue to hold strong positions. Opus One, in particular, has risen dramatically, from 82nd in 2022 to 4th this year, signifying continued interest in top-tier wines from this region despite broader market challenges.

Despite facing a pullback Burgundy still has powerful players like Kei Shiogai, which took the top spot in terms of price performance, with its Market Price rising 185.7% year-on-year.

The strength of these brands lies not just in their historical significance or quality but also in their ability to retain high liquidity and trading volumes, essential in a market that is increasingly focusing on safer investments. This trend suggests that while the market is retracting in some areas, there remains a robust demand for wines that represent the pinnacle of their respective regions.

Adapting to the evolving wine market dynamics

As we navigate through the evolving dynamics of the fine wine market, it is clear that understanding and adapting to these changes is crucial for future investing. The trends of 2023, from the renewed interest in Bordeaux and the resilience of powerful brands, provide valuable insights into the market’s direction.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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Price ratio: comparing regional First Growths

  • We compare the price performance of Château Lafite Rothschild to other regions’ respective ‘First Growths’.
  • The rising ratio highlights the increased value to be had in the Bordeaux First Growths.
  • Today, one can get 29 bottles of Lafite for the price of Romanée-Conti and almost five for Pétrus and Screaming Eagle.

How many bottles of Château Lafite Rothschild can one get for the price of other regions’ respective ‘First’ wines?

With changing market dynamics at play that have seen the balance between Bordeaux and other regions change, we examine the price ratio between some of the most popular investment-grade wines.

Below we compare the performance of the Bordeaux First Growth Château Lafite Rothschild to Burgundy’s highest echelon Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, the Super Tuscan Sassicaia, the Right Bank Château Pétrus, the Californian cult wine Screaming Eagle, and the most in-demand Champagne, Dom Pérignon. These are all wines that symbolise and even transcend their geography.  In the same way that Lafite has long been the mainstay of Bordeaux, the other wines are bellwethers for their regions.

The ratio between these wines is somewhat reflective of broader trends within their respective regions. Over the last decade, the ratio has risen consistently, highlighting the increased value to be had in the First Growths, as other regions gather momentum.

How many bottles of Lafite for the price of DRC?

Today, one can get on average 29 bottles of Lafite Rothschild for the price of Romanée-Conti. The ratio has risen considerably since 2013 when one could buy just 14 bottles of Lafite for one DRC. It peaked in December 2022, when it stood at 30:1.

As the chart below shows, the Domaine de la Romanée-Conti index hit a record high in December last year. Meanwhile, the Lafite index has not seen any of the price volatility witnessed by DRC. Year-to-date, prices for both labels have dipped but the fall has been sharper for DRC.

The DRC:Lafite price ratio is somewhat reflective of broader trends within their regions. In the last decade, Burgundy emerged as Bordeaux’s main contender. After Bordeaux peaked at the end of the China-led bull market in 2011, buyers started to seek out other corners of the fine wine world and it was Burgundy that attracted the greatest attention. The allure of rarity and quality meant that demand quickly outstripped already tight supply. Prices for Burgundy peaked, while Bordeaux ran quietly in the background.

For Bordeaux, the period between 2013 and 2015 saw contraction at the tail end of the Chinese correction. The market turned again in October 2015, and since then, Lafite Rothschild has been the second-best-performing First Growth, with some vintages doubling in value. However, it has not managed to catch up with Burgundy’s stellar rise.

Left vs Right Bank

It is also interesting to compare performance within Bordeaux’s Left and Right Bank. Today 4.6 bottles of Lafite gets you a bottle of Château Pétrus, up from 3, ten years ago.

As the chart below shows, Lafite and Pétrus have followed a similar trajectory up to September 2021, when prices for the First Growth flattened while Pétrus continued its rise.

Similar to Burgundy, rarity plays a key role in Pétrus’ appeal and investment performance. Pétrus is produced in much smaller quantities (around 3,000 cases per year) compared to Lafite (around 25,000 cases). Despite commanding a higher price tag, the wine has considerably outperformed Lafite in the last decade.

Dom Pérignon vs Lafite Rothschild

Recent years have seen a surge in Champagne’s market share and price performance. This has been reflected in the performance of its most traded label – Dom Pérignon.

Produced in much larger quantities than Lafite and more widely available, Dom Pérignon has started to catch up with the First Growth. In the last decade, the ratio between them has doubled – from 0.2 to 0.4.

Champagne prices, with Dom Pérignon at the helm, have made considerable gains since the early 2020s. In the last decade, our Dom Pérignon index is up 120%, compared to 20% for Lafite.

Sassicaia vs Lafite Rothschild

Similarly, the Super Tuscans have been getting more expensive. The most liquid and heavily traded group of Italian wines, their performance has been further boosted by critical acclaim and brand strength, with Sassicaia at the helm.

The ratio between Sassicaia and Lafite has risen from 0.2 ten years ago to 0.42 today.

As the chart below shows, Sassicaia has seen stable and consistent growth. 2019-2022 was a period of upheaval for the brand, which benefited from excellent vintages that captured investors’ interest.

Screaming Eagle vs Lafite Rothschild

The price ratio between Screaming Eagle and Lafite Rothschild tells a story of increased volatility, which can largely be ascribed to the Californian cult wine. Screaming Eagle has seen bigger price rises, followed by sharper falls.

Today one can now get 4.8 bottles of Lafite for the price of Screaming Eagle, up from 2.7 a decade ago. The ratio peaked in February 2022, when it stood at 5:1.

California has enjoyed serious investment interest which has been reflected in its market share. Today the region holds around 7% of the fine wine trade by value and is the most important New World player.

While Lafite has come to represent better value when compared to other top wines, this is largely due to shifting regional market dynamics. The First Growth continues to entice buyers with brand strength, high-quality releases and returns on investment.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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The place of the Bordeaux First Growths in a changing fine wine market

  • Once the dominant force in the fine wine market, the Bordeaux First Growths have lost market share due to its broadening.
  • In the last decade, Château Mouton Rothschild has been the best price performer, up 43.2%.
  • Château Haut-Brion offers the best value, with the highest average critic score and the lowest average price per case.

The Bordeaux First Growths in a broadening market

The Bordeaux First Growths have long been the cornerstone of the fine wine investment market. Back in 2010, they made up close to 90% of all Bordeaux trade by value – at a time, when Bordeaux’s share of the total market stood at 96%.

With the broadening of the market, their share has decreased and they now regularly account for around 30% of all Bordeaux secondary market trade (which itself has fallen below 35% annual average).

This trend was also reflected in the 2022 Power 100 list, which offered a snapshot of the ever-changing landscape of the secondary market. For the first time ever, no Bordeaux wines featured among the top ten most powerful fine wine labels.

Even if trade for these brands remains consistent or increases, the First Growths are facing greater competition. Still, they are among the wines with the greatest liquidity, attracting regular demand and high praise from critics year after year.

First Growths’ price performance

In terms of price performance, the five First Growths have followed a similar trajectory (i.e. rising post-Covid and dipping in the last year in line with the current market reality). The relative outcast has been Château Latour, whose performance was impacted by the decision to leave the En Primeur system in 2012. The wine has been the worst-performing First Growth, up just 17.9% in the last decade.

The best performer has been Château Mouton Rothschild, with an increase of 43.2%. Recent releases have elevated the performance of the brand, like the 2020 vintage, which boasts 100-points from The Wine Advocate’s William Kelley, 99-100 from James Suckling, 98-100 from Jeff Leve and 99 from Antonio Galloni (Vinous). ‘Off’ vintages like 2011, 2013 and 2014, which have greater room to rise, have also fared well over the last five years.

The second-best performer has been Château Margaux, which is also the second most affordable First Growth. Similarly, its biggest price risers have been 2014, 2011 and 2013. Less classical years reveal the strength of these brands, as demand for the First Growths remains consistently high regardless of the vintage.

First Growths’ price and score comparison

The table below shows the average price per case and critic score of the First Growths for vintages since 2000.

Château Haut-Brion tops the list with the highest average score (95.9) and the lowest average price per case (£4,595). With a price per point of £48, the wine seems to offer the best value among the First Growths. Vintages that have received 100-points from The Wine Advocate include 2018 (LPB), 2016 (LPB), 2015 (LPB), 2009 (LPB) and 2005 (RP).

Looking at the average prices, Château Lafite Rothschild stands out as the most expensive of the First Growths. The wine has achieved 100-points from The Wine Advocate for its 2019 (WK), 2018 (LPB), 2010 (LPB) and 2003 (RP) vintages.

In conclusion, the First Growths remain an important part of the changing secondary market, offering brand strength, consistently high quality and stable growth.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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La Place 2023: Critics’ verdict and top-scoring wines

  • Major critics have released their ‘Beyond Bordeaux’ reports, accessing the quality and value of this year’s La Place releases.
  • Tom Parker MW stated that there were ‘not as many hits as usual’.
  • Jane Anson awarded three wines 100-points.

As the La Place de Bordeaux campaign takes centre stage in September, major critics have shared their views on this year’s releases, including Jane Anson (Inside Bordeaux) and Tom Parker MW (JancisRobinson.com).

Both have commented on the quality of the wines but also on their pricing strategies and the value to be found. As discussed last week, a recurring theme in the campaign has been the price increases for the new releases, compared to previous vintages. This has done little to invigorate the market for buying at release for investment.

Tom Parker on the campaign’s ‘ambitious pricing’

In his ‘beyond Bordeaux’ assessment, Tom Parker MW expressed his wary view on the campaign’s strategy and pricing. He wrote that ‘the styles and regions are diverse, and the stories risk being lost in such a compressed release timetable’.

He added that ‘given the ambitious pricing for many of these wines, it is hard to see how they can all be sold through successfully’. Indeed, the campaign’s reception so far has been mediocre.

In terms of overall quality, Parker stated that ‘there were some excellent efforts though perhaps not as many hits as usual’.

Regional observations

Delving into individual regions, Parker noted the Californian producers’ split strategy, with ‘some releasing wines from the complicated 2020 vintage, with others choosing instead to offer museum releases and a few choosing to do both’. One such instance was Opus One, which opted for library release of its 2018 and 2019 vintages.

In terms of the Rhône releases, he observed that ‘Hommage à Jacques Perrin was good rather than great, and newly added and renamed Domaine de la Chapelle (formerly Jaboulet’s Hermitage La Chapelle) left a little to be desired in the tricky 2021 vintage’.

For him, ‘Argentina produced two of the most exciting wines’. He awared 18 out of 20 points to Zuccardi’s Finca Canal Uco and 17+/20 for Adrianna Vineyard from Catena Zapata.

Parker also complimented Australian wines which were ‘technically immaculate’ and named Wynn’s John Riddoch ‘a personal favourite’.

His top Italian pick was Masseto (18/20), which he described as ‘almost a guilty pleasure in 2020’ though ‘only for those with the deepest pockets’. Although the wine was released at a 10% premium on last year, the new release still offered value in the context of back vintages.

Jane Anson awards three wines 100-points

Among the releases so far, Jane Anson awarded three wines 100 points – Bibi Graetz Colore 2021, Yjar 2019, and Giaconda Chardonnay 2021. The La Place newcomer Chappellet, Pritchard Hill Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 received a near-perfect score of 99-points from the critic.

Anson drew attention to Sicily as a region that offers both quality and value, saying that ‘Sicilian reds, as ever, offer some of the best value wines not just of the September Releases, but of the wine industry in general’.

She also acknowledged that ‘there’s no doubt that the wider economic stresses globally are both helping and hurting the September Releases’.

Once again, this highlights the importance of correct pricing in a broadening fine wine market.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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Four key market trends from the 2023 Liv-ex Classification

  • The fine wine market is diversifying, with Argentina and Switzerland making new entries in the 2023 Liv-ex Classification.
  • Bordeaux’s influence is waning, now accounting for less than 30% of wines in the classification, while other regions like Champagne rise in prominence.
  • Internal shifts in Burgundy indicate changing buying preferences, driven by the search for value and stock.

The Liv-ex Classification is a ranking of the world’s leading fine wine labels, based solely on their price. The classification takes into account minimum levels of activity and number of vintages traded over one year to present a more accurate picture of the market today. Like the 1855 Bordeaux Classification, the wines are divided into five tiers (price bands).

The 2023 edition featured 296 wines from nine countries. It presented a broad overview of the state of the secondary market – what is trading, and at what price levels. As the market continues to evolve, we break down four key trends from the 2023 Liv-ex classification.

Continued expansion in the world of fine wine

While the number of wines that qualified for inclusion in the 2023 rankings was lower than in the previous 2021 edition (349) due to changes in the methodology, the fine wine investment market has continued to diversify.

Argentina re-entered the rankings with five wines compared to having just one in 2019. Switzerland also joined the classification for the first time with Gantenbein Pinot Noir. Meanwhile, Spain and Chile saw 40% and 100% respective increases in the number of wines entering.

Regional diversity was particularly noticeable in the second-lowest priced 4th tier (£456-£637 per 12×75), which featured wines from France (24), Italy (16), Portugal (3), Australia (2), Spain (1), the USA (1), and Argentina (1).

Bordeaux among global competitors

It is no secret that Bordeaux’s dominance in the fine wine investment market has been fading since its glory days in 2009-2010. The continued broadening of the market has meant that the region has become one of many players, accounting for under 30% of the wines in the 2023 classification.

This has been further aided by its mediocre price performance relative to other regions. The Bordeaux 500 index has risen just 2.9% over the last two years, compared to a 19% move for its parental Liv-ex 1000 index, and a 36.7% increase for Champagne, which has been the best performer. All considered, Liv-ex wrote that ‘this pattern may well continue in future editions’ as new entrants challenge Bordeaux’s monopoly.

While Bordeaux’s influence wanes, other regions like Champagne are capturing the limelight.

The stellar rise of Champagne prices

Champagne has experienced a significant price surge in recent years, which has been reflected in the global rankings.

The majority of Champagnes (10) in the classification entered the first tier – wines priced above £3,641 per 12×75. The remaining 12 were split between tier 2 (£1,002-£3,640) and tier 3 (£638-£1,001). There were no Champagnes in tiers 4 and 5 (wines below £1,000 per case).

The most expensive Champagne was Jacques Selosse Millésime, with an average trade price of £32,516 per case, followed by Krug’s Clos d’Ambonnay (£30,426) and Clos du Mesnil (£17,509). The latter has risen 105% in value over the last five years.

On average, Champagne prices are up 62.8% during this time. They peaked in October 2022, following a year and a half of steady ascent. Since then, the Liv-ex Champagne 50 index has entered a corrective phase – but not significant enough to change the region’s trajectory. Sustained demand has been further buoying its performance.

Internal reshuffling in Burgundy

Burgundy, home to the most expensive wines in the rankings, has been undergoing an internal shift. New entrants have replaced many of the labels in previous editions, signalling changes in buying preferences.

Heightened demand for the region in 2022 led buyers to explore different wines within Burgundy, seeking both value and stock availability. Some of the new entrants in the 2023 classification include Prieuré Roch Ladoix Le Clou Rouge, Domaine Louis Jadot Gevrey-Chambertin Premier Cru Clos Saint-Jacques and Domaine Trapet Père et Fils Latricières-Chambertin Grand Cru.

Interestingly, while these new labels have entered the ranking, they seem to have replaced older, perhaps less active, Burgundy labels. Indeed, the overall proportion of Burgundy wines in the classification has remained steady, even as specific labels fall in and out of favour.

As new players emerge and existing ones adapt, one thing is clear: the fine wine market will continue to diversify and evolve, promising a fascinating future for everyone involved.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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The brands to watch in the 2023 autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign

  • La Place de Bordeaux is a three-tier global wine distribution system with origins stretching back 800 years.
  • The autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign sees the release of over 100 different wines from around the world.
  • Discover the brands released via La Place that have made the biggest gains over the past decade.

La Place de Bordeaux is a global wine distribution system that originated 800 years ago in France. The network was originally a hub used just for Bordeaux’s finest wines, where the château would sell to négociants who then sell to merchants.

In recent years, the system has considerably expanded its operations. Other than the spring Bordeaux En Primeur campaign, today La Place releases wines from other parts of the world in the autumn.

Over 100 different wines from Argentina, Australia, the USA, New Zealand, Austria, China, Italy, Spain, South Africa, Uruguay and French wines from Champagne and the Rhône have joined the marketplace since the first non-Bordeaux release of the Chilean brand Almaviva in 1998.

What is driving the La Place expansion?

By selling through La Place, producers have the opportunity to build a global following for their brands, benefitting from the négociants’ extensive reach and expertise in promoting and allocating wines to different markets. Meanwhile, this process guarantees the wines’ provenance, reduces risk, and effectively manages supply and demand.

Négociants also benefit from the expansion of the system beyond Bordeaux by diversifying their revenue streams and reducing their dependency on the châteaux. This is especially true in recent years, which have seen a declining sentiment for buying Bordeaux En Primeur (for more, see our En Primeur Report: Bordeaux 2022 – Unfulfilled Potential).

The transformation of La Place de Bordeaux also reflects the shift in broadening buying patterns in the fine wine investment market.

La Place brands to watch

This autumn will see the release of close to 120 wines from around the world through La Place de Bordeaux.

Some of the most anticipated releases each year include the Super Tuscans Solaia, Masseto and Bibi Graetz, Californian cult wine Opus One joined by estates such as Inglenook, Joseph Phelps and Promontory, the Chilean Almaviva, Vinedo Chadwick and Viña Seña.

Australian wine, which has faced challenges due to the ongoing Chinese tariffs in recent years, has also been aided by the network, with brands such as Penfolds and Jim Barry making waves.

La Place brands

*Explore the performance of different wines on Wine Track, our comprehensive fine wine index that enables you to identify investment grade wines, spot trends and wine investment opportunities.

The table above shows some of the best-performing wines released via La Place over the past decade. These wines, available at various price points, have delivered an all-round positive performance over the past five and ten years.

Rothschild & Concha Y Toro’s Almaviva has seen the most impressive price performance over the last decade, up 132%. Almaviva prices tend to rise with age, and the highly anticipated 2021 vintage is expected to be among the first releases of this autumn’s campaign.

In conclusion, the network’s continually broadening selection showcases its ability to adapt and thrive in a fluid market, acting simultaneously as an indicator of shifting consumer preferences and investment opportunities. As négociants broaden their range and producers tap into this distribution channel with global reach, the impact is poised to resonate well beyond the borders of Bordeaux.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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2023 harvest forecasts for France and Italy: a balancing act

Harvest
  • France’s 2023 wine harvest projects between 44-47 million hectolitres, benefiting from potentially strong yields in Champagne and Burgundy.
  • Italy anticipates up to 14% reduction in its 2023 harvest due to extreme weather, marking it among its smallest harvests.
  • Historical trends showcase climatic vulnerabilities, emphasising the need for sustainable viticulture practices.

As harvest time approaches, we take a look at forecasts for the 2023 vintage in France and Italy. While France appears to be set for a stable year – in line with the five-year average, Italy’s harvest might shrink as a result of extreme weather, as climate change continues to leave its mark.

French wine regions face diverse conditions

According to the French agriculture ministry, France’s wine harvest in 2023 looks promising, with estimates suggesting a national production between 44 million and 47 million hectolitres. This figure nudges slightly ahead of the previous year’s 45.4 million hectolitres. One reason for optimism is the performance in regions like Champagne and Burgundy, which is expected to offset challenges in Bordeaux.

Indeed, Bordeaux has not had it easy. Consecutive thunderstorms, high temperatures, and downy mildew have plagued the region. Notably, Gironde’s chamber of agriculture reported that a whopping 90% of vines have been affected by downy mildew. Languedoc and Roussillon have also been suffering from persistent drought.

Meanwhile, Champagne and Burgundy are set for an above-average harvest. Champagne has successfully averted frost and hail damage and diseases have been contained. Similarly, Burgundy looks poised for grape production higher than the five-year average. The situation in neighbouring Beaujolais is also looking better than last year.

If projections hold, France may place as Europe’s largest wine producer in 2023, especially given the challenging outlook for Italy.

Italy’s climate woes

Italy is staring at a potentially reduced harvest in 2023. From searing heatwaves to devastating floods, the nation’s vintners have confronted multiple challenges. Extreme weather events could result in a harvest that is up to 14% smaller than in 2022. If this forecast proves accurate, 2023 could rank with years like 1948, 2007, and 2017 as one of Italy’s smallest harvests on record.

However, while the national outlook seems daunting, the situation varies by region. The north, including areas like Piedmont, Lombardy, and Veneto, has remained relatively stable despite recent fierce hailstorms. By contrast, southern and central Italy might see significant drops in production, with Sicily in particularly struggling with wildfires, heat, and mildew. Still, the Assovini Sicilia wine association noted that grape quality remains intact for 2023.

Historical context

France and Italy have witnessed harvest highs and lows over the decades. Historically, France’s most significant harvest was in 2004 with a record 58.3 million hectolitres. In contrast, 2017 saw a decline of almost 20% due to weather adversities.

Italy’s bumper harvest year was 1982, with a record production of 65 million hectolitres. The country’s most challenging years have been spaced apart, with significant lows in 1948, 2007, and potentially 2023.

In conclusion, the 2023 harvest projections for France and Italy offer a revealing snapshot into the challenges and opportunities presented by the ever-shifting climate. While France gears up for a potentially favorable yield, owing largely to robust performances in regions like Champagne and Burgundy, Italy grapples with the stark realities of climate change, which threatens to render 2023 one of its leanest harvests. These trends not only highlight the adaptability of the wine industry but also underscore the urgent need for sustainable practices and proactive measures to mitigate the impacts of adverse weather patterns on viticulture. As the historical data indicates, while wine-producing regions have faced fluctuations in the past, the growing unpredictability of climate patterns demands heightened vigilance and innovation in the realm of winemaking.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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The best-performing wines in H1 2023

H1 2023 - Château Climens
H1 2023 - Château Climens
  • The fine wine market softened in H1 2023 amid a complex economic landscape, creating opportunities for savvy investors to purchase well-priced stock.
  • The 2022 Bordeaux En Primeur campaign stimulated demand for older Bordeaux vintages, which in turn pushed their prices.
  • Sweet Bordeaux dominated the best-performing wines in H1 2023, with Château Climens 2014 claiming the top spot.

Market overview

The first half of 2023 brought a mixed bag of developments for the fine wine market, with interesting shifts underway. Amid a complex economic landscape, the market softened, creating opportunities for savvy investors to purchase high-quality stock at appealing prices. Major fine wine indices experienced a minor slump when calculated in sterling but remained steady in other currencies.

Meanwhile, the 2022 Bordeaux En Primeur campaign generated excitement among critics and buyers due to the high quality of the wines, yet its pricing underlined the value that back vintages offer. Indeed the majority of the best-performing wines so far this year have been older Bordeaux vintages, with two exceptions.

The top performers so far this year

While major fine wine indices have experienced a slowdown, demand remains robust and some wines have continued to overdeliver. The table below shows the best performers in H1 2023, which have all risen between 18% and 78%.

Five out of the top ten spots, including the prime position, have gone to Château Climens. Much of this stellar growth happened in the last quarter. Back vintages saw increased demand, following the 2022 En Primeur release, which was offered with a 139.4% increase on the 2016. Château Climens has also been one of the best-performing Bordeaux brands so far this year, according to Wine Track, rising 36%.

Another wine from Barsac, Château Coutet 2014, has also risen an impressive 32.8% in value over the past six months, cementing the prevalence of sweet Bordeaux among the biggest risers. It seems that a category often overlooked has come to the investment spotlight in 2023, replacing the stars of 2022 – Burgundy and Champagne.

The sixth and seventh spots went to red Bordeaux, with Château Palmer 2013, up 27.4%, and Le Clarence de Haut-Brion 2015, up 24.1%.

The exceptions to the Bordeaux-themed half were Giacomo Conterno Barolo Monfortino Riserva 2001 (22.8%) and Joseph Drouhin Montrachet Grand Cru Marquis de Laguiche 2011 (18.2%).

To find out more about the most recent developments in the fine wine market, download our Q2 2023 wine investment report.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Ten years on: the top-performing Bordeaux 2013 wines

Bordeaux 2013
Bordeaux 2013
  • The Bordeaux 2013 vintage saw a tepid response at release due to challenging weather conditions that impacted its quality and quantity.
  • The vintage provided a low entry point into top Bordeaux brands, and interesting investment opportunities.
  • Ten years on, some wines have risen over 200% in value, including second wines Petit Mouton and Carruades de Lafite.

As the 2013 Bordeaux vintage sees its tenth anniversary, critics are once again turning their attention to these wines. Our retrospective provides a glimpse into the market performance of the vintage, and the best-performing wines today.

Bordeaux 2013: a difficult year for winemaking

Bordeaux’s 2013 vintage was met with lukewarm reception upon release, primarily due to adverse weather conditions that took a toll on both its quality and quantity. Coming on the heels of two poorly priced campaigns did not help either.

A wet winter transitioned into an equally damp spring, delaying budburst and resulting in many grapes suffering from coulure. Unpredictable temperature fluctuations, frost, and an extraordinarily rainy May led to a disrupted flowering in June, further complicating the growing season.

July brought extreme heat, one of the hottest in over six decades, culminating in torrential rainstorms that significantly reduced yields in the Médoc and Pessac-Léognan appellations. August continued the trend with destructive hailstorms in the Entre-deux-Mers region. Consequently, growers were forced to discard damaged and unripe berries, causing further reductions in yield.

A mixed bag

Despite the less-than-ideal weather conditions, certain areas and grape varieties fared better than others. Saint-Estèphe, for instance, benefited from a drier growing season, resulting in some of the most successful wines of that year. Late-ripening varieties like Cabernet Sauvignon also made the best of the limited summer weather. However, earlier-ripening varieties like Merlot struggled due to the damp, cold start to the year.

In general, the 2013 vintage yielded smaller quantities of wine with dramatic variations in quality. The best reds were light, with lower alcohol content and a fresh fruity character, whereas the less successful examples were marked by overextraction and astringent tannins. Whites performed better overall, the best of which possessed aromatic freshness.

In terms of style, Bordeaux 2013 significantly deviates from the richer, sunnier vintages of recent years. It has produced lighter-bodied wines imbued with a tangy acidity, making them more suitable for short- to medium-term drinking rather than long-term cellaring. Many of the wines are now ready to drink.

A lower entry point into the market for Bordeaux

The inconsistency in quality led to a range of price points in the market. This presented an opportunity to acquire Bordeaux wines at lower prices than usual, especially those from estates with a proven track record of producing high-quality wines in challenging years.

This made the vintage an interesting entry point for those looking to invest in Bordeaux without the high initial price that other ‘on’ vintages command – a trend identified among buyers in Asia, and particularly for the First Growths and their second wines.

This has stimulated investment interest in the vintage, and some Bordeaux 2013 wines have seen considerable price appreciation, delivering over 200% returns in less than a decade.

A vintage for second wines

Four second wines are among the best performing Bordeaux 2013s. The second wine of Château Mouton Rothschild, Petit Mouton, leads the way with a 233% rise since release. The wine offered a low entry point into the brand at £750 per case; by comparison, this year’s 2022 vintage was released for £2,196 per 12×75.

The second wine of Château Lafite Rothschild has been the second-best performing label, up 230% in value since release.

Pavillon Rouge du Château Margaux and Le Clarence de Haut-Brion also feature among the biggest risers, with increases of 163.9% and 142.4% respectively.

Bordeaux 2013 – an unexpected opportunity

A decade on, the Bordeaux 2013 vintage has shown that even in challenging growing conditions, wines of interest and value can be produced. The vintage offered a lower entry point into Bordeaux, resulting in several significant performers. The legacy of the Bordeaux 2013 vintage may well be seen as a fascinating anomaly – an unexpected opportunity for wine collectors and investors.

 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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Investment opportunities in back vintage Bordeaux

Investment in Bordeaux
  • Back vintages can often offer better investment prospects than new releases.
  • Looking at Bordeaux 2022 so far, the wines have been offered at a 16% premium on last year on average; some as high as 40%.
  • Prices for physical Bordeaux have declined since the start of the campaign, making older vintages even more affordable.

With the annual En Primeur campaign in full swing, many consider the investment opportunities in Bordeaux futures. What has become clearer in recent years, however, is that back vintages can often offer better prospects than the new releases.

For many châteaux, En Primeur is no longer the cheapest time to buy a bottle, with older vintages available in the market for less. This goes against the original premise of buying futures, which was an opportunity to acquire the wines at the lowest price possible.

Price and score inflation

Although Bordeaux has experienced improvements in quality, a trend evident in critic scores inflation, the price increases have been even more noticeable.

Looking at Bordeaux 2022 so far, the wines have been offered at a 15.6% premium on last year on average; some as high as 40%. For instance, Château Rauzan Segla was released with a 40.3% increase and Château Beau-Séjour Bécot – up 37.2%.

Château Climens, which did not produce wine in 2017, 2018 and 2021 due to weather challenges, launched its 2022 with a 139.4% increase on the 2016. As a result, back vintages like 2007, 2010 and 2011 enjoyed heightened demand, which in turn pushed prices. Château Climens has become one of the best-performing Bordeaux brands so far this year, according to Wine Track, rising 39%.

Prices for physical Bordeaux decline

Not all releases have enhanced a brand’s value. Since the start of the campaign, prices for physically available Bordeaux wines have declined 1.3% on average, according to the Liv-ex Bordeaux 500 index.

This is making back vintages look especially good value, in the context of rising En Primeur prices.

Take for instance one of the most recent releases, Château Lynch-Bages 2022, which was offered at £1,280 per 12×75, up 20.8% on last year. The 2022 surpasses the price of any vintage younger than 2010. The 2019 and 2016 look particularly good value, with higher critic scores and lower prices.

Lynch-Bages

Buyers will find opportunities in old vintage Bordeaux, such as 1995 and 1996, as well as the most recent years – 2021, 2020, 2019 and 2018. The recent trilogy of greats (2018-2020) offers plenty of options, with comparable quality to the new releases and lower prices.

For instance, the average Neal Martin score for the 2022 vintage is 94.8; in comparison, his 2019 is 95.2 and 2020 – 95.1.

The campaign’s successes

As discussed in a recent article, there have been some successful En Primeur releases such as Cheval Blanc, Beychevelle, and most recently, Les Carmes Haut-Brion. These wines were offered higher than last year but still represented an attractive point of entry into the brand, and immediately enjoyed demand.

Carmes Haut-Brion

Les Carmes Haut-Brion has become a collector’s favourite as quality has improved. Until 2010, 93-points was the highest score the wine had received. The newest release achieved 98-100 points from Antonio Galloni (Vinous) and 99-100 from Yohan Castaing (Wine Advocate). Neal Martin also credited it ‘as the best Carmes the new owners have overseen’. Its average score was higher than the more expensive Ausone, Haut-Brion, Lafite Rothschild, Margaux, Mission Haut-Brion and Le Pin.

At a quarter of the price of a First Growth, and half the price of wines like Léoville-Las Cases and Palmer, the wine has demonstrated considerable potential for continued appreciation. This has been reflected in the performance of its index, which has risen 41% over the last five years, making it one of the best-performing Bordeaux properties.

The successful 2022 releases have taken into consideration existing demand for the brand, vintage quality and, most importantly, offered value compared to back vintages.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.