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Assessing the Burgundy 2022 En Primeur campaign

  • Burgundy prices continued to spiral downwards in January, falling 3.7%.
  • This created a challenging backdrop for the unfolding Burgundy 2022 campaign, which saw about 10% of producers reduce pricing year-on-year.
  • The current market dynamics offer investors a unique window to enrich their collections with both new gems and proven performers.

Burgundy took the spotlight at the beginning of the year with the unfolding 2022 En Primeur campaign. Already in our Q4 2023 report, we questioned the potential of the new releases to stimulate an otherwise dormant market. On the one hand, there was the excitement of the new mixed with high quality and quantity playing to the campaign’s advantage; on the other, much depended on pricing.

Market conditions and pricing challenges

Burgundy prices continued to spiral downwards in January, with the Liv-ex Burgundy 150 index starting the year with a 3.7% decrease. To say that this created a challenging backdrop for the new releases would be an understatement. Prices at release had to come down.

And partially they did. According to Liv-ex, about 10% of the top producers ‘lowered their prices year-on-year’. However, ‘about 40% raised their prices, even if only modestly’. Thanks to greater quantities, allocations were mostly restored.

Burgundy 2022 – ‘a treasure trove’

As the first releases landed, Burgundy 2022 enjoyed a positive reception from critics and trade. Neal Martin (Vinous) advised that ‘if your favourite growers’ price tags seem fair, then I would not hesitate diving in’. He described the 2022 vintage as ‘Burgundy’s latest trick: a treasure trove of bright ‘n bushy-tailed whites and reds in a season that implied such wines would be impossible, wines predestined to give immense drinking pleasure’.

Investment perspective and older vintages

However, prices for older vintages remain under pressure, creating buying opportunities for already physical and readily available wines. For instance, three of Burgundy’s outstanding long-term wine performers have all seen dips between 15% and 10% in the last year. Over the last decade, however, DRC Vosne-Romanée Cuvée Duvault Blochet is up 388%; Georges Roumier Bonnes Mares – 339%, and Armand Rousseau Chambertin – 279% on average.

Burgundy wines performance

Meanwhile, the Burgundy 150 index has decreased 16% in the last year. Still, the overall long-term index trajectory remains upwards, as the chart below shows.

Burgundy index

Searching for value

The current market dynamics offer investors a unique window to enrich their collections with both new gems and proven performers across older physically available vintages.

When it comes to the latest, the Burgundy 2022 En Primeur campaign presents a complex tapestry of quality, quantity, and pricing amidst challenging market conditions. Despite initial price pressures, the adjustments made by producers and the positive critical reception underscore the potential of the new releases. Neal Martin’s endorsement further elevates the vintage, suggesting that for the discerning buyer, Burgundy 2022 provides not just immediate drinking pleasure but also long-term investment opportunities.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Burgundy 2022: a promising vintage in a challenging market

  • The 2022 vintage boasts high quality and quantity – ‘the largest crop in 23 years’.
  • It is being launched in a downward market, following ten months of consistent price declines.
  • As demand has tempered and stock has (re-)entered the market, the success of the upcoming releases will largely depend on pricing.

Burgundy’s 2022 vintage is being launched in a downward market, following ten months of consistent price declines. The success of the upcoming releases will largely depend on pricing, but will its quality and quantity have the potential to turn the tables?

Critical opinions on Burgundy 2022

Critic reports thus far have been overwhelmingly positive, applauding both the quality and the quantity of the vintage. 2022 marks the largest crop in 23 years, with some producers seeing double the yields of the previous year. According to Matthew Hayes (JancisRobinson.com), ‘across the whole of Burgundy, 2022 offered a whopping 75.4% more wine (red, white and crémant) compared with 2021’.

Contrary to expectations, the vintage produced wines with typicity, purity, and freshness despite the extreme weather. Hayes commented that ‘2022 was the second-hottest year that the Côte d’Or has endured this century and should logically have followed in the footsteps of the equally stifling solaire years of 2019 and 2020, producing wines with rich, deep fruit profiles and vibrant acidities to ensure long life but […] the wines show a generally impeccable balance of tidy, ripe fruit, discreet acidity and equally (and mostly) refined tannins’.

Hayes revealed that ‘the best-sited and best-rooted vines appeared to have coped well with the heat and in the Côte d’Or the excellence of the top premiers and grands crus shines clearly’.

The prevailing opinion is that 2022 is an excellent year for white wines, reminiscent of 2017 and 2020. Meanwhile, tasting notes from the Côte de Beaune and Côte de Nuits highlighted dense red wines with well-integrated tannins, simultaneously offering elegance and concentration. The wines are expected to be approachable in youth but with significant ageing potential.

However, the market onto which they are released is just as important as the releases themselves.

The current market for Burgundy

In October 2022, the Liv-ex Burgundy 150 index reached an unprecedented peak, marking a staggering 809.4% increase since its inception in December 2003. Twenty years later, Burgundy remains the best-performing fine wine region.

However, since its peak, prices have tumbled 17.4%. This decline has been attributed to various macroeconomic factors that led to a shift in investor sentiment. As the economic landscape became more uncertain, fine wine buyers have grown increasingly risk-averse, causing a contraction in demand for more volatile investments.

This trend was particularly pronounced in Burgundy, which had soared too high across the whole spectrum. At these stratospheric prices, the market saw more sellers than buyers, with investors keen to liquidate their stock. Top-tier Burgundy (re-)entered the market as sellers were looking to make gains.

This perception of increased risk and a preference for stability among investors led to a decrease in Burgundy’s trade share by value. The falling prices further exacerbated this trend.

Burgundy fine wine prices

The market conditions present a challenging backdrop for the high-quality high-quantity Burgundy 2022 En Primeur campaign. Will the excitement of the new be enough to stimulate demand?

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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2023 harvest forecasts for France and Italy: a balancing act

  • France’s 2023 wine harvest projects between 44-47 million hectolitres, benefiting from potentially strong yields in Champagne and Burgundy.
  • Italy anticipates up to 14% reduction in its 2023 harvest due to extreme weather, marking it among its smallest harvests.
  • Historical trends showcase climatic vulnerabilities, emphasising the need for sustainable viticulture practices.

As harvest time approaches, we take a look at forecasts for the 2023 vintage in France and Italy. While France appears to be set for a stable year – in line with the five-year average, Italy’s harvest might shrink as a result of extreme weather, as climate change continues to leave its mark.

French wine regions face diverse conditions

According to the French agriculture ministry, France’s wine harvest in 2023 looks promising, with estimates suggesting a national production between 44 million and 47 million hectolitres. This figure nudges slightly ahead of the previous year’s 45.4 million hectolitres. One reason for optimism is the performance in regions like Champagne and Burgundy, which is expected to offset challenges in Bordeaux.

Indeed, Bordeaux has not had it easy. Consecutive thunderstorms, high temperatures, and downy mildew have plagued the region. Notably, Gironde’s chamber of agriculture reported that a whopping 90% of vines have been affected by downy mildew. Languedoc and Roussillon have also been suffering from persistent drought.

Meanwhile, Champagne and Burgundy are set for an above-average harvest. Champagne has successfully averted frost and hail damage and diseases have been contained. Similarly, Burgundy looks poised for grape production higher than the five-year average. The situation in neighbouring Beaujolais is also looking better than last year.

If projections hold, France may place as Europe’s largest wine producer in 2023, especially given the challenging outlook for Italy.

Italy’s climate woes

Italy is staring at a potentially reduced harvest in 2023. From searing heatwaves to devastating floods, the nation’s vintners have confronted multiple challenges. Extreme weather events could result in a harvest that is up to 14% smaller than in 2022. If this forecast proves accurate, 2023 could rank with years like 1948, 2007, and 2017 as one of Italy’s smallest harvests on record.

However, while the national outlook seems daunting, the situation varies by region. The north, including areas like Piedmont, Lombardy, and Veneto, has remained relatively stable despite recent fierce hailstorms. By contrast, southern and central Italy might see significant drops in production, with Sicily in particularly struggling with wildfires, heat, and mildew. Still, the Assovini Sicilia wine association noted that grape quality remains intact for 2023.

Historical context

France and Italy have witnessed harvest highs and lows over the decades. Historically, France’s most significant harvest was in 2004 with a record 58.3 million hectolitres. In contrast, 2017 saw a decline of almost 20% due to weather adversities.

Italy’s bumper harvest year was 1982, with a record production of 65 million hectolitres. The country’s most challenging years have been spaced apart, with significant lows in 1948, 2007, and potentially 2023.

In conclusion, the 2023 harvest projections for France and Italy offer a revealing snapshot into the challenges and opportunities presented by the ever-shifting climate. While France gears up for a potentially favorable yield, owing largely to robust performances in regions like Champagne and Burgundy, Italy grapples with the stark realities of climate change, which threatens to render 2023 one of its leanest harvests. These trends not only highlight the adaptability of the wine industry but also underscore the urgent need for sustainable practices and proactive measures to mitigate the impacts of adverse weather patterns on viticulture. As the historical data indicates, while wine-producing regions have faced fluctuations in the past, the growing unpredictability of climate patterns demands heightened vigilance and innovation in the realm of winemaking.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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Ten years on: the top-performing Bordeaux 2013 wines

  • The Bordeaux 2013 vintage saw a tepid response at release due to challenging weather conditions that impacted its quality and quantity.
  • The vintage provided a low entry point into top Bordeaux brands, and interesting investment opportunities.
  • Ten years on, some wines have risen over 200% in value, including second wines Petit Mouton and Carruades de Lafite.

As the 2013 Bordeaux vintage sees its tenth anniversary, critics are once again turning their attention to these wines. Our retrospective provides a glimpse into the market performance of the vintage, and the best-performing wines today.

Bordeaux 2013: a difficult year for winemaking

Bordeaux’s 2013 vintage was met with lukewarm reception upon release, primarily due to adverse weather conditions that took a toll on both its quality and quantity. Coming on the heels of two poorly priced campaigns did not help either.

A wet winter transitioned into an equally damp spring, delaying budburst and resulting in many grapes suffering from coulure. Unpredictable temperature fluctuations, frost, and an extraordinarily rainy May led to a disrupted flowering in June, further complicating the growing season.

July brought extreme heat, one of the hottest in over six decades, culminating in torrential rainstorms that significantly reduced yields in the Médoc and Pessac-Léognan appellations. August continued the trend with destructive hailstorms in the Entre-deux-Mers region. Consequently, growers were forced to discard damaged and unripe berries, causing further reductions in yield.

A mixed bag

Despite the less-than-ideal weather conditions, certain areas and grape varieties fared better than others. Saint-Estèphe, for instance, benefited from a drier growing season, resulting in some of the most successful wines of that year. Late-ripening varieties like Cabernet Sauvignon also made the best of the limited summer weather. However, earlier-ripening varieties like Merlot struggled due to the damp, cold start to the year.

In general, the 2013 vintage yielded smaller quantities of wine with dramatic variations in quality. The best reds were light, with lower alcohol content and a fresh fruity character, whereas the less successful examples were marked by overextraction and astringent tannins. Whites performed better overall, the best of which possessed aromatic freshness.

In terms of style, Bordeaux 2013 significantly deviates from the richer, sunnier vintages of recent years. It has produced lighter-bodied wines imbued with a tangy acidity, making them more suitable for short- to medium-term drinking rather than long-term cellaring. Many of the wines are now ready to drink.

A lower entry point into the market for Bordeaux

The inconsistency in quality led to a range of price points in the market. This presented an opportunity to acquire Bordeaux wines at lower prices than usual, especially those from estates with a proven track record of producing high-quality wines in challenging years.

This made the vintage an interesting entry point for those looking to invest in Bordeaux without the high initial price that other ‘on’ vintages command – a trend identified among buyers in Asia, and particularly for the First Growths and their second wines.

This has stimulated investment interest in the vintage, and some Bordeaux 2013 wines have seen considerable price appreciation, delivering over 200% returns in less than a decade.

A vintage for second wines

Four second wines are among the best performing Bordeaux 2013s. The second wine of Château Mouton Rothschild, Petit Mouton, leads the way with a 233% rise since release. The wine offered a low entry point into the brand at £750 per case; by comparison, this year’s 2022 vintage was released for £2,196 per 12×75.

The second wine of Château Lafite Rothschild has been the second-best performing label, up 230% in value since release.

Pavillon Rouge du Château Margaux and Le Clarence de Haut-Brion also feature among the biggest risers, with increases of 163.9% and 142.4% respectively.

Bordeaux 2013 – an unexpected opportunity

A decade on, the Bordeaux 2013 vintage has shown that even in challenging growing conditions, wines of interest and value can be produced. The vintage offered a lower entry point into Bordeaux, resulting in several significant performers. The legacy of the Bordeaux 2013 vintage may well be seen as a fascinating anomaly – an unexpected opportunity for wine collectors and investors.

 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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Jancis Robinson MW releases Bordeaux 2022 scores

  • Jancis Robinson MW and James Lawther MW reviewed the 2022 Bordeaux vintage.
  • Both critics found the reds to be extremely impressive, with surprising freshness.
  • Mouton Rothschild, Lafite Rothschild, Cheval Blanc and Pétrus received the highest scores.

Jancis Robinson MW and James Lawther MW reviewed the 2022 Bordeaux vintage and released a series of articles, covering the whites, red-bank and left-bank reds.

Both critics found the wines to be ‘extremely impressive’, with ‘amazing freshness’ given the hot and dry growing season.

In terms of the En Primeur tastings, Jancis remarked on the ‘record number of visitors’, with ‘Americans and Asians back in force’. According to her, the numbers at the UGC tastings were ‘even higher than in spring 2019, when the 2018 vintage was presented almost a year before pandemic lockdowns’.

This gives greater confidence in the success of the En Primeur campaign, which commenced last week.

Left-bank reds

According to the report, the 2022 harvest was the earliest on record, with most of the Cabernet Sauvignon and Merlot on the left bank picked before the end of September. Despite the early harvest, the grapes’ maturity reached optimal levels. The sugar levels were similar to those found in recent years, while the phenolic ripeness was comparable to or even higher than previous vintages.

Alcohol levels on the left bank were on the high side, with 14% to 14.5% being a regular occurrence. However, the wines were often balanced with freshness.

Lawther wrote that he ‘found the characteristics of most of the appellations respected’, with Margaux being more varied.

Right-bank reds

According to Robinson, Merlot did exceptionally well in 2022, with high sugar levels, deep color and ‘no shortage of tannins for a long life lurking below the alluring surface’.

Lawther also proclaimed the grape variety to be ‘the star of the vintage’. He added that ‘Cabernet Franc was also successful on the right bank in 2022 adding colour, floral fragrance, freshness and length’. The critic claimed that ‘combined with Merlot it has produced some stunning wines, even away from the limestone plateau – witness Cheval Blanc, one of the wines of the vintage’.

White wines

The hot and dry growing season led to lower acidity levels in the whites, which translated to lack of freshness in some. Robinson further revealed that Sauvignon Blanc and Sémillon were picked earlier than ever before since Bordeaux University records began. Domaine de Chevalier Blanc stood out among the dry whites, while Château Suduiraut received the highest score of 18+ points among the Sauternes.

Top-scoring wines

The First Growth Château Mouton Rothschild topped the list of the highest-scoring wines from the 2022 vintage. Lawther described the palate as ‘truly amazing’ and questioned if this isn’t ‘a modern 1986’.

Château Lafite Rothschild, Château Cheval Blanc and Pétrus followed with 18.5-points.

So far, Lafite and Cheval Blanc have been two of the favourite wines of major critics, also boasting potential 100-points from Jeff Leve, Jean-Marc Quarin, and James Suckling.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Bordeaux 2022 – what to expect?

The first Bordeaux 2022 En Primeur releases are expected early next month. Ahead of the campaign, we examine the key factors that shaped the 2022 vintage and the current market for Bordeaux.

Vintage overview

Bordeaux 2022 is full of promise. Early critical reports suggest that the winemakers have overcome the challenges of the growing season, characterised by extreme heat and drought, and have achieved quality on par with the recent trilogy of great vintages, namely the 2018, 2019 and 2020.

Rainfall levels in 2022 were similar to one of Bordeaux’s greatest vintages, the 2010, although temperatures were higher last year. According to Bordeaux expert, Jane Anson, this led to ‘small grapes, thick skins, and clear concentration’.

While one might expect to find ripeness and boldness in the wines, the first En Primeur tasting report, published by James Suckling last week, suggested that the winemakers have prioritised freshness and lower alcohol, and that the resultant wines have fine structured tannins. Moreover, the critic noted consistent excellence from bottom to top.

However, the apocalyptic hailstorms in June devastated the crop at some estates but provided needed respite from the heat for others. As such, there will be variation in yields between the chateaux.

In terms of overall volumes, the 2022 vintage sits about 15% below the ten-year average but is up 9% on last year. It is also higher than the low-yielding 2013 and 2017 vintages.

Bordeaux – back in vogue

The 2022 vintage arrives in a market that is experiencing somewhat of a Bordeaux renaissance.

While on the surface Bordeaux might be losing market share to other regions, secondary market reports suggest that trade for the region has continued to increase in absolute terms: close to 50% since 2010.

Bordeaux has come to represent good value for money, in the context of Burgundy’s, and most recently, Champagne’s relentless price rise.

Moreover, as the bedrock of an investment portfolio, Bordeaux continues to offer the best liquidity in the fine wine market. There is consistent demand for the classed growths, across the full spectrum of vintages, both young and mature. As our Q1 report highlighted, some Bordeaux 2011s have broken pricing records since the beginning of the year, spurred by purchasing of ‘rabbit’ vintages for Chinese New Year. Bordeaux proves its relevance again and again.

En Primeur is only one of the ways in which the region cements its place in the world of fine wine. The annual campaign generates considerable attention from trade and critics, the volume and value of wine released is unmatched anywhere in the world, and the best releases offer excellent returns on investment – often at the lowest possible point of entry into a top brand.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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James Suckling releases Bordeaux 2022 report

‘A new benchmark’

James Suckling has released his report on the Bordeaux 2022 vintage ahead of the upcoming En Primeur campaign. The critic claimed that in the 40 years he has tasted Bordeaux in-barrel, he had ‘never come across anything like the 2022 vintage’.

2022 will stay in memory as one of the hottest years on record, featuring severe droughts and heatwaves. Despite the challenges, Suckling suggested that 2022 ‘gives us hope that both man and nature can adapt to these circumstance and produce outstanding wines, both red and white’.

He further observed that dryness and heat no longer mean bold ripeness in the resultant wines. Most winemakers have prioritised freshness and lower alcohol, ‘picking their grapes at optimal ripeness, with this “al dente” fruit giving a crunchy and clean character to the wines, with fine yet structured tannins’.

Suckling found the young wines to be ‘dynamic and fascinating’ and noted that ‘there was high quality from top to bottom’ – a sign of a great vintage.

Top-scoring wines

Suckling found nine candidates for perfection in Bordeaux 2022, awarding them a barrel range of 99-100 points.

Cheval Blanc stood out as his potential ‘wine of the vintage’, which ‘soars to new heights with its brightness and weightlessness’.

The critic was also full of praise for two Sauternes from Château Lafaurie-Peyraguey, calling the Crème du Tête ‘magical. The new 1929?’

Only one First Growth made the list, Château Lafite Rothschild, which Suckling described as ‘a classical Lafite that reminds me of something like the 1986 […] but it’s so today with its purity and precision’.

A white wine also featured among the top-scoring – Pavillon Blanc du Château Margaux. According to him, this ‘feels like a great Montrachet’ and is ‘one for the cellar’.

The question of pricing

Suckling’s verdict on the 2022 vintage is that the quality of the wines is ‘exceptional’ but ultimately ‘the market will decide’ the success of the new releases. ‘High interest rates, volatile stock prices and recent bank failures’ are some of the factors that will influence purchasing of young Bordeaux.

While the excitement of the new is guaranteed, high release prices might make older vintages look more attractive – especially if they offer value, and faster returns on investment.

 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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Burgundy | Regional Report

There is a maxim in the wine trade: no matter where a wine lover starts, they end up in Burgundy.

A key part of the attraction is in its contradictions: it is the most romantic wine region but also the most expensive; quality tends to be high but quantities are low; intuition is key but it is also one of the most researched regions.

With only two primary grape varieties and three classification ranks, Burgundy may appear simple, but with dozens of controlled places of origin (AOCs), hundreds of producers and thousands of wine labels, it can be incredibly complicated.

Our Burgundy Report delves into the fundamentals of this fascinating region, including the development of its investment market, historic performance, recent expansion and key players.

Discover more about:

  • Burgundy’s price performance
  • The expansion of Burgundy’s investment market
  • History of the Burgundy wine region
  • Burgundy’s structure and fragmentation
  • Key Burgundy producers
  • How we choose Burgundy for investment

Do not hesitate to get in touch and speak to one of our wine investment advisors for further information and to reserve your allocations.