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A year in review: 2025’s top wine investment trends

In our final summary of the year, we look back at 2025’s top wine investment stories, from the impact of US tariffs on regional demand to market stabilisation and improvement in the second half of the year.  

Key themes:

WineCap’s round-up of 2025’s top stories presents a picture of a fine wine market that is showing signs of renewal following three years of downturn. Annual UK and US wealth reports reaffirmed fine wine’s growing position in diversified portfolios, despite tariff threats, restrained En Primeur activity, and uneven regional performance influencing sentiment. Early indicators of stabilisation in key regions and vibrant critic endorsement point to a transitioning market, laying foundations for fresh momentum.

UK and US wealth reports predict third-year rise in wine investing 

For the third year running, the year-start WineCap wealth outlook was positive. Predictions of rising demand for fine wine gradually bore out over an uncertain year. 

A combined 95% of wealth managers in the UK and the US said that fine wine would remain a top-performing collectible despite political uncertainty and shifting interest rates. Across both countries, fine wine was seen as one of the best alternative investments, outperforming other luxury assets such as art, watches, whiskey, and handbags.

In the UK, the trend was driven by investors seeking tax efficiency, stability, and diversification benefits, with wine increasingly appearing in higher-risk portfolios and retirement planning.

Factors increasing demand for fine wine investment table

Meanwhile, in the US, the trajectory was similar, with protection from currency volatility an additional attraction of fine wine investment.

 

Benefits of fine wine investment pie chart

Wealth managers from both sides of the Atlantic noted that the proportion of younger, data-driven investors entering the market continues to rise, and an overall shift in fine wine evolving into a broader wealth-building strategy rather than a niche passion.

Key points

  • At the start of the year, 95% of UK and US wealth managers felt positive about fine wine investment.
  • Fine wine is appearing in higher-risk portfolios.
  • Fine wine is moving from specialist investment interest to mainstream strategy.

Trump tariffs bring uncertainty to fine wine market 

With Donald Trump’s return to the White House at the beginning of 2025, the new administration posited fresh economic policies, including the threat of 200% tariffs on alcohol from the EU. The announcement sent a chill through the fine wine market: buyers paused, demand slipped, and prices softened as investors temporarily redirected capital toward equities, property, and currency.

Yet alternative assets held firmer than expected. WineCap’s UK and US Wealth Reports showed that 58% and 74% of respondents respectively continued to view assets such as fine wine as attractive stores of value.

Stability returned in July 2025, when the US and EU agreed to a far more measured 15% tariff on European exports. With clarity restored, buyers re-entered the market – particularly in regions initially hit hardest, such as Champagne and Spain, which were among the first to rebound.

Key points

  • Trump’s EU alcohol tariff threat initially dampened market activity.
  • WineCap wealth reports indicate fine wine remains attractive regardless of the political climate.
  • Tariff consolidation in July saw US buying demand return, especially in the most impacted regions like Champagne and Spain.

Subdued Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign

The annual Bordeaux En Primeur 2024 campaign launched towards the end of April against the background of a cautious market, triggering 20-30% price cuts in the leading French wine region in an attempt to increase demand. With Bordeaux’s global market share losing ground and a general correction in fine wine prices, discounting was a key driver of sales, over vintage (regarded as uneven) and brand. This approach increased access to rare-value opportunities in Bordeaux wine, most notably for First Growth estates, Lafite Rothschild and Mouton Rothschild. The 2024 vintage proved a strong year for white wines, with Haut-Brion and Domaine de Chevalier among the standouts.

Chateau Mouton Rothschild wine performance bar graph

Key points

  • Critics noted that Bordeaux 2024 was the perfect vintage for a reset. 
  • En Primeur demand was soft and price cuts were necessary.
  • First Growths Lafite and Mouton Rothschild were among the campaign’s biggest successes.

Early signs of stabilisation in Champagne and Italy

After two years of consistent declines, the fine wine market hinted at an early reversal in the second half of 2025, with Champagne being the first region to indicate a small upturn, in its first month-on-month gain in a year in June. With the majority of leading vintages of Champagne brands like Dom Pérignon, Cristal, Salon, Krug, and Taittinger flatlining for at least six months, a welcome phase of consolidation was indicated. 

Champagne’s strong recognisability, cellaring capacity, and relatively accessible entry points have positioned it well for a return to growth. Indeed, the region showing resilience throughout the second half of 2025. The Rhône also saw stronger demand, while “off” vintages in Bordeaux trended in a region that, alongside wine from Burgundy, showed signs of finding its bottom.

Momentum characterised the Italian fine wine market too, with the Tuscan region gaining traction as investors looked to Brunello and Super Tuscans like Sassicaia, Ornellaia, and Masseto. Performance for key Piedmont wines, however, remained softer. This was due to owing to investor preference for regions with wider international recognition and greater liquidity in the current economic climate. In California, global demand and strong branding fuelled rising interest for labels such as Opus One and Screaming Eagle.

Key points

  • Fine wine reversal indicated after two years of decline.
  • Champagne and Tuscany were the first to turn positive. 
  • Bordeaux “off” vintages stood out, while strong branding drove demand for Champagne and California’s cult wines.

La Place: strong global reach meets soft sentiment

In September, the 2025 La Place campaign continued its steady expansion beyond French Bordeaux wines with more than 130 labels also representing emblematic estates from Tuscany, California, Chile, Argentina, and Australia, released through the prestigious distribution network. This year’s campaign unfolded against a backdrop of economic ambiguity and a softer fine wine market environment. This naturally led to strategic price cuts. Overall, La Place 2025 underperformed, but this signalled a cautious stance in the market rather than decline.

Key points

  • La Place continued to reflect global quality.
  • Strategic price cuts were a key feature of this campaign.
  • Campaign lagged, but the reason was mostly tied to general market mood and macroeconomic factors. 

Record fine wine auctions in 2025

Against a backdrop of renewed regional stability in the fine wine market in the second half of the year, several record auctions hit the headlines. While multimillion-dollar sales from the likes of William I. Koch ($28.8mln) and Jacqueline (de Rothschild) Piatigorsky ($11.16 mln) displayed appetite for provenance and iconic vintages, they did not reflect the core secondary market. However, analytical investors could detect long-term demand for blue-chip wines and micro-trends in these auction results.

More reliable signals came from the 2025 Hospices de Beaune auction, which achieved €18.75 million, the third-highest total in its 166-year history. Robust bidding for top cuvées – notably the Bâtard-Montrachet Grand Cru “Cuvée Dames de Flandres” at €400,000 per barrel and the Pommard Premier Cru Les Rugiens President’s Barrel, also at €400,000 – confirmed the market’s persistent confidence in Burgundy terroir and mature premium whites. These results paralleled broader trends seen throughout the year with a decisive pivot towards established producers and investment-grade appellations.

Nevertheless, headline auctions hint at fine wine market sentiment at the very top end like DRC and Petrus. They do not reflect the reality of the investment market as a whole. Auction headlines offer pointers to appetite for particular fine wine segments, but data-driven portfolios continue to cultivate the potential for sustainable returns.

Key points

  • Several record-setting fine wine auctions took place in 2025, including a landmark Hospices de Beaune sale.
  • Strong results confirmed appetite for established estates and iconic vintages, but did not reflect the broader market dynamics.
  • A diversified investment portfolio goes beyond the headline-grabbing names to good value alternatives with strong growth potential.

First positive gain for the fine wine market in Q3

The fine wine market started to stabilise in Q3 as global economic sentiment improved and the anticipation of steady rate cuts supported alternative assets. Regions that led this early-stage market equilibrium were Champagne, the Rhône, notably with Domaine du Vieux Télégraphe, Tuscany, famous Napa wineries in California, and First Growth Bordeaux.

In the final months of the year, these regions continued to show resilience. Scarcity, selectivity, and estate reputation drove returns. This phase is signalling a market that is bottoming out and poised for gradual recovery, offering attractive entry points for medium- to long-term investors.

Key points

  • Fine wine market stabilised in H2 2025.
  • Champagne, the Rhône, Tuscany, California, and Bordeaux showed resilience.
  • This laid the ground for positive market movement.

Bordeaux 2022 dominates critics’ top wine choices

The year neared its end with the 2025 global critic rankings highlighting the fine wine market’s increased diversity. Top choices spanned with Bordeaux, California, Italy, South Africa, Etna, Central Otago, and Beaujolais. Bordeaux 2022 was the star region and vintage as Château Giscours, Château Beau-Séjour Bécot, and Château d’Issan earned top positions from Wine Spectator, Vinous, and James Suckling. The selection bolstered Bordeaux’s market significance despite the challenges the region has been facing. Alongside Bordeaux’s success, Italy and New World regions shone (particularly Californian cult labels and South African wine brands), pointing to a rise in quality across the wine world.

Wine Spectator's top 5 wines 2025

Key points

  • Annual critic ratings featured fine wine regional diversity.
  • Bordeaux 2022 was a leading choice across rankings.
  • Quality in New World wines indicated by the rising number of listings.

2025’s top-performing wines

The strongest performers of 2025 were concentrated in a few key regions. The Rhône dominated with 50% of the top movers, followed by Burgundy (30%), Tuscany (10%), and Sauternes (10%). Château Rayas led the rankings, with two vintages taking the year’s top spots. Rayas prices have been particularly volatile following the passing of Emmanuel Reynaud in November. A similar market reaction occurred after the sudden death of Jacques Reynaud in 1997, whose tenure from 1978 cemented Rayas’ reputation as one of the Rhône’s modern icons.

Momentum extended across the Rhône more broadly. E. Guigal’s Cote Rotie Chateau d’Ampuis  2019 climbed 40%, while Paul Jaboulet Aîné’s Hermitage La Chapelle Rouge 2014 gained 35%.

In Burgundy, DRC La Tache 2018 emerged as the region’s standout, up nearly 37% over the year. Tuscany’s top performer was Soldera Casse Basse, which rose 36% and continues its long-term outperformance. Over the past decade, Soldera prices have risen an exceptional 224% – well ahead of the Super Tuscans.

2025 top-performing wines table

Key points

  • The Rhône dominates the list of 2025’s top-performing wines.
  • Château Rayas prices are rising sharply following the death of Emmanuel Reynaud.
  • Soldera Case Basse is Italy’s top performer of 2025 and continues to outperform the Super Tuscans over the long term.

Q4 2025: recovery precedes diversification 

By the final quarter of 2025, the fine wine market had begun to emerge from its most prolonged downturn in over a decade. The recovery remains uneven and cannot yet be described as a full rebound. However, underlying indicators suggest that the foundations for 2026 are firmer than at any point since the correction began.

Prices have stabilised, liquidity has improved, and several leading brands have now posted consistent monthly gains. Importantly, the early recovery has been measured rather than speculative, encouraging renewed participation from both private collectors and wealth managers.

Brand-level movements in late 2025 reinforced this early momentum. Many of the world’s most recognisable estates – across Bordeaux, Champagne, and the Rhône – posted modest but steady price increases, while over half of the most traded wines globally, finished November in the positive territory. A handful of standout performers, including top Bordeaux châteaux, iconic Rhône bottlings, and prestige cuvée Champagnes, delivered some of the strongest month-on-month rises seen all year. Not every segment moved uniformly: a number of cult California and Piedmont labels continued to ease back, underlining that different regions and vintages are still finding their floors at different times. The picture is stabilising, but it remains nuanced.

This complexity will define the transition into 2026. Investors should expect a market composed of multiple micro-cycles, where pricing floors and recovery curves vary by region, style, and vintage. 

Key points

  • Q4 2025 saw stabilising prices and improved liquidity after the longest downturn in over a decade.
  • Over half of the most actively traded wines posted gains in November 2025.
  • Recovery remains uneven, with different regions and vintages finding pricing floors at different times.

Looking ahead to 2026

Looking ahead, diversity is likely to shape the next stage of recovery. As fine wine continued to evolve from into a mainstream portfolio tool, investors will broaden their focus beyond the blue-chips. This shift is supported by the industry’s accelerated modernisation. Expanded global distribution networks, higher transparency, sustainability initiatives, and improved data access are making fine wine more accessible. The sector still faces an image challenge, but meaningful innovation is helping to reshape perceptions.

While a sharp, v-shaped upturn remains unlikely, the groundwork for a slow, sustainable and more widely distributed recovery is now in place. For medium- to long-term investors, 2026 is expected to offer clearer opportunities, improved sentiment, and a more diversified set of growth pathways than the volatile years immediately preceding it.

Key points

  • Broader diversification, stronger branding, and industry modernisation will shape 2026.
  • A steady, sustainable recovery is more likely than a rapid rebound, offering attractive entry points for investors.

FAQs

What were the biggest fine wine investment trends of 2025?
The major themes of 2025 included tariff-driven market volatility, followed by stabilisation in H2. 

Did the fine wine market recover in 2025?
The market began to show early recovery in Q2 and delivered its first positive quarter since 2022 in Q3. Stabilisation strengthened in the second half of the year, although the recovery remains uneven across regions.

Why was 2025 a turning point for the fine wine market?
2025 marked a shift from a three-year downturn to early signs of renewal. Prices stabilised, liquidity improved, younger investors increased their participation, and strong critic support helped reinforce confidence in key regions.

Are US tariffs likely to continue impacting fine wine prices in 2026?
Tariffs remain a key factor to watch, but the market proved resilient in 2025. Wealth managers in both the UK and US still view fine wine as a strong inflation-resistant and diversification asset.

Which wines performed best in 2025?
The Rhône led performance, accounting for around 50% of the year’s top movers, followed by Burgundy, Tuscany and Sauternes. 

Why did Château Rayas prices surge in 2025?
Prices were highly reactive to the passing of Emmanuel Reynaud in November. This echoed the sharp price movements seen after Jacques Reynaud’s sudden death in 1997.

Which regions are expected to lead the 2026 recovery?
Champagne, Tuscany, Napa Valley, the Rhône and top-tier Bordeaux appear to be the clearest candidates for early momentum.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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How long should you hold your wine investment?

  • Fine wine investment differs significantly from traditional markets because supply diminishes with time.
  • Holding periods determine whether an investor benefits from liquidity windows, maturity or scarcity premiums.
  • Investors should not expect uniform results across all wines or timeframes.

When it comes to fine wine investment, most discussions focus on the what: which wines, which vintages, which regions. Equally critical, but less often addressed, is the when: how long you hold your investment.

Holding periods can dramatically shape your returns, mitigate risks, and define your overall strategy. Unlike equities or bonds, fine wine is both a physical asset and a cultural commodity, with unique cycles of demand and consumption. Understanding how time interacts with these cycles is essential for building a resilient portfolio.

Why holding periods matter in wine investment

Fine wine investment differs from traditional markets in one key respect: supply diminishes over time. Bottles are uncorked and consumed, which means that scarcity increases naturally as years pass. At the same time, the wines themselves evolve in bottle, often improving in complexity and desirability. This dual dynamic of shrinking availability and increasing quality drives long-term price appreciation.

However, investors cannot expect uniform results across all wines or timeframes. Some wines appreciate rapidly within a few years, while others demand decades of patience. Holding periods determine whether an investor benefits from:

  • Liquidity windows – when supply and demand align to create strong secondary market interest.
  • Maturity premiums – when wines are at or approaching their drinking peak.
  • Scarcity premiums – when older vintages are nearly impossible to source.

Short-term wine investment holds (1–3 years): Potential high gains?

Short-term holding in fine wine is less common but not without opportunity. Investors might target wines with clear catalysts for appreciation in the near future:

  • Critical acclaim: A 100-point score from leading critics such as Robert Parker, Neal Martin, or Antonio Galloni can trigger immediate demand.
  • Market cycles and estate events: Certain vintages or regions may benefit from renewed attention during En Primeur campaigns or La Place de Bordeaux releases. Similarly, external factors such as a change of ownership, the passing of a renowned winemaker, or a significant new investment in the estate can act as a catalyst. These events often lead to brand repositioning and higher release prices for new vintages, which in turn push up the value of older vintages as buyers seek relative value.
  • Macro-drivers: Currency fluctuations, tariff shifts or geopolitical events can create short-term arbitrage opportunities.

That said, short-term holds may carry higher volatility. Transaction costs – storage, insurance, brokerage fees – also eat more heavily into returns when compounded over only a few years. As a result, short-term trading tends to suit sophisticated investors with high market awareness rather than long-term collectors.

Medium-term wine investment holds (5–10 years): The sweet spot?

The medium-term horizon is often considered the sweet spot for many wine investors. This is when:

  • Wines mature: Many Bordeaux, Burgundy, and Champagne houses see optimal secondary market demand when their wines are 5–10 years post-vintage. At this stage, they have begun to show character but remain relatively youthful, making them appealing to both collectors and drinkers.
  • Supply drops: The first wave of consumption removes weaker hands from the market, while professional storage ensures the surviving bottles command a premium.
  • Liquidity is strong: Buyers – both private and institutional – seek wines that are ready-to-drink but still have substantial cellaring potential.

This period allows investors to capture meaningful appreciation without committing to decades of illiquidity. For many, the medium-term strategy provides a balance of growth potential and portfolio flexibility.

Long-term wine investment holds (10–20+ years): Scarcity and compounding value?

For truly iconic wines, long-term holding unlocks the greatest rewards. Scarcity compounds dramatically after 15–20 years, and mature bottles often become the centrepiece of collectors’ cellars. Wines that especially benefit from this approach include:

  • First Growth Bordeaux: Château Lafite, Latour, and Margaux often reach their full secondary market potential decades after release.
  • Grand Cru Burgundy: Producers like Domaine de la Romanée-Conti or Armand Rousseau are prized for aged expressions, which are scarce even at release.
  • Prestige Champagne: Top cuvées such as Krug or Salon are often held back by maisons themselves, releasing older vintages at a premium.

The trade-off is clear: long-term holding requires patience, optimal storage, and careful insurance. Illiquidity can become an issue if capital is needed suddenly. However, for investors with a multi-decade outlook, these holds can deliver extraordinary compounding returns – often well outperforming traditional assets.

Factors that impact value over time

Not all wines follow the same trajectory. Determining how long to hold depends on a mix of factors:

  1. Region and style
    • Bordeaux and Napa Cabernet: typically longer arcs, rewarding 10–20+ years.
    • Burgundy Pinot Noir: often peaks earlier (7–15 years), though the best can go much longer.
    • Champagne: prestige cuvées benefit from extended ageing, while non-vintage wines are less suited to investment.
  2. Producer reputation
    Iconic names command steady demand across all stages, while lesser-known producers may see sharper peaks tied to critical acclaim.
  3. Vintage quality
    Strong vintages (e.g., Bordeaux 2000, Champagne 2008) often sustain demand longer, while weaker vintages may peak quickly.
  4. Critic scores and re-releases
    A re-rating or late-release program can extend or shift the ideal holding window.
  5. Market conditions
    Global economic health, currency exchange rates, and tariffs can all affect when it’s most profitable to sell.

Risks of mistimed holding

Holding periods are not without risk. Selling too early can mean missing out on peak premiums. Selling too late risks encountering diminishing returns as wines pass their drinking window. Additionally, improper storage can compromise value, no matter the holding period. There are also liquidity risks: Even top wines may face temporary illiquidity in weak markets.
This is why professional portfolio management and exit planning are critical in fine wine investment.

Practical guidance for wine investors

  1. Diversify holding periods: Mix short, medium, and long-term positions across your portfolio. This smooths out returns and provides liquidity when needed.
  2. Match horizon to goals: If you expect to need capital in five years, avoid exclusively long-term wines.
  3. Work with data: Tools like Wine Track can help identify optimal exit windows by tracking price curves and critic sentiment.
  4. Reassess regularly: Market conditions evolve. A wine planned for long-term holding may benefit from earlier exit if demand spikes unexpectedly.

In fine wine investment, holding periods are the mechanism by which wine transforms from a consumable product into an appreciating asset. Short-term traders may profit from timing and market-driven gains, medium-term investors enjoy liquidity and strong demand, and long-term holders benefit from scarcity-driven premiums.

The best approach often combines all three, balancing risk and opportunity across different time horizons. With the right strategy, time becomes your most powerful ally – quietly compounding value as the bottles rest in the cellar.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q3 2025 Fine Wine Report

In our Q3 summary of the fine wine market we look at how the global economic landscape is shaping investment strategies, the road to recovery in fine wine, and the best-performing regions and wines so far this year. Read on for more on Lafleur’s recent classification withdrawal, the autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign, and other industry-defining trends.

Executive summary

  • Market backdrop strengthens: Global equities advanced in Q3 amid optimism for gradual rate cuts and corporate earnings. Improving sentiment and policy clarity provided a firmer foundation for alternative assets, including fine wine.
  • Fine wine stabilises: After two years of correction, the fine wine market showed early signs of recovery. The Liv-ex 100 posted its first quarterly gain since the downturn began.
  • Regional divergence narrows: Champagne, Rhône, and Italy led the quarter, while Bordeaux and Burgundy also showed improvements; evidence of a maturing market phase approaching equilibrium.
  • Selectivity drives returns: The best performing wines came from overlooked vintages, particularly Bordeaux 2013/2014, alongside Rhône’s consistent value names and global icons such as DRC and Screaming Eagle.
  • La Place campaign underwhelms: The autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign failed to shift market momentum. Demand remained subdued as release prices offered limited value versus back vintages in most cases.
  • News – Lafleur withdraws from Pomerol AOC: In a significant development, Château Lafleur announced its withdrawal from the Pomerol AOC, citing the need for greater viticultural flexibility in response to climate change. We explore how this might affect its market performance.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Market optimism sets the stage for fine wine stability

Global markets rallied through Q3 2025, driven by renewed optimism over growth and the prospect of gradual rate cuts, even as inflation proved sticky. US equities extended record highs, powered by strong earnings and ongoing enthusiasm for AI-related sectors, while Europe delivered mixed results amid weak German data but resilience in France and the UK. Gold surged as investors sought safety from lingering geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties linked to US tariff policy. Bond markets posted modest gains as central banks maintained a cautious stance. Overall, investor sentiment steadied following a turbulent first half, with risk appetite supported by policy optimism and improving economic data, creating a firmer backdrop for alternative assets, such as fine wine, heading into Q4.

Fine wine market starts to turn

Signs of stability continued to build across the fine wine market in Q3, reinforcing the gradual improvement noted in our Q2 Fine Wine Report. After two years of consistent decline, several regional indices turned positive over the quarter. Five of the Liv-ex regional indices rose in August and September, and for the first time in three years, the Liv-ex 50, which tracks the prices of the Bordeaux First Growths, experienced monthly growth.

Broader market measures also improved. The Liv-ex 100 rose 1.1% in September, and the bid:offer ratio – a key gauge of demand relative to supply – reached 0.70, its highest level since April 2023. This sustained rise suggests buyers are gradually re-entering the market, drawn by attractive pricing and renewed confidence following a prolonged correction. While it is too early to call a full recovery, these movements point to a maturing phase of the downturn where value-seeking activity replaces reactive selling. 

La Place autumn campaign fails to shift momentum

A key event of the third quarter every year is the La Place de Bordeaux autumn campaign, which saw the release of over 130 wines from around the globe in September. However, in 2025, the campaign did little to shift momentum. New releases that did not offer value in the context of back vintages available in the market largely fell short, and demand was tepid even for the traditionally most sought-after labels like Opus One, Masseto, Ornellaia, Solaia and Penfolds. Tariff uncertainty, oversupply and general market cautiousness were a structural drag. Unless prices and allocation discipline improve, the campaign is likely to continue to alienate buyers.

Mainstream markets lead Q3; fine wine re-emerges

Global equities posted solid gains in Q3, buoyed by growing optimism around prospective interest-rate cuts and resilient corporate earnings. While mainstream markets outpaced most alternatives, select segments of the alternative asset universe – particularly private credit and real assets – showed signs of resilience. Fine wine also staged a modest recovery.

The Liv-ex 100 Index, which tracks the performance of the most sought-after investment-grade wines, recorded its first quarterly gain since the market downturn began, rising 0.4% over the quarter. Losses in July and August were offset by a 1.1% rebound in September, signalling renewed confidence. The broader Liv-ex 1000 Index slipped 0.5% over Q3, though it, too, recovered 0.4% in September, suggesting stabilisation across a wider basket of fine wines.

Meanwhile, the First Growths Index – a barometer for Bordeaux’s top estates – rose 0.7% in September but remained 0.7% lower for the quarter overall, reflecting the uneven pace of recovery across regions and price tiers. Nonetheless, after several quarters of decline, Q3 marked a turning point where fine wine once again began to move in step with the broader risk-on sentiment seen in global markets.

Fine wine vs mainstream markets

Regional fine wine performance in Q3

Regional fine wine indices displayed a mixed picture in Q3, but the pace of decline eased, and several categories began to rise. The Liv-ex 1000 ended the quarter 0.6% lower, yet September brought a broad uptick across most regions – an encouraging sign after months of subdued activity.

Champagne held its ground best, maintaining near-flat performance over the quarter and retaining its position as one of the most resilient categories in 2025. The region benefited from increased demand from Asia and the US. The Rhone 100 also improved modestly, ending Q3 just above its Q2 level as buyers continued to favour regions offering relative value.

Italy (0.4%) and the Rest of the World 60 (0.3%) both saw small gains in Q3, hinting at early signs of renewed confidence beyond the traditional strongholds of Bordeaux and Burgundy, which fell in Q3.

Regional fine wine performance 2025

The Bordeaux 500 declined 1.7%, while the Bordeaux Legends 40 dipped just 0.6%, as mature Bordeaux continued to attract active buyers. However, of the six Bordeaux sub-indices, three went up in September – those measuring the performance of the First Growths, their Second Wines, and the top 100 wines from the Right Bank. Burgundy prices softened slightly, down 0.2%, but its top wines remained among the most robust performers since the 2022 peak.

The combination of improving sentiment, selective buying, and greater market stability suggests that regional fine wine prices may be nearing their floor, setting the stage for a more balanced close to 2025.

The best performing wines so far in 2025

Even in a broadly subdued market, 2025 has shown that fine wine remains a story of selectivity and scarcity. A handful of standout wines have delivered strong double-digit returns, proving that, even during correction phases, the right names and vintages can outperform significantly.

The spread between the top-performing fine wines (+18% on average) and the Liv-ex 1000’s broad decline year-to-date (around -4.7%) highlights exactly why selection is paramount.

Best performing wines 2025 table

Three key themes stand out among the top-performing wines in 2025 year-to-date:

  • ‘Off’ vintage Bordeaux is back in vogue

Wines from cooler or once-overlooked vintages – such as Bordeaux 2013 and 2014 – have led the pack. Collectors appear increasingly willing to reward finesse, drinkability, and scarcity over hype, with Château Les Carmes Haut-Brion (+38.2%) and Château Beychevelle (+22.2%) exemplifying this trend.

 

  • The Rhône’s value overdelivers

Rhône wines continued to prove their value credentials. Vieux Télégraphe’s 2020 and 2021 vintages and Jaboulet’s La Chapelle 2014 all posted impressive gains, driven by limited production, consistent critical endorsement, and comparatively attractive pricing.

 

  • Scarcity runs the market

At the very top end, scarcity remains the strongest currency. Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, and Screaming Eagle demonstrated that rare, blue-chip wines continue to attract capital regardless of broader sentiment.

 

Investors focusing on authenticity, producer pedigree, and under-appreciated vintages have outperformed the broader market, suggesting that quality and insight remain the keys to long-term success.

Q3 releases: Spotlight on Taittinger Comtes de Champagne 2014

Champagne has proven one of the most resilient categories in 2025, with the Champagne 50 Index outperforming most regional peers in Q3 (up 0.3%). The region is also enjoying renewed global demand as buyers take advantage of the attractive price levels post its 2022 peak. Within this steadying landscape, Champagne house Taittinger released the 2014 vintage of its Comtes de Champagne.

Awarded 97 points by both Yohan Castaing (The Wine Advocate) and Antonio Galloni (Vinous), it ranks among the highest-rated Comtes vintages ever – and Galloni notably compared it to the legendary 2008, which trades at a nearly 40% premium.

The 2014 release also carries historical significance. As the last truly cool-climate vintage in Champagne, it represents a stylistic milestone unlikely to be replicated amid the region’s ongoing warming trend – a factor that enhances its long-term collectability.

From an investment perspective, Comtes has been a quiet outperformer. The Taittinger Comtes de Champagne index has risen steadily over the past decade, outpacing both Dom Pérignon and Louis Roederer Cristal during the bull market of 2020–2023, and showing notable price stability throughout 2025.

‘Taittinger consistently stands out as one of the best values among top-tier Champagnes, frequently outperforming many other Grand Marques tête-de-cuvée offerings.’
– Yohan Castaing, The Wine Advocate

Taittinger Champagne index

Market snapshot

  • 2014 Release price: £1,190 per 12×75
  • Critic scores: 97 points (Vinous, The Wine Advocate)
  • Ranking: 62nd in the 2024 Liv-ex Power 100 (up nine places year-on-year)

With exceptional critic consensus, proven secondary market demand, and a price point that remains competitive, the 2014 Taittinger Comtes de Champagne exemplifies why the region continues to attract buyers, whether for enjoyment or investment. 

Q3 Fine wine news: Lafleur withdraws from Pomerol AOC

In August, Château Lafleur confirmed that from the 2025 vintage onward, its wines will no longer carry the Pomerol AOC designation, instead being labeled Vin de France. The decision extends across the Guinaudeau family’s portfolio, including Les Pensées, Les Perrières, and Grand Village.

The estate cited the need for greater viticultural flexibility in the face of accelerating climate change. In correspondence with trade partners, the Guinaudeau family wrote: ‘Climate is changing fast and hard… We must think, readapt, act.’ 

The withdrawal allows Lafleur to implement adaptive farming methods not currently authorised under the appellation’s 1936 regulations, such as controlled irrigation, soil covering to reduce evaporation, canopy shading, and adjusted planting density. 

Lafleur’s independence enables it to act without the procedural delays that constrain larger or corporate-owned estates. The move is consistent with its reputation for long-term thinking and precision farming, aligning vineyard practice more closely with environmental reality.

Market context

Historically, classification changes in Bordeaux have affected perception and pricing. The 2012 promotions of Pavie and Angélus within Saint-Émilion’s hierarchy, for instance, coincided with rapid market repricing, even though the wines themselves did not change. Lafleur’s withdrawal represents the opposite: the relinquishment of an appellation name rather than an elevation within it.

Pavie vs angelus wine performance

In the short term, pricing impact is likely to be neutral, as Lafleur’s identity and market position are defined by brand equity rather than by appellation. The château’s production is limited, its critical reputation exceptional, and its collector base highly stable. Over time, however, label differentiation could influence liquidity and buyer psychology, particularly between the final ‘Pomerol’ labelled vintages and the inaugural ‘Vin de France’ release, both of which may acquire added significance in secondary trading.

Performance and relative strength

Over the past decade, Lafleur’s secondary market performance has outpaced that of both the First Growths and its Right Bank peers, Pavie and Angélus. Despite the broader Bordeaux market correction since 2022, Lafleur has retained a significant premium, perhaps reflecting scarcity and confidence in the Guinaudeau family’s brand.

Lafleur fine wine performance

Should the transition to ‘Vin de France’ labelling prove commercially seamless, the move could even enhance Lafleur’s individuality, reinforcing its cult status as a technically driven, terroir-first estate. 

All in all, Lafleur’s withdrawal prompts a broader structural question for Bordeaux: how the appellation system adapts to climate change through balancing regional reputation with innovation arising from global-warming challenges. For Lafleur, the decision appears evolutionary rather than disruptive, designed to preserve vineyard resilience and wine quality in a shifting climate.

If Lafleur’s performance continues to mirror its past decade – where brand identity outweighed classification – this change may ultimately serve to strengthen, rather than dilute, its market position.

Q3 summary and a look ahead to Q4

The third quarter of 2025 marked a transition phase for the fine wine market. With mainstream assets recovering and investor sentiment stabilising, fine wine has begun to re-establish its footing after a protracted two-year downturn. Indicators such as the rising bid:offer ratio and renewed regional resilience point toward a more balanced market environment heading into Q4. Price declines have largely moderated, and value-seeking capital is returning, particularly to regions offering long-term quality at attractive entry points.

Looking ahead, the key drivers of performance will continue to be scarcity, selectivity, and producer reputation. Top estates with disciplined production, strong brand equity, and adaptability are well-positioned to outperform as the market moves toward recovery. As Q3 showed, the correction appears to have reached maturity; the next phase is likely to be characterised by gradual re-pricing, focused accumulation, and renewed confidence in fine wine as a stable, long-term asset.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Q2 2025 Fine Wine Report

Explore key trends in the Q2 2025 Fine Wine Market Report – from Trump’s proposed tariffs to Bordeaux En Primeur 2024, index performance, and standout wines like Chave Hermitage and Screaming Eagle. Discover where value and stability are emerging.

Executive summary

  • Trump’s proposed tariffs dominated headlines, yet the delayed implementation gave markets breathing room.
  • The Liv-ex 100 index declined 3% in Q2 but showed signs of levelling off by quarter-end.
  • Bordeaux En Primeur 2024 was met with weak demand driven by oversupply and collector preference for mature vintages.
  • Regional performance diverged, with Bordeaux and Burgundy leading declines, while Champagne showed signs of stabilisation.
  • Top-performing wines defied broader market trends, with double-digit gains from names like Chave Hermitage 2021, Château d’Yquem 2014, and Screaming Eagle 2012.
  • Fine wine remains in a correction phase, but select names, regions, and vintages continue to offer compelling investment opportunities.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Global markets adjust as tariff volatility eases

President Trump’s revival of protectionist trade policies set the tone for global markets in Q2. From January to April, the average U.S. tariff rate on imported goods like cars, steel, and aluminium surged from 2.5% to a century-high 27%, before easing to 15.8% in June.

While the March tariff threat initially triggered sharp volatility, the fallout was relatively short-lived. Early April brought a brief dip into bear territory for the S&P 500 on tariff fears. But with policy pauses and stronger-than-expected earnings – 78% of S&P companies beat forecasts – investor confidence returned. Equities in Europe and Asia rallied as well, with the FTSE 100 testing new highs. Corporate investment, especially in AI, remained robust despite political and fiscal uncertainty. 

This broader resilience helped buoy alternative assets like fine wine. While less liquid than stocks, fine wine saw continued interest from long-term investors. Crucially, there was no evidence of panic selling – a sign of confidence in the asset class’s underlying stability.

Telling signs of stability in the fine wine investment market

The pace of fine wine price declines slowed in the second half of the second quarter, although the market is not yet in full recovery mode. On average, fine wine prices as measured by the Liv-ex 100 index, dipped 3% in Q2 2025. The index has been in a freefall since September 2022, seeing only five minor upticks during this time. Meanwhile, the Liv-ex 50, which tracks the performance of the Bordeaux First Growth, has been in a consistent decline during the last 33 months.  

Still, the recent falls have been less pronounced, and prices for many of the index component wines have maintained their new levels without falling further. The market seems to be adjusting to the new environment, with participants showing greater acceptance of the status quo and reduced sensitivity to geopolitical noise. In Q2, demand even began to resurface, particularly from Asia, which has been notoriously quiet, and the U.S., which had initially retreated due to tariff fears.

Muted demand for Bordeaux En Primeur 2024 as market shifts for mature wines

With the market still absorbing past vintages and saturation setting in, enthusiasm for Bordeaux En Primeur 2024 was notably subdued. Despite reduced release prices, the wines often failed to offer compelling quality or value when compared to older vintages readily available on the secondary market.

Bordeaux’s structural challenges persist. Negociants remain overstocked and weighed down by rising bank interest, while many merchants lack the appetite or capital to buy for stock. Meanwhile, the once-crucial Chinese market remains largely dormant.

This muted campaign reflects a broader shift in buyer behaviour. Demand has tilted decisively toward mature wines with a track record of quality and drinkability. While the short-term appeal of buying young futures has faded for now, Bordeaux’s reputation for ageability and long-term value endures.

Fine wine vs mainstream markets in H1 2025

Fine wine vs mainstream markets

While mainstream equity markets swung between bear and bull phases in Q2, the fine wine market charted a notably more stable path. Fine wine prices declined modestly over the period, but without the sharp drops or rallies seen in the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial, or FTSE 100. The contrast, seen in the chart above, reinforces fine wine’s reputation as a lower-volatility asset during times of heightened macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Importantly, this steady decline was not marked by panic selling or dramatic shifts. This reflects the market’s structural differences: lower liquidity, longer holding periods, and a collector-investor base that prioritises wealth preservation over short-term trading.

Moreover, beneath the surface, outliers and outperformers remain. Read on to discover where relative value has emerged, and which regions and producers have shown resilience – or even strength – so far this year.

Regional fine wine performance: year-to-date trends

The first half of 2025 has revealed consistent pressure across nearly all fine wine indices, with no region posting growth year-to-date. Yet the degree of decline varies.

Liv-ex fine wine regional indices

Bordeaux and Burgundy lead declines (-5.6%)

Both the Liv-ex Bordeaux 500 and Burgundy 150 have posted the steepest year-to-date losses among the major indices, each down 5.6%. For Bordeaux, this reflects tepid interest in younger vintages and a sluggish En Primeur campaign, coupled with a lack of support from Asia. Burgundy continues to correct from previous pricing spikes, as buyers recalibrate in search of better relative value.

Auction results defy the indices

While Bordeaux and Burgundy’s regional indices posted year-to-date declines of -5.6%, recent auction results tell a different story at the very top end of the market.

In June 2025, Christie’s held a landmark sale of the personal wine collection of billionaire collector Bill Koch, generating a record-breaking $28.8 million over three days. The sale drew global participation and intense bidding across 1,500 lots, each of which was sold. The standout was a 1999 Romanée-Conti Methuselah, which fetched an eye-catching $275,000.

The collection featured rare Bordeaux and Burgundy – the very categories currently under pressure in secondary market indices – yet buyer appetite was strong, and prices exceeded estimates across multiple lots.

Champagne shows relative stability

The Champagne 50 has held up better than most, down just 4.9% year-to-date, and was the only region to show positive month-on-month growth in June (+0.8%). While the broader category has cooled after a strong run, interest in top names remains, especially among collectors focused on prestige and scarcity. Indeed, many of Champagne’s top brands now represent the best entry point into the region in years. Prices have stabilised, and there are signs they will not fall any further, but might start to rise again. 

Broader weakness across other regions

  • Rest of the World 60 is down 5.0%, showing soft demand beyond the mainstay regions.
  • California 50, also down 5.6%, mirrors this trend and highlights ongoing sensitivity to U.S. economic and tariff concerns.
  • Italy 100 has dropped 3.3%, suggesting a more measured pullback, consistent with the region’s reputation for offering value and dependable quality.
  • Bordeaux Legends 40 and Rhone 100 are holding up best, with declines of only 2.6% and 2.5% respectively. This speaks to market confidence in mature Bordeaux and Rhône’s reputation for steady, value-driven performance.

best performing wine regions half 1 2025

As the fine wine market works through broader corrections, defensive regions – particularly Rhône and mature Bordeaux – are outperforming, while Burgundy and California remain under pressure. Champagne’s recent bounce may signal early signs of selective recovery. For investors, opportunities may lie in regions demonstrating resilience rather than those still working through valuation resets.

The best-performing wines so far this year

best performing wines half 1 2025

Despite broad declines across regional indices, a select group of wines delivered standout returns in H1 2025, highlighting the importance of producer reputation, scarcity, and vintage specificity in fine wine performance.

The Rhône leads driven by Chave

The top-performing wine was Domaine Jean Louis Chave’s 2021 Hermitage Rouge, which rose +36.8% in the first half of the year. This outperformance stands in stark contrast to the overall Rhône 100 index, which declined 2.5%. Over the last decade, prices for the brand are up 127% (compare its performance to other market benchmarks on Wine Track).

Domaine Jean Louis Chave Hermitage

Château d’Yquem 2014 and Château Suduiraut 2016 returned 25.7% and 23.9% respectively, bucking the downward trend in Sauternes. On a brand level, Yquem has risen 7% in the last six months and 3% in Q2; Suduiraut is up 11% in H1 2025. These results signal renewed collector appetite for premium dessert wines – particularly in top vintages where quality and longevity are indisputable – yet prices remain relatively low.

Prestige investment opportunities in Napa and Champagne 

The California 50 index fell 5.6%, but iconic Napa cult wine Screaming Eagle 2012 rose 24.4%, affirming the strength of globally recognised, ultra-luxury labels. Indeed, average prices for the brand rose 5% in H1 2025. Similarly, Pol Roger Sir Winston Churchill 2015 posted a 24.4% gain, demonstrating that top-tier Champagne continues to attract collectors even as the Champagne 50 index overall declined.

Burgundy and Tuscany standouts reinforce blue-chip strategies

Despite Burgundy’s broader correction, DRC’s La Tâche 2020 and Clos de Tart 2013 delivered 24.5% and 18.1% returns respectively. These names remain benchmarks of rarity and prestige. Meanwhile, Soldera Case Basse 2018 gained 14.3%, pointing to sustained momentum behind top Italian producers. In Q2 alone, prices for the Tuscan premium brand are up 11%; in H1, 16%. 

Soldera Montalcino fine wine performance

Investor takeaways

  • Market-wide declines don’t mean universal losses. Select wines not only held value but also delivered double-digit returns.
  • Rarity and recognisability remain key drivers. Names like Chave, Yquem, Screaming Eagle, and DRC continue to offer portfolio resilience.
  • Smart vintage selection pays. Wines from underappreciated years – like Canon 2014 – produced outsized gains relative to their pricing base.
  • Dessert wines are back on the radar. Contrarian plays in Sauternes may offer continued upside in H2 2025.

Brands to watch

Signs of a Champagne revival

After being the fine wine market’s standout performer in 2022, Champagne experienced one of the sharpest pullbacks during the broader market correction of 2023–2024. However, signals suggest the tide may now be turning again.

From peak to pause: A market in transition

Prices across the Champagne sector have fallen significantly from their highs, but the sell-off appears to have run its course. June marked a notable shift: Champagne was the first regional index to post positive month-on-month growth, rising +0.8%, a potential inflexion point after months of stagnation.

More importantly, price stability has returned. The sector’s recent performance suggests we may be entering a new phase of the Champagne investment cycle, where prices consolidate before a potential recovery.

Market data signals stabilisation

To test this trend, we analysed the 10 most recent vintages of the five most-searched “Grand Marque” Champagnes:

Of these 50 individual wines,

  • 43 have resisted their price declines,
  • 40 have remained stable for at least six months,
  • the indexes aggregating their vintages confirm this plateau.

Champagne fine wine indices

Notably, Dom Pérignon has shown the earliest and most sustained stabilisation, with its index bottoming out in November 2024. Krug Vintage and Taittinger Comtes de Champagne are the most recent to enter this stable phase, suggesting broader alignment across the category.

A new phase for Champagne?

This pattern of index symmetry and brand-level stabilisation is a clear signal that Champagne may be transitioning from correction to consolidation. Investor sentiment appears to be catching up to underlying fundamentals, with many of Champagne’s leading brands now offering compelling re-entry points. Liv-ex market share data supports this trend:year-to-date, Champagne has taken 12.4% of the market by value, up from an annual 2024 average of 11.8%, signalling that demand is returning. 

If this trend holds, Champagne could become one of the first major regions to re-enter positive growth territory, supported by brand power, vintage scarcity, and collector loyalty.

Q3 2025 market outlook: A pause before the pulse?

The third quarter – traditionally the quietest in the fine wine calendar – arrives amid a tentative calm. Following the volatility of Q2, Q3 is shaping up to be more subdued but not without potential catalysts.

Tariff watch

President Trump’s planned tariffs, originally slated for Q2, have now been delayed until August 1st. Markets have so far responded with a muted shrug, suggesting either tariff fatigue or confidence that negotiations may temper the final impact. But the uncertainty remains a live wire: should enforcement proceed, volatility could resurface late in the quarter. For now, however, investors appear cautiously indifferent.

La Place de Bordeaux’s autumn window

With the Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign having underwhelmed, attention now turns to La Place de Bordeaux’s autumn campaign. This presents a rare chance for standout producers from around the world to seize attention, particularly those releasing back vintages or special bottlings. A well-priced, tightly-curated campaign could reignite interest and provide pockets of momentum in an otherwise quiet market.

Rest of the World builds buzz

As traditional strongholds like Bordeaux and Burgundy continue to correct or stagnate, Rest of the World wines are beginning to command more attention. California, Tuscany, and Rhône producers featured prominently among H1’s top performers, and collectors may increasingly look to these regions for value, scarcity, and differentiation in the second half of the year.

A stable market… but will it rise?

Fine wine’s reputation for stability held firm in H1, avoiding the sharp swings seen in equities. The question now is whether this stability will give way to price appreciation. While some wines are poised to rise, we expect the broader market to remain sluggish through the summer. Liquidity typically thins in July and August, and the broader mood is unlikely to shift meaningfully until September.

What to watch

  • Tariff developments post-August 1st
  • Autumn releases on La Place, especially non-Bordeaux
  • Top Champagne brands starting to rise in value
  • Collector appetite for emerging regional stars
  • Signs of rotation from defensive to opportunistic buying behaviour

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Bordeaux wine labels: role in wine investment?

Alongside ‘provenance’, ‘scarcity’, and ‘vintage’, another key influence on wine investment potential is ‘producer and brand reputation’. These words encompass tradition, track record, trust, and market recognition, and there’s little that more instantly communicates these features than a wine label.

WineCap spoke with prestigious Bordeaux châteaux and learned about the importance of connection to heritage behind the vast array of wine labels found in the leading wine investment region.

  • Classic châteaux images inspire confidence with age-old legacy.
  • Colour is a strong signal of recognisable brand association.
  • Historic tales showcase links to the region’s heritage.

Classic Left-bank style: Château Margaux, First Growth

One label that has barely altered over time is that of Château Margaux. Displaying an image of the house’s legendary neo-classical château, after rebranding in recent years, the label’s font harks back to the style used by the estate in the late 1800s

Philippe Bascaules, managing director, commented to WineCap on the pedigree of the overall design and the value of immediate recognition. ‘The label of the bottle of Château Margaux is very old. It was designed at the beginning of the 19th century. It’s just the image of the château, which became our logo. I think it’s probably one of the most famous wine labels.’

Regal opulence, eastern allure: Château Ducru-Beaucaillou, Second Growth

Combining Western and Eastern finesse, the label of Château Ducru-Beaucaillou displays an oblique line illustration of the majestic estate set against a luxuriant golden-hued backdrop.

‘This label was created by the Johnstons, who owned the estate at the end of the 19th century, and, except for only slight changes, it has never changed,’ Bruno Borie, co-owner and manager of the Sant-Julien château, told WineCap. ‘It has always been this beautiful yellow, orange, and gold. I think the inspiration was the Venetian Palladian palaces that were painted in this beautiful yellow colour. Also, the late 19th-century Nathaniel Johnston married Princess Mary of Caradja from Istanbul, and she was a princess from a Greek family installed in Turkey who were very close to the sultan. Mary probably introduced this beautiful yellow colour, which was eastern – Orientalism was a style that was very fashionable at the end of the 19th century.’

Borie added that the label’s hue was possibly also influenced by contemporary trade with the Far East. “I don’t know if it was the intention, but I think that they were already shipping to Asia in those days, and gold was the colour of the Chinese Emperor.”

Borie noted the prominence of the house labelling. ‘When you are in front of a shelf or when you are in a restaurant, you immediately recognise that Ducru-Beaucaillou label. It’s a unique label that you need probably half a second to find.’

On the secondary market, the wine’s value has risen 50% over the last decade.

Historic story: Château Beychevelle, Fourth Growth

Breaking from the tradition of displaying a grand Bordeaux estate on the label, Château Beychevelle features an arresting black-and-white illustration of a vessel on a river. The boat is adorned with a griffon-like figurehead that looks ahead confidently as it floats on the calm river waters. Its sail is lowered and bears a cluster of grapes, while a pennant flag flutters gracefully from the mast.

The depiction honours the estate’s 17th-century foundations, when the first Duke of Épernon – a renowned and admired French admiral – owned the Gironde River château. His presence commanded such high regard that ships sailing by on the river would lower their sails in respect. This historic tale inspired both the estate’s emblem and name Beychevelle, from the Gascon phrase ‘Bêcha vêla,’ translating as ‘lower the sails’.

‘You don’t see a building, you don’t see a chateau or a gate, which is very common on wine labels,’ managing director of the Saint-Julien house, Philippe Blanc, told WineCap. ‘You’ve got this white corner cut label with a boat, which is quite rare and is very definitely recognisable as Beychevelle. Some people think the boat is a Viking boat, but it’s not. It’s a local boat going along the River Gironde and lowering its sail to show respect to the Duke.’

Over the past 12 months, the average case price of Chateau Beychevelle has dipped in value by 7%, but in the past 10 years, it has increased by 55%.

Bold and colourful: Château Lafon-Rochet, Fourth Growth

When Saint-Estèphe producer Château Lafon-Rochet transformed the appearance of its buildings from muted grey to vivid colour, the influence extended beyond its premises to its label.

Today, featuring a striking mustard-yellow backdrop, the house’s label displays a front-facing illustration of the elegant château, with diagonal vineyard lines in the foreground adding a sense of dynamism.

‘The label’s colour was inspired by my father,’ said general manager Basile Tesseron. ‘He disliked the grey façade and experimented with painting the château yellow, green, and red – one colour per year.’

In the end, yellow came out on top. ‘In 2000, he decided that if the château would stay yellow, the label should match. It may be bold, but now it’s unmistakably ours.’

The wine investment performance of Lafon-Rochet has been equally unmistakable – up 65% over the last decade, outperforming all the First Growths.

Dignity and blossoms: Château La Conseillante

The elegant grayscale label of Pomeral house, Château La Conseillante, quietly communicates family prestige. It features a shield-shaped emblem carrying the letters “L” and “N” for founder Louis Nicolas, which is framed by intricate, stylised berries and florals.

‘The inspiration is very simple – it’s the original logo of Louis Nicolas,’ general manager Marielle Cazaux told WineCap. ‘In French, we call it the ‘armoirée’.’

The classic design of the label is further enhanced by the bottle’s violet neck foil, which, as Cazaux said, subtly mirrors the floral violet notes often found in wine’s aromas and flavours.

Château La Conseillante prices have seen an increase of 81% over the last ten years.

See also our Bordeaux I Regional Report

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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How fine wine investment attitudes differ in the UK and US

  • UK investors are moving faster than their US counterparts in handing over to a younger, tech-savvy generation, with a sharper decline in ‘very experienced’ participants.
  • US portfolios still allocate more to fine wine on average, reflecting a greater appetite for alternative assets despite similar downward trends in allocation.
  • Both markets are embracing digital tools and AI-driven insights, but the UK appears slightly ahead in integrating fine wine into a broader fintech-enabled investment strategy.

The fine wine investment market in 2025 is experiencing a paradigm shift on both sides of the Atlantic. While the United Kingdom and the United States share many overarching trends like the rise of a younger, tech-savvy investor base and the repositioning of fine wine as a strategic asset, the nuances in their trajectories highlight key cultural, financial, and strategic differences.

A shared generational shift at different paces

Both the UK and US reports depict a clear generational handover in fine wine investment. Baby boomers, once the stalwarts of the market, are selling off holdings accumulated over decades. In their place, a new cohort of Millennial and Gen Z investors is emerging – individuals who see wine less as a consumable luxury and more as a data-driven, alternative investment.

*UK

However, the pace of this transition is more pronounced in the UK. Only 32% of UK investors in 2025 are now classified as ‘very experienced’, a sharp drop from 52% in 2024. In contrast, the US market still holds a stronger base of experienced investors, with 44% falling into that category – a modest decline from 48% in 2024.

*US

This suggests that while the UK is undergoing a more aggressive generational overhaul, the US market remains slightly more anchored in legacy investor behaviors. This could reflect cultural factors, such as the USA’s longer-standing tradition of wine collection, or structural elements like the greater maturity of digital investment platforms in the UK.

Diverging portfolio allocations

In both markets, fine wine is increasingly treated as a complementary asset class rather than a core holding. This shift is evident in declining portfolio allocations. In the UK, the average portfolio allocation to fine wine has dropped from 10.8% in 2024 to 7.8% in 2025. US investors have larger allocations overall, which have still declined from 13% to 10.7% on average year-on-year.

While both reductions are linked to recent price corrections and broader diversification strategies, the US still shows a greater willingness to commit higher portions of wealth to fine wine. Notably, 40% of US investors still allocate 11–20% of their portfolio to wine, compared to 18% in the UK.

This discrepancy may be driven by different attitudes toward risk, or a reflection of the US investor’s broader enthusiasm for alternatives – including crypto, art, and collectibles – where fine wine fits comfortably into a high-yield mindset.

Technology and the new investor toolkit

One unifying force across both markets is the use of AI, data analytics, and digital platforms. The new generation of investors is not relying on intuition; they’re using dashboards, price trends, and machine learning models to inform their trades.

*UK

This transformation is blurring the line between emotional and analytical investment, enabling fine wine to shed its image as a passion-led endeavor and gain legitimacy as a financial tool. However, the UK appears slightly more mature in this regard, perhaps due to a tighter integration between fintech and alternative asset platforms.

*US

Market sentiment: recalibration, not retreat

Despite recent price softening, neither the UK nor US market is retreating. Instead, both are recalibrating. Experienced investors are taking profits, newer investors are entering at lower price points, and portfolio managers are redefining what role wine should play – most now agree it’s a diversifier, not a pillar.

Crucially, both markets anticipate that today’s corrections will lay the groundwork for tomorrow’s gains. Historically, fine wine has shown resilience and rebound capacity. The current dip may ultimately broaden participation and enhance long-term sustainability.

Two markets, one destination

The UK and US fine wine investment landscapes are converging in vision, yet diverging in pace and personality. The UK is evolving faster – more volatility-tolerant, more digitally advanced, and more dynamic in reallocating portfolios. The US, by contrast, remains a more anchored, cautiously progressive market, with higher average allocations but slower risk adoption.

Yet both markets are ultimately moving toward the same future: a fine wine investment world that is younger, smarter, more inclusive, and increasingly strategic.

As fine wine sheds its elitist past and embraces a tech-enabled future, investors on both sides of the Atlantic recognise fine wine’s growing potential.

Looking for more? See also: 

WineCap Wealth Report 2025: UK Edition

WineCap Wealth Report 2025: US Edition

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What makes a great vintage?

  • Grape quality and winemaking are central to vintage calibre.
  • The importance of the vintage varies according to the region.
  • An ‘average’ vintage can also increase in value.

‘A year of extremes’, ‘good yields’, ‘a cool start and wet finish’, ‘poor’, ‘outstanding’. These are typical phrases that describe the character of a particular vintage – but how do they, ultimately, translate into quality? Anyone interested in wine investment needs to be aware of the vintage impact on price and performance.

This article explores the factors that shape a ‘great vintage’ – from vineyard conditions to winemaking methods. Key figures at Bordeaux estates also weigh in with their comments on their preferred vintages from their châteaux. 

What does vintage mean?

The vintage indicates the year grapes were harvested. The wine made from such fruit reflects the weather conditions that the vine growth cycle experienced. Features like terroir and winemaking methods also impact the quality and character of a wine. However, winemakers often comment that wine is made in the vineyard meaning that the condition of the fruit is the dominant factor in a wine’s profile, cellar-worthiness and, ultimately, value. 

Is vintage always important?

The vintage year is of vital importance in some regions but of little significance in others. This depends on the local climate. 

If a climate features variable weather conditions each season, the resulting wine will display different traits every year. For example, in one particular year, grapes could contain higher or lower acidity than in previous vintages, more or less fruit concentration, or different sugar levels. Such factors affect the quality and identity of the wine, its age-worthiness, its valuation and the potential for this valuation to grow.

Regions where weather conditions are inconsistent year-on-year include Bordeaux, Burgundy, Champagne, the Rhône Valley, Napa Valley, Tuscany, and parts of Australia. This is why vintages from these areas frequently feature in discussion on drinkability, ageing potential and wine investment opportunities.

In places where climate and weather are more stable and wine character more uniform, vintage is, generally, less important. Such wine-producing countries and regions include Argentina, Chile, Spain, parts of California and New Zealand.

What factors influence a vintage’s quality?

The natural factors that contribute to the quality of a particular vintage include optimal weather conditions. Throughout the growth cycle of the vine, a balance of adequate rainfall, warm and dry conditions during the growing season, and cool nights aid the development of quality fruit. This means that the harvested berries contain an ideal balance of acidity, sugars, and tannic potential for the style of wine being made. Extremes like frost, hail, heatwaves and heavy rain can negatively impact the delicate equilibrium of these features, influencing the calibre of the wine. 

On the occasions when all environmental conditions line up harmoniously, the result is exceptional fruit and what is often referred to as a ‘legendary’, ‘exceptional’ or ‘outstanding’ vintage. Such years are rare and, therefore, memorable with resulting wines much sought after. 

The human influence on vintage quality encompasses a wide spectrum of vineyard practices that are utilised whenever necessary to mitigate unfavourable weather. Skilled vineyard management includes:

  1. Protection against frost with vineyard heating strategies.
  2. Organic and/ or biodynamic practices that can affect wine quality and potential.
  3. Disease pressure tackling to help prevent damaging vine ailments like rot or mildew.
  4. Hydric stress or excess rainfall management implemented at key stages to ensure balanced grape flavour concentration.
  5. Canopy management and foliage thinning to enhance grape quality.
  6. Timely harvest for optimal flavour and ripeness balance.

These vineyard approaches are the outcome of years, decades and even centuries of vinicultural experience and constitute part of the heritage of each wine region, adding to a vintage’s esteem and worth. Winemaking expertise similarly contributes to enhancing the value of a vintage.

Can vintage value evolve?

In wine investment, the value of a vintage is not necessarily fixed. While great vintages tend to enjoy ongoing value growth, other years can also display value development potential.

In short, while vintage is an anchor for a wine’s value in regions where it is a factor, it does not bear the sole influence on valuation. Other important determinants include:

  • Provenance
  • Age-worthiness
  • Producer/ winemaker/ brand reputation
  • Critic scores
  • Storage conditions 
  • Scarcity
  • Market trends

The Bordeaux perspective

WineCap asked Bordeaux winemakers which of their own vintages they would purchase and why. The replies illustrated some of the elements that make a great vintage.

Stéphanie de Boüard-Rivoal, co-owner and CEO of Château Angelus spoke of cellaring potential. ‘I would get a 2016,’ she said. ‘It is an incredible vintage, particularly for its depth, its complexity, and 100 years plus aging potential’.

Nicolas Audebert, winemaker and General Manager of Second Growth Château Rauzan-Ségla in Margaux mentioned how a vintage with a small crop led to an unexpectedly notable wine. ‘The concentration, the roundness, juiciness and intensity of the fruit in the 2018 is fantastic. It is a little bit outside of the classic, elegant style of Rauzan and Margaux, but so interesting in the reflection of the climate we had that year’.

Aline Baly, co-owner of Château Coutet, in the Barsac appellation highlighted excellent conditions and vineyard management for her choice: ‘The 2009 vintage is a combination of exceptional weather and exceptional work in the vineyard’.

For General Manager of Saint-Émilion Grand Cru Classé, Château La Dominique, Gwendoline Lucas, provenance and reputation were key to her vintage selection. ‘That would be 2019, because it’s the first vintage we created with Yann Monties, the technical director and also it is the 50th vintage for the Fayat family because they bought the château in 1969. So it is a very good vintage in terms of quality, but also full of history’.

Rarity and value-for-money drove the choice for Stéphane von Neipperg, owner of Château La Mondotte, a Premier Grand Cru Classé house in Saint Emilion. ‘It is very difficult to find 2009 of La Mondotte, but a very outstanding vintage if you want to invest in it in the future. Also, it is not so expensive’. 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Bordeaux winemakers reveal their top vintages for investment

WineCap has spoken with key figures from leading Bordeaux estates on their wine investment preferences. They share their thoughts about where they would invest €10,000 today.

  • Vintage quality is cited as the main driver of choice.
  • There is a variety of investment-worthy vintages across the region.
  • All interviewees chose vintages younger than 2015. 

Château Clinet, Pomerol – 2020 vintage

‘If I had €10,000 to spend on a vintage of Château Clinet for collecting, that would probably be the 2020 vintage’, said Ronan Laborde, Managing Director and owner of the house. ‘The 2020 vintage is a wine with a lot of qualities. It is very smooth, highly complex and has lot of vibrating intensity.’ 

Laborde said that, in terms of recent vintages, it was probably the one he was most proud of and recognised that 2020 had been highly supported by great weather conditions – plus ‘sometimes you have luck on your side’. ‘When I taste the wine now, I say, wow, it is the one I would like to invest for collection,’ he told WineCap.

The 2020 vintage was an illustration of how optimal weather conditions throughout the growing season and harvesting support excellent wine quality. The wine received 94 points from Neal Martin and 95 points from Antonio Galloni (Vinous), who called it ‘hugely impressive, as it was from barrel’. Jeb Dunnuck awarded it 98 points, naming it ‘one of the finest Pomerols in the vintage’. The wine has fallen 13.5% in value since release. On a brand level, Clinet has enjoyed a 47% increase in the last decade

Château Pontet-Canet, Pauillac – vintage diversity

Justin Tesseron, co-owner of Château Pontet-Canet had a more philosophical approach, emphasising ‘vertical’ cellaring for variety and value growth potential. ‘I would buy wine for every occasion…wine to drink now…wine to keep. I would buy wine for the future generations,’ he told WineCap.

‘But I think what is good in wine is to have one vintage for every kind of occasion. So, I would not spend €10,000 on one vintage. I would buy maybe the last ten vintages or similar.’

The majority of the last decade of Bordeaux vintages fell into ‘excellent’ and ‘legendary’ categories with 2015, 2016 and 2018 in Pauillac particularly notable years. When it comes to value and growth potential, the 2014, 2017 and 2020 vintages stand out. Prices for Pontet-Canet are up 11% in the last five years, and 28% over the last decade.

Château Troplong Mondot, Saint-Émilion – 2015 & 2019 vintages

For Ferréol du Fou, Commercial Director and Sales Manager of the château, dividing such a sum between collectible and ready-to-drink wines and among several vintages would be the best approach. 

‘If you have to invest, then invest in 2015,’ he said. ‘It still has a very good price and it will increase in the future, I’m sure. It is a huge vintage’. 

At the ten-year mark, critics have started to re-taste the 2015 vintage. The 2015 Troplong-Mondot currently sits 6.8% below its release price. For Antonio Galloni, it was ‘one of the stars of the vintage’ and ‘a viscerally exciting, resonant wine’. When writing for the Wine Advocate, Lisa Perrotti-Brown MW gave it 96-points and said: ‘This pedal-to-the-metal beauty is the ultimate indulgence for the hedonists!’

Ferréol du Fou also advised buying the 2019 vintage for investment, released during Covid: ‘It is first of all an amazing vintage. Plus it is one of the cheapest vintage from Bordeaux and Troplong Mondot’. ‘So this is the one you have to invest as soon as possible to make sure to have first few bottles in your cellar and to feel that you have landed a good deal,’ said Fou. 

The wine is currently available 15.0% below its release price and remains one of the most undervalued Troplong-Mondot vintages in the market today. On average, prices for the brand have risen 49% in the last decade.

Château Pichon Comtesse, Pauillac – 2019 vintage

Nicolas Glumineau, CEO and winemaker at Château Pichon Comtesse did not hesitate in his selection of an investment-friendly vintage. ‘I would have the 2019 Pichon Comtesse,’ he said.

Pichon Comtesse 2019 was one of only two wines during the En Primeur campaign to receive a potential perfect score from Vinous’s Neal Martin (98-100). The critic claimed that ‘you are not looking at a modern day 1982 or 2016, but something even better and more profound’. Upon tasting in bottle, Martin gave it 99 points, calling it ‘stunning’ and noting that ‘the nose reminds [him] of Latour’. Galloni was also full of praise: ‘One of the most elegant Pichon-Longueville Comtesse de Lalande I can remember tasting’. 

The vintage also presents great investment value. It is one of the best priced vintages, along with the lower-scoring 2014 and 2017. 

Château Lafon-Rochet, Saint-Estèphe – 2020 vintage

With €10,000, Basile Tesseron, General Manager of Lafon-Rochet, would invest in a relatively recent vintage. ‘I would buy 2020 for keeping,’ he told WineCap.

The wine received 96 points from Antonio Galloni, who called it ‘superb’ and ‘one of the classiest, more refined Saint-Estèphes’. Neal Martin (93 points) also agreed that it was ‘excellent’.

The 2020 vintage has fallen in value since release and sits below the brand’s average price. Our Lafon-Rochet index is up 57% in the last decade.

Cos d’Estournel, Saint-Estèphe – 2016, 2018 & 2020 vintages

Charles Thomas, Commercial Director of Cos d’Estournel admitted that he did not see wine as an asset class but rather a product to be enjoyed with friends. ‘But if I had to, obviously I would take 2016, 2018 and 2020’.

Of these three vintages, only the 2016 is currently more expensive than at release, up 10.5%. The wine boasts three 100-point scores from Neal Martin, James Suckling and Lisa Perrotti-Brown MW. Meanwhile, the 2020 Cos d’Estournel is currently down 34.4% since release, and the 2018 – 43.8%. 

The brand’s value has risen 39% in the last decade. 

See also our Bordeaux I Regional Report

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Are Bordeaux classifications still relevant for investors?

WineCap has conducted a series of interviews with key figures at major Bordeaux estates. Today we shed light on their perspectives on the relevance of historic classifications. 

  • Left and Right Bank producers think the 1855 and 1955 classifications are still important reference for investors.
  • Branding influence represents a counter pattern. 
  • Market forces bring lower-tier Growths to the fore but not trend-setting.

The majority of a tranche of wine producers interviewed by WineCap from both the Left and Right banks are confident that Bordeaux classification systems remain relevant, citing historical framework and terroir as the main factors in determining wine quality and value.

Châteaux also think that the 1855 Classification of Bordeaux and the Saint-Émilion Classification of 1955 will continue to have an impact on wine investor and consumer choices in the decades ahead.

‘This is the classification of terroir,’ said Château Cheval Blanc CEO, Pierre-Oliver Clouet. ‘The (original) classification was very clear and continues to be the same today’.

The classification systems

The 1855 Classification of Bordeaux is a ranking of the top wines from the Left Bank’s Médoc region, Graves, Sauternes and Barsac. It was established to coincide with Napoleon III’s Exposition Universelle de Paris, with wines categorised according to reputation and market price from Fifth to the top ranking of First Growth. With the exception of minor changes, it has never been altered. The houses in the highest level are Latour, Lafite Rothschild, Mouton Rothschild, Margaux and Haut Brion.

On the Right Bank, a wine classification hierarchy was founded in 1955 covering Saint-Émilion and Pomerol. Updated every decade with the last review held in 2022, it grades wines into the top tier of Premier Grand Cru Classé A, Premier Grand Cru Classé B, and the broader category of Grand Cru Classé.

Staying power

Philippe Bascaules managing director of First Growth Château Margaux said soil was the defining factor in the 1855 ranking. ‘I think for 90%, it’s still relevant because the quality of the wine is given by the soil, and the soil doesn’t change’. 

Philippe Blanc General Manager Château Beychevelle referred to the enduring legacy of the 1855 system. The Saint-Julien house that he oversees is ranked as a Fourth Growth and he does not see this changing in the future. 

‘I don’t think any serious people have ever written that first growths didn’t deserve their place,’ he told WineCap. ‘I would say in 30 years’ time, stick to the 1855 classification in Médoc’.

Vincent Millet, General Manager at the Third Growth Château Calon Segur in Saint-Estèphe agrees. ‘The 1855 classification was based not only on the observation of the winegrower through the constitution of his vineyard, but also of his wines,’ he said. ‘For me, it makes no sense to question it, because in a way, it reflects the potential of the different appellations’. 

Christian Seely is the managing director of AXA millésimes, the company that owns Second Growth Pichon-Baron in Pauillac. He hints at the foresight of the original ranking framework. ‘I would say that where around 80% of the châteaux were in the classification in 1855 is where they ought to be today. I don’t think another 20 years is going to change that’.

Brand over classification

However, as the global wine landscape shifts and changes, a significant number of Bordeaux winemakers are putting equal weighting in branding and, in some cases, over classification systems. 

Julien Barthe, the co-owner and managing director of Premier Grand Cru Classé B, Château Beau-Séjour Becot in Saint-Émilion is of this number. ‘We were very lucky in Beau-Séjour Becot because we were classified as Premier Cru Classé in 1955. Why? Maybe because we are a good winemaker family, but for sure because we have unique and outstanding soil and terroir’. 

Despite his acknowledgment of ranked terroir quality, Barthe believes that a house’s brand is gaining traction. ‘Do you know Beau-Séjour Becot or do you not know Beau-Séjour Becot? I really think that the brand will be more important than the classification’. In the last decade, their average wine price has risen 60%, outperforming fellow estates, La Mondotte, Clos Fourtet and Larcis Ducasse.

Calon Segur’s Vincent Millet agrees: ‘What is most interesting today is not so much the classification, but the strength of the brand. For example, you have properties that are ranked fifth in the classification and which have a reputation. A strong brand can be more important than certain Second great classified growths of Margaux, for example. We at Calon Ségur have this strength, this brand that we maintain through the quality of our wines’.

General Manager of Saint-Émilion Grand Cru Classé, Château La Dominique, Gwendoline Lucas said that both Right and Left Bank classifications were becoming irrelevant. ‘Today the consumer doesn’t drink First, Second or Third Growth or Saint-Émilion B or A. They drink a wine they know. They know the style of the wine, so they will drink Château La Dominique rather than Saint-Émilion Grand Cru Classé. So, I would say that the brand, the history and the wine itself, will override classification’. 

From an investing perspective, La Dominique has enjoyed a 96% price increase since 2015.

Lower tiers’ achievements

WineCap interviewees recognised the above-average performance of Growths from the lower end of the 1855 classification but were not certain that this constituted a solid trend.

Pichon-Baron’s Seely said: ‘You obviously get exceptional cases of some châteaux outperforming in relation to their classification. You have a Fifth Growth that performs like a Second Growth, and perhaps there are just one or two that perform a little lower than their original ranking. But those cases actually, I think, are the exceptions rather than the norm’. 

Evolution of Bordeaux’s investment performance

Bordeaux remains the most important wine investment region, accounting for over a third of the fine wine market by value today with a 200% average growth on top labels since 2005. The First Growths, their second wines and “super second” estates are often the cornerstones of investment portfolios. 

To find out more about the region, read our Bordeaux Regional Report.

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How is the price of fine wine determined?

  • Fine wine prices are influenced by a range of factors – from age to critical acclaim and storage conditions. 
  • Certain wine regions carry inherent prestige that elevates their value.
  • Bordeaux First Growths, Burgundy Grand Crus, and Napa cult wines typically hold the highest average prices due to global demand and scarcity.

Fine wine prices are shaped by a mix of tangible and intangible factors, each playing a crucial role in determining a wine’s market value. For collectors or investors treating wine as an alternative asset, understanding how these prices are established is essential. The fine wine market behaves differently from stocks or traditional commodities, yet follows clear principles around scarcity, quality, provenance, and demand.

In this guide, we break down the key influences behind price performance, from production realities to global market trends and the behaviour of auction houses and collectors.

The value of fine wine is influenced by a combination of tangible and intangible factors. For anyone interested in wine investment, understanding these factors is essential to making informed decisions. This guide explores the key elements that determine it, from production to market dynamics.

Producer and brand reputation

One of the most powerful drivers of fine wine prices is producer reputation. In renowned regions such as Bordeaux, Burgundy, Tuscany, and Napa Valley, a small number of elite estates have built global prestige over centuries.

Producers such as Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, Château Latour, Masseto, and Screaming Eagle consistently command premium prices because:

  • their wines have a long track record of excellence

  • collectors trust their craftsmanship

  • demand outstrips supply year after year

Even wines from emerging or lesser-known estates within these regions benefit from the halo effect of high-prestige appellations.

Reputation is a form of currency in the fine wine markets – one that contributes significantly to long-term appreciation and stability.

Vintage quality

The quality of a vintage year is a foundational element in determining value. Weather conditions during the growing season impact grape ripeness, concentration, acidity, and overall structure.

Exceptional vintages often receive strong critical acclaim, accelerating early demand and pushing up prices in both primary and secondary markets. Examples include:

  • Bordeaux 1982, 2000, 2009, 2010

  • Burgundy 2005, 2010, 2015

  • Champagne 2008, 2012

  • Napa Valley 2013, 2016

These highly rated vintages often see long-term appreciation as collector interest endures.

On the other hand, weaker vintages may grow in value more slowly but can still appreciate over time if produced by top estates with strong brand equity.

Scarcity and production volume

Scarcity is one of the strongest long-term drivers of demand and appreciation. Wines produced in limited quantities or from small vineyard sites can become highly collectible, especially when combined with rising global popularity.

Key scarcity factors include:

  • small vineyard size (e.g., Burgundy Grand Cru parcels)

  • tiny production quantities (e.g., cult wines like Screaming Eagle)

  • ageing windows that encourage consumption, shrinking supply globally

  • strict allocations, limiting the volume released to each market

As bottles are opened worldwide, the remaining supply becomes increasingly rare. This dynamic is central to why fine wine is considered a reliable long-term luxury asset for investors looking to diversify their portfolios.

Critical scores and reviews

The influence of major critics – such as Robert Parker, Jancis Robinson, Neal Martin, and Antonio Galloni – extends across the wine market. High scores can increase a wine’s value almost overnight.

A wine that receives 100 points from a leading critic often experiences:

  • an immediate spike in demand

  • rapid price appreciation

  • greater visibility at wine auctions

  • a strong long-term reputation

Wines with consistently strong critical track records tend to demonstrate more resilient pricing across market cycles.

Conversely, wines with poor or average reviews may struggle to outperform, even if produced by respected estates.

Provenance and storage conditions

Provenance – the verified history of a wine’s ownership and storage conditions – is vital in determining its market value. Buyers pay a premium for wines with impeccable provenance, often stored in:

  • bonded warehouses

  • producer cellars

  • trusted merchant facilities

Perfect provenance assures collectors that the wine has been stored correctly, preserving quality and value. Auction houses frequently highlight provenance as a core selling point, and wines sourced directly from estates often achieve superior prices.

Market trends and global demand

Fine wine prices do not exist in isolation. Global market trends, economic conditions, and consumer behaviour all shape demand.

Factors influencing the broader wine market include:

  • widening wealth in emerging markets

  • shifting preferences toward Burgundy, Champagne, and Tuscany

  • currency fluctuations

  • macroeconomic stability

  • rising interest in biodynamic and organic wines

  • growth of digital trading and globalised auctions

For example, surging demand from Asia over the last decade has contributed to extraordinary appreciation in Burgundy prices. Similarly, Champagne’s increasing popularity as both a collectible and a safe-haven luxury asset has pushed demand for prestige cuvées like Dom Pérignon, Cristal, and Krug.

Tracking global demand helps investors anticipate future price movements and identify opportunities across regions.

Age and maturity

A wine’s age is closely tied to its market value. As fine wines mature, they often enter their optimal drinking window, increasing desirability.

Collectors will pay more for wines that are:

  • perfectly stored

  • approaching or at peak maturity

  • ready to drink immediately

For example, a young First Growth Bordeaux might sell for £400 on release, but reach £800–£1,000 once its drinking window opens. Much older wines can appreciate even more dramatically due to extreme scarcity.

This age-driven evolution is one reason many investors treat wine as a multi-year, low-volatility strategy rather than a short-term investment.

Regional prestige and classification systems

Certain wine regions carry inherent prestige that elevates their pricing. Fine wines from the regions below regularly outperform less renowned regions in terms of long-term appreciation.

  • Bordeaux

  • Burgundy

  • Champagne

  • Tuscany & Piedmont

  • Napa Valley

Formal classification systems – like the Bordeaux 1855 Classification or Burgundy’s Grand Cru hierarchy – further reinforce value by signalling quality and exclusivity.

Wines from higher classifications consistently command premium pricing and often show superior secondary-market performance.

FAQ: Fine Wine Prices

Why do wines of similar quality often differ so much in cost?

Producer reputation, track record, and regional prestige significantly influence pricing. Top estates with limited production naturally command higher values.

Does fine wine always appreciate in value over time?

Not always. While many investment-grade wines appreciate, price performance varies by vintage, producer, storage, and global market trends.

How do wine auctions affect fine wine prices?

Auction houses help establish benchmark pricing. Rare bottles with great provenance often achieve record prices, influencing global perceptions of value.

Is fine wine a safe alternative investment?

Fine wine is considered a low-volatility luxury asset with strong long-term performance, making it a popular portfolio diversifier.

What role does provenance play in price performance?

Perfect provenance can dramatically increase a wine’s value.

Which regions tend to cost the most?

Bordeaux First Growths, Burgundy Grand Crus, and Napa cult wines typically hold the highest average prices due to global demand and scarcity.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.