Categories
Report

Special report – 2023’s big investment themes: fine wine and beyond

Our latest report, 2023’s big investment themes: fine wine and beyond, has now been released. The report looks at the key themes that defined markets this year, from interest rates to sustainability. It positions fine wine within a broader investment context and analyses the key events that influenced its performance.

Report highlights:

  • Tech, interest, and sustainability came to define markets in 2023.
  • The stock market bounced back, and technology stocks rallied as the world became fascinated with generative AI.
  • In a bid to cool down the red-hot inflation levels, the Bank of England cranked up interest rates 14 times.
  • As central banks increased interest rates, they also began to stockpile gold.
  • In the UK, interest rates reached the highest point since 1998. This signalled an end to the era of cheap borrowing, which could limit growth for some economies.
  • 2023 saw the rush of demand for green bonds – borrowing money to finance sustainable projects.
  • Sustainability drove fine wine demand among investors and led to other positive developments in the wine industry.

 

Categories
Learn

The rise of fine wine as a stable and sustainable investment

A version of this article written by WineCap’s CEO Alexander Westgarth was first published by Forbes.

  • A popular alternative investment, fine wine can plug the gaps left by struggling assets, helping to steady and raise performance across a whole portfolio.
  • As a tangible asset, fine wine delivers stability in uncertain times.
  • Part of the rising demand for fine wine can be attributed to environmental factors.

Between April 2020 and September 2022, the average bottle of fine wine rose 43.5% in value. While the fine wine market has dipped and corrected since, the general trajectory has historically pointed upwards.

Since 2004, Liv-ex data shows that the average bottle price tag has risen by 329.9%. While it can be a good investment, better still, fine wine is a great means to plug the gaps left by struggling assets, helping to steady and raise performance across a whole investment portfolio. Earlier this year, WineCap conducted a survey where we found that 92% of U.S. wealth managers believe demand for fine wine will increase over the next year. This is for three main reasons, and below we outline how to best take advantage of this asset’s potential for stability, sustainability and profitability.

Stability in uncertain times

We live in uncertain times. In the last year, businesses have had to cope with rocketing energy bills, inflation and interest rates. In times of hardship, people want something solid. This is why tangible assets like property, gold or fine wine tend to feel more precious during market downfalls. WineCap found that 56% of wealth managers invest in wine to add stability to portfolios across different market conditions.

It is not only wine. Across the entire investment landscape, there is an increased demand for reliability. In the past few months, gold prices have been rallying too. When the gold prices go up, this often indicates that investors are looking to preserve their wealth and shield it from market shocks.

At the same time, investors have been shying away from bullish investments like technology stocks. Apple, for example, has suffered significant dips. Microsoft shareholders have endured wobbly turbulence (though, at the time of this writing, the company is beating financial expectations). Likewise, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has been on a rocky ride over the past months.

As the choppy waters continue, many investors want steady ships to ride out the storm – not fancy speedboats. With its historically low volatility, fine wine delivers just that. Unlike stocks or bonds, fine wine prices do not tend to fluctuate massively as the market operates with its own dynamics. Regions like Champagne are currently seeing high levels of demand, not only because of the quality of the wines but the stability the region has historically offered.

Similarly, wines from Bordeaux, Tuscany and the Rhône may be more solid. However, not all fine wines are made the same. Extremely rare and highly coveted wines from Burgundy, for instance, can make a great investment but remain a riskier asset if stability is what you are after.

Demand for environmentally friendly assets

Our survey also found that investors are prioritising environmentally friendly assets, and 56% say they invest in fine wine because it is a sustainable asset class with a low carbon footprint. This trend is hardly surprising; 2023 has been the hottest summer on record.

Dozens of wildfires are actively blazing through the USA. Meanwhile, elsewhere, the excess water caused by melted ice caps means that flooding and torrential rains are washing away entire communities. In August, flash floods tore through Pennsylvania, killing five people. Naturally, investors are keen to put their money into assets that will mitigate some of the climate risks.

Part of the interest in fine wine can be attributed to environmental factors. Vines promote healthy soil quality and nourish pollinators, which are essential for biodiversity. A hector of vineyard soaks up a respectable 2.84 tonnes of carbon every year. The best winemakers use age-old sustainable practices. Many will even opt for a pony and cart rather than disturb the terrain with a tractor.

Some well-known organic producers include Burgundy’s Domaine Leflaive and the Bordeaux Fifth Growth, Château Pontet-Canet. While not officially certified, Burgundy’s Domaine de la Romanée-Conti also follows organic and biodynamic guidelines. Meanwhile, some producers are reducing bottle weight in pursuit of sustainability such as Burgundy négociant Albert Bichot, which has reduced the weight of their bottles from around 700 grams to 450 grams.

Climate-conscious investors can keep an eye out for wineries investing in a greener future.

Strong returns

According to our survey, almost half of the investors choose fine wine because they want strong returns. Historically, fine wine has offered generous returns over long periods without sacrificing quality or environmental qualities. Access to historical data, critic scores and current prices can help an investor identify whether a wine represents a good opportunity. Things to look out for include brand prestige, price per point, investment appreciation over different time frames and drinking windows. One can also get help from experts who understand the intricacies of the market, utilize the latest technology and closely follow the trends.

Stability, sustainability and profitability

Today’s investors are looking for stability, sustainability and profitability. Different from last year, they are often less prepared to invest in edgy technologies for the future. Instead, many are looking for solid investment results – ideally, ones they can hold. Fine wines fit this demand well. Although it already features in 45% of HNW portfolios, with average allocations of 13%, fine wine looks set to become even more popular. Like a classic vintage Champagne, the market is ready to pop.

Thanks to its diversity and growing attention from experts, producers and enthusiasts, fine wine could be well-placed to meet investors’ changing priorities in the years to come.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

Categories
News

Joseph Drouhin expands vineyard holdings to meet rising Burgundy demand

  • Joseph Drouhin has acquired two properties, Château de Chasselas in Saint-Véran and Rapet in Saint-Romain.
  • The expansion comes as both producers and buyers seek to find stock and value in an increasingly competitive market for Burgundy.
  • Drouhin has been a brand on the move, with some of its wines rising near 40% in value in the last year.

Joseph Drouhin expands its vineyard holdings 

Rising demand for Burgundy has fueled winery purchases and new investments. One of the most prominent producers, Maison Joseph Drouhin, has expanded its vineyard holdings with the recent acquisition of Château de Chasselas in Saint-Véran and Rapet in Saint-Romain.

Frédéric Drouhin, president of the Maison, explained that this decision was driven by increased competition and challenges in acquiring vineyards and purchasing grapes. The purchase focuses on high-quality yet more affordable areas in Burgundy – outside the main Côte d’Or villages, as both producers and buyers seek to find value in a region that has experienced significant price increases in recent years.

Just in the last five years, Burgundy fine wine prices have risen 75.7% – more than seven times the prices of the Bordeaux First Growths.

Burgundy vs Bordeaux prices

The insatiable demand and investment interest in the region have also impacted the cost of land, creating something of a vicious circle. 

The price of the latest Drouhin purchase was not disclosed.

The estates

Château de Chasselas encompasses 17.3 acres and is already a major supplier of Drouhin’s Saint-Véran wine. The property also includes small parcels in Chasselas and Beaujolais. The Rapet estate spans 19.8 acres and includes both Pinot Noir and Chardonnay vineyards in Saint-Romain, as well as small parcels in Auxey-Duresses, Pommard, and Meursault.

The debut vintage of Drouhin’s Saint-Romain wine is the 2022, while the first bottling of Saint-Véran Château de Chasselas will be the 2023 vintage, which will be released in 2024. All the newly acquired vineyards are being transitioned to organic farming practices.

With these acquisitions, Maison Joseph Drouhin owns close to 250 acres of vineyards, spanning from Chablis to Mâcon and encompassing 60 appellations. Their portfolio includes 14 Grands Crus and 20 Premier Crus. 

Drouhin’s place in Burgundy’s secondary market

Joseph Drouhin has been a Burgundy brand on the move. The brand jumped 142 places in the 2022 Power 100 rankings, thanks to its price performance. 

Four wines from the estate also ranked in the first tier of the 2021 Liv-ex Classification, which ranks the wines of the world solely by price: Montrachet Grand Cru Marquis de Laguiche, Musigny Grand Cru, Chambertin-Clos de Bèze Grand Cru, and Chambolle-Musigny Premier Cru Les Amoureuses.

The best performing Drouhin wines

In the last year alone, the best performing Joseph Drouhin wines have risen between 13% and 39%, outperforming the Burgundy 150 index. 

The biggest riser has been their Beaune Premier Cru Le Clos des Mouches Rouge, which has an average price of £1,403 per case.

You can now explore the historic performance of these wines on Wine Track. Our tool provides a clear overview of a fine wine’s track record, including critic scores, average price and investment returns. 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

Categories
Learn

Banking failures and the fine wine market: Performance during economic uncertainty

  • The US banking crisis has been the biggest since the 2008 financial crisis and has created uncertainty in mainstream markets.
  • Revisiting key moments in the history of fine wine investment offers valuable insight into the future of the market.
  • A key difference between fine wine and equities during the last financial crisis was the speed of recovery.
  • The fine wine market is braced for challenges due to its diversity as the performance of different wines and vintages can balance a portfolio.

The recent banking failures have been the biggest since the 2008 financial crisis. Since the beginning of March, regulators have shut down three mid-size US banks – Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic. In Europe, Swiss giant Credit Suisse was rescued in an emergency deal with rival UBS, which purchased it at a fraction of its closing market value. UBS itself suffered losses during the acquisition – it slid 13% before making a recovery.

While the news echoes the last financial crisis, governments have been providing reassurance that this is not history repeating itself. The current turmoil is partly down to the sharp increase in interest rates, which was aimed to curb inflation.

Still, the banking collapse has had an immediate effect on investor confidence and mainstream markets. European bank shares remain volatile, while US stock markets opened flat this week. Alternative assets and safe havens such as gold and treasuries have enjoyed a boost, as investors have been considering low-risk assets to put their money.

Reflecting on how the fine wine market has performed during previous challenging macroeconomic events could offer valuable insights into what to expect in the current uncertain environment.

The fine wine market during the 2008 financial crisis

Like other markets, fine wine experiences cycles.

fine wine performance

During the previous financial crisis, the fine wine market suffered a downturn, but it fared better than some other traditional investments such as equities and real estate. Between June 2008 and June 2009, the Liv-ex 100 index, which was heavily weighted towards wines from Bordeaux, fell 18.8%.  Meanwhile, the broader Liv-ex 1000 index, which includes greater number of wines from other regions, dipped 7.4%.

The Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index, which tracks the performance of luxury assets including fine wine, recorded similar figures, with the value of investment-grade wine declining 15% in 2008. By comparison, the S&P 500, a benchmark index of US equities, fell over 37% the same year.

A key difference between fine wine and equities during the financial crisis was the speed of recovery. While the stock market took several years to recover to its pre-crisis levels, the fine wine market turned bullish relatively quickly. By the end of 2009, investment-grade wine had returned to its pre-crisis levels, and by 2010, it had surpassed its previous peak.

Moreover, the performance of fine wine during the financial crisis varied between different regions and vintages. While the Bordeaux market was hit particularly hard, Burgundy and the Rhône performed relatively well.

The fine wine market – braced for challenges

The fine wine market of today looks very different from the shape it had fifteen years ago. There are more investable wines than at any other point in history. If Bordeaux accounted for 90% of the market in 2008, today its share sits at 35%, due to the emergence and the proven investment potential of wines outside this dominant French region.

The diversity of this portfolio diversifier has helped it get through swiftly through other more recent challenges, such as Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on most European wines, and the Covid-19 pandemic.

For instance, Italy and Champagne, which were exempt from the US tariffs, enjoyed steady price appreciation in 2019, while Burgundy suffered. Throughout and after the pandemic, Burgundy and Champagne turned into the top-performing regions.

California also enjoyed rising prices in 2021, and its index hit an all-time high in September last year.

Bordeaux has been moving quietly and steadily, and its relatively mild performance over the last five years has turned it into a region that can offer value for money, especially in ‘off’ vintages.

regional fine wine investment

Factors influencing the performance of fine wine

The fine wine market is different from other markets and operates with its own dynamics, such as rarity and exclusivity. Its unique characteristics make it less vulnerable to market shocks and economic downturns than financial markets.

Indeed, its historic performance has shown very low correlation to mainstream markets. As a tangible good that cannot be traded as quickly as stocks, fine wine is generally insulated from rapid price changes.

In general, prices move based on supply and demand, critics’ scores, vintage quality, age and brand appeal. Find out more about fine wine investment here, or explore the performance of individual brands on Wine Track.

 

WineCap’s market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

Categories
News

Marchesi Antinori acquires iconic Napa Valley’s Stag’s Leap

  • Marchesi Antinori has taken full ownership of Napa Valley’s iconic winery Stag’s Leap.
  • Stag’s Leap laid the foundation for the emergence of cult wines after winning the Judgement of Paris in 1976.
  • Antinori’s innovations in the ‘Super Tuscan’ revolution of the 1970s and recent acquisition of Stag’s Leap position both for continued success in the fine wine investment market.

Marchesi Antinori, one of the oldest and largest wine companies in the world, has gained full ownership of the iconic Napa Valley estate Stag’s Leap. Wine Spectator has reported that the current sale includes ‘the winery, the brand and inventory, and close to 300 acres of Napa vines, including the Fay and S.L.V. vineyards’.

Antinori has held a minority stake in Stag’s Leap since 2007, when Ste. Michelle Wine Estates purchased it from founder Warren Winiarksi.

Some of the most prominent wineries owned by Antinori include the Super Tuscan Tignanello and Guado al Tasso, as well as Antica Napa Valley.

Stag’s Leap performance

Stag’s Leap was among the pioneering Californian wineries that laid the foundation for the emergence of cult brands.

It was its S.L.V. Cabernet Sauvignon 1973 – the winery’s second vintage, and first produced at the estate and in commercial quantities – that won the Judgement of Paris in 1976. Stag’s Leap put Californian wine on the map by winning over its French competitors, which included the First Growths Château Mouton Rothschild 1970 and Château Haut-Brion 1970.

In the fine wine market, demand for Stag’s Leap has grown considerably over the last decade, with prices for its Cask 23 increasing 59% and for S.L.V. – up 61% on average.

The brand has been helped by the relative value for money it offers compared to other Californian ‘cult wines’. The average price per point for S.L.V., for instance, is just £19, compared to £472 for Screaming Eagle Cabernet Sauvignon.

The 2014 vintage has enjoyed particularly strong price performance. Stag’s Leap S.L.V. is up 80.5% since release. Cask 23 has risen 77.4% over the past two years, placing it among some of California’s biggest risers.

Antinori’s overarching impact

If Stag’s Leap has greatly contributed to the emergence of California’s cult wines, Antinori’s innovations played a large part in the ‘Super Tuscan’ revolution of the 1970s. Both have managed to re-define ‘fine wine’ outside the confines of Bordeaux, in USA and Italy respectively.

With history that can be traced back to 1385, Antinori has been one of the most successful wine companies. Its Tignanello ranked as the 49th most powerful wine brand in the world, due to high trade volume and value. Liv-ex noted that it was helped by the remarkable value for money it offers being ‘the cheapest Italian wine in the top 100, with an average case price of £1,076’.

While it is yet to be seen how the full acquisition of Stag’s Leap will play out, it seems like both Antinori and Stag’s Leap are poised for continued success and reaching new heights in the fine wine market.

 

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.