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Q3 2025 Fine Wine Report

In our Q3 summary of the fine wine market we look at how the global economic landscape is shaping investment strategies, the road to recovery in fine wine, and the best-performing regions and wines so far this year. Read on for more on Lafleur’s recent classification withdrawal, the autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign, and other industry-defining trends.

Executive summary

  • Market backdrop strengthens: Global equities advanced in Q3 amid optimism for gradual rate cuts and corporate earnings. Improving sentiment and policy clarity provided a firmer foundation for alternative assets, including fine wine.
  • Fine wine stabilises: After two years of correction, the fine wine market showed early signs of recovery. The Liv-ex 100 posted its first quarterly gain since the downturn began.
  • Regional divergence narrows: Champagne, Rhône, and Italy led the quarter, while Bordeaux and Burgundy also showed improvements; evidence of a maturing market phase approaching equilibrium.
  • Selectivity drives returns: The best performing wines came from overlooked vintages, particularly Bordeaux 2013/2014, alongside Rhône’s consistent value names and global icons such as DRC and Screaming Eagle.
  • La Place campaign underwhelms: The autumn La Place de Bordeaux campaign failed to shift market momentum. Demand remained subdued as release prices offered limited value versus back vintages in most cases.
  • News – Lafleur withdraws from Pomerol AOC: In a significant development, Château Lafleur announced its withdrawal from the Pomerol AOC, citing the need for greater viticultural flexibility in response to climate change. We explore how this might affect its market performance.

The trends that shaped the fine wine market

Market optimism sets the stage for fine wine stability

Global markets rallied through Q3 2025, driven by renewed optimism over growth and the prospect of gradual rate cuts, even as inflation proved sticky. US equities extended record highs, powered by strong earnings and ongoing enthusiasm for AI-related sectors, while Europe delivered mixed results amid weak German data but resilience in France and the UK. Gold surged as investors sought safety from lingering geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties linked to US tariff policy. Bond markets posted modest gains as central banks maintained a cautious stance. Overall, investor sentiment steadied following a turbulent first half, with risk appetite supported by policy optimism and improving economic data, creating a firmer backdrop for alternative assets, such as fine wine, heading into Q4.

Fine wine market starts to turn

Signs of stability continued to build across the fine wine market in Q3, reinforcing the gradual improvement noted in our Q2 Fine Wine Report. After two years of consistent decline, several regional indices turned positive over the quarter. Five of the Liv-ex regional indices rose in August and September, and for the first time in three years, the Liv-ex 50, which tracks the prices of the Bordeaux First Growths, experienced monthly growth.

Broader market measures also improved. The Liv-ex 100 rose 1.1% in September, and the bid:offer ratio – a key gauge of demand relative to supply – reached 0.70, its highest level since April 2023. This sustained rise suggests buyers are gradually re-entering the market, drawn by attractive pricing and renewed confidence following a prolonged correction. While it is too early to call a full recovery, these movements point to a maturing phase of the downturn where value-seeking activity replaces reactive selling. 

La Place autumn campaign fails to shift momentum

A key event of the third quarter every year is the La Place de Bordeaux autumn campaign, which saw the release of over 130 wines from around the globe in September. However, in 2025, the campaign did little to shift momentum. New releases that did not offer value in the context of back vintages available in the market largely fell short, and demand was tepid even for the traditionally most sought-after labels like Opus One, Masseto, Ornellaia, Solaia and Penfolds. Tariff uncertainty, oversupply and general market cautiousness were a structural drag. Unless prices and allocation discipline improve, the campaign is likely to continue to alienate buyers.

Mainstream markets lead Q3; fine wine re-emerges

Global equities posted solid gains in Q3, buoyed by growing optimism around prospective interest-rate cuts and resilient corporate earnings. While mainstream markets outpaced most alternatives, select segments of the alternative asset universe – particularly private credit and real assets – showed signs of resilience. Fine wine also staged a modest recovery.

The Liv-ex 100 Index, which tracks the performance of the most sought-after investment-grade wines, recorded its first quarterly gain since the market downturn began, rising 0.4% over the quarter. Losses in July and August were offset by a 1.1% rebound in September, signalling renewed confidence. The broader Liv-ex 1000 Index slipped 0.5% over Q3, though it, too, recovered 0.4% in September, suggesting stabilisation across a wider basket of fine wines.

Meanwhile, the First Growths Index – a barometer for Bordeaux’s top estates – rose 0.7% in September but remained 0.7% lower for the quarter overall, reflecting the uneven pace of recovery across regions and price tiers. Nonetheless, after several quarters of decline, Q3 marked a turning point where fine wine once again began to move in step with the broader risk-on sentiment seen in global markets.

Fine wine vs mainstream markets

Regional fine wine performance in Q3

Regional fine wine indices displayed a mixed picture in Q3, but the pace of decline eased, and several categories began to rise. The Liv-ex 1000 ended the quarter 0.6% lower, yet September brought a broad uptick across most regions – an encouraging sign after months of subdued activity.

Champagne held its ground best, maintaining near-flat performance over the quarter and retaining its position as one of the most resilient categories in 2025. The region benefited from increased demand from Asia and the US. The Rhone 100 also improved modestly, ending Q3 just above its Q2 level as buyers continued to favour regions offering relative value.

Italy (0.4%) and the Rest of the World 60 (0.3%) both saw small gains in Q3, hinting at early signs of renewed confidence beyond the traditional strongholds of Bordeaux and Burgundy, which fell in Q3.

Regional fine wine performance 2025

The Bordeaux 500 declined 1.7%, while the Bordeaux Legends 40 dipped just 0.6%, as mature Bordeaux continued to attract active buyers. However, of the six Bordeaux sub-indices, three went up in September – those measuring the performance of the First Growths, their Second Wines, and the top 100 wines from the Right Bank. Burgundy prices softened slightly, down 0.2%, but its top wines remained among the most robust performers since the 2022 peak.

The combination of improving sentiment, selective buying, and greater market stability suggests that regional fine wine prices may be nearing their floor, setting the stage for a more balanced close to 2025.

The best performing wines so far in 2025

Even in a broadly subdued market, 2025 has shown that fine wine remains a story of selectivity and scarcity. A handful of standout wines have delivered strong double-digit returns, proving that, even during correction phases, the right names and vintages can outperform significantly.

The spread between the top-performing fine wines (+18% on average) and the Liv-ex 1000’s broad decline year-to-date (around -4.7%) highlights exactly why selection is paramount.

Best performing wines 2025 table

Three key themes stand out among the top-performing wines in 2025 year-to-date:

  • ‘Off’ vintage Bordeaux is back in vogue

Wines from cooler or once-overlooked vintages – such as Bordeaux 2013 and 2014 – have led the pack. Collectors appear increasingly willing to reward finesse, drinkability, and scarcity over hype, with Château Les Carmes Haut-Brion (+38.2%) and Château Beychevelle (+22.2%) exemplifying this trend.

 

  • The Rhône’s value overdelivers

Rhône wines continued to prove their value credentials. Vieux Télégraphe’s 2020 and 2021 vintages and Jaboulet’s La Chapelle 2014 all posted impressive gains, driven by limited production, consistent critical endorsement, and comparatively attractive pricing.

 

  • Scarcity runs the market

At the very top end, scarcity remains the strongest currency. Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, and Screaming Eagle demonstrated that rare, blue-chip wines continue to attract capital regardless of broader sentiment.

 

Investors focusing on authenticity, producer pedigree, and under-appreciated vintages have outperformed the broader market, suggesting that quality and insight remain the keys to long-term success.

Q3 releases: Spotlight on Taittinger Comtes de Champagne 2014

Champagne has proven one of the most resilient categories in 2025, with the Champagne 50 Index outperforming most regional peers in Q3 (up 0.3%). The region is also enjoying renewed global demand as buyers take advantage of the attractive price levels post its 2022 peak. Within this steadying landscape, Champagne house Taittinger released the 2014 vintage of its Comtes de Champagne.

Awarded 97 points by both Yohan Castaing (The Wine Advocate) and Antonio Galloni (Vinous), it ranks among the highest-rated Comtes vintages ever – and Galloni notably compared it to the legendary 2008, which trades at a nearly 40% premium.

The 2014 release also carries historical significance. As the last truly cool-climate vintage in Champagne, it represents a stylistic milestone unlikely to be replicated amid the region’s ongoing warming trend – a factor that enhances its long-term collectability.

From an investment perspective, Comtes has been a quiet outperformer. The Taittinger Comtes de Champagne index has risen steadily over the past decade, outpacing both Dom Pérignon and Louis Roederer Cristal during the bull market of 2020–2023, and showing notable price stability throughout 2025.

‘Taittinger consistently stands out as one of the best values among top-tier Champagnes, frequently outperforming many other Grand Marques tête-de-cuvée offerings.’
– Yohan Castaing, The Wine Advocate

Taittinger Champagne index

Market snapshot

  • 2014 Release price: £1,190 per 12×75
  • Critic scores: 97 points (Vinous, The Wine Advocate)
  • Ranking: 62nd in the 2024 Liv-ex Power 100 (up nine places year-on-year)

With exceptional critic consensus, proven secondary market demand, and a price point that remains competitive, the 2014 Taittinger Comtes de Champagne exemplifies why the region continues to attract buyers, whether for enjoyment or investment. 

Q3 Fine wine news: Lafleur withdraws from Pomerol AOC

In August, Château Lafleur confirmed that from the 2025 vintage onward, its wines will no longer carry the Pomerol AOC designation, instead being labeled Vin de France. The decision extends across the Guinaudeau family’s portfolio, including Les Pensées, Les Perrières, and Grand Village.

The estate cited the need for greater viticultural flexibility in the face of accelerating climate change. In correspondence with trade partners, the Guinaudeau family wrote: ‘Climate is changing fast and hard… We must think, readapt, act.’ 

The withdrawal allows Lafleur to implement adaptive farming methods not currently authorised under the appellation’s 1936 regulations, such as controlled irrigation, soil covering to reduce evaporation, canopy shading, and adjusted planting density. 

Lafleur’s independence enables it to act without the procedural delays that constrain larger or corporate-owned estates. The move is consistent with its reputation for long-term thinking and precision farming, aligning vineyard practice more closely with environmental reality.

Market context

Historically, classification changes in Bordeaux have affected perception and pricing. The 2012 promotions of Pavie and Angélus within Saint-Émilion’s hierarchy, for instance, coincided with rapid market repricing, even though the wines themselves did not change. Lafleur’s withdrawal represents the opposite: the relinquishment of an appellation name rather than an elevation within it.

Pavie vs angelus wine performance

In the short term, pricing impact is likely to be neutral, as Lafleur’s identity and market position are defined by brand equity rather than by appellation. The château’s production is limited, its critical reputation exceptional, and its collector base highly stable. Over time, however, label differentiation could influence liquidity and buyer psychology, particularly between the final ‘Pomerol’ labelled vintages and the inaugural ‘Vin de France’ release, both of which may acquire added significance in secondary trading.

Performance and relative strength

Over the past decade, Lafleur’s secondary market performance has outpaced that of both the First Growths and its Right Bank peers, Pavie and Angélus. Despite the broader Bordeaux market correction since 2022, Lafleur has retained a significant premium, perhaps reflecting scarcity and confidence in the Guinaudeau family’s brand.

Lafleur fine wine performance

Should the transition to ‘Vin de France’ labelling prove commercially seamless, the move could even enhance Lafleur’s individuality, reinforcing its cult status as a technically driven, terroir-first estate. 

All in all, Lafleur’s withdrawal prompts a broader structural question for Bordeaux: how the appellation system adapts to climate change through balancing regional reputation with innovation arising from global-warming challenges. For Lafleur, the decision appears evolutionary rather than disruptive, designed to preserve vineyard resilience and wine quality in a shifting climate.

If Lafleur’s performance continues to mirror its past decade – where brand identity outweighed classification – this change may ultimately serve to strengthen, rather than dilute, its market position.

Q3 summary and a look ahead to Q4

The third quarter of 2025 marked a transition phase for the fine wine market. With mainstream assets recovering and investor sentiment stabilising, fine wine has begun to re-establish its footing after a protracted two-year downturn. Indicators such as the rising bid:offer ratio and renewed regional resilience point toward a more balanced market environment heading into Q4. Price declines have largely moderated, and value-seeking capital is returning, particularly to regions offering long-term quality at attractive entry points.

Looking ahead, the key drivers of performance will continue to be scarcity, selectivity, and producer reputation. Top estates with disciplined production, strong brand equity, and adaptability are well-positioned to outperform as the market moves toward recovery. As Q3 showed, the correction appears to have reached maturity; the next phase is likely to be characterised by gradual re-pricing, focused accumulation, and renewed confidence in fine wine as a stable, long-term asset.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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The 2025 guide to investing in alternative assets

Alternative assets are investments outside traditional stocks and bonds. These can range from property, private credit and venture to collectibles such as fine wine, art, watches and classic cars. In 2025, fine wine stands out for its low correlation with equities, global demand, finite supply, strong brands, and the ability to build diversified portfolios from blue-chip regions such as Bordeaux, Burgundy, Tuscany, Piedmont, and Champagne. Success comes from rigorous selection, professional storage, long investment horizons (5-10+ years), and data-driven decision making.

What are alternative assets – and why they matter in 2025

Alternative assets cover three broad categories:

  • Collectibles: fine wine, whisky, art, classic cars, watches, rare coins.
  • Private markets: private equity & credit, venture capital, real estate, infrastructure.
  • Hedge strategies: market-neutral, macro, commodities, and other absolute-return approaches.

The Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst Association (CAIA) frames “alternatives” by their limited liquidity, pricing opacity, and non-traditional risk/return drivers compared with public markets.

Why diversification with alternative assets matters

Many alternatives move differently from listed equities and bonds, which means they can dampen portfolio swings when traditional markets are volatile.

Fine wine is a strong example. Studies have shown it has low – and sometimes negative – correlation with equity markets, improving portfolio efficiency when included alongside traditional assets. In 2025, demand for fine wine has risen by 16% due to its independence from mainstream financial markets. Notably, 34% of UK wealth managers now cite wine’s self-contained nature as a key factor in its resilience during periods of market volatility, up from 30% in 2024.

Fine wine performance statistics

Hedge funds aim for the same goal: delivering returns that aren’t tied too closely to market cycles. In 2024-25, hedge fund results have varied across strategies, but overall performance has improved, highlighting their role as diversifiers rather than trackers of stock indices.

Alternative assets and inflation

One of the strongest advantages of alternative assets is their ability to preserve purchasing power when inflation erodes the value of money. Unlike fixed-income instruments, where interest payments may lag rising prices, many alternatives are underpinned by tangible scarcity and global demand, which supports value through inflationary cycles.

  • Private real assets such as infrastructure and opportunistic real estate have historically passed on rising costs more effectively than their listed counterparts, offering stronger inflation protection.
  • Collectibles benefit from their finite nature. The OIV reported 2024 global wine production at a near 60-year low, underlining how supply limits create pricing power. Fine wine is particularly resilient here: each bottle consumed makes the remaining stock rarer, while global demand ensures international relevance. Over time, well-stored vintages not only hold their value but often appreciate at a pace that outstrips inflation, similar to how gold is viewed as a store of value.
  • Art and luxury goods also serve as currency diversifiers. While the global art market saw values contract by 12% in 2024, activity levels remained robust, showing continued demand for tangible assets that trade across currencies and borders.

In effect, alternatives hedge inflation in ways traditional portfolios cannot. By anchoring value in scarcity, durability, and global liquidity, they help investors preserve real wealth.

Why timing and selection are important

Alternative assets do not present a uniform return stream, and fine wine illustrates this better than most. Outcomes differ dramatically depending on region, producer, vintage, and even release timing. Burgundy, for instance, can respond to very different dynamics than Bordeaux, while Champagne and Tuscany follow their own cycles. Within each region, a benchmark producer may hold value through downturns while lesser names fade.

Even within a single estate, the vintage effect is powerful: the release prices and the performance of First Growth Bordeaux shows a wide gap between celebrated vintages like 2000 or 2009 and those considered ‘off’ years. Variables like provenance and storage, widen the gap further. 

Just as in private equity or hedge funds, where manager selection drives returns, in the fine wine market, knowledge and timing are decisive. 

How liquid are alternative assets?

Liquidity in alternative assets differs from mainstream markets. Public equities and bonds trade daily on exchanges with instant settlement. By contrast, most alternatives – whether private funds or fine wine – take longer to change hands. A sale depends on finding a buyer, agreeing on price, and, in some cases, waiting for a trading window.

This slower pace can be advantageous. Investors willing to commit capital for longer are often rewarded with an extra return for patience. In fine wine, the best opportunities often come from holding rare vintages through periods of scarcity, then releasing them to market when demand peaks.

Access, however, is improving. Just as private credit has grown through evergreen and interval funds, fine wine platforms now make trading more efficient and transparent. Still, liquidity remains uneven: blue-chip Bordeaux or Burgundy may find a ready market, while niche producers or lesser vintages can take longer to sell.

The role of fine wine in 2025

Among alternative assets, fine wine stands out. In 2025, for the third year in a row, it came on top as the most in-demand collectible among financial advisors and wealth managers in both the UK and US. Fine wine is a viable alternative investment avenue for the following reasons: 

  • Scarcity meets demand: Production is both finite and shrinking, while rising global wealth continues to fuel steady demand.
  • Global and brand-driven: Iconic names such as Lafite Rothschild, DRC, and Salon are recognised worldwide and have a track record of delivering consistent value.
  • Diversifiable: Unlike art or cars, fine wine offers broad exposure across regions, producers, and vintages. With hundreds or thousands of cases produced each year, valuations are more transparent and portfolios easier to build.
  • Historically resilient: Fine wine has shown stability in market downturns and attractive long-term returns. Investors can track the performance of individual labels – or entire portfolios – directly through Wine Track.

In 2025, alternatives are no longer niche: they are central to how sophisticated investors diversify, preserve wealth, and seek differentiated returns. Fine wine brings together the key qualities that define successful alternatives: tangible scarcity, global demand, and return dispersion that rewards knowledge and timing.

Fine wine investment FAQs

Is fine wine a good hedge against inflation?
It can help preserve purchasing power over multi-year horizons due to finite supply and global demand, but outcomes vary. Diversify and keep realistic horizons.

How much do I need to start?
You can build a credible, diversified starter portfolio with a five-figure GBP budget; larger allocations allow more breadth and depth.

How long should I invest for?
Plan for 5-10+ years to capture ageing-related scarcity and demand. Tactical positions may realise sooner.

Where should I store wine?
In bonded, climate-controlled facilities with full insurance and documented chain of custody.

What returns should I expect?
Returns are not guaranteed. Focus on selection quality, costs, and disciplined process.

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The rise of wine influencers and the power of the brand: Bordeaux Diaries Part II

Explore the rise of wine influencers and how Bordeaux estates balance authenticity, identity, and changing consumer expectations.

As wine criticism continues its transformation, a new force has emerged alongside traditional voices – the influencer. While formal critics retain a place of authority, many Bordeaux estates now acknowledge that digital personalities play a growing role in shaping perceptions, influencing purchases, and spreading the message of wine.

  • Influencers now shape opinions through social media, though their messaging often lies outside producers’ control.
  • Bordeaux estates are prioritising authenticity and estate identity.
  • Producers increasingly view the customer as the ultimate judge, trusting loyal drinkers over trends.

How wine influencers are shaping modern criticism

The majority of the chateaux interviewed by WineCap referred to the widespread use of social media as a tool in the wine critique space, recognising the parallel role of influencers to conventional commentary. Several also noted that quality and precision of influencer messaging was usually beyond a producer’s control, and not as accessible for them to engage with or oversee as traditional critique.  

Château Pavie, Premier Grand Cru Classé (B), Saint-Émilion

Robert Packer was definitely the most influential critic in the world of wine, and for Bordeaux particularly, and he’s actually done a lot of good things for Pavie, because he scored us 100 points four times in ten vintages, which is quite unique in Bordeaux,’ Olivier Gailly, commercial director at Pavie explained to WineCap. ‘Since he retired, we’ve seen more and more wine critics. Actually, almost every day we see new critics who are quite influential within his or her community or his or her country.’

Gailly described such personalities as ‘half influencer, half critic’.

‘We have to adapt. There is a lot of social media and there are influencers throughout this medium. The most important thing is to make sure they relay the right messages. They relay the truth of our terroir, of what the team is doing, and they talk through to the work we do with quality.’

Château Pape Clément, Grand Cru, Pessac-Léognan

‘The role of critics and journalists remains, but in my opinion, Parker was the best taster. I’ve never known any that were better, more precise, more honest in their decisions,’ said Bernard Magrez from Château Pape Clément. ‘Now, there are not just journalists but also influencers. There’s digital media that features a lot of short but quality programmes, with the mission to advise wine lovers.’

‘These programmes are often made by quality people, but not always,’ Magrez added. In any case, they provide the service of engaging with consumers, so they do not ‘make a mistake when choosing wine’. 

Estate identity and customer loyalty in modern wine marketing

As the wine world becomes increasingly noisy with a blend of critics, influencers, and online commentary, many producers are returning to the fundamentals: authenticity, estate identity, and customer loyalty.

Château Saint-Pierre, Fourth Growth, Saint-Julien

‘It is sometimes so difficult to handle, that we think that the main thing is to simply be proud of what we produce,’ explained owner of Château Saint-Pierre Jean Triaud to WineCap. ‘During En Primeur, there are maybe 30, 40, or even 50 people telling us they can offer influence for the wine. You get professionals, but you also get all the guys you don’t know writing online and maybe followed by, I don’t know, 100,000 people.’

Triaud said it was impossible and undesirable to produce wine that everybody liked. ‘So, we try to keep the identity of the wine and what the family wants to do.’

Château La Conseillante, Pomerol

‘Since Parker retired, the world of journalists has changed a lot. Now we do not have one journalist, we have a lot of journalists with different tastes,’ said Marielle Cazaux, general manager of Château La Conseillante. ‘So, for me, the wine has to keep its identity with all these different journalists. Before, with Parker, you had to just please one taste. Now it’s more and maybe it is a good thing’.

Château Beychevelle, Fourth Growth, Saint-Julien 

Philippe Blanc, general manager at Château Beychevelle, was adamant that the customer, and not the critic, was “king”.

‘The role of wine critics is very important but, as I am a very rude person, I said to somebody one day in London at a seminar that the most important people were the customers and not the journalists. Everybody laughed in the room, but I still believe that,’ he told WineCap. ‘Journalists are extremely important, they are knowledgeable, they are good guides but I think the best guide you can get is a customer himself. Now, if you need help, you can follow some journalists that you trust.’

With a multitude of journalists and influencers today, Blanc said he was not sure one single person took the lead. ‘I think as customers, you have to find the people you feel good with and then stick to them – but the most important thing is to open a bottle, to share it with friends and see if you like it and you give the mark you want then. It is important to feel comfortable with what you taste and not to follow somebody like you follow the shepherd’. 

Château Lynch-Bages, Fifth Growth, Pauillac

Perhaps the most direct remark about putting house identity first in today’s complex wine critique space came from Jean Charles Cazes, CEO of several properties, including Château Batailley and Château Ormes de Pez alongside Lynch-Bages.

‘We have had a consistent style and consistent practices over generations. I think it is important that you follow your style because fashions always evolve and change. If you try to follow the fashion, it will be out of date very quickly. So, we follow our own path.’

In today’s fast-moving and fragmented wine commentary landscape, the critic no longer reigns alone. Influencers bring reach and relatability, digital media expands access, and consumers themselves wield increasing influence over what succeeds. Yet amid this evolution, Bordeaux’s finest estates are charting a steady course – staying true to their identity, their terroir, and the loyal customers who bring their wines to life in glasses around the world.

See also our Bordeaux I Regional Report

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. 

Start your wine investment journey with WineCap’s expert guidance.

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The best-performing wines of H1 2025: the bright spots in a soft market

  • Fine wine prices continued to decline in H1 2025 against a challenging global economic backdrop. 
  • A small group of wines outpaced the broader market by a wide margin, with the best-performing wine rising over 36%.
  • In a recalibrating market, scarcity, selectivity, and substance will continue to define success.

The global fine wine market continued its cautious descent through the first half of 2025, extending a downward trend that began in earnest in late 2022. From Champagne to California, regional indices recorded further losses – a sobering contrast to the post-pandemic surge that peaked in September 2022. What followed has been nearly 18 months of persistent price softening.

Yet even in this declining market environment, select wines showed resilience and in some cases, delivered double-digit growth. A small group of wines outpaced the broader market by a wide margin, with the best-performing wine rising over 36% in H1 alone. These rare outliers were not driven by hype or thematic rotation, but by a return to fundamentals: scarcity, maturity, critical acclaim, and name recognition. In a soft market, selectivity became strategy, and quality, its own form of currency.

The macroeconomic backdrop: volatility returns

H1 2025 unfolded against a challenging global economic backdrop, with fine wine caught in the crosscurrents of:

Reignited trade tensions

The surprise announcement of 200% US tariffs on EU wine imports in March rattled the industry. While the final figure was scaled back to 20% and implementation delayed by 90 days, the initial shock had an immediate effect. US demand plummeted initially, and confidence took time to recover – despite evidence of resilient buying behaviour by Q2.

Subdued Asian demand 

In Asia, sentiment remained quiet. Many buyers – particularly in Hong Kong and mainland China – adopted a wait-and-see posture, citing political and market uncertainty. The result was lower volume and thinner trading conditions for key regions like Burgundy, Bordeaux, and Champagne.

Monetary pressures impact

Persistent interest rate pressure globally has reduced the appeal of illiquid assets such as wine. With safer yields available in cash or bonds, some collectors have hesitated to commit fresh capital or have chosen to sell.

A tepid Bordeaux En Primeur campaign

The Bordeaux 2024 En Primeur campaign, already burdened by a slow market and a hesitant consumer base, failed to inspire broad demand. Pricing fatigue, underwhelming back-vintage performance, and merchant overstocking created difficult conditions even for well-scored wines.

Liv-ex indices reflected the climate:

    • Liv-ex 50 (tracking First Growth performance): -6% in H1, now back to 2016 levels.
    • Liv-ex 100 (Liv-ex benchmark index): -4.9% in H1, now back to 2020 levels.
    • Liv-ex 1000 (broadest market measure): -4.7% in H1, now back to 2020 levels.

Amid these headwinds, investment allocations required precise selection more than ever.

Regional performance – H1 2025

Though every major region ended H1 in negative territory, the magnitude of decline varied, offering insight into what categories still command investor attention and which ones may face longer-term repositioning.

best performing wine regions half 1 2025

The best-performing region: the Rhône

The Rhône 100 index emerged as the most defensive performer in H1, down just 2.5%. This may come as a surprise, given Rhône’s traditionally lower liquidity compared to Bordeaux or Burgundy. Yet in periods of risk aversion, the region’s combination of world-class producers (e.g. Jean Louis Chave, Guigal), lower pricing, critical appraisal, and hence good value for money have made it an increasingly attractive hunting ground for value-driven buyers.

Several Rhône wines appeared in the H1 top 10 performance list, including Chave’s Hermitage Rouge 2021 (+36.8%) and Guigal’s Côte Rôtie Château d’Ampuis 2018 (+20.0%) – reinforcing Rhône’s reputation as a quiet outperformer in challenging times.

The worst-performing regions: Bordeaux, Burgundy and California

Three major regions – California, Burgundy, and the broader Bordeaux 500 – each fell 5.6%, making them the weakest performers year to date.

  • Burgundy’s fall reflects an overdue correction after its dramatic run-up in 2021–2022. Though top-tier names (like DRC and Clos de Tart) remain in demand, the broader category has struggled under inflated pricing and speculative fatigue.
  • Similar to Burgundy, California, particularly its cult Cabernet segment, has suffered from reduced international demand.
  • Bordeaux’s broader weakness may be attributed to the underperformance of back vintages. However, its Legends 40 sub-index, focused on top estates with market longevity, proved more resilient (-2.6%).

H1 2025 top performers: the outliers that defied the trend

While most indices slipped, a handful of wines delivered double-digit returns.

best performing wines half 1 2025

Insights from the standouts

The Rhône leads with Chave’s Hermitage

Despite the Rhône 100 index declining 2.5%, Jean Louis Chave’s 2021 Hermitage Rouge rose 36.8% – a stark outperformance driven by limited availability and increased global recognition of its collectible status.

Sweet wines surged

Both Château d’Yquem 2014 and Château Suduiraut 2016 featured in the top ten, defying the quiet backdrop for Sauternes. This suggests renewed collector interest in undervalued dessert wines, particularly when linked to exceptional vintages.

US cult wines hold their own

Screaming Eagle 2012 proved resilient, with a 24.4% rise in value since the start of the year. Despite the California 50 index falling 5.6%, high-end Napa commands global attention in top-tier vintages.

Champagne’s prestige cuvées still sparkle

While the Champagne 50 index fell 4.9%, Pol Roger Sir Winston Churchill 2015 bucked the trend with +24.4%, showing how top releases can outperform broader categories when aged and ready to drink.

Key takeaways for investors

Market-wide corrections are not uniform. Even in downturns, well-selected wines can deliver strong returns.

Rarity and recognisability drive results. Names like DRC, Yquem, Chave, and Screaming Eagle continue to act as safe harbours.

Blue-chip vintage selection matters. Wines from ‘off’ vintages like Canon 2014 offered some of the best entry points and upside surprises.

Sweet wines are staging a quiet comeback. This suggests contrarian plays may have room to run in H2.

Selectivity as the strategy for H2 2025

The first half of 2025 has confirmed what seasoned collectors already know: not all wines move with the market. Even as regional indices declined across the board, a handful of exceptional bottles bucked the trend, delivering standout returns through a combination of rarity, critical reputation, and maturity.

In today’s climate, the challenge isn’t access to wine but making the right decisions. Broad market exposure has offered little protection. Instead, performance has come from targeted allocations, where deep knowledge of producers, vintages, and release histories gives investors the edge.

Looking ahead to H2, the outlook is cautiously constructive. While macroeconomic headwinds remain – from tariffs and interest rates to uneven global demand – opportunities still exist for those willing to look beyond the indices.

In a recalibrating market, scarcity, selectivity, and substance will continue to define success.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

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Do wine critics still matter in 2025? Bordeaux Diaries Part I

Discover how wine critics influence Bordeaux wine investment in 2025 and whether Robert Parker’s legacy still shapes today’s market.

Provenance, a good vintage, scarcity, and brand are all factors that influence the price of fine wine, and hence the world of wine investment. Another factor that has, traditionally, impacted wine value is the critic. A top score can inspire confidence in the price performance of a wine, while an unfavourable rating can have the opposite effect. 

However, is the role of the wine critic as important as it was in the past? With the retirement of the hegemonic world-renowned wine reviewer, Robert Parker, who helped put Bordeaux, California and the Rhône at the forefront of wine buyers’ minds, and the rise of digital media, what does the future hold?

WineCap met figures from leading Bordeaux estates for their insights into the place of wine criticism in 2025 and the years ahead. In Part I, we discuss the legacy and the evolving role of the wine critic.

  • Robert Parker’s era of singular influence is over – today’s wine criticism is a collective effort.
  • Critics still shape wine investment decisions, but their role is now one of many in a more democratic media landscape.
  • The rise of digital voices and ‘wine educators’ is expanding access and perspective in the fine wine world.

Wine criticism in transition: legacy vs digital influence

Several producers saw formal wine criticism as a keystone of information for customers, but also recognised that it was part of a developing media ecosystem largely because of the impact of the internet.

Château Valandraud, Premier Grand Cru Classé B, Saint-Émilion

Jean-Luc Thunevin, owner of Château Valandraud, thinks the importance of the traditional wine critic remains important for his château as the legacy of Robert Parker endures.

‘Parker had a hegemonic position; that is, he represented 80% of global influence. Today, in any case, there are collaborators who worked for him, who are very talented and who, two or three years ago, represented Parker’s influence,’ Thunevin told WineCap. ‘We can say that today, when you are a wine merchant, we use five or six major journalists, and we get an idea of what the wine is worth.’

Château Cheval Blanc, Saint-Émilion

‘In terms of the impact of the wine critics on the fame of our wines, we are very respectful of the job of the critics,’ Pierre-Oliver Clouet, technical manager at Château Cheval Blanc, explained. ‘We produce wine, there are wine distributors there to distribute the wine, there are wine collectors that collect the wine, and there are wine critics, who have to critique the wine. So, everybody has their own job in the wine world.’

The vast and varied selection of wine makes the role of the critic key, with Clouet adding that ranking wine estates, vintages, appellations, countries, and regions is important for consumers. 

‘The impact of critics is so important for the final client because the number of wines available on the market is huge. You have to find the critique who has your taste, and you have to follow him or her. This is the job: to help the consumer, to know more about what they’re going to purchase’.

Château Clinet, Pomerol

Ronan Laborde, managing director and owner at Château Clinet, is adamant that professional criticism is still an important fixture in the wine world, but acknowledges that information is more accessible to collectors and laymen alike today than in decades past. ‘We still need wine critique. When Robert Parker was reviewing and ranking, there was less wine criticism, and the web was not so widespread. Nowadays, there continue to be a lot of highly respectable wine critics.’

Laborde added that clients also have opportunities to bolster critic ratings with their own first-hand experience. ‘There are a lot of people who are really interested in wine and have the chance to visit wineries, taste the wines, and import the wines. So, it’s easier nowadays to try and have your own opinion than before. Robert Parker was a reference at the time he was active, but nowadays, it’s more split.’

Wine critique landscape in 2025: complexity and change

Château Margaux, First Growth, Haut-Médoc

Philippe Bascaules, managing director at Château Margaux, had an open-minded perspective on the shifting, changing, landscape of wine critique, not jumping to any conclusive opinion on its direction for the time being.

‘We are in a time when it’s very difficult to know the direction of journalists and social media and all this new communication, and how the consumers will use all of it to buy wine,’ he said. ‘Of course, it used to be so simple. Today, it’s much more complex and I think probably it’s even a good evolution, I would say, because then it can be a little bit more diverse, and everyone can find his own advisor. I think we are in transition and will know later exactly where it will lead and what it will mean.’

Château Coutet, Premier Cru, Sauternes

Other producers echo this sentiment. At Château Coutet, marketing director Aline Baly appreciates the rise of ‘wine educators’ who help spread awareness about lesser-known properties. 

‘In the last decade, we’ve seen a lot of new wine critics, or I also like to call them “wine educators” because they’re helping us get the message out there,’ marketing director Aline Baly told WineCap. ‘Some of the vineyards in this region are very tiny. We can’t be everywhere. We can’t be travelling and opening our wines and describing these wines. So, the wine critics, or wine educators help us get the message out.’

Regarding the growing number of critics, Baly was enthusiastic. ‘There is definitely a change from having very few people who are the spokespeople for all the vineyards in the world to a larger group of individuals who’ve come to visit, who’ve tasted wines and helped us get the message out there.’

Why wine critics still matter: education and expertise

Château Calon-Ségur, Third Growth, Saint-Estèphe

‘At the time of the Primeurs, we host many journalists from France and around the world,’ general director and owner of Château Calon-Ségur Vincent Millet said. ‘Today we have about fifteen journalists who come to taste the Primeurs every year. But what is also interesting is that these are the same journalists who will taste the wines when they are bottled, or a few months after bottling. So, they have a vision of a very young wine and a wine that has been aged in barrels, as well as a few months after bottling.’

This educational insider experience was invaluable for consumers, he added. ‘Today, what is interesting to see is that journalists have a culture of wine, follow the properties, follow the history of the property, and in some ways, these same journalists become true authorities on our wines. Even if we work with the brokers and merchants, the consumer will still look at the notes and comments of these same journalists. It is important for us to be able to explain how we work and what our philosophy is so that journalists can better understand the wines when they taste them’.

From Parker to pluralism: collective influence in wine

Several producers agree: the days of one critic dominating the wine conversation are behind us.

Château Pichon-Longueville Baron, Second Growth, Pauillac

‘I don’t think that we will ever again see one critic have such a completely dominant position as Robert Parker had. It was an accident of history in many ways. He just started at the right time, in 1982, when America was discovering the great wines of Bordeaux, and became accepted as the utterly reliable guide that he was,’ explained Christian Seely, managing director of AXA Millésimes, owner of Pichon-Baron

‘Today, there are many talented wine tasters and critics, and I think that it’s more of a collective influence. So, there will be perhaps a dozen really major critics who move the market, and I think on a collective basis, this is actually a much healthier thing. I think that for one person to have so much influence was probably slightly unbalanced and dangerous. These days, you can choose, as a consumer, from a number of very good critics and decide which ones you like best and follow them.’

Château La Mondotte, Premier Grand Cru Classé, Saint-Émilion

‘The time of the likes of Robert Parker is completely finished,’ said owner of Château La Mondotte Stéphane von Neipperg. ‘Now we will have perhaps five to ten well known wine critics for the consumer. So, it will be a much more open game. Parker was an important guy because he made what makes a good wine understandable for a lot of people. However, it is also good to have different opinions.’

Von Neipperg pointed to the 2021 vintage as an example of how critic viewpoints can vary significantly, supporting his view of the benefits of such diversity. ‘If you read about the ratings of 2021, there were sometimes five to ten points difference for the same wine.’

As Bordeaux and the broader wine world evolve, so too does the role of the critic – moving from singular gatekeeper to a chorus of trusted voices, guiding collectors, investors, and enthusiasts through an increasingly nuanced landscape.

See also our Bordeaux I Regional Report

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. 

Start your wine investment journey with WineCap’s expert guidance.

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How UK and US investors react to tariffs

  • Wealth managers in both the UK and US anticipated increased demand for equities, real assets, and alternatives amid shifting trade policy landscapes.
  • US respondents showed stronger confidence in alternative assets, while UK managers leaned more toward traditional equities and property.
  • Fine wine was viewed in both markets as a resilient, inflation-resistant asset with long-term appeal, especially in portfolios seeking diversification.

With President Donald Trump back in the White House, global markets have once again entered a period of trade policy uncertainty. In late May 2025, the administration proposed sweeping 50% tariffs on European Union imports, initially planned for June 1 but now delayed until July 9 following negotiations with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. The move echoes earlier policy cycles that disrupted cross-border commerce, and while implementation remains uncertain, it has revived conversations about portfolio resilience and asset class performance under changing geopolitical conditions.

In our Wealth Management survey earlier this year, investors across both sides of the Atlantic were asked to consider how a renewed focus on domestic trade policy and market protectionism might shift capital allocation preferences. Their responses revealed an appetite for assets considered resilient, global, and responsive to consumer growth.

A recalibration of confidence across core and alternative assets

Across both markets, wealth managers projected increased demand for a wide range of asset classes, albeit with slightly different emphases. In the United Kingdom, demand was strongest for traditional equity exposures, particularly US stocks (94%) and emerging markets (90%), reflecting a continued belief in global growth opportunities despite the shifting trade backdrop. Property and non-US developed stocks also garnered attention, as did cash and bonds – indicating a balanced appetite for both growth and defensive positions.

*UK

In the US, the tone was more expansive and optimistic. US stocks topped the list at 98%, with similarly high sentiment for non-US developed markets (92%), cash (90%), and emerging market equities (86%). However, American wealth managers also showed a greater inclination toward alternatives – digital currency (88%), real estate (80%), startups (76%), and luxury collectibles (74%) all ranked notably high. This suggests that, even in the face of policy shifts, US investors were inclined to look for opportunity amid change, particularly in sectors with strong long-term narratives or tangible value.

*US

A nuanced position for fine wine and luxury assets

Fine wine and other luxury collectibles were not among the top-tier asset classes in the survey but nevertheless held their own as part of a well-rounded diversification strategy. 

While only 58% of UK respondents expected an increase in demand for luxury collectibles compared to 74% in the US, both figures reflect a belief in the long-term value of tangible, non-correlated assets – especially during periods of policy uncertainty.

Historically, fine wine has performed well in such climates. Its low correlation with traditional financial markets, combined with intrinsic scarcity and global appeal, positions it as an attractive option for wealth preservation. 

US respondents in particular noted that if Trump’s policies were to echo those from his previous term – most notably tax cuts that increased disposable income among high-net-worth individuals – then demand for luxury goods, including fine wine, could grow in tandem with consumer confidence.

Inflation resistance and tangibility remain key themes

Another through-line in both markets is the recognition that tangible, inflation-resistant assets may offer stability when macroeconomic or policy environments shift. While digital assets and equities continue to dominate discussions, the inclusion of fine wine and real estate in both countries’ top ten expected demand growth areas suggests a common view: that real, finite goods still hold a trusted place in long-term strategies.

This sentiment aligns with broader investment trends of the past five years, during which fine wine has steadily gained credibility as an alternative asset. From a performance standpoint, it has demonstrated resilience through downturns and delivered attractive risk-adjusted returns over the long term. And as more platforms offer increased liquidity and data transparency, fine wine is becoming more accessible to wealth managers seeking both diversification and durability.

Looking ahead

While our survey preceded the most recent tariff developments, the views it captured reflect a broader mindset already taking shape among global investors. As the July 9 tariff deadline approaches, and with the potential for further policy changes, these pre-existing preferences offer a lens into how wealth managers may continue to allocate in an evolving geopolitical environment.

For fine wine in particular, its dual role as both a passion asset and a portfolio stabiliser could prove increasingly valuable. Whether driven by renewed domestic consumption or a search for global, inflation-resistant stores of value, fine wine appears poised to remain a quiet but meaningful part of the wealth management conversation on both sides of the Atlantic.

Looking for more? See also: 

WineCap Wealth Report 2025: UK Edition

WineCap Wealth Report 2025: US Edition

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Lower En Primeur volumes: Bordeaux estates explain

The nature of Bordeaux’s En Primeur campaign varies each year depending on growing conditions and market forces. However, one aspect is emerging as a strong trend across vintages: volumes released during En Primeur are decreasing.

WineCap spoke with prominent Bordeaux producers for deeper insights into the reasons for this pattern.

  • Interviewed châteaux release between 60% and 90% En Primeur.
  • Rising temperatures and organic farming reduce yields and En Primeur offerings.
  • Châteaux need to consider both on- and off-trade customers.
  • Climate change necessitates holding wine for style, and brand preservation in future.
  • Competition to produce the highest quality reduces volume.

Decreased production and adaptable approach

Several producers WineCap interviewed explained that, in addition to the variable vintages typical of the Bordeaux region, global warming and changing vineyard practices are lowering yields.

Château Pichon Comtesse, Second Growth, Pauillac

Nicolas Glumineau, CEO and winemaker, recognised lower yields and wine volumes in recent years as contributing to the changing dynamics of the En Primeur system.

‘For Pichon Comtesse, it’s not due to the fact that we want to retain more volumes here in the cellars,’ Glumineau told WineCap. ‘I really do believe in the En Primeur system, despite seeing less and less volume of wine released this way. Volumes released have gone down because of lower yields over the last ten to 15 years. Still, I want to play the game of En Primeur, so that’s why we release something like 80% of our production every year’.

Château Smith Haut-Lafitte, Grand Cru Classé, Graves

Florence Cathiard, co-owner with her husband Daniel of Château Smith Haut-Lafitte, said that low yields influenced their decisions to reduce En Primeur volumes but commented that it was possible some maneuvering occurred.

‘For us, it’s not voluntary. It’s because of organic certification, which means we tend to have too low volumes,’ she said. 

Château Margaux, First Growth, Haut-Médoc

‘The En Primeur volume, of course, is lower than ten or 20 years ago because the yield is much lower than before. Also, we are much more demanding in our selection for Château Margaux. So the total volume of Château Margaux has decreased tremendously,’ managing director, Philippe Bascaules, told WineCap. ‘That said, the quantity of En Primeur hasn’t changed a lot. Depending on the vintage, we can sell 70% to 85% of the production’.

Bascaules emphasised that it was the level of the yield and strict selection for quality control, rather than the house’s reluctance to participate, that created an impression of reduction. ‘En Primeur is very important for us’.

Château Pavie, Premier Grand Cru Classé (A), Saint-Émilion

‘At Château Pavie, we haven’t really changed the policy of let’s release less wine or let’s release more wine,’ Olivier Gailly, commercial director, said. ‘We adapt vintage to vintage. There is no strict rule as to what we want to release; the percentage might change vintage after vintage, depending on the dynamic of the market and of the vintage itself’.

Château Clinet, Pomerol

‘I think the main reason for the reduction in En Primeur volumes is the fact that sustainable viticultural practices reduce the volumes made per producer,’ Ronan Laborde, managing director and owner, explained.

‘Also, there is a strong competition to produce the best wine possible. You cannot do this with high volumes. So that’s why you also see more and more Bordeaux wine producers offering second wines or sometimes third wines. So, the quantity produced on the first wine is reduced. I think these are the two main reasons why the En Primeur volumes that are offered seem to be smaller than in the past’.

Customer choice

While some Bordeaux producers have a flexible strategy to their En Primeur releases, others believe that such versatility can have drawbacks, and that producer marketing and client demand should dictate stability in decision-making.

Troplong Mondot, Premier Grand Cru Classé B, Saint-Émilion

Ferréol du Fou, commercial director of Troplong Mondot, described lowering En Primeur quantities as ‘a huge mistake’, citing customer appetite as a key driver to the house’s stance.

‘Our strategy is to release 80% of the production every year, even if production is low. People need wines, and we need to show the label to the world. En Primeur is a way to offer a good deal for the consumer’.

Château Beau-Séjour Bécot, Premier Grand Cru Classé B, Saint-Émilion

Julien Barthe, who co-owns Château Beau-Séjour Bécot with his wife Juliet, has a similar position.

‘I think it’s a big mistake for many châteaux because they want to increase their prices, so they deliver a small volume. I really don’t think it’s a good way to promote your wine,’ he told WineCap. ‘This is not the case at Beau-Séjour Becot. We release around 85% to 90% of our production every year because we want to offer a good number of bottles to all our clients. We want to say ‘thanks, guys, you buy my wine, we are happy, we will be happy when you drink this wine’’.

Château Pichon-Longueville Baron, Second Growth, Pauillac

Christian Seely, managing director of AXA Millésimes, which owns Château Pichon-Longueville Baron, also believes that offering customers options is crucial, even if this involves holding a substantial amount of stock.

‘We release about half of our production of Grand Vin En Primeur, and we keep the other half back for a number of years,’ he said. ‘The reason we do that is that it gives our customers two options; if they want to buy En Primeur, they can. If they don’t feel like buying En Primeur and would like to come back and buy the wine from the property five years later, we still have stocks of wine for them here. The chances are it’s going to be a little bit more expensive a few years later, but it would have been kept in the perfect location at the property. So, by doing half En Primeur and half stock available at the château, we feel that we’re offering our customers the choice’.

Châteaux traditional commercial activities

An important influence on En Primeur release quantities for several chateaux is retaining volumes to maintain established business activities on site and throughout on- and off-trade networks.

Château Beychevelle, Fourth Growth, Saint-Julien 

Philippe Blanc, general manager of Château Beychevelle, stressed to WineCap that the house took local customers into account when making decisions about what levels of wine to release En Primeur.

‘We don’t play the scarcity game, we play the game of En Primeur’, he said. ‘We’ve got over 100 negociant customers, which is a lot, and we sell 85% of our production En Primeur. Before 2016, we were selling 95% or 96%, which is extremely high. We were frustrated to not have any volumes of available wines for doing anything. For example, if tomorrow you decided you wanted to have an event with us, we could make an event because we always have enough wine for drinking, but we have no wine for selling. It was a bit frustrating for us and the merchants here or abroad when they asked for, say, five cases of wine for customers, and we had no wine. So, we decided to decrease the shares sold En Primeur to 85%.’

Blanc went on to explain that, while there had been a decrease in En Primeur volumes, there was no intention to go lower. ‘And why are we so dedicated to En Primeur? Beychevelle, as you probably know, is a wine which increases its value over time, and our golden rule is that the Primeur price is the lowest you can get. We could say, okay, keep more, because the price will go up, but we don’t want this policy, because setting the price at a more reasonable level makes it possible to sell it to the traditional market. So, we stick to that.’

Château Canon, Premier Grand Cru Classé, Saint-Émilion

Nicolas Audebert, winemaker and general manager of the Saint-Émilion estate, has the same perspective on En Primeur with the house operating within its framework. It also considers the on-trade environment when making decisions about wine proportions for the annual campaign.

‘We consider that the En Primeur moment and campaign are extremely important, and we play the game. We do not put a small volume in En Primeur,’ he told WineCap. ‘Of course, we keep some volume here at the chateau to be able to have wine for the next 20 years, to have wine for the bibliothèque, and be able to do fantastic tastings 80 or 100 years from now.’

The chateau puts a minimum of 70% of the production, every year, En Primeur, with Audebert describing it as a ‘fantastic time where everybody’s looking at Bordeaux’ and ‘a win-win for the consumer and for us’.

Château Cheval Blanc, Saint-Émilion

At between 60% and 70%, Pierre-Oliver Clouet, winemaker and the technical manager at the Right Bank house, sometimes commits even lower amounts than peers to the En Primeur campaign.

‘We keep around one-third of our crops to sell in five, ten, or 15 years, to have an opportunity to provide some bottles to restaurants, wine shops, or distributors who don’t have the opportunity to have storage. We alter the model a little between two-thirds En Primeur and one-third available for the market – ready-to-drink, in fact’.                                                                

Wine heritage

For Cos d’Estournel, the annual En Primeur allocation decision relates to the house’s legacy: mitigating the impact of climate change on the classic and recognisable style of the house’s wine is of prime concern.

Cos d’Estournel, Second Growth, Saint-Estèphe

‘Well, in terms of En Primeur, the volumes are quite different compared to before because before, the context was different,’ commercial director Charles Thomas told WineCap. ‘Twenty, 30, or 40 years ago, when you couldn’t sell your wine, you would sell all your wine if you could. Also, when you look at global warming, the style of wine could be a bit different in 20 years. So, in terms of style, it’s also quite important to keep some wine that we make now and to be able to release it later on.’

See also our Bordeaux I Regional Report

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How fine wine investment attitudes differ in the UK and US

  • UK investors are moving faster than their US counterparts in handing over to a younger, tech-savvy generation, with a sharper decline in ‘very experienced’ participants.
  • US portfolios still allocate more to fine wine on average, reflecting a greater appetite for alternative assets despite similar downward trends in allocation.
  • Both markets are embracing digital tools and AI-driven insights, but the UK appears slightly ahead in integrating fine wine into a broader fintech-enabled investment strategy.

The fine wine investment market in 2025 is experiencing a paradigm shift on both sides of the Atlantic. While the United Kingdom and the United States share many overarching trends like the rise of a younger, tech-savvy investor base and the repositioning of fine wine as a strategic asset, the nuances in their trajectories highlight key cultural, financial, and strategic differences.

A shared generational shift at different paces

Both the UK and US reports depict a clear generational handover in fine wine investment. Baby boomers, once the stalwarts of the market, are selling off holdings accumulated over decades. In their place, a new cohort of Millennial and Gen Z investors is emerging – individuals who see wine less as a consumable luxury and more as a data-driven, alternative investment.

*UK

However, the pace of this transition is more pronounced in the UK. Only 32% of UK investors in 2025 are now classified as ‘very experienced’, a sharp drop from 52% in 2024. In contrast, the US market still holds a stronger base of experienced investors, with 44% falling into that category – a modest decline from 48% in 2024.

*US

This suggests that while the UK is undergoing a more aggressive generational overhaul, the US market remains slightly more anchored in legacy investor behaviors. This could reflect cultural factors, such as the USA’s longer-standing tradition of wine collection, or structural elements like the greater maturity of digital investment platforms in the UK.

Diverging portfolio allocations

In both markets, fine wine is increasingly treated as a complementary asset class rather than a core holding. This shift is evident in declining portfolio allocations. In the UK, the average portfolio allocation to fine wine has dropped from 10.8% in 2024 to 7.8% in 2025. US investors have larger allocations overall, which have still declined from 13% to 10.7% on average year-on-year.

While both reductions are linked to recent price corrections and broader diversification strategies, the US still shows a greater willingness to commit higher portions of wealth to fine wine. Notably, 40% of US investors still allocate 11–20% of their portfolio to wine, compared to 18% in the UK.

This discrepancy may be driven by different attitudes toward risk, or a reflection of the US investor’s broader enthusiasm for alternatives – including crypto, art, and collectibles – where fine wine fits comfortably into a high-yield mindset.

Technology and the new investor toolkit

One unifying force across both markets is the use of AI, data analytics, and digital platforms. The new generation of investors is not relying on intuition; they’re using dashboards, price trends, and machine learning models to inform their trades.

*UK

This transformation is blurring the line between emotional and analytical investment, enabling fine wine to shed its image as a passion-led endeavor and gain legitimacy as a financial tool. However, the UK appears slightly more mature in this regard, perhaps due to a tighter integration between fintech and alternative asset platforms.

*US

Market sentiment: recalibration, not retreat

Despite recent price softening, neither the UK nor US market is retreating. Instead, both are recalibrating. Experienced investors are taking profits, newer investors are entering at lower price points, and portfolio managers are redefining what role wine should play – most now agree it’s a diversifier, not a pillar.

Crucially, both markets anticipate that today’s corrections will lay the groundwork for tomorrow’s gains. Historically, fine wine has shown resilience and rebound capacity. The current dip may ultimately broaden participation and enhance long-term sustainability.

Two markets, one destination

The UK and US fine wine investment landscapes are converging in vision, yet diverging in pace and personality. The UK is evolving faster – more volatility-tolerant, more digitally advanced, and more dynamic in reallocating portfolios. The US, by contrast, remains a more anchored, cautiously progressive market, with higher average allocations but slower risk adoption.

Yet both markets are ultimately moving toward the same future: a fine wine investment world that is younger, smarter, more inclusive, and increasingly strategic.

As fine wine sheds its elitist past and embraces a tech-enabled future, investors on both sides of the Atlantic recognise fine wine’s growing potential.

Looking for more? See also: 

WineCap Wealth Report 2025: UK Edition

WineCap Wealth Report 2025: US Edition

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Fine wine in the age of AI

  • AI has emerged as a transformative force in investment management. 
  • 98% of UK wealth managers expect AI to have a significant impact on fine wine investment in the next five years. 
  • Key areas include greater investor control, wider market acceptance and improved transparency.

Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative force in investment management, reshaping industries through advanced data analysis, predictive modelling, and automation. From equities to property, AI-powered tools can process vast amounts of information, identify patterns, and spotlight opportunities with unprecedented speed.

The fine wine sector, traditionally reliant on expert opinion, historical market trends, and insider knowledge, is now at the cusp of a similar transformation. AI is set to redefine how fine wine is valued, traded, and perceived within investment portfolios. Only 2% of WineCap’s latest survey respondents believe AI will have no impact on fine wine investment in the next five years. This overwhelming consensus highlights the disruptive potential of AI and its role in increasing market efficiency, accessibility, and transparency.

So, how exactly is AI poised to reshape fine wine investment? Insights from industry participants highlight several key areas of transformation.

Greater investor control: A shift away from brokers?

The most significant impact predicted by 76% of respondents is that AI will make it easier for investors to control their investments independently.

Historically, fine wine investment has required expertise from brokers, consultants, and wine merchants who provide insights into market pricing, provenance, and expected returns. 

However, AI-driven platforms might reduce reliance on intermediaries by offering investors real-time valuations based on live market transactions and historical performance, automated risk assessments and tailored portfolio strategies.

This shift means that both new and experienced investors will have more tools at their disposal to make informed decisions, potentially leading to a more democratised market.

Fine wine as a more widely accepted asset class

AI’s ability to provide data-backed insights is expected to enhance the credibility of fine wine as an alternative investment category. According to our survey, 72% of UK wealth managers believe AI will make fine wine a more widely accepted asset class.

Currently, one of the biggest barriers to institutional investment in fine wine is valuation inconsistency and market opacity. Unlike stocks, which trade on transparent exchanges, fine wine prices may vary across different auction houses and merchants. 

AI can help solve this problem through improved risk modelling, more accurate valuation algorithms and enhanced demand forecasting to predict which wines will appreciate over time.

With these advancements, institutional investors and wealth managers will find it easier to allocate capital to fine wine, increasing its legitimacy alongside other alternative assets like gold and property. 

Attracting a new generation of investors

Nearly 48% of our survey respondents believe AI will make fine wine investment more appealing to younger generations. This shift is critical as baby boomers – who have traditionally dominated fine wine collecting – begin to exit the market, and younger investors with a digital-first mindset step in.

AI-driven platforms might lower entry barriers for new investors by offering intuitive user interfaces similar to modern trading apps like Robinhood or Wealthfront and providing personalised investment recommendations based on user preferences and risk tolerance.

By enhancing accessibility, AI can help bring fine wine investment into the mainstream of digital wealth management, positioning it alongside equities and ETFs as a viable portfolio component.

Improved transparency in the fine wine market

Lack of transparency has long been a challenge for fine wine investors, making it difficult to track pricing trends, authenticate bottles, and assess liquidity risks. However, AI-powered analytics are poised to change this by introducing new levels of visibility and accuracy into the market.

According to the survey, 38% of respondents believe AI will bring greater transparency to the industry. Key improvements might include live tracking of historical price movements, enhanced authentication processes, and supply-chain analytics;

These improvements will increase investor confidence, reduce information asymmetry, and create a more efficient secondary market.

WineCap Wealth Report 2025: UK Edition

What does the future hold?

While AI is still in the early stages of adoption in fine wine investment, the technology is already proving its value by enhancing investor control, broadening market access, and increasing transparency. The next five years are likely to see even greater integration of AI into fine wine investment strategies. Potential developments include blockchain integration, predictive analytics, and automated trading platforms.

As the fine wine investment landscape evolves, those who embrace AI-powered insights will gain a competitive edge, benefiting from greater market clarity and data-driven decision-making. The fine wine sector is on the brink of a technological revolution – one that could reshape how investors interact with and perceive this centuries-old asset class.

WineCap’s independent market analysis showcases the value of portfolio diversification and the stability offered by investing in wine. Speak to one of our wine investment experts and start building your portfolio. Schedule your free consultation today.

 

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How does Bordeaux set its release prices?

In the springtime of each year, all eyes turn to Bordeaux as the region begins its extended En Primeur campaign when châteaux across this prominent region set their wine prices.

Such decisions require the navigation of multiple factors within a delicate financial and cultural ecosystem. WineCap spoke with eminent producers for insights into what influences the all-important price setting.

  •         Previous vintages and price key influences
  •         Profitability for all players is an important driver
  •         Compelling price point for customers is critical
  •         Brand and critical ratings have some impact

Château Smith Haut-Lafitte, Grand Cru Classé, Graves

“Don’t believe people say, ‘I do it all by myself’,” said Florence Cathiard who co-owns the Graves house with her husband Daniel. “It’s a long process and very delicate because we have to take several parameters into account.”

These include contemplating pushing prices higher because of swift sales in previous years, the vintage quality, and the general global environment.

“We also take advice from some of the best négociants, brokers, and even some importers — not those who are just trying to put the price down, to sell high, but the real friends.”

Château Pichon-Longueville Baron, Second Growth, Pauillac

Christian Seely, managing director of AXA Millésimes, owner of Château Pichon-Longueville Baron, has devised a formula for the optimal release price of a Grand Cru Wine.

“The ideal price is the highest price possible at which my existing customers will buy the wine with enthusiasm,” he said. “It has to be the highest price possible, otherwise I might get fired. But it has to be the highest price possible at which my existing customers will buy the wine with enthusiasm. If you go too high, your existing customers might buy it without enthusiasm. If you go much too high, maybe your existing customers won’t buy it, and that would be terrible. It’s a personal judgment based on experience.”

Château Pichon Comtesse, Second Growth, Pauillac

Nicolas Glumineau, CEO and winemaker of Château Pichon Comtesse, combines mathematics with common sense.

To price the wine correctly, you have to be very respectful of your market. And what we do is to have a very sharp eye on market prices,” he explained. “We consider that each step of the distribution chain has to get remuneration. It’s very important for each of us to earn money thanks to the distribution of Pichon Comtesse.”

Château Cheval Blanc, Saint-Émilion

Pierre-Oliver Clouet, Managing Director at Château Cheval Blanc has a similarly logical approach.

“En Primeur should be forever the lowest price you can find in your bottle,” he told WineCap. “The release price depends on many things: the quality of the vintage, the economic context in the world, and, as well, the price of new vintages available on the market. So, ultimately, the definition of the price En Primeur is not something difficult to reach. This is something mathematical.”

Château Canon, Premier Grand Cru Classé, Saint-Émilion.

Nicolas Audebert also follows mathematical logic in the pricing game. “If you go En Primeur, the interest for the consumer, the guy buying the bottle is that ‘if I buy en primeur, the bottle that I will put in my cellar and not able to drink now, it has to be at a lower price of the same quality I can buy in the market and drink now’,” he told WineCap.

Audebert takes an equivalent quality vintage from recent years, considers the margin, does some precision-calculations, and arrives at a price that offers a ‘win-win’ for all parties.

“Of course, afterwards, you can have ‘plus-value’ on the exceptional quality of the vintage or something like that. But if we play primeur, we have to play the game of logical pricing.”

Château Pavie, Premier Grand Cru Classé (A), Saint-Émilion

“There are some secrets,” jokes Olivier Gailly, commercial director for the Perse wine family at the renowned house. “There are a lot of different factors, which are, first of all, the history of your château, the different vintages and prices in the past, and how successful it was.

If the market demands, you have to push some, but you have to listen to it as well. Of course, ratings still play a role, meaning the feedback from the customers when they come and taste during the En Primeur week in Bordeaux. We then meet with Monsieur Perse and take the decision together. The final one will be his, being the owner of the property.”

Château La Mondotte, Premier Grand Cru Classé, Saint-Émilion

“If you have the wrong price, it’s a disaster,” Stéphane von Neipperg, owner of the Right Bank house said. “Nobody wants a lot of people wh don’t want to buy the wine.”

When his team goes to the market, they consider the global economy, the local market price direction, and information from brokers and négociants. “You have to absolutely test the price with negotiants, brokers, and also with your friends, the importers. Then we can say, ‘well, this would be a good price’. A good price is when everyone in the business makes money.”

Cos d’Estournel, Second Growth, Saint-Estèphe

Charles Thomas, commercial director of the Left Bank château, places an emphasis on quality and the good value the region offers when deciding on price. “I would be lying if I said it doesn’t depend sometimes on the exchange rate,” he said. “But also, it’s according to the quality we have — and this is the most important thing. Bordeaux is not expensive when you look at Burgundy and Napa Valley and some wine from other appellations.”

Vintage has more of an impact than elsewhere and can link to market price, Thomas added. “Of course, in Bordeaux you have the vintage effect that you don’t always have in other parts of the world. We try to be more stable for the client or the consumer, though, so they can accept any necessary price variation.”

Château Angelus, Saint-Émilion

As well as previous vintage pricing in Bordeaux and internationally, for Château Angelus CEO Stéphanie de Boüard-Rivoal, two more factors are key influences when the prestigious house goes to market.

“The volume as well, of course, because it makes a real impact,” she explained. “I’d say the strength of the brand as well.”

See also our Bordeaux I Regional Report

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